Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 25)
Updated: 2025-10-18T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Kansas State Wildcats travel to Lawrence on October 25 to face the Kansas Jayhawks in the annual Sunflower Showdown, a rivalry steeped in history and renewed stakes this season. Kansas State enters this matchup with expectations to contend in the Big 12, while Kansas is desperate to end a 16-game losing streak to the Cats and claim momentum in a rebuilding campaign.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 25, 2025
Start Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
Jayhawks Record: (4-3)
Wildcats Record: (3-4)
OPENING ODDS
KSTATE Moneyline: +125
KANSAS Moneyline: -150
KSTATE Spread: +2.5
KANSAS Spread: -2.5
Over/Under: 54.5
KSTATE
Betting Trends
- Kansas State enters the game having covered the spread in a majority of their recent conference matchups, including a key road win earlier in the season that saw them exceed expectations in Big 12 play, signaling strong discipline and consistent performance against the number.
KANSAS
Betting Trends
- The Jayhawks, meanwhile, have struggled yet again versus the spread in recent seasons—especially in high-variance rivalry games—failing to cover in an extended streak of losses to Kansas State, which raises concern for bettors and fans alike looking for signs of life.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- This game presents a fascinating ATS angle: Kansas State has won the last ten Sunflower Showdowns dating back to 2015, and they’re often double-digit favourites in this series. Conversely, Kansas typically enters seeing an uptick in motivation but historically falls short—and as favourites—which has led many sharp bettors to view this as a spot for K-State to dominate or cash early.
KSTATE vs. KANSAS
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Oakley over 0.5 Total Touchdowns.
LIVE CFB ODDS
CFB ODDS COMPARISON
WANT MORE AI PICKS?
VS. SPREAD
374-287
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG & EXEC)
+829.4
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG & EXEC)
$100/UNIT
$82,943
VS. SPREAD
1680-1416
NET UNITS
(INCL VIG)
+450.6
NET PROFIT
(INCL VIG)
$100/UNIT
$45,057
AI SPORTS PICK PRODUCTS
Create a Free Account
‘Create an Account’ to Get Remi’s Picks Today. Remi Finds New Picks
Remi calculates the probability a team will cover the line. Remi Works 24/7
Remi uses this probability to assign units to each pick.
Get Remi's AI Picks
Get Remi’s Top AI Sports Picks sent direct to your inbox.
Hedge Meaning in Betting | 4 Obvious Times to Hedge
Learn about hedge betting to manage risk and secure profits. Understand...
What is a Push in Betting? | 3 Ways To Use To Your Advantage
Understand what a push in betting means, how it happens in...
What Does the + and – Mean in Sports Betting? | 5 Easy Tips
Learn the basics of sports betting odds, what the plus (+)...
Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/25/25
The 2025 Sunflower Showdown between the Kansas State Wildcats and the Kansas Jayhawks on October 25 promises to be one of the most emotionally charged matchups of the Big 12 season, with both programs trending upward under coaches who have reinvigorated their respective fan bases. Kansas State, led by Chris Klieman, continues to be the model of consistency in the conference, combining physicality in the trenches with balanced, efficient quarterback play from Avery Johnson, whose blend of poise and athleticism makes the Wildcats dangerous in all phases. Johnson’s development as a passer has elevated K-State’s offense from efficient to dynamic, and his rapport with playmakers like Jayce Brown and Treshaun Ward gives this group the ability to adapt to game flow—grinding out long possessions or striking explosively when needed. The Wildcats’ offensive line, anchored by a veteran interior, remains one of the best in the Big 12, giving Johnson time to read defenses and opening lanes for a versatile rushing attack that ranks among the most efficient in the nation. Defensively, Kansas State remains stout, with a front seven that thrives on gap discipline and an aggressive pass rush led by edge rusher Nate Matlack and linebacker Austin Romaine. However, the secondary, still young and relatively untested, will need to hold up against a Kansas offense that thrives on spacing and tempo. For Kansas, this game represents an opportunity to change the narrative in a rivalry that’s been painfully one-sided—Kansas State has won 16 straight, often by convincing margins—but Lance Leipold’s program has narrowed the gap over the last two seasons.
Jalon Daniels, when healthy, has been the engine of Kansas’ rise, offering both deep-ball accuracy and improvisational flair that can frustrate even the best defenses. His connection with wideouts Lawrence Arnold and Quentin Skinner has given the Jayhawks explosive potential, while running back Devin Neal provides the balance and physicality needed to control possession. The key for Kansas will be sustaining drives and protecting Daniels against a defense that excels at creating third-and-long situations. Defensively, the Jayhawks must improve against the run and stay disciplined against Kansas State’s motion-heavy play designs, which are designed to create mismatches and force linebackers out of position. Expect Leipold to dial up early tempo and quick throws to test the Wildcats’ secondary, but the margin for error is razor thin—Kansas cannot afford turnovers or stalled drives. The atmosphere in Lawrence will be electric, with Jayhawk fans desperate to end K-State’s dominance, but emotion alone won’t bridge the talent and experience gap. The Wildcats’ ability to dictate pace, control the line of scrimmage, and execute situationally has defined this rivalry for nearly two decades. Still, with both programs ranked in the top half of the Big 12 and Kansas showing real progress, this year’s installment could finally deliver a more competitive contest. The battle between Johnson’s balanced execution and Daniels’ improvisation may ultimately decide who owns Kansas for another year—and whether this rivalry finally feels like a true coin flip again.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
𝐌𝐎𝐁 𝐌𝐈𝐗 pic.twitter.com/gRi9yVQRFV
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) October 19, 2025
Kansas State Wildcats CFB Preview
Kansas State enters the 2025 Sunflower Showdown as the standard-bearer for stability and physical dominance in the Big 12, carrying a 16-game winning streak in the rivalry that speaks to both their discipline and their ability to rise to the emotional intensity of this matchup. Under head coach Chris Klieman, the Wildcats have established an identity built on balance and precision—a blend of punishing run schemes, efficient passing, and a defense that smothers opponents with relentless gap control and pressure. Quarterback Avery Johnson has blossomed into one of the conference’s most dangerous dual-threats, combining pocket composure with the ability to make plays on the move, a development that gives K-State more offensive versatility than it’s had in years. Johnson’s chemistry with wideouts Jayce Brown and Keagan Johnson allows the Wildcats to stretch defenses horizontally and vertically, while running backs DJ Giddens and Treshaun Ward anchor one of the league’s most reliable rushing tandems. The offensive line, led by veterans Cooper Beebe and Hadley Panzer, has been the engine of their success, ranking near the top of the conference in sack avoidance and yards per carry. Defensively, Kansas State continues to embody Klieman’s North Dakota State blueprint—sound tackling, physical fronts, and opportunistic playmaking in the secondary.
Linebacker Austin Romaine’s range and physicality set the tone, while edge rusher Nate Matlack’s burst off the edge creates consistent havoc. The Wildcats pride themselves on defensive efficiency, ranking among the Big 12’s best in opponent success rate and red-zone TD percentage, metrics that often decide close games. Against Kansas, their goal will be simple: force the Jayhawks into long third downs and contain quarterback Jalon Daniels, whose ability to scramble and extend plays has given defenses fits. The Wildcats’ special teams, long a hidden weapon under Klieman, continue to be elite with reliable kicking and disciplined coverage units, often flipping field position in their favor. From an emotional standpoint, Kansas State understands the stakes—rivalry week in Lawrence brings noise, emotion, and unpredictability—but this is a program built to handle the moment. Their confidence comes from repetition and success; they’ve been here before, and they know how to impose their will. For Kansas State to extend its streak, maintaining composure early will be critical. If the Wildcats’ defense can withstand Kansas’ scripted first-quarter surge and the offense settles into its rhythm behind Johnson and Giddens, K-State’s efficiency and balance should ultimately separate them as the game progresses. This matchup has all the makings of another showcase for the Wildcats’ maturity—a team that doesn’t get rattled, doesn’t beat itself, and knows how to finish rivalry games with cold-blooded precision. For bettors and fans alike, Kansas State’s proven ability to win on the road and dominate second halves makes them a formidable favorite once again, and unless Kansas can find a way to match their physicality for four quarters, K-State looks poised to keep control of the state—and the scoreboard—intact.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Kansas Jayhawks CFB Preview
The Kansas Jayhawks approach the 2025 Sunflower Showdown with both optimism and urgency, knowing that this rivalry has become the defining test of their progress under head coach Lance Leipold. Kansas hasn’t beaten Kansas State since 2008, and each season’s meeting has served as a benchmark for whether the Jayhawks are truly closing the gap between respectability and Big 12 contention. Leipold has revitalized the program through disciplined development and smart transfer-portal acquisitions, but this game is about proving that foundation can finally produce results against a perennial power. The Jayhawks’ offense, led by quarterback Jalon Daniels, remains their greatest weapon—a balanced, high-tempo system designed to stress defenses horizontally while keeping them honest with the deep ball. When healthy, Daniels is one of the most dynamic playmakers in college football, blending sharp field vision with the escapability to turn broken plays into highlights. His chemistry with receivers Lawrence Arnold and Quentin Skinner has given Kansas a legitimate vertical passing threat, while running back Devin Neal continues to be the steady heartbeat of the attack, capable of grinding out tough yards and breaking explosive runs when lanes open. The offensive line, though improved, will face a massive challenge against a Kansas State front seven that thrives on disruption, and protecting Daniels will be priority one.
Defensively, Kansas has shown strides under coordinator Brian Borland, with better tackling and improved gap integrity, but consistency remains a problem—especially on third down, where they’ve struggled to get off the field against more physical teams. The Jayhawks will likely mix in disguised pressures and rely on corner Cobee Bryant to anchor the secondary against Avery Johnson’s balanced passing attack. In rivalry games like this, emotion runs high, but execution separates the hopeful from the victorious. For Kansas, this matchup represents more than just an opportunity to snap a 16-game skid; it’s a chance to validate years of cultural rebuilding. The home crowd at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium is expected to be electric, with the Jayhawks enjoying one of the best fan turnouts in the Big 12 since Leipold’s arrival. Momentum and confidence will be crucial early—if Kansas can strike first, sustain offensive rhythm, and prevent K-State’s defense from dictating tempo, they can force the Wildcats into a rare position of discomfort. Leipold’s game management and Daniels’ poise will be tested, especially in late-game situations where Kansas has faltered in past editions of this rivalry. To win, the Jayhawks must play clean football—limit penalties, finish red-zone trips with touchdowns, and control time of possession to keep their defense fresh. Special teams execution could also swing the game, as field position battles have historically favored Kansas State. Still, this is a different Kansas program than in years past—one with legitimate speed, depth, and a belief that it can stand toe-to-toe with anyone. If the Jayhawks can channel the emotion of the home crowd without letting it turn into anxiety, this could finally be the year they turn the Sunflower Showdown into a four-quarter fight instead of a coronation.
We see you, 24 😳💪 @Dev_Neal23 pic.twitter.com/SYuQBEgk8x
— Kansas Football (@KU_Football) October 19, 2025
Kansas State vs Kansas Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Wildcats and Jayhawks play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Kansas State vs Kansas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Wildcats and Jayhawks and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors regularly put on Kansas State’s strength factors between a Wildcats team going up against a possibly rested Jayhawks team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Kansas State vs Kansas picks, computer picks Wildcats vs Jayhawks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Kansas State Betting Trends
Kansas State enters the game having covered the spread in a majority of their recent conference matchups, including a key road win earlier in the season that saw them exceed expectations in Big 12 play, signaling strong discipline and consistent performance against the number.
Kansas Betting Trends
The Jayhawks, meanwhile, have struggled yet again versus the spread in recent seasons—especially in high-variance rivalry games—failing to cover in an extended streak of losses to Kansas State, which raises concern for bettors and fans alike looking for signs of life.
Wildcats vs. Jayhawks Matchup Trends
This game presents a fascinating ATS angle: Kansas State has won the last ten Sunflower Showdowns dating back to 2015, and they’re often double-digit favourites in this series. Conversely, Kansas typically enters seeing an uptick in motivation but historically falls short—and as favourites—which has led many sharp bettors to view this as a spot for K-State to dominate or cash early.
Kansas State vs. Kansas Game Info
Kansas State vs Kansas starts on October 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST.
Venue: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
Spread: Kansas -2.5
Moneyline: Kansas State +125, Kansas -150
Over/Under: 54.5
Kansas State: (3-4) | Kansas: (4-3)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Oakley over 0.5 Total Touchdowns.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
This game presents a fascinating ATS angle: Kansas State has won the last ten Sunflower Showdowns dating back to 2015, and they’re often double-digit favourites in this series. Conversely, Kansas typically enters seeing an uptick in motivation but historically falls short—and as favourites—which has led many sharp bettors to view this as a spot for K-State to dominate or cash early.
KSTATE trend: Kansas State enters the game having covered the spread in a majority of their recent conference matchups, including a key road win earlier in the season that saw them exceed expectations in Big 12 play, signaling strong discipline and consistent performance against the number.
KANSAS trend: The Jayhawks, meanwhile, have struggled yet again versus the spread in recent seasons—especially in high-variance rivalry games—failing to cover in an extended streak of losses to Kansas State, which raises concern for bettors and fans alike looking for signs of life.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Kansas State vs. Kansas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Kansas State vs Kansas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| KSTATE Moneyline | +125 |
|---|---|
| KANSAS Moneyline | -150 |
| KSTATE Spread | +2.5 |
| KANSAS Spread | -2.5 |
| Over / Under | 54.5 |
Kansas State vs Kansas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1258
-5049
|
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
|
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-135
+110
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-136
+111
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 66.5 (-110)
U 66.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+170
-212
|
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
|
O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-128
|
-2 (-110)
|
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+380
-526
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-130
+106
|
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
|
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+151
-187
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 58 (-110)
U 58 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+165
-200
|
+4 (-105)
-4 (-115)
|
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+172
-216
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Kansas State Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks on October 25, 2025 at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |