South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 23)

Updated: 2025-10-16T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The South Alabama Jaguars (1–6) travel to face the Georgia State Panthers (1–5) on October 23, 2025. The Jaguars are seeking answers on the road after a string of narrow losses, while the Panthers — at home — are under pressure to reverse their declining trend.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 23, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Center Parc Credit Union Stadium​

Panthers Record: (1-6)

Jaguars Record: (1-6)

OPENING ODDS

SBAMA Moneyline: -220

GAST Moneyline: +180

SBAMA Spread: -5.5

GAST Spread: +5.5

Over/Under: 55.5

SBAMA
Betting Trends

  • The Jaguars are 1–5 overall and have struggled to hit against the spread in Sun Belt contests, offering little confidence in their ATS performance away from home.

GAST
Betting Trends

  • The Panthers are 1–5 overall and 0–3 in conference play, with defensive metrics among the worst in the league, which has impacted their ATS value despite home-field expectations.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Georgia State allows an average of 41+ points per game (ranking 135th of 136), while South Alabama has lost five straight and often fails to sustain drives late in games. This makes the spread and total lines especially intriguing, as both teams present vulnerabilities ATS.

SBAMA vs. GAST
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Voisin under 77.5 Receiving Yards.

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South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/23/25

The upcoming Sun Belt matchup between the South Alabama Jaguars and the Georgia State Panthers on October 23, 2025, presents a battle between two teams desperate to reclaim momentum in a season marred by inconsistency and frustration. Both squads enter Week 9 with just one win apiece and similar struggles on both sides of the ball, making this a crucial game not only for confidence but also for postseason viability in a tight conference race. South Alabama, under head coach Major Applewhite, has flashed moments of offensive brilliance but continues to self-destruct in key moments, particularly with turnovers and third-down inefficiency. Quarterback Bishop Davenport has shown potential as a dual-threat passer, throwing for over 1,500 yards and adding mobility to extend plays, yet his decision-making under pressure has been inconsistent. Running back Kentrel Bullock has been the offensive stabilizer, averaging just under 5.0 yards per carry, while wideouts Caullin Lacy and Jamaal Pritchett have been reliable targets when the protection holds. The Jaguars’ offensive line, however, has allowed far too many pressures, which has forced South Alabama to abandon its rhythm, especially in road environments. On the other side, Georgia State has endured a similar fate, struggling to find offensive identity while dealing with one of the nation’s most porous defenses.

The Panthers, now led by head coach Dell McGee in his first full season, rank near the bottom of the FBS in scoring defense, surrendering over 40 points per game. Quarterback Christian Veilleux has shown flashes of competence when given time to throw, connecting with receiver Robert Lewis as a consistent deep threat, but the lack of a dependable run game has placed too much weight on the passing attack. Defensively, Georgia State’s 4-2-5 scheme has not been able to contain explosive plays, and opponents have shredded them on early downs, keeping the Panthers in constant catch-up mode. The key matchup here centers on which defense can get off the field on third down—both rank outside the top 100 nationally in that metric—and which offense can maintain balance long enough to sustain drives. Special teams could also prove pivotal; both teams have kickers with accuracy concerns, and field position will matter in what could be a low-possession, turnover-driven contest. The Jaguars enter with slightly better statistical efficiency in red-zone scoring and overall EPA/play, but Georgia State’s home-field energy and desperation could narrow the gap. Expect a game filled with momentum swings, with both offenses taking aggressive shots to break through stagnant drives. Whichever team wins the turnover battle and finds rhythm through its quarterback’s composure will likely dictate the outcome. While South Alabama’s superior passing attack gives them a narrow edge on paper, Georgia State’s emotional edge and home environment could create just enough chaos to make this one of the most unpredictable games in the Sun Belt this week.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

South Alabama Jaguars CFB Preview

The South Alabama Jaguars enter this Week 9 road matchup at Georgia State determined to finally translate their flashes of potential into a full four-quarter performance. Under head coach Major Applewhite, the Jaguars have shown a knack for starting fast but have repeatedly faltered late, particularly in conference play where execution and discipline have been lacking. Quarterback Bishop Davenport remains the key to the offense’s identity—a dual-threat playmaker capable of stretching defenses both vertically and horizontally, yet prone to costly turnovers when forced to press. Davenport’s arm talent and mobility make him dangerous when the pocket holds, but too often he has been under siege due to inconsistent protection from an offensive line that has surrendered among the highest pressure rates in the Sun Belt. Running back Kentrel Bullock gives the Jaguars a legitimate workhorse in the backfield, averaging close to five yards per carry, and his ability to churn out tough yards after contact will be essential against a Georgia State front seven that has struggled to maintain gap integrity. South Alabama’s offensive approach leans on tempo and spacing, aiming to open up quick throws to receivers Caullin Lacy and Jamaal Pritchett, both of whom can turn short gains into explosive plays.

However, the Jaguars’ biggest issue has been red-zone execution, ranking near the bottom of the league in touchdown percentage once inside the 20, a problem that must be solved if they hope to steal a road victory. Defensively, South Alabama has been up and down, with the secondary often playing bend-but-don’t-break football, while the front seven struggles to generate consistent pressure. Linebacker Quentin Wilfawn anchors the middle with steady tackling, but the Jaguars’ inability to force turnovers has limited their defensive impact. Against Georgia State, that could change—Panthers quarterback Christian Veilleux has been pressured into mistakes, and the Jaguars’ defense will look to capitalize with disguised blitzes and tighter zone coverage. Special teams consistency will also matter; kicker Diego Guajardo has been dependable from short range, but field position will be a premium given both teams’ offensive volatility. The Jaguars’ path to victory lies in finding rhythm early, protecting Davenport, and avoiding the self-inflicted penalties and turnovers that have haunted them all season. If they can establish Bullock on the ground and control possession, they have enough firepower to keep Georgia State’s defense on its heels. However, road performance has been a lingering concern—South Alabama has dropped multiple away games this year by slim margins after leading at halftime. This trip to Atlanta represents more than another Sun Belt test; it’s an opportunity to prove they can finish games, convert scoring chances, and play with the composure needed to close out tight contests. If Applewhite’s team finally puts it together for four quarters, South Alabama could leave with a hard-earned win that redefines their late-season trajectory.

The South Alabama Jaguars (1–6) travel to face the Georgia State Panthers (1–5) on October 23, 2025. The Jaguars are seeking answers on the road after a string of narrow losses, while the Panthers — at home — are under pressure to reverse their declining trend. South Alabama vs Georgia State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Oct 23. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Georgia State Panthers CFB Preview

The Georgia State Panthers return to Center Parc Stadium on October 23, 2025, looking to reestablish pride and direction in a season that has spiraled into frustration. Head coach Dell McGee’s first full campaign in Atlanta has been marked by growing pains on both sides of the ball, as the Panthers have struggled to maintain consistency and identity through six games. At 1–5 overall and winless in conference play, Georgia State has faced difficulties in both scoring and preventing points, ranking near the bottom nationally in both categories. Quarterback Christian Veilleux, who transferred in to stabilize the offense, has shown flashes of promise with his poise and arm strength but has been plagued by erratic protection and limited run support. The offensive line has given up frequent pressures, forcing the Panthers to rely on quick reads and checkdowns rather than the vertical attack McGee envisioned. Running back Marcus Carroll, one of the Sun Belt’s more dependable backs in past seasons, has struggled to find lanes behind a retooled front, putting additional pressure on Veilleux and the passing game. Wideout Robert Lewis remains the go-to target, offering speed and separation skills that can challenge South Alabama’s secondary, but he’ll need help from the supporting cast—particularly the slot receivers and tight ends—to diversify the offense and avoid predictability.

Defensively, coordinator Kevin Sherrer’s 4-2-5 scheme has been unable to find its footing, allowing over 40 points per game while struggling with tackling fundamentals and gap discipline. The secondary has been exploited repeatedly by big plays, and if Georgia State can’t generate a pass rush, South Alabama’s Bishop Davenport could find time to pick them apart. However, playing at home presents an opportunity for the Panthers to reset; crowd energy and comfort within their own environment could help the defense fly around more aggressively and reestablish a physical presence at the line of scrimmage. The key will be stopping the run early to force South Alabama into third-and-long situations, where Georgia State’s pass defense can deploy disguised coverages and blitz packages. Special teams, a bright spot for the Panthers, could also play a deciding role—kicker Liam Rickman has been steady, and return man C.J. Hawkins provides explosive potential to flip field position. Emotionally, this game carries weight: Georgia State hasn’t won at home since early September and needs a complete performance to restore belief in McGee’s system. If the Panthers can play disciplined football, avoid turnovers, and lean on a faster tempo to keep South Alabama’s defense off balance, they have the tools to stay competitive deep into the fourth quarter. More than anything, Georgia State must rediscover its toughness and execution in critical moments, particularly on third downs and in red-zone possessions. A win here wouldn’t just snap a losing streak—it would serve as a statement that the Panthers are capable of turning the corner under a new regime and that their rebuild is trending in the right direction.

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Jaguars and Panthers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Center Parc Credit Union Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Voisin under 77.5 Receiving Yards.

South Alabama vs Georgia State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every angle between the Jaguars and Panthers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on South Alabama’s strength factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly tired Panthers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI South Alabama vs Georgia State picks, computer picks Jaguars vs Panthers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

South Alabama Betting Trends

The Jaguars are 1–5 overall and have struggled to hit against the spread in Sun Belt contests, offering little confidence in their ATS performance away from home.

Georgia State Betting Trends

The Panthers are 1–5 overall and 0–3 in conference play, with defensive metrics among the worst in the league, which has impacted their ATS value despite home-field expectations.

Jaguars vs. Panthers Matchup Trends

Georgia State allows an average of 41+ points per game (ranking 135th of 136), while South Alabama has lost five straight and often fails to sustain drives late in games. This makes the spread and total lines especially intriguing, as both teams present vulnerabilities ATS.

South Alabama vs. Georgia State Game Info

October 23, 2025 • 7:30 PM EST • Center Parc Credit Union Stadium

South Alabama vs. Georgia State Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the South Alabama vs Georgia State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

South Alabama vs Georgia State

South Alabama vs Georgia State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1258
-5049
+24 (-110)
-24 (-110)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-138
+112
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-136
+111
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 66.5 (-110)
U 66.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+186
-234
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-128
 
-2 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+370
-526
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-130
+106
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+151
-187
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 58 (-110)
U 58 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8PM
IND
OHIOST
+160
-199
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+172
-216
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 39 (-110)
U 39 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers South Alabama Jaguars vs. Georgia State Panthers on October 23, 2025 at Center Parc Credit Union Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN