UNLV vs Boise State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 18)

Updated: 2025-10-11T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

UNLV (6–0, 2–0 MW) travels to Boise on October 18, 2025, to take on Boise State (4–2, 2–0) in what looms as one of the marquee Mountain West showdowns of the season. The Rebels, riding a hot start under new head coach Dan Mullen, bring an aggressive offense and turnover-minded defense, while the Broncos hope to ground them with power football and home-field advantage.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 18, 2025

Start Time: 3:30 PM EST​

Venue: Albertsons Stadium​

Broncos Record: (4-2)

Rebels Record: (6-0)

OPENING ODDS

UNLV Moneyline: +307

BOISE Moneyline: -394

UNLV Spread: +10.5

BOISE Spread: -10.5

Over/Under: 63.5

UNLV
Betting Trends

  • As underdogs on the road, UNLV has occasionally punched above its weight—when their offense is firing and their defense forces takeaways, they’ve stayed competitive. But lapses and breakdowns have exposed them in tougher environments.

BOISE
Betting Trends

  • Boise State has been solid at home in conference games, leveraging altitude, fan energy, and a physical edge to pressure opponents—particularly in tight matchups where depth and fundamentals matter.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In prior meetings, when UNLV has won the turnover battle, their margin of victory tends to exceed the spread; if they lose the turnover battle, the game often becomes a decline-the-line contest favorable to Boise State.

UNLV vs. BOISE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Riley under 1.5 Total Touchdowns.

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UNLV vs Boise State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/18/25

The Mountain West spotlight shines brightly on Albertsons Stadium this Saturday as the undefeated UNLV Rebels travel to face the Boise State Broncos in a matchup that could shape the conference title race. The Rebels, riding an emotional and explosive start under new head coach Dan Mullen, bring a potent offensive attack that has overwhelmed defenses all season, while Boise State looks to defend its blue turf and reassert its dominance as the Mountain West’s most consistent powerhouse. For UNLV, this game is about validation—proving that their early success is sustainable against one of the league’s standard-bearers. Quarterback Anthony Colandrea has been exceptional in orchestrating Mullen’s high-tempo offense, balancing poise and creativity with quick reads and precision passing. His chemistry with receivers Jaden Bradley and Ricky White has produced fireworks, and when combined with the physical running of Jai’d’en Thomas, the Rebels boast one of the most balanced and unpredictable attacks in the conference. Their offensive line, however, will face its biggest challenge of the season against Boise State’s defensive front, led by edge rusher Ahmed Hassanein and linebacker DJ Schramm, who specialize in collapsing pockets and forcing hurried decisions. On the other side, Boise State’s offense is starting to regain rhythm behind quarterback Maddux Madsen, who continues to grow more comfortable commanding the playbook.

Running backs Ashton Jeanty and George Holani provide a formidable one-two punch, both capable of grinding out tough yardage and breaking big runs if given space. Boise’s offensive line will need to handle UNLV’s aggressive defensive front, which has thrived on creating turnovers and momentum-shifting plays. The matchup between UNLV’s opportunistic defense and Boise’s disciplined ground game could determine the flow of the game—if UNLV forces takeaways, they can tilt the field in their favor, but if Boise establishes early dominance on the ground, they’ll dictate tempo. Discipline and situational execution will be crucial, as both teams have excelled in red-zone efficiency and third-down conversion rates this season. Boise State will look to control possession and wear down UNLV’s defense, while the Rebels will aim to strike fast and capitalize on mismatches in space. The altitude, crowd noise, and energy of Boise’s home-field advantage could test UNLV’s composure, particularly if they fall behind early. Yet, Mullen’s squad has shown resilience and adaptability in pressure moments. With both programs sitting atop their divisions, this clash represents not just a battle for standings but a statement game for identity and legitimacy. Expect a physical, high-stakes contest featuring contrasting styles—Boise’s steady, methodical approach versus UNLV’s explosive aggression. Whichever team imposes its rhythm and wins the turnover battle will likely emerge as the frontrunner in the Mountain West title chase.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

UNLV Rebels CFB Preview

The UNLV Rebels enter their Week 8 matchup at Boise State as one of the most compelling storylines in college football, riding the momentum of an undefeated start and a newfound confidence under head coach Dan Mullen. After years of inconsistency, the Rebels have finally discovered their identity—a fast-paced, aggressive offensive unit complemented by a disruptive, turnover-hunting defense. Quarterback Anthony Colandrea has been the catalyst for this transformation, showcasing an impressive blend of arm talent, mobility, and decision-making. His ability to manipulate defenses with his eyes, extend plays with his legs, and deliver accurate throws downfield has made UNLV’s offense one of the most difficult in the Mountain West to contain. Colandrea’s chemistry with wideouts Jaden Bradley and Ricky White has fueled a dynamic passing attack that can stretch the field vertically while also excelling in quick-hitting timing routes. In the backfield, Jai’d’en Thomas provides a bruising element, powering through tackles and forcing defenses to respect the inside zone game, which opens up play-action opportunities for Colandrea. The offensive line has been consistent in both protection and run blocking, though this week’s matchup against Boise’s aggressive front seven will be their most physical test yet. Mullen’s offensive system thrives on tempo and rhythm, but in the thin air of Boise and under the noise of Albertsons Stadium, composure will be vital.

Defensively, UNLV’s resurgence has been equally important to their success. The front seven, led by linebackers Jackson Woodard and Fred Thompkins, has excelled in generating pressure and forcing negative plays. The Rebels’ secondary, featuring playmaker Jerrae Williams, has developed a knack for reading quarterbacks and jumping routes, often swinging momentum with key interceptions. However, the challenge of stopping Boise State’s balanced attack—anchored by the explosive running of Ashton Jeanty and the poise of quarterback Maddux Madsen—will test their discipline and endurance. For UNLV to pull off the upset, they must win at the line of scrimmage, contain the run early, and force Madsen into third-and-long situations where their blitz packages can thrive. Special teams, too, could be a deciding factor, and UNLV’s kick coverage units will need to stay sharp against a Boise squad known for exploiting field position. More than just another conference test, this game represents a potential turning point for the Rebels—a chance to announce themselves as a legitimate Mountain West contender. If Colandrea maintains his composure and the defense continues its opportunistic play, UNLV has the tools to go into one of college football’s toughest environments and walk away with a statement win that solidifies their place among the nation’s rising programs.

UNLV (6–0, 2–0 MW) travels to Boise on October 18, 2025, to take on Boise State (4–2, 2–0) in what looms as one of the marquee Mountain West showdowns of the season. The Rebels, riding a hot start under new head coach Dan Mullen, bring an aggressive offense and turnover-minded defense, while the Broncos hope to ground them with power football and home-field advantage. UNLV vs Boise State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Oct 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Boise State Broncos CFB Preview

The Boise State Broncos return to the blue turf of Albertsons Stadium for a pivotal Mountain West showdown against the undefeated UNLV Rebels, and they do so with both confidence and purpose. Under head coach Spencer Danielson, the Broncos have regained some of the swagger that defined their glory years, relying on physical play in the trenches, an improving quarterback in Maddux Madsen, and one of the most balanced rushing attacks in the conference. Madsen has grown into his role as the leader of this offense, showing composure and accuracy in high-leverage situations. His chemistry with wideouts like Eric McAlister and Latrell Caples has helped open up the field, while running backs Ashton Jeanty and George Holani continue to carry the identity of this team. Jeanty’s explosive burst and ability to break tackles make him one of the most dynamic offensive players in the country, and Holani’s veteran vision and toughness add reliability in short-yardage and red-zone situations. The offensive line has quietly been the backbone of Boise’s attack, giving Madsen the protection he needs to work through his reads and setting the tone for their inside zone running game. Against UNLV’s opportunistic defense, ball security and efficient early-down execution will be critical—Boise cannot afford turnovers or stalled drives that give the Rebels extra possessions.

Defensively, the Broncos have found their rhythm again, led by edge rusher Ahmed Hassanein, who has emerged as one of the conference’s premier pass disruptors. Linebacker DJ Schramm brings leadership and intensity to the middle, ensuring that the unit maintains gap discipline and communicates effectively against the Rebels’ motion-heavy scheme. The secondary, anchored by cornerback Seyi Oladipo and safety Tyreque Jones, will be tested vertically by UNLV’s high-powered passing game, so maintaining leverage and tackling in space will be vital. Boise’s defensive philosophy is built on forcing teams to earn every yard, and they’ll aim to make UNLV grind through long drives instead of generating quick strikes. The home-field advantage in Boise—altitude, crowd noise, and the fast track of the blue turf—remains one of the most underrated edges in college football, often wearing down visiting teams not used to the environment. Special teams could also swing this contest; kicker Jonah Dalmas has been as dependable as ever, while punter James Ferguson-Reynolds continues to flip field position with precision. If the Broncos establish control at the line of scrimmage and force UNLV into predictable passing downs, their defense has the tools to dictate tempo. This game serves as more than just a conference test—it’s a statement opportunity for Boise State to remind everyone that the road to a Mountain West title still runs through Idaho. A disciplined, physical, and balanced effort could allow the Broncos to deliver that reminder emphatically under the lights in front of a raucous home crowd.

UNLV vs Boise State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Rebels and Broncos play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Albertsons Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Riley under 1.5 Total Touchdowns.

UNLV vs Boise State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Rebels and Broncos and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Rebels team going up against a possibly tired Broncos team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI UNLV vs Boise State picks, computer picks Rebels vs Broncos, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

UNLV Betting Trends

As underdogs on the road, UNLV has occasionally punched above its weight—when their offense is firing and their defense forces takeaways, they’ve stayed competitive. But lapses and breakdowns have exposed them in tougher environments.

Boise State Betting Trends

Boise State has been solid at home in conference games, leveraging altitude, fan energy, and a physical edge to pressure opponents—particularly in tight matchups where depth and fundamentals matter.

Rebels vs. Broncos Matchup Trends

In prior meetings, when UNLV has won the turnover battle, their margin of victory tends to exceed the spread; if they lose the turnover battle, the game often becomes a decline-the-line contest favorable to Boise State.

UNLV vs. Boise State Game Info

October 18, 2025 • 3:30 PM EST • Albertsons Stadium

UNLV vs. Boise State Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the UNLV vs Boise State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

UNLV vs Boise State

UNLV vs Boise State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1000
-2500
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-135
+115
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-135
+115
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 66.5 (-105)
U 66.5 (-115)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+180
-220
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-125
 
-1.5 (-110)
O 43.5 (-105)
U 43.5 (-115)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+390
-550
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-135
+115
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+155
-180
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 58 (-110)
U 58 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+160
-185
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+165
-195
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers UNLV Rebels vs. Boise State Broncos on October 18, 2025 at Albertsons Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN