Navy vs North Texas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Nov 01)

Updated: 2025-10-25T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Navy Midshipmen travel to face the North Texas Mean Green on November 1, 2025 in a late-season American Conference clash where running-game identities collide. North Texas enters riding a high-powered offense and home momentum, while Navy carries its trademark ground-control style and an undefeated streak into hostile territory.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 01, 2025

Start Time: 12:00 PM EST​

Venue: DATCU Stadium​

Mean Green Record: (7-1)

Midshipmen Record: (7-0)

OPENING ODDS

NAVY Moneyline: +172

NOTEX Moneyline: -208

NAVY Spread: +6.5

NOTEX Spread: -6.5

Over/Under: 64.5

NAVY
Betting Trends

  • Navy has shown strong value as an underdog on the road this season, regularly outperforming expectations and covering the spread in a majority of its away games.

NOTEX
Betting Trends

  • North Texas has been a reliable home favorite, with a strong ATS record that reflects their dominance at home and confidence from bettors.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Oddsmakers opened North Texas as roughly a 5-7 point favorite, with the total set near the mid-50s. Given North Texas’ explosive offense (averaging over 46 points per game) and Navy’s suffocating rush attack (averaging over 283 rushing yards per game), the market suggests a high-tempo matchup—but the under could play if Navy controls the clock and limits possessions.

NAVY vs. NOTEX
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Tecza under 70.5 Rushing Yards.

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Navy vs North Texas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 11/1/25

The November 1, 2025 matchup between the Navy Midshipmen and the North Texas Mean Green at DATCU Stadium in Denton brings together two distinctly contrasting football philosophies in a compelling late-season American Athletic Conference showdown. Navy enters the game as one of the most consistent and disciplined programs in the country, relying on its trademark triple-option attack, which continues to grind down opponents with relentless physicality and precision. The Midshipmen, off to an impressive 7–0 start, have built their success on the foundation of ball control, execution, and defense. They average over 283 rushing yards per game, ranking among the top five rushing offenses in the nation, while their methodical approach limits possessions and wears out opposing defenses. Quarterback Blake Horvath has been the catalyst for this offensive efficiency, accounting for over 1,500 total yards and 14 combined touchdowns. His ability to make the correct reads, protect the ball, and execute in short-yardage situations has been crucial in Navy’s ability to stay ahead of the chains. The backfield depth—featuring fullback Dabe Fofana and slotback Eli Heidenreich—adds versatility, with both capable of breaking big plays once defenders overcommit to the dive. Navy’s defense has complemented the offense perfectly, ranking among the top 25 nationally in scoring defense, allowing just under 18 points per game. Linebackers Colin Ramos and John Marshall lead a unit that thrives on gap discipline and tackling efficiency, making it particularly difficult for opponents to establish the run. The biggest challenge for Navy in this game, however, will be containing the explosive North Texas offense, which enters averaging an eye-popping 46 points per game and over 520 total yards per contest. Head coach Eric Morris has engineered one of the most dynamic passing attacks in college football, powered by quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who has already surpassed 2,500 passing yards and thrown 22 touchdowns.

The Mean Green offense thrives on tempo, spreading defenses thin with quick strikes and vertical shots to receivers Ja’Mori Maclin and Damon Ward, while running backs Ayo Adeyi and Oscar Adaway provide balance in the ground game. Their efficiency on third downs (45%) and red-zone conversion rate (92%) illustrate how difficult they are to stop once they find rhythm. Defensively, North Texas has been improved but remains vulnerable to power-running teams, surrendering over 160 rushing yards per game. That weakness plays directly into Navy’s strengths, creating a fascinating stylistic battle between the nation’s most methodical offense and one of its fastest-paced. The key to this matchup will be tempo and possession—if Navy can control the clock, limit turnovers, and keep Mestemaker on the sideline, they have a legitimate chance to extend their unbeaten run. On the other hand, if North Texas jumps out to an early lead and forces Navy to abandon its ground-heavy approach, the Mean Green’s offensive firepower could quickly take control. From a betting perspective, North Texas opened as a 5.5-point home favorite, with the total hovering near 55 points—a reflection of both the explosiveness of the Mean Green and the tempo-slowing tendencies of Navy. The under could have value if the Midshipmen dictate the pace, but if North Texas finds success through the air early, the over may hit comfortably. This matchup epitomizes strength versus speed, discipline versus dynamism, and control versus chaos—a perfect late-season clash that could have major implications in the AAC standings. Expect a tactical chess match between Morris’ tempo-driven system and Navy’s deliberate, physical approach, where whichever team wins the battle of pace will likely emerge victorious.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Navy Midshipmen CFB Preview

The Navy Midshipmen travel to Denton, Texas, on November 1, 2025, carrying an undefeated record and one of the most distinctive and effective offensive identities in college football. Under head coach Brian Newberry, Navy has returned to form by embracing its classic triple-option scheme while integrating modern wrinkles that have made the attack even more difficult to defend. The Midshipmen are averaging 283 rushing yards per game—ranking among the top five nationally—and have built a reputation for dominating time of possession, averaging nearly 36 minutes per contest. Quarterback Blake Horvath has been the steady hand guiding this machine, combining sharp decision-making with physical toughness. Horvath has rushed for over 640 yards and eight touchdowns while adding another 800 yards through the air, proving capable of keeping defenses honest with timely passes downfield. The backfield features a deep rotation led by fullback Dabe Fofana and slotbacks Eli Heidenreich and Alex Tecza, each capable of breaking long runs if the defense overcommits to stopping the dive. Navy’s offensive line, built on leverage, precision, and endurance rather than sheer size, has been exceptional at creating angles and executing cut blocks, allowing the Midshipmen to sustain drives and wear out opponents. Against North Texas, the formula remains simple but demanding—control tempo, avoid negative plays, and limit possessions. The Mean Green’s high-powered offense averages 46 points per game, so Navy must shorten the game, turning it into a grind rather than a shootout. Defensively, Navy’s front seven has been stout, allowing just under 18 points per game and ranking near the top of the AAC in rushing defense.

Linebackers Colin Ramos and John Marshall anchor a disciplined unit that excels at reading keys and closing running lanes, while the secondary, led by safety Rayuan Lane, has shown improvement in coverage and open-field tackling. However, facing North Texas’ quarterback Drew Mestemaker and his 2,500-yard passing attack presents a different kind of challenge. The Midshipmen will need to generate pressure without blitzing excessively to avoid giving up explosive plays downfield. Expect Navy to disguise coverages and rely heavily on sound tackling to prevent the Mean Green from capitalizing on yards after the catch. Special teams will also play a critical role—punter Riley Riethman’s ability to pin opponents deep and kicker Evan Warrington’s reliability in close games could swing field position in Navy’s favor. From a betting standpoint, Navy has thrived as an underdog this season, covering in five of its last six games, largely due to its ability to control pace and frustrate more explosive opponents. Against North Texas, that same formula will be tested to the limit. If Horvath and the offense can sustain long drives and limit turnovers, the Midshipmen have a legitimate chance not just to cover the spread but to steal a road win. The challenge lies in avoiding early deficits—if Navy falls behind by two scores, their ground-heavy system becomes harder to sustain. But with an elite rushing attack, disciplined defense, and a battle-tested culture, Navy is well-equipped to turn this contest into a war of attrition, where patience, physicality, and execution—not flash—determine the outcome.

The Navy Midshipmen travel to face the North Texas Mean Green on November 1, 2025 in a late-season American Conference clash where running-game identities collide. North Texas enters riding a high-powered offense and home momentum, while Navy carries its trademark ground-control style and an undefeated streak into hostile territory. Navy vs North Texas AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Nov 01. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

North Texas Mean Green CFB Preview

The North Texas Mean Green enter their November 1, 2025 home matchup against the undefeated Navy Midshipmen with momentum, swagger, and one of the most explosive offenses in all of college football. Under second-year head coach Eric Morris, the Mean Green have transformed into an offensive juggernaut that thrives on tempo, creativity, and precision. Sitting at 7–1 and near the top of the American Athletic Conference standings, North Texas has found balance on both sides of the ball, pairing a quick-strike passing game with a revitalized rushing attack. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker has been the centerpiece of their offensive success, passing for over 2,500 yards and 22 touchdowns through eight games. His command of the offense has been exceptional—distributing the ball efficiently to his talented receiving corps while maintaining one of the best completion percentages in the AAC. Wide receivers Ja’Mori Maclin and Damon Ward Jr. have emerged as nightmare matchups for opposing secondaries, combining for more than 1,400 yards and 15 touchdowns on the season. Maclin, in particular, has proven to be a lethal vertical threat who can stretch the field, while Ward provides consistency as a reliable possession target. The ground game has also been highly productive, led by running backs Ayo Adeyi and Oscar Adaway III, who have combined for over 1,000 yards and nine rushing touchdowns. Their ability to keep defenses honest has made North Texas nearly impossible to defend when they get rolling. Offensively, the Mean Green average 46 points per game and over 520 total yards, ranking among the top ten nationally in both categories. Defensively, the improvements under Morris’ staff have been just as vital to their rise.

The unit allows about 25 points per game, but their strength lies in forcing turnovers and timely stops. Linebacker Larry Nixon III and safety Ridge Texada anchor a defense that thrives on aggressiveness and pursuit speed. Against Navy’s triple-option offense, the defensive discipline of the front seven will be put to the test; they must maintain assignment integrity, win at the point of attack, and avoid overcommitting to fakes. Stopping Navy’s rushing attack will require gap control and strong communication across all levels of the defense—something North Texas has emphasized in practice all week. Offensively, North Texas will aim to dictate tempo from the opening possession, using their speed and passing precision to jump out to an early lead that forces Navy to play from behind. If they can create a two-score cushion early, their explosive potential could push the game out of Navy’s comfort zone. On special teams, kicker Noah Rauschenberg has been reliable, and punter Kody Villalobos provides excellent field-flipping ability, both of which could prove important in a field-position battle. From a betting standpoint, North Texas has been excellent at home, covering in five of their last six games in Denton, and their offensive efficiency often overwhelms visiting teams who can’t match their pace. The line favoring North Texas by roughly a touchdown reflects confidence in their ability to exploit mismatches through the air, while the total around 55 points highlights the clash between their fast-paced attack and Navy’s ball-control strategy. To secure the win and maintain their push for a conference championship, North Texas must start fast, protect Mestemaker, and limit turnovers—because against a disciplined Navy team, wasted possessions can swing the game’s momentum. If the Mean Green execute their game plan and continue their offensive rhythm, they have every reason to believe they can hand Navy its first loss of the season and further cement their reputation as one of the most dangerous programs in the AAC.

Navy vs North Texas Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Midshipmen and Mean Green play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at DATCU Stadium in Nov seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Tecza under 70.5 Rushing Yards.

Navy vs North Texas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Midshipmen and Mean Green and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Midshipmen team going up against a possibly rested Mean Green team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Navy vs North Texas picks, computer picks Midshipmen vs Mean Green, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CFB 12/5 NOTEX@TULANE UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CFB 12/5 UNLV@BOISE UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CFB 12/5 NOTEX@TULANE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Navy Betting Trends

Navy has shown strong value as an underdog on the road this season, regularly outperforming expectations and covering the spread in a majority of its away games.

North Texas Betting Trends

North Texas has been a reliable home favorite, with a strong ATS record that reflects their dominance at home and confidence from bettors.

Midshipmen vs. Mean Green Matchup Trends

Oddsmakers opened North Texas as roughly a 5-7 point favorite, with the total set near the mid-50s. Given North Texas’ explosive offense (averaging over 46 points per game) and Navy’s suffocating rush attack (averaging over 283 rushing yards per game), the market suggests a high-tempo matchup—but the under could play if Navy controls the clock and limits possessions.

Navy vs. North Texas Game Info

November 01, 2025 • 12:00 PM EST • DATCU Stadium

Navy vs. North Texas Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Navy vs North Texas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Navy vs North Texas

Navy vs North Texas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1300
-2500
+23.5 (-105)
-23.5 (-115)
O 45.5 (-115)
U 45.5 (-105)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-145
+120
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-130
+110
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 67 (-110)
U 67 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+185
-225
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-125
 
-2 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+390
-525
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-140
+115
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+155
-190
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 57.5 (-110)
U 57.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8PM
IND
OHIOST
+160
-195
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+170
-205
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 39.5 (-110)
U 39.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Navy Midshipmen vs. North Texas Mean Green on November 01, 2025 at DATCU Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN