Alabama vs Missouri Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 11)

Updated: 2025-10-04T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Alabama visits Missouri on October 11, 2025, looking to assert dominance in the SEC and further its case as a national title contender. Missouri, unbeaten at home so far this season, will aim to turn a marquee home game into a signature upset.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 11, 2025

Start Time: 12:00 PM EST​

Venue: Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field​

Tigers Record: (5-0)

Crimson Tide Record: (4-1)

OPENING ODDS

BAMA Moneyline: -166

MIZZOU Moneyline: +138

BAMA Spread: -3.5

MIZZOU Spread: +3.5

Over/Under: 52.5

BAMA
Betting Trends

  • Alabama has covered a solid number of road games in recent seasons, particularly when favored, and bettors expect it to lean on its road resiliency in this matchup.

MIZZOU
Betting Trends

  • Missouri has performed well at home in 2025, often covering the spread in SEC contests, especially when the line favors them slightly or the total is moderate.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In early markets, the total has moved upward, signaling expectations for more offense than defense in this matchup—implying betting confidence in explosive plays and vertical passing success.

BAMA vs. MIZZOU
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Simpson under 292.5 Passing Yards.

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Alabama vs Missouri Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/11/25

The October 11, 2025 SEC clash between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Missouri Tigers at Faurot Field in Columbia is one of the weekend’s most intriguing conference matchups, featuring a powerhouse program trying to maintain its national dominance against an upstart that has quietly evolved into one of the SEC’s most complete teams. Alabama enters the game as a top-five contender, powered by a balanced offense and an improving defense that has found its identity under head coach Kalen DeBoer’s first full season in Tuscaloosa. Quarterback Jalen Milroe remains the face of the Crimson Tide offense, a dynamic dual-threat playmaker who has matured into a more efficient passer while retaining the explosive running ability that makes him such a matchup nightmare. His connection with wideouts Isaiah Bond and Germie Bernard has given Alabama a much more vertical passing element than in previous seasons, while the backfield combination of Justice Haynes and Jam Miller has added both power and depth to the run game. The Crimson Tide offensive line, once a question mark, has solidified into one of the SEC’s better units, paving the way for a balanced attack that averages nearly 6.5 yards per play. For Missouri, this matchup is a chance to validate its rise as a legitimate SEC threat under head coach Eli Drinkwitz. The Tigers boast one of the nation’s most potent offenses, led by quarterback Brady Cook and All-American wide receiver Luther Burden III, who continues to torch secondaries with his explosiveness after the catch. Burden’s presence forces defenses to account for him on every snap, which in turn has opened up running lanes for Cody Schrader, the SEC’s reigning rushing leader, whose combination of vision and burst has kept Missouri near the top of the conference in rushing efficiency.

On paper, Missouri’s offense has the tools to challenge Alabama’s defense, particularly through tempo and spacing concepts designed to exploit mismatches in coverage. The Tigers’ offensive line, though undersized compared to Alabama’s defensive front, has excelled in protection and quick-set blocking schemes that allow Cook to get the ball out fast. Defensively, Alabama’s challenge will be containing Burden without overcommitting resources that open up opportunities elsewhere. Edge rushers Dallas Turner and Keon Keeley will be tasked with disrupting Cook’s rhythm, while the Tide’s secondary, led by safety Caleb Downs, must stay disciplined in zone coverage and limit yards after the catch. Missouri’s defense, on the other hand, will need to find a way to contain Milroe’s mobility and force Alabama into obvious passing downs, a tall order given how comfortable the Tide have become mixing RPOs and vertical routes. Expect both teams to push the pace early, with Missouri trying to capitalize on quick strikes and Alabama aiming to wear the Tigers down with its physicality. Ultimately, this game could hinge on third-down execution and turnover margin—Missouri must play nearly flawless football to pull off the upset, while Alabama will look to assert control in the trenches and let its superior depth and discipline take over as the game progresses. It’s a classic SEC contrast of flash versus force, and if both teams play to their strengths, fans could be in for a shootout that tests Alabama’s championship poise and Missouri’s growing confidence as a true conference contender.

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Alabama Crimson Tide CFB Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide enter their October 11, 2025 road showdown against the Missouri Tigers with the same mission that has defined their program for decades — dominate the trenches, control tempo, and impose their will against any opponent. Under head coach Kalen DeBoer, Alabama has embraced a modernized offensive identity without sacrificing its trademark physicality, and that balance will be crucial against a surging Missouri squad that has proven capable of going blow-for-blow with top-tier competition. Quarterback Jalen Milroe has been the steady hand guiding Alabama’s resurgence, showing marked improvement in his decision-making and pocket poise while maintaining the explosive athleticism that makes him one of the most dangerous dual-threat quarterbacks in college football. Milroe’s chemistry with receivers Isaiah Bond and Germie Bernard has transformed the Crimson Tide passing attack into one of the SEC’s most efficient deep-ball offenses, while the backfield tandem of Justice Haynes and Jam Miller provides a blend of power, burst, and versatility that allows Alabama to dictate pace. The offensive line — a perennial strength in Tuscaloosa — has continued to progress, giving Milroe time to operate and creating consistent running lanes against even the most aggressive defensive fronts. Against Missouri’s defense, Alabama’s approach will be methodical: lean on the run early to wear down the front seven, use play-action to stretch the field, and rely on Milroe’s improvisational ability to extend drives when plays break down.

The Tide’s receivers will face one of their tougher matchups of the season against a Missouri secondary known for its discipline and physical coverage, but Alabama’s offensive depth gives them multiple options to attack different layers of the field. Defensively, Alabama’s front seven will look to disrupt Missouri’s rhythm early by pressuring quarterback Brady Cook and limiting running back Cody Schrader’s impact on the ground. The Crimson Tide defensive line, led by standout edge rushers Dallas Turner and Keon Keeley, will need to win one-on-one battles to collapse the pocket and force Cook into quick, pressured throws. Containing All-American receiver Luther Burden III will be a top priority, as his yards-after-catch ability has torched even the best SEC defenses; expect Alabama to roll safety help over the top and bracket him whenever possible. Linebacker play will also be critical, with Deontae Lawson anchoring a unit tasked with diagnosing Missouri’s pre-snap motion and keeping containment on perimeter screens and RPOs. The Tide’s secondary, featuring playmakers like safety Caleb Downs, must stay disciplined against Missouri’s vertical passing game and avoid giving up back-breaking explosives. On the road, crowd noise and early momentum swings will test Alabama’s composure, but this is a veteran team accustomed to handling pressure. The key will be maintaining focus, minimizing penalties, and capitalizing on Missouri’s mistakes — something Alabama has done with machine-like precision in big SEC games. If Milroe stays poised and the defense forces Cook into predictable passing situations, Alabama’s talent and physicality should eventually take control. Expect DeBoer’s team to lean on its balanced offense and opportunistic defense to grind down Missouri over four quarters, using experience, efficiency, and execution to turn a potentially tight contest into a defining SEC road victory.

Alabama visits Missouri on October 11, 2025, looking to assert dominance in the SEC and further its case as a national title contender. Missouri, unbeaten at home so far this season, will aim to turn a marquee home game into a signature upset. Alabama vs Missouri AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Oct 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Missouri Tigers CFB Preview

The Missouri Tigers return to Faurot Field on October 11, 2025, for one of the most anticipated games in school history — a high-stakes SEC clash against the powerhouse Alabama Crimson Tide. Under head coach Eli Drinkwitz, Missouri has transformed from a middle-of-the-pack program into a legitimate conference contender, combining explosive offense, disciplined defense, and an unshakable belief that they can compete with the SEC’s elite. Quarterback Brady Cook continues to lead one of the nation’s most efficient and balanced offenses, showing maturity and precision in his reads while maintaining the poise to thrive against pressure. His connection with All-American wide receiver Luther Burden III remains the focal point of Missouri’s attack, with Burden’s game-breaking ability to turn short completions into long gains posing a constant threat to opposing defenses. Complementing that air assault is running back Cody Schrader, the heart of Missouri’s offense and one of the most productive backs in the nation. Schrader’s blend of patience, power, and vision gives the Tigers the ability to control tempo and keep opposing defenses honest. Against Alabama’s front seven — one of the most athletic and physical units in the country — Missouri’s offensive line will face its toughest test yet. The key will be protecting Cook long enough for Burden and the receivers to find openings while creating enough space for Schrader to keep the Crimson Tide defense off balance.

Defensively, Missouri’s game plan will center on containing quarterback Jalen Milroe, whose dual-threat capability has given fits to every defense he’s faced. The Tigers’ front seven, led by defensive lineman Johnny Walker Jr. and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, must play with discipline, keeping containment and preventing Milroe from escaping the pocket for big gains. Expect Missouri to mix pressure looks with zone coverage, forcing Milroe to make tight-window throws and limiting his deep passing options. In the secondary, Ennis Rakestraw Jr. and Kris Abrams-Draine will anchor coverage duties, likely drawing assignments against Alabama’s speedy wideouts Isaiah Bond and Germie Bernard — a matchup that could define the outcome of the game. The Tigers must also win the turnover battle and excel in situational football, particularly on third downs and red-zone possessions, where Alabama’s efficiency often tilts the scales. Crowd energy will play a massive role in this contest; Missouri’s home fans have created a raucous atmosphere all season, and the Tigers will need to feed off that intensity from the first snap. If Missouri can start fast, hit a few early explosive plays, and keep Alabama’s offense off the field, they have the talent and experience to hang with the Tide deep into the fourth quarter. Drinkwitz’s team has embraced the underdog mentality before and thrived on defying expectations — but this game represents their biggest measuring stick yet. For Missouri to pull off the upset, they’ll need a near-perfect blend of execution, composure, and opportunism. If Cook stays poised, Schrader controls tempo, and Burden continues his All-American tear, the Tigers have a genuine chance to shock the college football world and solidify their status as a true SEC powerhouse.

Alabama vs Missouri Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Crimson Tide and Tigers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field in Oct almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: T. Simpson under 292.5 Passing Yards.

Alabama vs Missouri Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Crimson Tide and Tigers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending weight human bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Crimson Tide team going up against a possibly tired Tigers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Alabama vs Missouri picks, computer picks Crimson Tide vs Tigers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CFB 12/5 NOTEX@TULANE UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CFB 12/5 UNLV@BOISE UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CFB 12/5 NOTEX@TULANE UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Alabama Betting Trends

Alabama has covered a solid number of road games in recent seasons, particularly when favored, and bettors expect it to lean on its road resiliency in this matchup.

Missouri Betting Trends

Missouri has performed well at home in 2025, often covering the spread in SEC contests, especially when the line favors them slightly or the total is moderate.

Crimson Tide vs. Tigers Matchup Trends

In early markets, the total has moved upward, signaling expectations for more offense than defense in this matchup—implying betting confidence in explosive plays and vertical passing success.

Alabama vs. Missouri Game Info

October 11, 2025 • 12:00 PM EST • Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field

Alabama vs. Missouri Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Alabama vs Missouri trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.

Alabama vs Missouri

Alabama vs Missouri Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1500
-3600
+24.5 (-110)
-24.5 (-110)
O 47.5 (-105)
U 47.5 (-115)
Dec 5, 2025 7:10PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7:10PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-155
+130
-3 (-108)
+3 (-112)
O 62.5 (-105)
U 62.5 (-115)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-120
+100
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
O 66.5 (-112)
U 66.5 (-108)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+200
-245
+6 (-112)
-6 (-108)
O 59.5 (-110)
U 59.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-122
 
-1.5 (-112)
O 43.5 (-108)
U 43.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+390
-520
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-125
+105
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+150
-180
+4 (-112)
-4 (-108)
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8PM
IND
OHIOST
+160
-192
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 47.5 (-108)
U 47.5 (-112)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+164
-198
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
O 39.5 (-108)
U 39.5 (-112)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Missouri Tigers on October 11, 2025 at Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN