Texas Tech vs Kansas State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 01)

Updated: 2025-10-25T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Texas Tech Red Raiders visit the Kansas State Wildcats on November 1, 2025 in a Big 12 conference clash where the Red Raiders arrive as a national power and Kansas State fights to regain form on its home field. While Texas Tech boasts a 7-1 record and top-tier statistical dominance, the Wildcats at 4-4 are rebuilding momentum and hoping the home crowd spurs a turnaround.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 01, 2025

Start Time: 3:30 PM EST​

Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium​

Wildcats Record: (4-4)

Red Raiders Record: (7-1)

OPENING ODDS

TXTECH Moneyline: -274

KSTATE Moneyline: +221

TXTECH Spread: -7

KSTATE Spread: +7

Over/Under: 52.5

TXTECH
Betting Trends

  • Although specific ATS data for Texas Tech in 2025 is limited, their dominant performance (7-1 record, roughly 43.6 points per game scored, just 12.4 allowed) suggests they have likely covered many lines so far this season.

KSTATE
Betting Trends

  • For Kansas State this season, they have a 4-4 record and have struggled for consistency; according to a recent preview they had won 3 games against the spread and failed to cover in 4 of their outings.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • With Texas Tech entering as roughly a 7-point favourite (per early line), the large discrepancy in momentum and statistical dominance suggests value in Texas Tech covering. Conversely, Kansas State at home presents underdog value—if they can improve defensively and capitalize on their run game, they may keep this one tighter than the spread suggests.

TXTECH vs. KSTATE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Morton over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns.

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Texas Tech vs Kansas State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/1/25

When the Texas Tech Red Raiders and Kansas State Wildcats meet on November 1, 2025, at Bill Snyder Family Stadium, the Big 12 stage will feature a clash of contrasting identities: the high-octane efficiency of a national contender versus the gritty resilience of a team still seeking its rhythm. Texas Tech has transformed into one of the country’s most complete programs under Joey McGuire, bringing a 7-1 record, an offense averaging over 43 points per game, and a defense that suffocates opponents, allowing barely 12 points on average. Meanwhile, Kansas State, under Chris Klieman, continues to fight for stability at 4-4, a record that reflects moments of promise offset by inconsistency on both sides of the ball. The Red Raiders enter as clear favorites, but road games in Manhattan have historically been difficult, as the Wildcats thrive on home-field intensity and physical football that often drags high-powered opponents into uncomfortable battles. Texas Tech’s offensive formula has been simple but devastatingly effective: speed, spacing, and precision. Quarterback Behren Morton has matured into one of the most efficient passers in the Big 12, distributing the ball with confidence to an array of weapons that make defensive adjustments nearly impossible. Wide receivers Jerand Bradley and Myles Price headline a group that thrives on yards after the catch, while running back Tahj Brooks provides balance with bruising runs that keep defenses honest. Tech’s offensive line, among the best in the conference, has given Morton ample time to operate and opened gaping lanes for Brooks, leading to a red-zone success rate north of 85%.

On the defensive side, Texas Tech has been relentless. The front seven, led by linebackers Jacob Rodriguez and Ben Roberts, has dominated the line of scrimmage, while defensive end Steve Linton anchors a pass rush that has consistently generated havoc plays. The secondary, often overlooked, has quietly become one of the stingiest units in the conference, allowing the fewest passing touchdowns through eight weeks. Against Kansas State, the Red Raiders’ focus will be on disrupting rhythm early—stacking the box to stifle the Wildcats’ run game and forcing quarterback Avery Johnson into difficult third-down situations. Johnson’s dual-threat ability has been one of Kansas State’s few constants, and his ability to extend plays will be key to keeping drives alive. The Wildcats’ rushing attack, featuring DJ Giddens, has the physicality to challenge Texas Tech’s front, but sustained success will require consistent push from an offensive line that has struggled in pass protection. Kansas State’s defense, traditionally disciplined under Klieman, must rediscover its edge, particularly in tackling and containment against Texas Tech’s perimeter speed. Special teams could also tilt momentum, with Kansas State’s history of creating game-changing returns often providing an equalizer. From a betting perspective, Texas Tech enters as a likely seven-point favorite, and based on performance trends, they appear well-positioned to cover, given their dominance on both sides of the ball and ability to limit self-inflicted mistakes. Kansas State’s best chance lies in turning the game into a grind—controlling possession, minimizing penalties, and converting red-zone trips into touchdowns. The emotional weight of a home crowd desperate for an upset could help the Wildcats hang around early, but over four quarters, Texas Tech’s balance, depth, and discipline make them the superior team. Expect a hard-fought first half before the Red Raiders’ tempo, talent, and execution wear down Kansas State’s defense, allowing Tech to pull away late and solidify their grip on a top-tier bowl—or even playoff—positioning.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders CFB Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders head into their November 1, 2025 matchup against Kansas State as one of the most balanced and dangerous teams in the nation, carrying the swagger of a 7-1 record and the statistical profile of a legitimate playoff contender. Under head coach Joey McGuire, Texas Tech has reinvented itself from an offensive novelty into a complete football team that can win through physicality, discipline, and complementary football. The Red Raiders’ offense has been among the most explosive in college football, averaging over 43 points per game while ranking near the top of the Big 12 in total yardage and efficiency. Quarterback Behren Morton has been at the heart of that success, thriving in McGuire’s up-tempo system by combining arm talent with veteran-level decision-making. Morton’s chemistry with receivers Jerand Bradley and Myles Price has given Tech a dynamic passing attack capable of stretching defenses vertically and horizontally, while slot target Coy Eakin adds versatility in motion packages and red-zone formations. Yet what makes Texas Tech’s offense so difficult to stop is its newfound balance. Running back Tahj Brooks, the workhorse of the offense, has been one of the most consistent performers in the Big 12, punishing defenses with a combination of vision, patience, and finishing power. Behind one of the conference’s most cohesive offensive lines, Brooks has averaged over five yards per carry and opened up play-action opportunities for Morton to exploit mismatches. The Red Raiders are elite on third down and nearly automatic in the red zone, converting drives into points with surgical precision. On the defensive side, Texas Tech’s evolution has been equally impressive. Coordinator Tim DeRuyter’s aggressive but disciplined scheme has turned the Red Raiders into a top-10 scoring defense, allowing barely 12 points per game.

The front seven, led by edge rusher Steve Linton and linebacker Jacob Rodriguez, has dominated the line of scrimmage, suffocating opposing run games and collapsing pockets with consistent pressure. The secondary, anchored by Malik Dunlap and Tyler Owens, has been exceptional at eliminating explosive plays and forcing quarterbacks into mistakes, giving the defense a turnover margin that ranks among the best in the country. Against Kansas State, the Red Raiders’ defensive approach will likely focus on containing quarterback Avery Johnson’s dual-threat ability, closing running lanes early, and forcing the Wildcats to win through the air. Texas Tech’s speed at linebacker should allow them to spy Johnson effectively while the corners play tight press coverage to disrupt timing routes. On offense, McGuire’s game plan will emphasize pace and precision—expect Tech to attack early through tempo to neutralize Kansas State’s crowd and defensive adjustments. Special teams have quietly been another strength for the Red Raiders, with kicker Gino Garcia providing consistency from long range and punter Austin McNamara flipping field position with NFL-level precision. From a betting perspective, Texas Tech enters as a seven-point favorite and has been strong against the spread this season, covering in five of its last six games thanks to its ability to dominate statistically and finish games with authority. The Red Raiders have also been excellent on the road, displaying the composure and maturity of a team built for postseason contention. To win convincingly in Manhattan, they must maintain ball security, sustain drives, and prevent emotional swings that could energize the Wildcats’ home crowd. If Morton stays efficient and the defense continues its suffocating pace, Texas Tech should assert its dominance early and leave with another statement victory that strengthens its Big 12 title and playoff aspirations.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders visit the Kansas State Wildcats on November 1, 2025 in a Big 12 conference clash where the Red Raiders arrive as a national power and Kansas State fights to regain form on its home field. While Texas Tech boasts a 7-1 record and top-tier statistical dominance, the Wildcats at 4-4 are rebuilding momentum and hoping the home crowd spurs a turnaround. Texas Tech vs Kansas State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Nov 01. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Kansas State Wildcats CFB Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats return to Bill Snyder Family Stadium on November 1, 2025, seeking to protect their home turf and pull off a defining upset against a powerhouse Texas Tech team that has dominated the Big 12 headlines this season. Under head coach Chris Klieman, Kansas State has built its identity on physicality, toughness, and efficiency, though inconsistency has been the theme of their 4-4 campaign. The Wildcats have shown flashes of brilliance but have struggled to maintain momentum against more complete teams, particularly those with elite offensive balance. Hosting a top-10 Texas Tech squad gives Klieman’s program an opportunity to measure its progress and reignite postseason hopes. The offense, led by sophomore quarterback Avery Johnson, remains the focal point of Kansas State’s game plan. Johnson’s dual-threat ability has injected energy into the Wildcats’ attack, with his quick decision-making and athleticism allowing the offense to stay versatile. When he’s in rhythm, Kansas State’s offense thrives through a mix of designed quarterback runs, play-action passes, and RPO concepts that stress defenses horizontally. Johnson’s chemistry with wideouts Jayce Brown and Sterling Lockett gives the Wildcats potential for explosive plays, but the real engine of the offense continues to be the ground game. Running back DJ Giddens is the workhorse, a physical, patient runner who has surpassed 700 rushing yards this season behind an offensive line that prides itself on zone blocking and pulling movement. For Kansas State to compete with Texas Tech’s explosive attack, establishing the run early will be paramount—not only to control the tempo but to keep the Red Raiders’ offense off the field.

Defensively, the Wildcats face a monumental challenge. Texas Tech boasts one of the nation’s most efficient and balanced offenses, meaning Kansas State must tackle with precision and play assignment-perfect football. The defense, anchored by linebacker Austin Moore and defensive lineman Uso Seumalo, must win at the point of attack to disrupt Texas Tech’s rhythm. Generating pressure on quarterback Behren Morton without overcommitting blitzes will be critical, as Tech’s quick passing scheme punishes undisciplined rush lanes. The Wildcats’ secondary, led by Jacob Parrish, will have its hands full trying to contain Texas Tech’s deep and dynamic receiving corps. Expect defensive coordinator Joe Klanderman to mix coverages, alternating between zone and man looks to confuse Morton and limit big plays. On special teams, Kansas State’s traditionally strong unit could play a pivotal role—return specialist Phillip Brooks is capable of flipping the field, and kicker Chris Tennant has the leg to make long-range field goals under pressure. Emotionally, this game will carry weight for the Wildcats, as the home crowd in Manhattan remains one of the most passionate in the Big 12, often giving Klieman’s teams an extra edge in close contests. From a betting standpoint, Kansas State enters as a home underdog, likely around +7, and while the spread leans heavily in Texas Tech’s favor, the Wildcats have a history of thriving in these spoiler situations. For Kansas State to cover—or even pull the upset—they must win the turnover battle, dominate time of possession, and capitalize on short-field opportunities. The formula for success is simple but difficult: play disciplined, physical football, limit Tech’s explosive plays, and finish drives with touchdowns rather than field goals. If Johnson can make plays outside of structure, Giddens can control the tempo on the ground, and the defense can generate a few timely stops, Kansas State could turn this matchup into a four-quarter fight. For a program that prides itself on toughness and execution, this home game represents more than just another date on the schedule—it’s a chance to prove that the Wildcats can still stand toe-to-toe with the Big 12’s elite when it matters most.

Texas Tech vs Kansas State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Red Raiders and Wildcats play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Morton over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns.

Texas Tech vs Kansas State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Red Raiders and Wildcats and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the trending emphasis emotional bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Red Raiders team going up against a possibly improved Wildcats team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Texas Tech vs Kansas State picks, computer picks Red Raiders vs Wildcats, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Texas Tech Betting Trends

Although specific ATS data for Texas Tech in 2025 is limited, their dominant performance (7-1 record, roughly 43.6 points per game scored, just 12.4 allowed) suggests they have likely covered many lines so far this season.

Kansas State Betting Trends

For Kansas State this season, they have a 4-4 record and have struggled for consistency; according to a recent preview they had won 3 games against the spread and failed to cover in 4 of their outings.

Red Raiders vs. Wildcats Matchup Trends

With Texas Tech entering as roughly a 7-point favourite (per early line), the large discrepancy in momentum and statistical dominance suggests value in Texas Tech covering. Conversely, Kansas State at home presents underdog value—if they can improve defensively and capitalize on their run game, they may keep this one tighter than the spread suggests.

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Game Info

November 01, 2025 • 3:30 PM EST • Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Texas Tech vs Kansas State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Texas Tech vs Kansas State

Texas Tech vs Kansas State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1196
-2700
+23 (-108)
-23 (-112)
O 47 (-112)
U 47 (-108)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-130
+110
-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-142
+122
-2.5 (-118)
+2.5 (-102)
O 66.5 (-110)
U 66.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+174
-200
+4.5 (-103)
-4.5 (-117)
O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-125
 
-1.5 (-112)
O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+390
-510
+12.5 (-113)
-12.5 (-107)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-135
+115
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+161
-185
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+168
-193
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+177
-205
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats on November 01, 2025 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN