Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 15)
Updated: 2025-11-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Mississippi State Bulldogs travel to Columbia to face the Missouri Tigers on November 15, 2025, in an SEC clash that could have major bowl implications as both programs look to strengthen their postseason resumes. Missouri’s offensive firepower will be tested against Mississippi State’s physical defense in what shapes up as a battle of tempo, execution, and endurance in mid-November conference play.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 15, 2025
Start Time: 8:45 PM EST
Venue: Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field
Tigers Record: (6-3)
Bulldogs Record: (5-5)
OPENING ODDS
MISSST Moneyline: +220
MIZZOU Moneyline: -275
MISSST Spread: +7
MIZZOU Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 51.5
MISSST
Betting Trends
- Mississippi State has covered in five of its last nine games, with its defense keeping games close even when its offense struggles to find rhythm.
MIZZOU
Betting Trends
- Missouri has covered in seven of its last ten home contests, thriving at Faurot Field with an efficient passing attack and opportunistic defense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The under has hit in six of Mississippi State’s last nine games due to their slower offensive tempo, while Missouri has gone over in five of its last eight, capitalizing on its ability to score quickly and sustain long drives. This clash of styles makes the total line particularly intriguing for bettors.
MISSST vs. MIZZOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Hardy over 107.5 Rushing Yards.
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Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/15/25
The November 15, 2025, SEC matchup between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Missouri Tigers at Faurot Field sets the stage for a compelling late-season clash between two programs trending in different directions but both eyeing bowl eligibility and SEC relevance. Missouri, under head coach Eli Drinkwitz, has become one of the most efficient offensive teams in the conference, blending experience, precision, and balance, while Mississippi State continues to redefine its identity under Jeff Lebby, emphasizing a physical, defensive-minded approach combined with a more traditional offensive scheme. The Bulldogs’ season has been marked by defensive toughness and incremental offensive growth, with quarterback Chris Parson settling into his role as the starter. Parson’s mobility and improved pocket presence have given Mississippi State’s offense a dual-threat element, while running back Jo’Quavious Marks remains the engine of the ground game, providing consistency and reliability in both rushing and short passing situations. The Bulldogs’ offensive line, anchored by Nick Jones and Steven Losoya, has shown resilience, although facing Missouri’s front seven — led by defensive end Johnny Walker Jr. and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper — will be one of their toughest tests of the year. Defensively, Mississippi State’s strength lies in its front seven, where Nathan Pickering and Jaden Crumedy continue to wreak havoc, helping the Bulldogs rank near the top of the SEC in sacks and run defense. Their ability to contain Missouri quarterback Brady Cook will be pivotal, as Cook’s blend of accuracy and escapability has kept defenses on their heels all season.
Missouri’s offense, meanwhile, has become a model of efficiency. Cook, paired with dynamic wide receiver Luther Burden III, has elevated the Tigers’ aerial attack into one of the most potent in the league. Burden’s explosiveness after the catch and ability to win contested balls make him a nightmare matchup for opposing corners, while Theo Wease Jr. complements him with physicality and reliable route running. The Tigers’ offensive line, bolstered by Javon Foster, has protected Cook exceptionally well, allowing Drinkwitz to open up the playbook and maintain tempo. Running back Cody Schrader’s emergence as a consistent threat has given Missouri balance, making them difficult to defend in both phases. On defense, Missouri remains opportunistic, generating turnovers through an aggressive secondary led by Ennis Rakestraw Jr. and Daylan Carnell. They excel at pressuring quarterbacks into mistakes, something that could challenge Parson’s composure under duress. For Mississippi State, success hinges on ball control and red-zone execution — if Marks can establish the run early, it will keep Missouri’s high-powered offense on the sideline and shorten the game. Missouri, on the other hand, will look to attack early through the air and build a lead, forcing Mississippi State to play from behind — a position that has exposed the Bulldogs’ offensive limitations in past matchups. Special teams may also influence the outcome, with Missouri kicker Harrison Mevis’ range providing a distinct advantage in a close game. Ultimately, Missouri’s offensive rhythm and home-field advantage make them the favorites to extend their winning streak in Columbia. Prediction: Missouri 31, Mississippi State 20 — the Tigers’ precision passing and defensive pressure prove too much for a scrappy but inconsistent Bulldogs squad still searching for balance on both sides of the ball.
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#STATEtoSundays: Week 10 Update
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) November 11, 2025
‣ @emmanuelforbes7 – Back-to-back games with a pick for @RamsNFL.
‣ @_sweat9 – 1.5 sacks and two QB hurries for the @ChicagoBears.
‣ @WillieGayJr – First sack of the season and earned the @MiamiDolphins top pressure grade.
‣…
Mississippi State Bulldogs CFB Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs enter their November 15, 2025, road matchup against the Missouri Tigers looking to prove that their physical, defense-oriented identity can travel against one of the SEC’s most efficient offensive teams. Under second-year head coach Jeff Lebby, the Bulldogs have steadily transitioned from the late Mike Leach’s Air Raid to a more balanced attack that emphasizes the running game, time of possession, and a sturdy defensive foundation. Quarterback Chris Parson continues to grow into his role as the team’s offensive leader, bringing mobility and leadership to an offense that has experienced growing pains but shown flashes of balance. Parson’s ability to extend plays and keep defenses honest with his legs gives the Bulldogs flexibility, while running back Jo’Quavious Marks remains their most reliable weapon. Marks’ vision and patience have been critical to sustaining drives, especially behind a physical offensive line anchored by veterans Nick Jones and Steven Losoya. Expect Lebby to lean heavily on Marks early to control tempo and neutralize Missouri’s pass rush. On the perimeter, wideouts Zavion Thomas and Creed Whittemore provide explosive potential, though consistency remains an area of focus. For Mississippi State, maintaining offensive rhythm will depend on limiting penalties and avoiding long-yardage situations, as Missouri’s defense thrives when forcing teams into obvious passing downs. Defensively, the Bulldogs have reestablished themselves as one of the most physical units in the SEC.
Defensive coordinator Matt Brock’s front seven — led by linemen Nathan Pickering and Deonte Anderson — has anchored one of the conference’s stingiest run defenses, and linebacker Jett Johnson continues to be the emotional leader, excelling in pursuit and gap discipline. The Bulldogs’ defense has been particularly effective in red-zone situations, forcing opponents to settle for field goals rather than touchdowns. However, facing Missouri quarterback Brady Cook and dynamic receiver Luther Burden III presents a significant challenge. Burden’s combination of strength and agility after the catch could stress Mississippi State’s secondary, which will need standout performances from corners Decamerion Richardson and Hunter Washington to contain big plays. The key for Mississippi State’s defense will be pressure — if the Bulldogs can collapse the pocket and force Cook off-script, they can create turnovers and keep the game within reach. Special teams may also prove pivotal, as kicker Kyle Ferrie’s consistency from midrange could provide vital points in what’s expected to be a defensive slugfest early. For Mississippi State to pull off the upset, ball control and situational execution will be paramount. Expect Lebby to rely on short, controlled passing concepts to complement the ground game, aiming to shorten possessions and keep Missouri’s high-tempo offense off the field. The Bulldogs have covered in five of their last nine games, a testament to their defensive grit and ability to keep games close even as underdogs. However, to win in Columbia, they’ll need a near-perfect performance: efficient quarterback play, strong trench control, and opportunistic defense. Prediction: Missouri 31, Mississippi State 20 — the Bulldogs’ defense fights valiantly, but the offense struggles to match Missouri’s pace, leading to a competitive yet decisive result that highlights the team’s progress and remaining offensive gaps under Lebby’s new system.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Missouri Tigers CFB Preview
The Missouri Tigers return home to Faurot Field on November 15, 2025, riding the confidence of another strong season under head coach Eli Drinkwitz, and they enter this matchup against Mississippi State with their eyes on maintaining SEC contention and a potential New Year’s Six bowl push. Missouri’s rise under Drinkwitz has been built on balance and discipline — an explosive yet efficient offense paired with a defense that thrives on aggression and opportunism. Quarterback Brady Cook remains the heart of the Tigers’ offensive machine, continuing his steady growth as one of the conference’s most reliable signal-callers. Cook’s composure and accuracy have elevated Missouri’s aerial attack, and his connection with star receiver Luther Burden III gives the Tigers a game-breaking weapon who can score from anywhere on the field. Burden’s blend of physicality and yards-after-catch ability makes him a constant mismatch, while Theo Wease Jr. adds size and veteran savvy to complement him on the perimeter. Tight end Brett Norfleet has also emerged as a reliable red-zone target, giving Cook multiple options when Missouri’s passing game stretches defenses thin. The offensive line, anchored by stalwart left tackle Javon Foster, has been a cornerstone of Missouri’s success — protecting Cook and paving the way for running back Cody Schrader, whose blend of toughness and vision has made him one of the SEC’s most productive backs. Schrader’s consistency allows the Tigers to stay balanced, mixing in inside zone runs with well-timed play-action passes that keep defenses guessing. On defense, Missouri continues to thrive under coordinator Blake Baker, fielding one of the most aggressive units in the conference.
The Tigers’ front seven, led by edge rusher Johnny Walker Jr. and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, has excelled at generating pressure and disrupting backfields. This relentless pursuit has been the key to their success, forcing turnovers and giving the offense short fields to capitalize on. The secondary, anchored by cornerbacks Ennis Rakestraw Jr. and Kris Abrams-Draine, remains a strength, with both capable of blanketing receivers in man coverage and contesting throws downfield. Against Mississippi State’s new-look offense, Missouri’s defense will look to contain running back Jo’Quavious Marks and force quarterback Chris Parson into hurried decisions. Expect Baker to dial up pressure early, testing the Bulldogs’ offensive line and disrupting their rhythm. Missouri’s defense also excels at situational football, ranking among the SEC’s best in third-down stops and red-zone efficiency, traits that could prove decisive against a methodical, ball-control team like Mississippi State. On special teams, kicker Harrison Mevis remains a game-changing weapon, with range and accuracy that can swing tight contests. Missouri’s home-field advantage cannot be understated — the Tigers have covered in seven of their last ten home games, feeding off the energy of a crowd that has helped make Faurot Field one of the toughest places to play in the SEC. To secure victory, Missouri will focus on starting fast, forcing Mississippi State to play from behind, and using its superior offensive tempo to wear down the Bulldogs’ front seven. Drinkwitz’s offense is designed to punish defensive fatigue, and with Cook’s confidence and Burden’s explosiveness, the Tigers are well-positioned to control the game’s flow from start to finish. Prediction: Missouri 34, Mississippi State 17 — the Tigers’ balanced offense and home-field dominance overwhelm a scrappy but overmatched Bulldogs team, as Missouri’s precision and poise keep them firmly in the SEC’s upper tier heading into the final stretch of the season.
Saluting to service. Celebrating the Seniors. Protecting our home.
— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) November 10, 2025
🆚 Mississippi State
🗓️ Saturday, Nov. 15th
⏰ 6:45 p.m. CT
📺 @SECNetwork #MIZ | #STP pic.twitter.com/crQLt5euoi
Mississippi State vs Missouri Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Tigers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Bulldogs and Tigers and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on Mississippi State’s strength factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly deflated Tigers team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Mississippi State vs Missouri picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Tigers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Mississippi State Betting Trends
Mississippi State has covered in five of its last nine games, with its defense keeping games close even when its offense struggles to find rhythm.
Missouri Betting Trends
Missouri has covered in seven of its last ten home contests, thriving at Faurot Field with an efficient passing attack and opportunistic defense.
Bulldogs vs. Tigers Matchup Trends
The under has hit in six of Mississippi State’s last nine games due to their slower offensive tempo, while Missouri has gone over in five of its last eight, capitalizing on its ability to score quickly and sustain long drives. This clash of styles makes the total line particularly intriguing for bettors.
Mississippi State vs. Missouri Game Info
Mississippi State vs Missouri starts on November 15, 2025 at 8:45 PM EST.
Venue: Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field.
Spread: Missouri -7.0
Moneyline: Mississippi State +220, Missouri -275
Over/Under: 51.5
Mississippi State: (5-5) | Missouri: (6-3)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Hardy over 107.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The under has hit in six of Mississippi State’s last nine games due to their slower offensive tempo, while Missouri has gone over in five of its last eight, capitalizing on its ability to score quickly and sustain long drives. This clash of styles makes the total line particularly intriguing for bettors.
MISSST trend: Mississippi State has covered in five of its last nine games, with its defense keeping games close even when its offense struggles to find rhythm.
MIZZOU trend: Missouri has covered in seven of its last ten home contests, thriving at Faurot Field with an efficient passing attack and opportunistic defense.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Mississippi State vs. Missouri Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Mississippi State vs Missouri trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| MISSST Moneyline | +220 |
|---|---|
| MIZZOU Moneyline | -275 |
| MISSST Spread | +7 |
| MIZZOU Spread | -7.0 |
| Over / Under | 51.5 |
Mississippi State vs Missouri Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1200
-2500
|
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-136
+116
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-132
+112
|
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
|
O 66.5 (-115)
U 66.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+180
-215
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 58.5 (-115)
U 58.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-132
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+385
-500
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-134
+114
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-106)
U 48.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+156
-186
|
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+156
-186
|
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-114)
U 47.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+172
-210
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers on November 15, 2025 at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |