Arizona State vs Utah Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 11)

Updated: 2025-10-04T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Utah (4–1) hosts Arizona State (4–1) on October 11 in a Big 12 showdown loaded with implications, pitting Utah’s balanced offense and stingy defense against ASU’s rising momentum. Arizona State enters averaging 29.2 points per game and 5.80 yards per play, while Utah’s offense is among the league’s most efficient with 6.09 yards per play and a red-zone scoring rate of 96 %.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 11, 2025

Start Time: 10:15 PM EST​

Venue: Rice-Eccles Stadium​

Utes Record: (4-1)

Sun Devils Record: (4-1)

OPENING ODDS

ARIZST Moneyline: +159

UTAH Moneyline: -190

ARIZST Spread: +5.5

UTAH Spread: -5.5

Over/Under: 48.5

ARIZST
Betting Trends

  • Arizona State has covered just 30.9 % of third downs (21 of 68) and owns a 4–1 record this season, but its ATS performance has often lagged behind actual wins as the Sun Devils sometimes under-deliver relative to expectations.

UTAH
Betting Trends

  • Utah has been dominant this season, with a 61.11 % third-down conversion rate, 13 rushing touchdowns, and an offense that converts red-zone trips at 96 %, metrics that suggest they often outpace projections at home.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • While Utah thrives on converting possessions into touchdowns (96 % red zone success), Arizona State also boasts a strong red zone rate—86.36 %. The contrast between Utah’s third-down efficiency (61.11 %) and ASU’s lower 30.88 % third-down conversion rate could decide who sustains drives and who settles for field goals.

ARIZST vs. UTAH
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Leavitt over 182.5 Passing Yards.

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Arizona State vs Utah Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/11/25

The October 11, 2025 matchup between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Utah Utes at Rice-Eccles Stadium is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing Big 12 showdowns of the week, featuring two teams with identical 4–1 records but vastly different offensive identities. Utah enters the contest as a methodical, disciplined powerhouse built on physicality, efficiency, and execution, while Arizona State brings a more dynamic, spread-based attack that thrives on tempo and creativity. For Utah, the formula has been simple yet brutally effective — control the line of scrimmage, dominate possession, and punish opponents in the red zone. Through five games, the Utes have averaged 6.09 yards per play, with 1,213 rushing yards on 223 carries (5.44 yards per rush) and 1,133 passing yards with 12 touchdowns to just three interceptions. Their 61% third-down conversion rate and staggering 96% red-zone success mark are testaments to a team that wastes few opportunities. Quarterback Cam Rising, now fully healthy, has been the catalyst, efficiently orchestrating an offense that rarely beats itself. Running back Ja’Quinden Jackson leads a bruising ground game that sets up play-action passes to tight ends Brant Kuithe and Landen King, giving Utah one of the most balanced attacks in the country. Defensively, Utah has maintained its trademark toughness, allowing just 5.04 yards per play while excelling in situational defense, where opponents convert only about 31% of their third downs. The front seven, led by defensive tackle Junior Tafuna and linebacker Karene Reid, continues to dominate the trenches, while the secondary, featuring Zemaiah Vaughn and Cole Bishop, has kept big plays to a minimum. Arizona State, meanwhile, arrives in Salt Lake City riding a wave of confidence after winning four straight following an early setback. Under head coach Kenny Dillingham, the Sun Devils have found offensive balance behind a young, talented core.

Quarterback Trenton Bourguet has passed for over 1,000 yards with eight touchdowns and just three interceptions, showing improved pocket poise and command of Dillingham’s system. The running game, powered by Cam Skattebo’s 5.2 yards per carry and versatility as both a rusher and receiver, gives ASU a physical edge when needed, while the emergence of wideout Elijhah Badger provides a consistent deep threat. Statistically, ASU averages 5.8 yards per play, but their biggest weakness lies in third-down efficiency, converting only 30.8% of their attempts — a troubling figure against one of the best third-down defenses in the nation. The Sun Devils’ defense, though improved, has been inconsistent, allowing 4.83 yards per play while struggling to generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Their best chance to slow down Utah’s methodical offense will come from forcing turnovers and limiting early-down success, as Utah’s balance makes them lethal when ahead of the chains. This matchup could become a stylistic chess match — Utah’s physical grind versus ASU’s speed and misdirection. The Sun Devils will need to start fast and avoid falling into long third-down situations, while Utah will look to establish dominance early through its offensive line and suffocating defense. Ultimately, Utah’s combination of experience, home-field advantage, and efficiency in high-leverage situations gives it the upper hand, but Arizona State’s offensive explosiveness could make things interesting if they can turn this into a tempo-driven game. Expect a physical, grind-it-out battle that tests each team’s endurance and execution, with Utah’s steady hand and red-zone precision likely proving decisive in the end.

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Arizona State Sun Devils CFB Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils head into their October 11, 2025 matchup at Rice-Eccles Stadium against the Utah Utes with quiet confidence and a renewed sense of identity under head coach Kenny Dillingham. Now sitting at 4–1, ASU has become one of the Big 12’s most intriguing teams, blending tempo, creativity, and balance in an offense that has started to click in recent weeks. The Sun Devils are averaging 29.2 points per game and 5.8 yards per play, fueled by the steady play of quarterback Trenton Bourguet and the versatility of running back Cam Skattebo, who has proven to be the team’s offensive heartbeat. Bourguet has passed for over 1,000 yards with eight touchdowns to just three interceptions, commanding Dillingham’s up-tempo spread offense with poise and efficiency. His quick release and accuracy on short and intermediate throws have allowed Arizona State to move the chains methodically, even when the deep ball isn’t there. Skattebo, meanwhile, has been the ultimate safety valve — averaging over 5.2 yards per carry and contributing as a reliable receiver out of the backfield. The Sun Devils’ offensive line has improved since last season, but facing Utah’s defensive front will be one of their biggest challenges yet. The Utes’ front seven, known for its physicality and gap discipline, will test ASU’s ability to sustain drives and protect Bourguet from interior pressure. Wide receivers Elijhah Badger and Jalin Conyers will be critical in stretching the field and finding soft spots against Utah’s zone coverage schemes. Defensively, Arizona State remains a work in progress, though it has shown noticeable strides in tackling and discipline compared to last year.

The Sun Devils are allowing just under 5 yards per play and have been particularly strong in the red zone, where opponents are scoring touchdowns on only about two-thirds of their trips. Linebackers Will Shaffer and Tate Romney have anchored the defense with consistent effort and communication, while cornerbacks Ro Torrence and Ed Woods form a reliable duo in the secondary. The defensive key for ASU will be to limit Utah’s ground game early, forcing quarterback Cam Rising to make plays on third down rather than letting Utah control tempo through its physical rushing attack. Arizona State’s biggest statistical concern remains third-down offense — converting just 30.8% of attempts — and that could spell trouble against Utah’s defense, which thrives on forcing opponents into long-yardage situations. To have a shot in Salt Lake City, the Sun Devils must find success on early downs, protect the football, and capitalize on every red-zone opportunity. Their 86% red-zone conversion rate suggests they can finish drives when they get deep into opposing territory, but getting there consistently will be the test. Special teams could also factor heavily, as kicker Dario Longhetto and return man Xavier Guillory will need to help ASU win the field-position battle. The environment at Rice-Eccles Stadium, one of the toughest in college football, will challenge the Sun Devils’ composure, but Dillingham’s team has shown resilience in hostile settings before. If Bourguet can stay poised, Skattebo can find running lanes, and the defense can generate one or two takeaways, ASU has the weapons to push Utah deep into the fourth quarter. However, to pull off the upset, the Sun Devils must play their most complete and mistake-free game of the season against a Utah team that rarely slips at home.

Utah (4–1) hosts Arizona State (4–1) on October 11 in a Big 12 showdown loaded with implications, pitting Utah’s balanced offense and stingy defense against ASU’s rising momentum. Arizona State enters averaging 29.2 points per game and 5.80 yards per play, while Utah’s offense is among the league’s most efficient with 6.09 yards per play and a red-zone scoring rate of 96 %.   Arizona State vs Utah AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Oct 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Utah Utes CFB Preview

The Utah Utes return home to Rice-Eccles Stadium on October 11, 2025, ready to showcase why they continue to be one of the most disciplined and consistent programs in the Big 12 under head coach Kyle Whittingham. At 4–1, the Utes are once again built around balance, execution, and physicality — a formula that has defined their identity for years. Utah’s offense has been firing on all cylinders this season, averaging 6.09 yards per play and over 32 points per game while converting an elite 61% of their third downs. Quarterback Cam Rising, now fully healthy after missing most of last season, has brought stability and leadership back to the offense, throwing for over 1,100 yards with 12 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Rising’s command of the offense has allowed Utah to control tempo and dictate matchups, spreading defenses thin with precision passing while maintaining the program’s trademark power-running game. Running back Ja’Quinden Jackson has been a force between the tackles, leading the team with over 500 rushing yards and 7 total touchdowns while averaging better than 5 yards per carry. His ability to grind out tough yardage has made play-action deadly, particularly when Rising looks to tight ends Brant Kuithe and Landen King over the middle. The Utes have also excelled in the red zone, converting a staggering 96% of their scoring opportunities — a testament to their situational awareness and physical edge at the line of scrimmage. Defensively, Utah remains among the most sound and hard-nosed units in the country, allowing just 5.04 yards per play and holding opponents to a meager 31% third-down conversion rate.

The defensive line, anchored by Junior Tafuna and Van Fillinger, has consistently won in the trenches, while linebackers Karene Reid and Levani Damuni have brought speed and intensity to the second level. The secondary, featuring veteran safety Cole Bishop and cornerback Zemaiah Vaughn, continues to be a strength, combining physical coverage with opportunistic ball skills that limit explosive plays. Against Arizona State, Utah’s focus will be to contain dual-threat running back Cam Skattebo and prevent quarterback Trenton Bourguet from finding rhythm in the short passing game. The Utes’ defensive front will aim to collapse the pocket quickly, forcing Bourguet to make hurried throws while keeping him off schedule on early downs. Offensively, Utah will look to exploit ASU’s defensive tendencies with sustained drives that mix power running, play-action, and tempo control. Expect the Utes to lean heavily on their offensive line, which has been one of the most reliable in the Big 12, allowing Rising ample time to read the field and open up downfield shots to wideout Mikey Matthews, who has emerged as a versatile playmaker. The home-field advantage at Rice-Eccles Stadium cannot be overstated — the elevation, crowd energy, and Utah’s poise at home have made it one of the toughest places to win in college football. Utah has covered the spread in 11 of its last 14 home games, a reflection of how dominant they’ve been under Whittingham’s preparation and execution. To win this matchup, Utah simply needs to play its game: win on first down, finish in the red zone, and control time of possession. If they maintain that standard, the Utes should continue their march toward another conference title run, reaffirming their reputation as the Big 12’s most complete and battle-tested team.

Arizona State vs Utah Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Sun Devils and Utes play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Leavitt over 182.5 Passing Yards.

Arizona State vs Utah Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Sun Devils and Utes and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor human bettors tend to put on Arizona State’s strength factors between a Sun Devils team going up against a possibly rested Utes team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

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Below is our current AI Arizona State vs Utah picks, computer picks Sun Devils vs Utes, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Arizona State Betting Trends

Arizona State has covered just 30.9 % of third downs (21 of 68) and owns a 4–1 record this season, but its ATS performance has often lagged behind actual wins as the Sun Devils sometimes under-deliver relative to expectations.

Utah Betting Trends

Utah has been dominant this season, with a 61.11 % third-down conversion rate, 13 rushing touchdowns, and an offense that converts red-zone trips at 96 %, metrics that suggest they often outpace projections at home.

Sun Devils vs. Utes Matchup Trends

While Utah thrives on converting possessions into touchdowns (96 % red zone success), Arizona State also boasts a strong red zone rate—86.36 %. The contrast between Utah’s third-down efficiency (61.11 %) and ASU’s lower 30.88 % third-down conversion rate could decide who sustains drives and who settles for field goals.

Arizona State vs. Utah Game Info

October 11, 2025 • 10:15 PM EST • Rice-Eccles Stadium

Arizona State vs. Utah Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Arizona State vs Utah trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Arizona State vs Utah

Arizona State vs Utah Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1258
-5049
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-135
+110
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-136
+111
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 66.5 (-110)
U 66.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+170
-212
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-128
 
-2 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+380
-526
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-130
+106
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+151
-187
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 58 (-110)
U 58 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+165
-200
+4 (-105)
-4 (-115)
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+172
-216
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Utah Utes on October 11, 2025 at Rice-Eccles Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN