Arkansas vs Texas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 22)

Updated: 2025-11-15T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Arkansas Razorbacks travel to face the Texas Longhorns on November 22, 2025, in a marquee matchup where Arkansas looks to spoil Texas’s ambitions while the Longhorns aim to reinforce their playoff credentials at home. Arkansas’s offense has been surprisingly explosive this season, but their defense remains vulnerable—while Texas boasts one of the nation’s more consistent defensive units and seeks to hang a dominant home performance.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 22, 2025

Start Time: 4:30 PM EST​

Venue: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium​

Longhorns Record: (7-3)

Razorbacks Record: (2-8)

OPENING ODDS

ARK Moneyline: +295

TEXAS Moneyline: -379

ARK Spread: +10

TEXAS Spread: -10.0

Over/Under: 57.5

ARK
Betting Trends

  • Arkansas averages about 34.1 points per game but allows approximately 32.3 points per game, placing their defense among the less reliable nationally despite a productive offense.

TEXAS
Betting Trends

  • Texas scores roughly 27.6 points per game and allows about 18.3 points per game, showing strong defensive metrics and moderate offensive output—making them consistently strong candidates to cover spreads at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Given Arkansas’s high-scoring offense and porous defense, and Texas’s strong defensive profile but middling offense, a few betting angles emerge: Texas as a favorite may offer value because they can suppress Arkansas’s scoring; the total may lean toward “under” if Texas controls pace and limits explosive plays; and Arkansas might offer value as an over-achiever on offense but remains risky given defensive liability.

ARK vs. TEXAS
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Green over 48.5 Rushing Yards.

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Arkansas vs Texas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/22/25

The November 22, 2025 showdown between the Arkansas Razorbacks and the Texas Longhorns represents one of the most intriguing late-season matchups of the year, pitting Arkansas’s explosive offensive capability against Texas’s elite defense at home in Austin. Arkansas enters with an offense that averages over 34 points per game and generates a robust 7.22 yards per play and 5.89 yards per rush attempt, indicating they can create chunk plays and move the chains both through the air and on the ground. Conversely, their defense has allowed more than 32 points per game, ranking among the less reliable units in the FBS and exposing the Razorbacks in games where possession control and defensive consistency matter most. Texas counters with a defense allowing only about 18.3 points per game—among the country’s elite—while their offense scores approximately 27.6 points per game, not overpowering but efficient, disciplined, and built to sustain drives and minimize mistakes. The core strategic narrative centers on whether Texas can impose tempo, dominate early downs, win field-position battles, and capitalize on Arkansas’s defensive vulnerabilities before the Razorbacks can flex their offensive muscle. Arkansas’s path to success hinges on striking early and often—generating explosive plays, forcing Texas into high-tempo scenarios, and attacking the Longhorns before their defensive game plan fully settles.

They must win the trenches, protect their quarterback, convert third downs, avoid negative plays, and attempt to turn the game into a higher-scoring affair where their offense can offset their defensive shortfalls. On the flip side, Texas must play disciplined, physical football: win the line of scrimmage, keep Arkansas’s offense off the field, capitalize on short fields, and avoid letting the game turn into a shootout—because their defense will discriminate in those situations and turn advantage into domination. Third-down conversions, red-zone touchdown percentage, turnovers, and special teams likely decide where this game goes. If Texas can limit Arkansas’s big-play opportunities, win hidden-yardage, and control tempo, they should assert their defensive identity and win comfortably; but if Arkansas finds rhythm, wins early drives, and avoids defensive breakdowns, this could become an offensive affair. Given home-field advantage, depth, and defensive dominance, Texas holds the edge—but Arkansas’s offensive ceiling ensures the contest remains far from guaranteed.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Arkansas Razorbacks CFB Preview

Arkansas enters its November 22, 2025 road matchup at Texas with one of the most explosive offensive profiles in the SEC but also with a defensive liability that places enormous pressure on their ability to score early, score often, and maintain rhythm in a hostile environment against one of the nation’s most disciplined and structurally sound defensive units. Averaging more than 34 points per game and producing an impressive 7.22 yards per play, Arkansas thrives on tempo, misdirection, and explosive run-game efficiency, highlighted by their 5.89 yards per rush attempt that allows them to stay ahead of the chains and open the playbook for vertical strikes. This offensive capability gives the Razorbacks legitimate upset potential on any given week—if they can dictate pace. However, the challenge is steep: Texas allows just 18.3 points per game, wins early downs with physicality, and forces teams into predictable passing situations, an area where Arkansas becomes far more vulnerable. The key for Arkansas will be starting fast, ideally scoring on its first or second possession to force Texas into a more open offensive script that favors Arkansas’s chances. They must minimize negative plays, avoid penalties that derail drives, and protect the football at all costs; turnovers on the road against a disciplined defense would create an uphill climb they are not built to overcome.

Defensively, Arkansas must rise significantly above its season baseline of allowing over 32 points per game. They need to tighten coverage, tackle with discipline, and win enough first-down snaps to prevent Texas from controlling the clock. If their defense can force even two or three timely stops—or generate a turnover—they give their offense the oxygen needed to trade blows. Special teams could become a swing factor, as Arkansas cannot afford to surrender short fields or hidden-yardage disadvantages to a Texas squad that thrives in structurally sound, complementary football. Psychologically, Arkansas must embrace its underdog posture, enter with aggression rather than caution, and avoid the slow starts that have occasionally put them in double-digit deficits before adjustments could take hold. Their offensive ceiling gives them a legitimate puncher’s chance, but their defensive margin is razor-thin; they must turn this into a high-variance game, ideally a shootout, where their big-play ability becomes a weapon rather than a footnote. If they can force Texas out of its comfort zone, avoid defensive collapses, and maintain efficiency on third down, Arkansas can keep the game competitive and potentially threaten late. Otherwise, Texas’s defensive consistency and home-field advantage will make the Razorbacks’ path significantly more challenging.

The Arkansas Razorbacks travel to face the Texas Longhorns on November 22, 2025, in a marquee matchup where Arkansas looks to spoil Texas’s ambitions while the Longhorns aim to reinforce their playoff credentials at home. Arkansas’s offense has been surprisingly explosive this season, but their defense remains vulnerable—while Texas boasts one of the nation’s more consistent defensive units and seeks to hang a dominant home performance. Arkansas vs Texas AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Nov 22. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Texas Longhorns CFB Preview

Texas enters its November 22, 2025 home matchup against Arkansas with a clear structural blueprint built around elite defensive consistency, disciplined offensive execution, and the advantage of a home environment that traditionally amplifies their physicality and situational control. Allowing just 18.3 points per game, the Longhorns possess one of the most reliable defenses in the country, a unit defined by gap discipline, strong tackling fundamentals, and the ability to win early downs that force opponents—especially explosive but inconsistent teams like Arkansas—into predictable passing situations where Texas’s pass rush and secondary thrive. Against an Arkansas offense averaging over 34 points per game and producing explosive chunk gains both through the air and on the ground, Texas’s defensive priority will be containing early-down runs, maintaining deep integrity to prevent long touchdowns, and making Arkansas drive the length of the field rather than capitalizing on quick-strike possessions. Offensively, Texas operates with efficiency rather than fireworks, scoring around 27.6 points per game through a balanced approach that values ball control, mistake-free football, and sustained drives that allow their defense to rest. At home, the Longhorns complement that approach with strong crowd energy that helps them dominate line-of-scrimmage play and impose tempo—both critical for keeping Arkansas’s offense on the sideline.

Their offensive game plan will likely lean on physical rushing to soften the Razorbacks’ defensive front, followed by timely, high-percentage passing designed to exploit Arkansas’s tendency to give up chunk plays due to misalignment or breakdowns in pursuit. Special teams become another area of potential edge for Texas, as winning hidden yardage, pinning Arkansas deep, and capitalizing on any coverage mistakes can tilt momentum significantly in a matchup involving such contrasting strengths. Psychologically, Texas holds the advantage of expectation but must avoid complacency against an Arkansas squad capable of explosive swings; the Longhorns need a clean start, disciplined execution, and a commitment to playing their style rather than allowing the Razorbacks to dictate pace. If Texas controls possession, prevents Arkansas from creating rhythm, and converts red-zone opportunities into touchdowns rather than field goals, they are positioned to impose their identity and gradually squeeze the Razorbacks’ margin for error. Their defensive consistency, home-field edge, and ability to limit volatility give them a strong path to victory, particularly if the game remains structured rather than devolving into the kind of high-tempo shootout Arkansas prefers.

Arkansas vs Texas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Razorbacks and Longhorns play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Green over 48.5 Rushing Yards.

Arkansas vs Texas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Razorbacks and Longhorns and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors often put on Arkansas’s strength factors between a Razorbacks team going up against a possibly improved Longhorns team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Arkansas vs Texas picks, computer picks Razorbacks vs Longhorns, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Arkansas Betting Trends

Arkansas averages about 34.1 points per game but allows approximately 32.3 points per game, placing their defense among the less reliable nationally despite a productive offense.

Texas Betting Trends

Texas scores roughly 27.6 points per game and allows about 18.3 points per game, showing strong defensive metrics and moderate offensive output—making them consistently strong candidates to cover spreads at home.

Razorbacks vs. Longhorns Matchup Trends

Given Arkansas’s high-scoring offense and porous defense, and Texas’s strong defensive profile but middling offense, a few betting angles emerge: Texas as a favorite may offer value because they can suppress Arkansas’s scoring; the total may lean toward “under” if Texas controls pace and limits explosive plays; and Arkansas might offer value as an over-achiever on offense but remains risky given defensive liability.

Arkansas vs. Texas Game Info

November 22, 2025 • 4:30 PM EST • Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium

Arkansas vs. Texas Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Arkansas vs Texas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Arkansas vs Texas

Arkansas vs Texas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1300
-2800
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-135
+114
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-135
+114
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
O 66.5 (-112)
U 66.5 (-108)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+180
-218
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 59.5 (-105)
U 59.5 (-115)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-122
 
-1.5 (-112)
O 43.5 (-108)
U 43.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+400
-535
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-135
+114
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+150
-180
+4 (-112)
-4 (-108)
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+164
-198
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+164
-198
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
O 38.5 (+100)
U 38.5 (-120)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Longhorns on November 22, 2025 at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN