Central Michigan vs Bowling Green Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 18)

Updated: 2025-10-11T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Central Michigan Chippewas (3–3) travel to face the Bowling Green Falcons (3–3) on October 18, 2025, in a Mid–American Conference matchup that offers both teams an opportunity to pull ahead in the MAC standings. Bowling Green opens as a 5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 43 points, signaling a belief that this will be a tightly contended game.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 18, 2025

Start Time: 12:00 PM EST​

Venue: Doyt L. Perry Stadium​

Falcons Record: (3-3)

Chippewas Record: (3-3)

OPENING ODDS

CMICH Moneyline: +186

BGREEN Moneyline: -226

CMICH Spread: +6

BGREEN Spread: -6.0

Over/Under: 43.5

CMICH
Betting Trends

  • Central Michigan’s ATS track record in road games has been inconsistent this season, with several close losses highlighting vulnerability when off home field.

BGREEN
Betting Trends

  • Bowling Green has fared better at home in 2025, posting a 1–1 ATS mark in its home games and showing marginal strength in its local matchups.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Intriguingly, despite Bowling Green’s modest ATS record, in MAC matchups as a favorite of fewer than 7 points, home teams have covered only about 55% of the time over the past five seasons — suggesting a possibility for Central Michigan to sneak across the number if the game stays close.

CMICH vs. BGREEN
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

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Central Michigan vs Bowling Green Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/18/25

The October 18, 2025, MAC showdown between the Central Michigan Chippewas and the Bowling Green Falcons carries significant implications for both programs as they fight to stay above .500 and remain competitive in the conference standings. Both teams enter the matchup at 3–3, each having shown flashes of potential but also plagued by inconsistency that has kept them from breaking into the upper echelon of the MAC. Central Michigan, under first-year head coach Matt Drinkall, has begun to establish a clear identity rooted in physicality, time of possession, and defensive disruption. The Chippewas rely heavily on their ground game to set the tone, led by running backs Nahree Biggins and Marion Lukes, who provide a one-two punch of speed and power behind a gritty offensive line. However, their passing attack has been inconsistent, with quarterback Jase Bauer still working to find rhythm and timing in an offense that emphasizes balance but struggles in passing efficiency. Bowling Green, on the other hand, enters the game with a more established passing identity under head coach Scot Loeffler, who has built his team around efficient quarterback play and defensive opportunism. Quarterback Drew Pyne has been serviceable, using short, quick passes to neutralize pressure and control tempo, while running back Terion Stewart gives the Falcons a reliable downhill runner capable of moving the chains.

The key matchup in this game will likely come in the trenches—Central Michigan’s offensive line and run game versus Bowling Green’s front seven, which has been one of the better units in the conference in terms of limiting yards after contact. The Falcons’ defense, led by linebacker Darren Anders and defensive end Karl Brooks, excels at creating negative plays, ranking among the MAC’s best in tackles for loss and third-down stops. Central Michigan will look to counter that aggression with misdirection and screen passes to slow down Bowling Green’s pass rush, while their own defense—anchored by linebacker Kyle Moretti and safety Trey Jones—will aim to contain Pyne’s rhythm and force the Falcons into uncomfortable third-and-long situations. Special teams could also play a decisive role, with both teams relying on steady kicking units and strong punting games to control field position in what is expected to be a tight, low-scoring contest. The pace of play will favor the team that can dictate tempo and capitalize on red-zone opportunities, as both offenses have struggled to finish drives with touchdowns. If Central Michigan can dominate possession and win the turnover battle, they have a realistic shot at pulling off the road upset. However, if Bowling Green’s defense continues to generate pressure and their offense maintains its efficiency at home, the Falcons’ balance and composure could prove to be the difference. This matchup may not have national spotlight appeal, but within the MAC, it’s a classic test of resilience, execution, and grit that could define the trajectory for both programs heading into the latter half of the season.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Central Michigan Chippewas CFB Preview

The Central Michigan Chippewas enter their October 18, 2025, clash against Bowling Green with the urgency of a team still trying to establish its footing under first-year head coach Matt Drinkall, who has brought a renewed sense of discipline and toughness to Mount Pleasant. At 3–3, the Chippewas have shown flashes of progress but remain inconsistent, alternating between dominant stretches on the ground and costly lapses through the air. Offensively, Central Michigan’s identity is built around its physical running game, with Nahree Biggins and Marion Lukes serving as the focal points of an attack that averages over 150 rushing yards per contest. Biggins’ ability to break tackles and Lukes’ shiftiness in open space have made them a formidable duo when the offensive line opens lanes, but sustaining that success against a stout Bowling Green front seven will be crucial. Quarterback Jase Bauer has been efficient in spurts, particularly on designed rollouts and play-action looks, but he must improve his pocket awareness and accuracy to keep drives alive against one of the MAC’s better pass-rushing units. The Chippewas have been solid in the red zone, converting over 80% of their opportunities into points, yet they’ve struggled with turnovers—something Drinkall has emphasized cleaning up as the season progresses.

Defensively, Central Michigan’s strength lies in its front seven, anchored by linebacker Kyle Moretti and defensive lineman Robi Stuart, who have combined for multiple sacks and tackles for loss through the first half of the season. The Chippewas’ defense has held opponents to just under 24 points per game, relying on physicality and aggressive pursuit to offset limitations in their secondary. Against Bowling Green, their defensive game plan will likely focus on pressuring quarterback Drew Pyne and forcing him to make quick reads under duress while maintaining gap integrity to contain running back Terion Stewart. Central’s secondary, led by cornerback Trey Jones, will need to avoid giving up big plays, as explosive passes have been an issue in several of their losses. On special teams, kicker Tristan Mattson has been steady from within 40 yards, and the return game has provided occasional sparks, giving CMU valuable field position in tight contests. To pull off a road win, Central Michigan must dominate time of possession, establish early momentum with its rushing attack, and capitalize on turnovers—an area where Bowling Green has been vulnerable at times. The Chippewas have a history of gritty road performances in the MAC, and if they can play clean football while leaning on their physical strengths, Drinkall’s squad could walk away with a statement victory that signifies real progress for a program eager to reassert itself as a contender in the conference.

The Central Michigan Chippewas (3–3) travel to face the Bowling Green Falcons (3–3) on October 18, 2025, in a Mid–American Conference matchup that offers both teams an opportunity to pull ahead in the MAC standings. Bowling Green opens as a 5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 43 points, signaling a belief that this will be a tightly contended game. Central Michigan vs Bowling Green AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Oct 18. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Bowling Green Falcons CFB Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons return home to Doyt L. Perry Stadium on October 18, 2025, looking to capitalize on momentum and continue their steady climb toward bowl eligibility under head coach Scot Loeffler. Sitting at 3–3, the Falcons have shown that when their balanced offense and opportunistic defense click in unison, they can compete with anyone in the MAC. Quarterback Drew Pyne has become the steadying presence this team needed under center, managing games effectively with his short passing accuracy and poise in the pocket. While not a quarterback known for flashy downfield throws, Pyne thrives within Loeffler’s system, which emphasizes quick reads, motion, and an efficient tempo to keep defenses off balance. Running back Terion Stewart remains the backbone of Bowling Green’s offense, averaging close to 4.5 yards per carry and providing the physical edge necessary to control the pace. When the Falcons can establish Stewart early, their play-action passing attack opens up for receivers like Odieu Hiliare and tight end Harold Fannin Jr., both of whom have been reliable red-zone targets this season. Bowling Green’s offensive line has held up admirably, allowing the fewest sacks of any MAC East team, but they’ll face a stern test against Central Michigan’s aggressive front seven, which thrives on penetration and gap control. Defensively, Bowling Green’s identity remains rooted in pressure and physicality. Linebacker Darren Anders leads the unit with his sideline-to-sideline range, while defensive end Karl Brooks has continued to wreak havoc in opposing backfields, consistently drawing double teams and freeing up space for blitz packages.

The Falcons rank among the conference’s best in tackles for loss and have held opponents to under 3.8 yards per carry, a mark that will be tested by Central Michigan’s run-heavy offense. The secondary, anchored by cornerback Jalen Huskey and safety Jordan Oladokun, has improved in communication and spacing, helping limit explosive plays—an area that plagued the team last year. Against the Chippewas, the defense’s primary goal will be to force Jase Bauer into passing situations and capitalize on any errant throws, as Bowling Green has been one of the MAC’s top takeaway teams this season. Special teams have also been a quiet strength, with kicker Mason Lawler providing consistency and punter Rhys Burns flipping field position with precision. Playing at home, the Falcons have shown confidence and composure, averaging nearly seven points more per game than on the road, and that energy will be key in a matchup expected to be dictated by line play and turnovers. Loeffler’s team understands the stakes—win, and they move closer to bowl eligibility and potential MAC East contention; lose, and they risk slipping back into the middle pack. Expect Bowling Green to attack early with tempo, rely on Stewart to wear down the defense, and let their defense dictate the game’s rhythm. If the Falcons execute their balanced game plan and minimize mistakes, they’ll be well-positioned to secure a hard-fought victory in front of their home crowd.

Central Michigan vs Bowling Green Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Chippewas and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Doyt L. Perry Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

Central Michigan vs Bowling Green Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Chippewas and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Bowling Green’s strength factors between a Chippewas team going up against a possibly unhealthy Falcons team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Central Michigan vs Bowling Green picks, computer picks Chippewas vs Falcons, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Central Michigan Betting Trends

Central Michigan’s ATS track record in road games has been inconsistent this season, with several close losses highlighting vulnerability when off home field.

Bowling Green Betting Trends

Bowling Green has fared better at home in 2025, posting a 1–1 ATS mark in its home games and showing marginal strength in its local matchups.

Chippewas vs. Falcons Matchup Trends

Intriguingly, despite Bowling Green’s modest ATS record, in MAC matchups as a favorite of fewer than 7 points, home teams have covered only about 55% of the time over the past five seasons — suggesting a possibility for Central Michigan to sneak across the number if the game stays close.

Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green Game Info

October 18, 2025 • 12:00 PM EST • Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Central Michigan vs Bowling Green trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Central Michigan vs Bowling Green

Central Michigan vs Bowling Green Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1300
-2500
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-135
+110
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-130
+110
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
O 66.5 (-115)
U 66.5 (-105)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+184
-220
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 58.5 (-115)
U 58.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-132
 
-1.5 (-115)
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+430
-560
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-134
+114
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
O 48.5 (-106)
U 48.5 (-114)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+156
-186
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+158
-188
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
O 47.5 (-114)
U 47.5 (-106)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+172
-210
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Bowling Green Falcons on October 18, 2025 at Doyt L. Perry Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN