Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 15)
Updated: 2025-11-08T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kansas State Wildcats (4-5) visit the Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-8) on November 15, 2025 in Stillwater for a Big 12 matchup where Kansas State aims to salvage bowl eligibility, while Oklahoma State battles through a historically difficult season. The Wildcats are favored by approximately 18.5 points with the total set near 54, reflecting both Oklahoma State’s struggles and Kansas State’s need for momentum.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 15, 2025
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium
Cowboys Record: (1-8)
Wildcats Record: (4-5)
OPENING ODDS
KSTATE Moneyline: -1408
OKLAST Moneyline: +790
KSTATE Spread: -19.5
OKLAST Spread: +19.5
Over/Under: 52.5
KSTATE
Betting Trends
- Kansas State enters this contest at 4-5 overall; while specific ATS breakdowns are less publicized, their recent performance (e.g., loss 20-43 to Texas Tech) suggests vulnerabilities when favored on the road.
OKLAST
Betting Trends
- Oklahoma State sits at 1-8 this season, averaging only 15.2 points per game and allowing 38.8 points per game, making them one of the weakest ATS teams in the Big 12 context.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Kansas State holds a strong head-to-head advantage in this series, yet the large spread could make the Wildcats vulnerable to a cover miss if they play flat; conversely, Oklahoma State’s desperation and the home crowd may offer value to the underdog, though the talent gap is significant.
KSTATE vs. OKLAST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Johnson under 59.5 Rushing Yards.
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Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/15/25
The November 15, 2025, Big 12 clash between the Kansas State Wildcats and the Oklahoma State Cowboys in Stillwater is shaping up as a game of contrasting trajectories, with Kansas State fighting to stay in the bowl conversation while Oklahoma State looks to salvage pride in a season that has gone completely off the rails. The Wildcats, sitting at 4-5, have shown flashes of quality football under head coach Chris Klieman but have struggled to put together a complete performance against conference competition. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, with a strong start followed by defensive breakdowns and uneven offensive execution in recent weeks. Quarterback Avery Johnson remains the centerpiece of Kansas State’s offense, bringing dynamic dual-threat ability that gives defenses fits both through the air and on the ground. He’s thrown for over 1,800 yards and rushed for nearly 500, accounting for a majority of the Wildcats’ offensive production. Johnson’s athleticism has been complemented by a ground game anchored by DJ Giddens, whose physical running style and burst between the tackles help control tempo and wear down opposing defenses. Kansas State’s offensive line, typically a team strength, will be tested against Oklahoma State’s aggressive but inconsistent defensive front. The Wildcats’ goal will be to establish dominance early through the run and play-action game while maintaining balance to keep the Cowboys off guard. Defensively, Kansas State has allowed nearly 28 points per game, which underscores their biggest issue this season—surrendering explosive plays, particularly against spread-style offenses. Their secondary has struggled at times with communication and coverage assignments, something Oklahoma State may try to exploit through tempo and quick reads.
That said, the Wildcats’ front seven remains a solid unit, led by linebacker Austin Romaine and defensive end Khalid Duke, both of whom have excelled in stopping the run and collapsing pockets. Against Oklahoma State’s struggling offense, which averages just 15 points per game, Kansas State’s defense should have the upper hand, provided they avoid early letdowns or giving up big plays on broken coverage. For the Cowboys, this season has been nothing short of a nightmare. Sitting at 1-8, Oklahoma State has dealt with instability following the departure of longtime coach Mike Gundy and the challenges of rebuilding under interim leadership. The offense has lacked cohesion, ranking near the bottom of the Big 12 in both scoring and total yardage, while the defense has been one of the conference’s weakest, allowing nearly 39 points per contest. Quarterback Zane Flores has shown flashes of promise but lacks consistent protection, leading to turnovers and stalled drives. If there’s a silver lining, it’s the home-field advantage of Boone Pickens Stadium, where Oklahoma State’s fans remain loyal even during down years, and that emotional lift could help them start fast. For Kansas State, the key will be avoiding complacency. The Wildcats are a heavy favorite, with the line hovering around -18.5 and the total near 54, but their uneven road performances this season make bettors wary of a full cover. From a strategic standpoint, Kansas State will look to build an early lead, lean on its rushing attack, and allow Johnson to manage the game efficiently without forcing plays. Oklahoma State will aim to slow the pace, control possession, and rely on defense to keep things close long enough to have a shot in the fourth quarter. The Wildcats’ balanced attack and superior talent, however, make them the clear favorite to dictate the flow. Expect Kansas State to start methodically before pulling away as the game progresses, using physicality in the trenches and superior depth to exploit a depleted Oklahoma State roster. While the Cowboys may play with heart at home, the Wildcats’ overall efficiency and experience should carry them comfortably to victory, keeping their postseason hopes alive while deepening Oklahoma State’s season of frustration.
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WEEK 12
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) November 10, 2025
🔗 https://t.co/rkkdJJVHsQ pic.twitter.com/YA8EESMmj4
Kansas State Wildcats CFB Preview
The Kansas State Wildcats travel to Stillwater on November 15, 2025, with their postseason hopes hanging in the balance and a sense of urgency to reestablish consistency after an uneven stretch of Big 12 play. Sitting at 4-5, the Wildcats have shown glimpses of the dominant, physical football they are known for under head coach Chris Klieman, but their inability to string together complete performances has kept them from climbing into bowl contention. Their offense, led by sophomore quarterback Avery Johnson, remains their most dangerous weapon. Johnson has developed into one of the conference’s most dynamic dual-threat signal callers, passing for more than 1,800 yards and rushing for nearly 500, making him a nightmare for defenses that struggle to contain mobility. His composure and playmaking ability are complemented by running back DJ Giddens, whose powerful downhill style and patience between the tackles help balance Kansas State’s offensive approach. The Wildcats average just under 30 points per game and have been efficient when they protect the football, ranking among the Big 12’s best in red-zone scoring percentage. Their offensive line—long a staple of Klieman’s system—remains solid but has shown moments of inconsistency in pass protection, something they must clean up against an Oklahoma State defense that, while statistically poor, still boasts disruptive playmakers capable of forcing turnovers. Expect Kansas State to focus on controlling tempo and field position early, using long, methodical drives to wear down the Cowboys’ front seven.
Defensively, Kansas State’s issues have centered on inconsistency and lapses in the secondary, but their front seven continues to perform at a high level. Linebackers Austin Romaine and Daniel Green are reliable tacklers with strong field vision, while defensive end Khalid Duke anchors a pass rush that has been effective in generating pressure without overcommitting blitzes. The Wildcats have allowed nearly 28 points per game, a number inflated by explosive plays allowed in conference matchups, but their fundamentals and gap discipline should give them a significant edge against a struggling Oklahoma State offense averaging just 15 points per game. Kansas State’s defense thrives when they control the line of scrimmage and can dictate down-and-distance scenarios, forcing opponents into predictable passing situations. That strategy should work well against the Cowboys’ offensive line, which has struggled to protect its quarterback and establish any consistency in the run game. On special teams, Kansas State remains one of the most fundamentally sound teams in the conference, with kicker Chris Tennant providing range and reliability, while the return units have consistently flipped field position throughout the season. From a betting perspective, Kansas State enters as an 18.5-point favorite, but the real challenge will be maintaining focus in a hostile road environment against a desperate opponent. The Wildcats are 2-3 ATS away from home this season, often allowing inferior teams to hang around due to slow starts and mid-game lulls. Klieman’s message this week will center on urgency—execute early, avoid turnovers, and play to their identity of physical, complementary football. If Johnson can avoid mistakes, Giddens establishes control on the ground, and the defense contains Oklahoma State’s limited offensive threats, Kansas State should have no trouble walking out of Stillwater with a convincing win. However, complacency could be their greatest enemy. For the Wildcats to keep their postseason hopes alive, they’ll need to treat this game not as a mismatch, but as a must-win test of discipline, maturity, and consistency—three areas that will determine whether this program finishes 2025 strong or fades into another year of missed potential.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Oklahoma State Cowboys CFB Preview
The Oklahoma State Cowboys return to Boone Pickens Stadium on November 15, 2025, desperate for something positive to salvage from what has been a nightmare season. Sitting at 1-8, the Cowboys have endured one of their most difficult campaigns in decades, marked by coaching turmoil, inconsistent quarterback play, and an alarming lack of production on both sides of the ball. Interim leadership has struggled to stabilize a program that not long ago was a Big 12 contender, and with bowl hopes long gone, this matchup against Kansas State represents an opportunity for pride, growth, and a chance to play spoiler. Offensively, Oklahoma State’s identity has been all but lost this season. They are averaging just 15.2 points per game, ranking near the bottom nationally, and their offensive line has been unable to provide consistent protection or push in the run game. Quarterback Zane Flores, who has shown flashes of promise, has faced constant pressure and has often been forced into hurried throws, contributing to turnovers and stalled drives. The running game, once a hallmark of Oklahoma State’s balanced offense, has been stagnant, averaging under 100 yards per contest behind a patchwork line. Ollie Gordon II, the reigning Doak Walker winner from 2023, has been one of the few bright spots when healthy, but his impact has been limited by poor blocking and game scripts that quickly force the Cowboys to abandon the run. The wide receiver corps, led by Brennan Presley and Jaden Bray, remains capable of producing big plays, but a lack of rhythm at quarterback and inefficiency on third down have made those opportunities rare. To have any hope against Kansas State, Oklahoma State must find ways to manufacture offense through tempo, quick passes, and misdirection to neutralize the Wildcats’ defensive front.
Defensively, the Cowboys’ issues have been just as severe. They have surrendered nearly 39 points per game, ranking among the worst in the Big 12, and their inability to stop the run has been particularly costly. The front seven, led by defensive lineman Collin Oliver and linebacker Nick Martin, has struggled with tackling consistency and gap integrity. The secondary, though athletic, has given up too many explosive plays due to missed assignments and poor communication, a problem Kansas State’s balanced attack is poised to exploit. The Cowboys’ defense will need to adopt a bend-but-don’t-break mentality, forcing field goals instead of touchdowns and relying on takeaways to keep the game competitive. Patience and discipline will be key—Oklahoma State can’t afford to overcommit to stopping the run only to be burned by play action from Avery Johnson and the Wildcats’ passing attack. Special teams have also been inconsistent this year, though kicker Alex Hale has been dependable when given opportunities. At home, the Cowboys will look to channel the energy of their fans in Stillwater, where they have historically played tough even as underdogs. That home-field advantage could help them hang around early if they can generate early defensive stops and avoid turnovers. However, given their season-long struggles, the margin for error is minimal. From a betting standpoint, Oklahoma State enters as a sizable underdog, nearly +19, but their position as a home team in a rivalry-tinged matchup could make them a sneaky ATS play if they manage to keep the game within two scores. To do so, they’ll need a clean start, effective clock management, and a defense that can create short fields through turnovers. This game may not hold postseason significance, but it carries symbolic weight for a proud program seeking a turning point amid turmoil. If the Cowboys can compete for four quarters, show fight, and make Kansas State earn every yard, it could mark the beginning of rebuilding credibility heading into the 2026 season. For a program defined for years by grit and toughness, this game is less about standings and more about rediscovering identity in front of their home crowd.
Justin Blackmon at Oklahoma State:
— OSU Cowboy Football (@CowboyFB) November 11, 2025
🤠 2x Biletnikoff Award winner
🤠 2x Unanimous All-American
🤠 OSU record holder for single season receiving yards, receptions & receiving touchdowns pic.twitter.com/p4AljCAFrW
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Wildcats and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Boone Pickens Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Wildcats and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors often put on Oklahoma State’s strength factors between a Wildcats team going up against a possibly rested Cowboys team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kansas State vs Oklahoma State picks, computer picks Wildcats vs Cowboys, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Kansas State Betting Trends
Kansas State enters this contest at 4-5 overall; while specific ATS breakdowns are less publicized, their recent performance (e.g., loss 20-43 to Texas Tech) suggests vulnerabilities when favored on the road.
Oklahoma State Betting Trends
Oklahoma State sits at 1-8 this season, averaging only 15.2 points per game and allowing 38.8 points per game, making them one of the weakest ATS teams in the Big 12 context.
Wildcats vs. Cowboys Matchup Trends
Kansas State holds a strong head-to-head advantage in this series, yet the large spread could make the Wildcats vulnerable to a cover miss if they play flat; conversely, Oklahoma State’s desperation and the home crowd may offer value to the underdog, though the talent gap is significant.
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Game Info
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State starts on November 15, 2025 at 1:00 PM EST.
Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium.
Spread: Oklahoma State +19.5
Moneyline: Kansas State -1408, Oklahoma State +790
Over/Under: 52.5
Kansas State: (4-5) | Oklahoma State: (1-8)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Johnson under 59.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Kansas State holds a strong head-to-head advantage in this series, yet the large spread could make the Wildcats vulnerable to a cover miss if they play flat; conversely, Oklahoma State’s desperation and the home crowd may offer value to the underdog, though the talent gap is significant.
KSTATE trend: Kansas State enters this contest at 4-5 overall; while specific ATS breakdowns are less publicized, their recent performance (e.g., loss 20-43 to Texas Tech) suggests vulnerabilities when favored on the road.
OKLAST trend: Oklahoma State sits at 1-8 this season, averaging only 15.2 points per game and allowing 38.8 points per game, making them one of the weakest ATS teams in the Big 12 context.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma State Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Kansas State vs Oklahoma State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
| KSTATE Moneyline | -1408 |
|---|---|
| OKLAST Moneyline | +790 |
| KSTATE Spread | -19.5 |
| OKLAST Spread | +19.5 |
| Over / Under | 52.5 |
Kansas State vs Oklahoma State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1300
-2500
|
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-136
+116
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
|
O 66.5 (-115)
U 66.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+184
-220
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 58.5 (-115)
U 58.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-132
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+430
-560
|
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-134
+114
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-106)
U 48.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+156
-186
|
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+158
-188
|
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-114)
U 47.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+172
-210
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys on November 15, 2025 at Boone Pickens Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |