South Florida vs Navy Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 15)
Updated: 2025-11-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The South Florida Bulls travel to face the Navy Midshipmen on November 15, 2025 in a key American Athletic Conference matchup where both teams are jockeying for postseason positioning and conference relevance. Navy enters riding momentum from a breakout 2024 campaign, while USF aims to sustain its ascent in the AAC and prove it can win consistently away from home.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 15, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Navy - Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Midshipmen Record: (7-2)
Bulls Record: (7-2)
OPENING ODDS
SFLA Moneyline: -410
NAVY Moneyline: +318
SFLA Spread: -10.5
NAVY Spread: +10.5
Over/Under: 64.5
SFLA
Betting Trends
- South Florida has covered 5 of its last 7 games overall, and is 4-1 ATS in its last five road contests in AAC play.
NAVY
Betting Trends
- Navy is 3-1 ATS in its last four home games, and 7-2 ATS over its last nine contests at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- In matchups between these two programs, the total has gone over in 6 of the last 8 meetings, and Navy as a home underdog has covered 4 of the last 5 times—setting up the possibility of value on the Midshipmen at home and on the over in this game.
SFLA vs. NAVY
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Brown under 253.5 Passing Yards.
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South Florida vs Navy Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/15/25
The November 15, 2025, American Athletic Conference showdown between the South Florida Bulls and the Navy Midshipmen at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium presents an intriguing clash of philosophies—South Florida’s explosive, fast-paced offensive system against Navy’s methodical, grind-it-out triple-option attack. Both programs enter this late-season meeting with bowl aspirations and upward trajectories. South Florida, under third-year head coach Alex Golesh, has continued its rapid offensive development behind quarterback Byrum Brown, one of the AAC’s most dynamic dual-threat talents. Meanwhile, Navy, led by Brian Newberry, has transitioned smoothly from the traditional triple option to a modernized flex offense that incorporates more shotgun looks and play-action concepts while maintaining its signature ball-control identity. For South Florida, the key storyline has been the maturation of Brown as a leader and playmaker. He’s combined poise with creativity, posting over 2,500 total yards of offense this season and showcasing an ability to punish defenses both in the air and on the ground. The Bulls’ offense thrives on pace, tempo, and unpredictability, using spread formations to isolate matchups and stretch the field horizontally before attacking vertically. Wide receivers Naiem Simmons and Sean Atkins have flourished in this system, while running backs K’Wan Powell and Nay’Quan Wright add versatility and explosiveness to the backfield. However, the challenge against Navy’s disciplined defense lies in maintaining rhythm without self-inflicted setbacks. The Midshipmen pride themselves on forcing opponents into long drives, minimizing explosive plays, and dominating the clock. Their front seven, led by linebacker Colin Ramos and defensive lineman Donald Berniard Jr., ranks among the AAC’s best in third-down defense and tackles for loss. They thrive in controlling gaps and creating chaos at the line of scrimmage, which could disrupt USF’s zone-read timing and quick passing game. Navy’s offense, while not as flashy, is lethal in its own way.
Quarterback Blake Horvath directs a scheme built on deception, precision, and patience. The Midshipmen’s fullback rotation, featuring Alex Tecza and Dabe Fofana, sets the tone between the tackles, while slotbacks Eli Heidenreich and Brandon Chatman stretch the perimeter on pitches and motion sweeps. Horvath’s improved passing ability adds another dimension, allowing Navy to exploit overcommitted defenses with well-timed play-action shots downfield. The key for Navy will be maintaining drives and finishing them with points, keeping South Florida’s offense cold on the sidelines. Special teams could play an outsized role—Navy’s coverage units have been among the most consistent in the conference, while South Florida’s return game, led by Sean Atkins, has the potential to flip field position in a single play. From a betting perspective, Navy has thrived at home, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine games at Annapolis, while South Florida has covered in four of its last five road matchups—a testament to both teams’ competitiveness. The total trends toward the over, as six of the last eight meetings between these programs have featured high scoring due to contrasting tempos creating unpredictability. Ultimately, this game may come down to who dictates pace: if South Florida forces Navy to play from behind and into passing situations, the Bulls’ athleticism and tempo could take over. But if Navy controls time of possession and turns this into a war of attrition, their physicality and execution could smother USF’s rhythm. Expect a chess match of tempo and control, with Navy’s experience and home-field composure countered by South Florida’s explosiveness and playmaking upside. Whichever team wins the early-down battles and avoids turnovers is likely to emerge victorious in what promises to be one of the AAC’s most compelling November matchups.
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Your South Florida Bulls are ranked #24 in @cfbplayoff poll! 🐂#ComeToTheBay | #StayInTheBay pic.twitter.com/FsKNFOsTKa
— USF Football (@USFFootball) November 12, 2025
South Florida Bulls CFB Preview
The South Florida Bulls travel to Annapolis on November 15, 2025, seeking to prove that their resurgence under head coach Alex Golesh can translate to consistent road success against one of the American Athletic Conference’s most disciplined and frustrating opponents. After years of rebuilding, South Florida has transformed into a legitimate contender thanks to its explosive offensive identity and improved defense, led by quarterback Byrum Brown, one of the most dynamic dual-threat players in the conference. Brown’s blend of poise, arm strength, and elusiveness has become the cornerstone of USF’s attack. He’s accounted for more than 2,500 total yards of offense this season and has matured in his ability to read defenses, make quick decisions, and extend plays when protection breaks down. The Bulls’ offense revolves around tempo and space, using spread concepts to stretch the field horizontally and vertically, forcing defenses to defend every inch of grass. Wide receivers Naiem Simmons and Sean Atkins have become Brown’s most trusted targets—Simmons as a deep threat who can break open a defense in a single snap, and Atkins as a reliable possession receiver who thrives on slants, crossers, and yards after the catch. Running backs K’Wan Powell and Nay’Quan Wright round out a balanced attack that ranks among the AAC’s top units in total offense and scoring efficiency. Against Navy’s disciplined defense, South Florida’s biggest challenge will be sustaining drives without negative plays. The Midshipmen’s front seven rarely loses gap integrity, and they excel at forcing opponents into uncomfortable third-down situations. To combat that, Golesh will likely rely on quick passing concepts, pre-snap motion, and option reads that allow Brown to exploit mismatches rather than forcing him to operate under constant pressure.
The offensive line, which has steadily improved throughout the season, must play with precision—Navy’s defensive line isn’t the most physically imposing, but its stunts, slants, and blitz disguises routinely confuse opponents and disrupt timing. Defensively, South Florida’s unit remains a work in progress, but it’s far from the liability it was in previous years. The Bulls have improved their tackling efficiency and red-zone defense, holding opponents to field goals more frequently and creating turnovers at key moments. Linebacker Jhalyn Shuler and safety Daquan Evans anchor a defense that has embraced aggression, and while they’ve made strides, stopping Navy’s unique offense will demand heightened discipline. Assignment football—staying home on the option, sealing edges, and preventing chunk plays off misdirection—will be critical. The Bulls must avoid over-pursuit and force Navy into third-and-long situations, where its offense becomes less comfortable. Special teams could also prove pivotal, as USF’s return game has been electric this season, with Sean Atkins and Jimmy Horn Jr. providing explosive potential on punts and kickoffs. However, South Florida’s coverage units have shown occasional lapses that could be exploited if they fail to contain Navy’s returners. From a betting standpoint, USF enters this matchup with strong road momentum, having covered in four of its last five away games and five of its last seven overall. Their offensive explosiveness gives them the ability to stay competitive against any opponent, but consistency remains their Achilles’ heel—slow starts and drive-killing penalties have cost them in big spots. To pull off a win in Annapolis, the Bulls must play clean, efficient football: limit turnovers, capitalize on early possessions, and dictate tempo before Navy can grind down the clock. If Brown remains sharp and the offense executes at its usual pace, South Florida has the firepower to outscore Navy. But if the Bulls’ defense can’t get off the field or the offense fails to adapt to Navy’s physicality and methodical pace, their margin for error will shrink quickly. This matchup will test South Florida’s growth and maturity as a program—whether it’s ready to contend in the AAC or still learning to finish games against the league’s most disciplined foes.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Navy Midshipmen CFB Preview
The Navy Midshipmen return to Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium on November 15, 2025, determined to protect their home turf and reinforce their position as one of the American Athletic Conference’s most fundamentally sound and resilient teams. Under head coach Brian Newberry, the Midshipmen have successfully modernized their traditional triple-option offense into a more flexible, hybrid system that balances their trademark physicality with new-age spread and play-action concepts. This evolution has allowed Navy to keep its ground dominance while introducing enough unpredictability to keep defenses guessing. Quarterback Blake Horvath remains the catalyst for the offense, commanding one of college football’s most disciplined units. His ability to read defenses and make split-second decisions has elevated the Midshipmen’s execution, and his legs continue to be one of their most potent weapons. Horvath’s leadership and poise under pressure allow Navy to dictate tempo and grind defenses into exhaustion. Fullback Alex Tecza sets the tone between the tackles, running with power and precision, while slotbacks Eli Heidenreich and Brandon Chatman provide burst and agility on the edges. This combination creates a balanced attack that forces opponents to defend the entire width of the field, something South Florida’s defense—despite its improvement—will struggle to do for four quarters. Navy’s offensive line, led by veteran center Ben Buerlein, embodies the unit’s identity: disciplined, physical, and rarely penalized. Their chemistry and execution make them particularly effective in sustaining long drives, often chewing up half a quarter at a time. The Midshipmen’s offensive rhythm depends heavily on first-down efficiency; when they stay ahead of schedule, they control both the clock and the game’s momentum. Defensively, Navy has built a reputation for toughness and discipline, ranking near the top of the AAC in rushing defense and third-down stops. Coordinator P.J. Volker’s unit excels at gap integrity and tackling fundamentals, relying on strong communication rather than overwhelming athleticism.
Linebacker Colin Ramos anchors the defense with his instincts and pursuit, while defensive lineman Donald Berniard Jr. consistently disrupts blocking schemes and collapses pockets. In the secondary, cornerback Mbiti Williams and safety Rayuan Lane Jr. lead a veteran group that thrives in man coverage and opportunistic turnover creation. Against South Florida’s high-tempo offense, Navy’s defense will prioritize containment—keeping quarterback Byrum Brown from breaking outside the pocket and forcing him into checkdowns rather than deep strikes. Expect the Midshipmen to mix their coverages, occasionally sending pressure from disguised alignments to throw off USF’s timing. On special teams, Navy’s attention to detail is another strength. Punter Nathan Kent has been reliable in flipping field position, while kicker Evan Warren provides consistency inside 45 yards. Their return coverage remains among the best in the conference, rarely giving up big plays—a key advantage against South Florida’s dangerous return unit. The Midshipmen’s biggest intangible, however, lies in their culture. Playing in Annapolis has historically given Navy an emotional edge; their energy, precision, and crowd engagement often unsettle visiting teams not accustomed to their physical, relentless style. From a betting standpoint, Navy’s track record at home is impressive—they’ve gone 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games, routinely outperforming expectations against both ranked and unranked opponents. To secure another victory, Navy must execute its signature formula: win time of possession, limit turnovers, and capitalize on red-zone opportunities. If Horvath and the offense establish rhythm early, the Midshipmen’s methodical drives will keep South Florida’s high-powered attack off the field, gradually wearing them down as the game progresses. This is the kind of matchup that highlights Navy’s identity—discipline over flash, efficiency over explosiveness, and execution over chaos. If the Midshipmen stick to their game plan, their home-field edge and control-oriented approach could deliver another decisive win in front of their loyal Annapolis faithful.
Congrats to Landon for being named a Bednarik Award semi-finalist!#GoNavy | #RollGoats pic.twitter.com/NB5IedMQ2A
— Navy Football (@NavyFB) November 11, 2025
South Florida vs Navy Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Bulls and Midshipmen play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Navy - Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
South Florida vs Navy Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Bulls and Midshipmen and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Navy’s strength factors between a Bulls team going up against a possibly healthy Midshipmen team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI South Florida vs Navy picks, computer picks Bulls vs Midshipmen, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB | 12/5 | NOTEX@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
VAULT v4
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| CFB | 12/5 | UNLV@BOISE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| CFB | 12/5 | NOTEX@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
South Florida Betting Trends
South Florida has covered 5 of its last 7 games overall, and is 4-1 ATS in its last five road contests in AAC play.
Navy Betting Trends
Navy is 3-1 ATS in its last four home games, and 7-2 ATS over its last nine contests at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
Bulls vs. Midshipmen Matchup Trends
In matchups between these two programs, the total has gone over in 6 of the last 8 meetings, and Navy as a home underdog has covered 4 of the last 5 times—setting up the possibility of value on the Midshipmen at home and on the over in this game.
South Florida vs. Navy Game Info
South Florida vs Navy starts on November 15, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Venue: Navy - Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
Spread: Navy +10.5
Moneyline: South Florida -410, Navy +318
Over/Under: 64.5
South Florida: (7-2) | Navy: (7-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Brown under 253.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
In matchups between these two programs, the total has gone over in 6 of the last 8 meetings, and Navy as a home underdog has covered 4 of the last 5 times—setting up the possibility of value on the Midshipmen at home and on the over in this game.
SFLA trend: South Florida has covered 5 of its last 7 games overall, and is 4-1 ATS in its last five road contests in AAC play.
NAVY trend: Navy is 3-1 ATS in its last four home games, and 7-2 ATS over its last nine contests at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
South Florida vs. Navy Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the South Florida vs Navy trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| SFLA Moneyline | -410 |
|---|---|
| NAVY Moneyline | +318 |
| SFLA Spread | -10.5 |
| NAVY Spread | +10.5 |
| Over / Under | 64.5 |
South Florida vs Navy Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
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+1400
-3500
|
+23.5 (-104)
-23.5 (-118)
|
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
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–
–
|
-146
+124
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (-102)
|
O 61.5 (-106)
U 61.5 (-114)
|
|
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Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-118
+100
|
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
|
O 66.5 (-115)
U 66.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+180
-215
|
+5.5 (-106)
-5.5 (-114)
|
O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-124
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+380
-490
|
+12.5 (-114)
-12.5 (-106)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
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Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-124
+104
|
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
|
O 48.5 (-106)
U 48.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+152
-180
|
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+156
-186
|
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+172
-210
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers South Florida Bulls vs. Navy Midshipmen on November 15, 2025 at Navy - Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |