Kent State vs Ball State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 05)
Updated: 2025-10-29T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
On November 5, 2025, the Kent State Golden Flashes will travel to face the Ball State Cardinals in a Mid-American Conference matchup that pits a program in rebuilding mode against one looking to reclaim competitive relevance. Kent State enters with major struggles on offense and defense, while Ball State hopes to leverage its recent dominance in the series and home-field edge to secure a key conference win.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Nov 05, 2025
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Scheumann Stadium
Cardinals Record: (3-5)
Golden Flashes Record: (3-5)
OPENING ODDS
KENT Moneyline: +105
BALLST Moneyline: -126
KENT Spread: +1.5
BALLST Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 46.5
KENT
Betting Trends
- Kent State has struggled this year, with an offense averaging just 18.6 points per game and a defense allowing 36.5 points per game. Their ATS performance is likely weak though exact cover rate data is limited.
BALLST
Betting Trends
- Ball State has the historical edge in this matchup with 24 wins against Kent State’s 8 in head-to-head history. However, specific ATS cover percentage for 2025 is not widely published, making precise evaluation difficult.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The head-to-head record strongly favors Ball State, which may suggest they often cover this matchup. However, the lack of clear recent ATS data for both teams injects uncertainty. The fact that Kent State’s offense is among the lowest in the conference while Ball State has the historical edge means bettors will need to dig into situational factors (injuries, recent form, turnovers) rather than rely purely on past averages.
KENT vs. BALLST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Kelly under 160.5 Passing Yards.
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Kent State vs Ball State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/5/25
The November 5, 2025 matchup between the Kent State Golden Flashes and the Ball State Cardinals at Scheumann Stadium is a battle between two struggling MAC programs trying to salvage pride and momentum in the final stretch of the season. Both teams enter with losing records and inconsistent play, but the context of this game goes beyond wins and losses—it’s about resilience, growth, and proving progress in a conference defined by parity. Kent State, still in the early stages of rebuilding under head coach Mark Carney, has endured a difficult campaign, marked by offensive inefficiency and defensive lapses that have kept them from closing out winnable games. The Golden Flashes average just 18.6 points per game, ranking near the bottom nationally, while allowing an alarming 36.5 points per contest. Their offense has struggled to sustain drives, convert on third downs, or finish red-zone opportunities, often forcing their defense into extended snaps that compound fatigue and breakdowns in coverage. Quarterback Tommy Ulatowski, who has shown flashes of promise with his mobility and composure, needs to deliver his most efficient performance of the season if Kent State hopes to compete. His connection with wideout Chrishon McCray and tight end Max MacNamara will be critical in establishing rhythm, while the ground game—led by running back Gavin Garcia—must find traction early to prevent Ball State’s front seven from teeing off on passing downs. Defensively, Kent State must focus on limiting explosive plays, especially in the run game, where Ball State has found some success controlling tempo.
The Golden Flashes’ defensive front, anchored by lineman C.J. West, must win early downs and generate interior pressure to disrupt Ball State’s rhythm. The challenge will be stopping the Cardinals’ balanced attack, which has thrived when able to dictate pace through a combination of steady rushing and short passing sequences. For Ball State, head coach Mike Neu’s team has struggled with consistency but remains competitive in spurts. The Cardinals have a veteran-led offense with quarterback Kiael Kelly managing the system effectively, while running back Marquez Cooper provides a workhorse presence capable of wearing down defenses late in games. Their offensive identity relies on establishing the run and using play action to stretch defenses—something they’ll look to exploit against a Kent State secondary that has surrendered chunk plays throughout the season. Defensively, Ball State’s unit has shown flashes of toughness but has also been vulnerable against tempo offenses, allowing opponents to convert at a high rate in critical situations. In this game, the Cardinals’ defensive front, led by Tavion Woodard, will be tasked with containing Kent State’s running game and forcing Ulatowski into third-and-long scenarios, where their secondary can tighten coverage and look for turnovers. Ball State’s path to victory will depend on controlling time of possession, minimizing penalties, and capitalizing on field position—an area where their special teams have been a strength. From a betting perspective, Ball State’s historical dominance in this series (24 wins to Kent’s 8) and home-field advantage make them the safer pick, though both teams’ volatility against the spread adds uncertainty. Kent State’s offensive struggles make it difficult to back them confidently, yet their ability to hang around against similar opponents suggests they could cover if they avoid turnovers. Ultimately, this matchup will come down to who executes cleaner football—turnover margin, red-zone conversion, and third-down efficiency will determine the outcome. Expect Ball State to lean on experience and physicality to pull ahead late, but Kent State’s effort and incremental growth could make this closer than expected in what should be a gritty, low-scoring MAC contest.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
The Golden Flashes will take on TSDTR at 7:30 on ESPNU pic.twitter.com/0kx1QV4Od9
— Kent State Football (@KentStFootball) November 3, 2025
Kent State Golden Flashes CFB Preview
The Kent State Golden Flashes enter their November 5, 2025 matchup against the Ball State Cardinals in desperate need of a breakthrough performance to validate a season marked by incremental progress but limited results. Under first-year head coach Mark Carney, the Golden Flashes have shown flashes of promise and improved competitiveness compared to last year’s struggles, but the core issues remain evident—an anemic offense, inconsistent execution, and a defense that has struggled to keep opponents from dictating tempo. Kent State’s offense ranks near the bottom of the FBS, averaging just 18.6 points per game, while allowing 36.5 on defense, a disparity that has left them playing from behind far too often. Quarterback Tommy Ulatowski has displayed leadership and mobility, but his production has been hampered by an offensive line that has allowed too much pressure and a receiving corps still searching for consistency. Still, Ulatowski’s poise and willingness to take hits to extend plays have earned him credibility in the locker room, and his chemistry with receiver Chrishon McCray provides the offense with its best big-play potential. Running back Gavin Garcia will be pivotal in this matchup, as Kent State’s best path to victory lies in establishing a functional run game to control the clock and keep Ball State’s offense off the field. If Garcia can find lanes early, it could open up opportunities for play-action passes and manageable third downs, areas where Kent has struggled all year.
The offensive line’s ability to protect Ulatowski and limit negative plays will determine whether the Golden Flashes can sustain drives or continue their pattern of stalling out in scoring position. Defensively, Kent State must deliver its most disciplined effort of the season. The unit, led by lineman C.J. West and linebacker Antwaine Richardson, will be tasked with slowing down Ball State’s balanced attack that features a steady rushing game and a capable quarterback in Kiael Kelly. The Golden Flashes must prioritize gap integrity and tackling fundamentals—missed tackles have plagued them in key moments all season. Against a Ball State team that thrives on long, grinding drives, Kent cannot afford mental lapses or blown coverages that lead to explosive plays. Expect Kent State to mix coverages and bring occasional pressure in an effort to disrupt Kelly’s timing and force turnovers, as their best chance to stay competitive lies in creating short fields for their offense. Special teams will also play a key role; kicker Andrew Glass has been reliable from mid-range, and the return game has shown signs of life in recent weeks. From a betting perspective, Kent State’s poor record against the spread reflects their inability to sustain offensive drives, but as a road underdog in conference play, they have been slightly more competitive, often keeping games within a couple of possessions. Their motivation level should be high in this one, as the team has embraced a developmental mindset centered on progress and effort. For Kent State to pull off an upset, they must play turnover-free football, convert in the red zone, and control the pace through physical running and ball security. The formula is straightforward but execution has been elusive—if Ulatowski can avoid sacks, the defense can force at least two takeaways, and the offense can sustain long drives, the Golden Flashes could finally deliver a statement win. Otherwise, it risks being another long night defined by missed chances and the growing pains of a program still finding its identity.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Ball State Cardinals CFB Preview
The Ball State Cardinals return to Scheumann Stadium on November 5, 2025, looking to seize an important conference victory and continue their historical dominance over Kent State in what has been a one-sided Mid-American Conference rivalry. Head coach Mike Neu’s team has endured an uneven season defined by flashes of promise mixed with inconsistency, but this matchup presents an opportunity to build momentum against a struggling Kent State squad that has yet to find its rhythm on either side of the ball. The Cardinals enter this game knowing they hold a commanding 24–8 all-time advantage in the series, and that confidence, paired with the familiarity of home field, gives them an immediate edge. Offensively, Ball State’s identity centers around a balanced attack designed to control tempo and wear opponents down. Quarterback Kiael Kelly has been steady in recent weeks, showing growth in his decision-making and an improved connection with his receiving corps. Wideouts Malcolm Gillie and Ty Robinson have become reliable targets, while tight end Brady Hunt provides an additional threat over the middle, particularly in red-zone situations. On the ground, running back Marquez Cooper serves as the team’s tone-setter. His physical, downhill running style has allowed Ball State to sustain long drives and open up play-action opportunities for Kelly to exploit defenses vertically. Against Kent State’s defense—which ranks near the bottom of the FBS in points allowed per game—Cooper and the offensive line should find favorable matchups, particularly between the tackles, where the Golden Flashes have struggled to maintain gap discipline. Expect the Cardinals to rely on early-down success, controlling possession and forcing Kent State to play from behind. Defensively, Ball State’s strategy will focus on containment and pressure.
The unit, led by edge rusher Tavion Woodard and linebacker Sidney Houston Jr., must disrupt Kent State’s offensive flow and prevent quarterback Tommy Ulatowski from using his mobility to extend plays. The Golden Flashes have struggled to protect the football this season, and forcing turnovers will be a point of emphasis for the Cardinals. In the secondary, Ball State’s defenders must stay disciplined against Kent’s short-to-intermediate passing game, which often looks to move the chains methodically rather than create big plays. If the Cardinals’ defensive front can generate consistent pressure without overcommitting blitz packages, it should limit Kent State’s scoring chances and help Ball State dictate field position. Special teams could also tilt the balance in Ball State’s favor. Kicker Jackson Courville has been dependable in tight games, and the return unit, led by Jalen Royal, has been one of the most efficient in the MAC this season. The key for Ball State will be maintaining composure and finishing drives—an area that has cost them in close contests this year. From a betting perspective, Ball State’s inconsistent ATS performance has mirrored its on-field results, but their home-field advantage and superior roster depth make them the clear favorite. To cover the spread and win convincingly, the Cardinals must avoid turnovers, stay balanced offensively, and control both lines of scrimmage. This matchup offers a prime opportunity for Ball State to reinforce its reputation as a tough, physical team capable of closing strong in November. If Kelly remains efficient, Cooper establishes the ground game early, and the defense continues its recent improvement, Ball State should be able to assert control and secure a comfortable win in front of its home fans, keeping Kent State winless in Muncie for yet another season.
Game week! Midweek #MACtion is here.
— Ball State Football (@BallStateFB) November 3, 2025
Ready for Wednesday 😤 pic.twitter.com/0RhC451SRS
Kent State vs Ball State Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Golden Flashes and Cardinals play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Scheumann Stadium in Nov rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Kent State vs Ball State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Golden Flashes and Cardinals and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Kent State’s strength factors between a Golden Flashes team going up against a possibly improved Cardinals team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Kent State vs Ball State picks, computer picks Golden Flashes vs Cardinals, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Kent State Betting Trends
Kent State has struggled this year, with an offense averaging just 18.6 points per game and a defense allowing 36.5 points per game. Their ATS performance is likely weak though exact cover rate data is limited.
Ball State Betting Trends
Ball State has the historical edge in this matchup with 24 wins against Kent State’s 8 in head-to-head history. However, specific ATS cover percentage for 2025 is not widely published, making precise evaluation difficult.
Golden Flashes vs. Cardinals Matchup Trends
The head-to-head record strongly favors Ball State, which may suggest they often cover this matchup. However, the lack of clear recent ATS data for both teams injects uncertainty. The fact that Kent State’s offense is among the lowest in the conference while Ball State has the historical edge means bettors will need to dig into situational factors (injuries, recent form, turnovers) rather than rely purely on past averages.
Kent State vs. Ball State Game Info
Kent State vs Ball State starts on November 05, 2025 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Scheumann Stadium.
Spread: Ball State -1.5
Moneyline: Kent State +105, Ball State -126
Over/Under: 46.5
Kent State: (3-5) | Ball State: (3-5)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Kelly under 160.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The head-to-head record strongly favors Ball State, which may suggest they often cover this matchup. However, the lack of clear recent ATS data for both teams injects uncertainty. The fact that Kent State’s offense is among the lowest in the conference while Ball State has the historical edge means bettors will need to dig into situational factors (injuries, recent form, turnovers) rather than rely purely on past averages.
KENT trend: Kent State has struggled this year, with an offense averaging just 18.6 points per game and a defense allowing 36.5 points per game. Their ATS performance is likely weak though exact cover rate data is limited.
BALLST trend: Ball State has the historical edge in this matchup with 24 wins against Kent State’s 8 in head-to-head history. However, specific ATS cover percentage for 2025 is not widely published, making precise evaluation difficult.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kent State vs. Ball State Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the Kent State vs Ball State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| KENT Moneyline | +105 |
|---|---|
| BALLST Moneyline | -126 |
| KENT Spread | +1.5 |
| BALLST Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 46.5 |
Kent State vs Ball State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1300
-2800
|
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
|
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-135
+114
|
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
|
O 66.5 (-112)
U 66.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+180
-218
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 59.5 (-105)
U 59.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-122
|
-1.5 (-112)
|
O 43.5 (-108)
U 43.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+400
-535
|
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-135
+114
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+4 (-112)
-4 (-108)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+164
-198
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+164
-198
|
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
|
O 38.5 (+100)
U 38.5 (-120)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinals on November 05, 2025 at Scheumann Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |