South Florida vs North Texas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Oct 10)
Updated: 2025-10-03T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
South Florida travels to Denton, Texas, to face the North Texas Mean Green on October 10, 2025, in what shapes up as a high-stakes American Athletic Conference clash. North Texas comes in undefeated and rolling, while USF hopes to prove it can hang with the conference’s upper echelon on the road.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 10, 2025
Start Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: DATCU Stadium
Mean Green Record: (5-0)
Bulls Record: (4-1)
OPENING ODDS
SFLA Moneyline: +100
NOTEX Moneyline: -121
SFLA Spread: +1.5
NOTEX Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 67.5
SFLA
Betting Trends
- The Bulls are 3-1-0 ATS so far this season.
NOTEX
Betting Trends
- The Mean Green are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- North Texas has been favored by double digits and has covered as a favorite in those high-line games, while USF has been perfect against the spread when favored by large margins this season.
SFLA vs. NOTEX
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mestemaker under 257.5 Passing Yards.
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South Florida vs North Texas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 10/10/25
The October 10, 2025, matchup between the South Florida Bulls and the North Texas Mean Green in Denton presents one of the more intriguing midseason clashes in the American Athletic Conference, as two explosive offenses collide with contrasting styles and plenty of postseason implications on the line. North Texas enters the game unbeaten and surging, powered by one of the most dynamic offenses in the league under head coach Eric Morris, whose fast-paced, spread-style system has shredded opposing defenses with both precision and tempo. The Mean Green have been executing at a near-elite level offensively, averaging close to 45 points per game behind an experienced quarterback who thrives at reading coverages, distributing the ball quickly, and exploiting defensive mismatches. His chemistry with a versatile group of receivers has been one of North Texas’ most consistent weapons, as they can stretch the field vertically and open lanes for the running backs, who have capitalized on a dominant offensive line that has controlled the trenches all season. Meanwhile, the South Florida Bulls arrive in Denton looking to measure themselves against one of the AAC’s most complete teams, with head coach Alex Golesh continuing to build a program centered around tempo, dual-threat quarterback play, and resilience. USF’s offense has shown growth week after week, led by a quarterback who can hurt defenses both through the air and on the ground, supported by a balanced attack that can pound the football or strike downfield when given single coverage.
The Bulls’ defense, however, faces its biggest challenge of the year, as they will need to handle North Texas’ relentless pace and avoid giving up quick, demoralizing scores. USF’s defensive line must find a way to create pressure without sacrificing contain, and their secondary must stay disciplined, as the Mean Green excel at exploiting blown assignments and missed tackles. Both teams rank among the AAC’s top half in offensive efficiency, making this contest likely to evolve into a shootout if either side struggles to establish defensive control early. North Texas’ home-field advantage, particularly with its fast turf and raucous crowd, adds another dimension, as the Mean Green have historically played their most confident football at DATCU Stadium, where their rhythm and confidence tend to flourish. South Florida’s key to keeping this close will be sustained drives that chew clock and limit North Texas’ possessions, as the Mean Green’s offensive output only grows more dangerous with repetition. Turnovers, special teams, and red-zone execution will be pivotal factors, as neither side can afford to squander scoring chances in what promises to be a high-paced affair. The Bulls must stay efficient on third downs, avoid pre-snap penalties, and rely on their quarterback’s mobility to escape pressure and extend drives. For North Texas, the formula is simpler: keep the tempo high, protect the football, and let their playmakers do what they do best—stretch the field and force defenses to play catch-up. While South Florida has the tools to make this competitive and possesses the athleticism to generate explosive plays, North Texas’ cohesion, offensive balance, and comfort in front of its home fans give them the upper hand. Expect the Mean Green to control the pace for most of the night, with South Florida fighting valiantly but ultimately struggling to keep up with the relentless rhythm and precision of a North Texas team playing its best football of the season.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
.@jeremiahtkoger making it look easy for his first career TD! 😤#ComeToTheBay | #StayInTheBay pic.twitter.com/EuKq690BI5
— USF Football (@USFFootball) October 5, 2025
South Florida Bulls CFB Preview
The South Florida Bulls travel to Denton, Texas, on October 10, 2025, to face the undefeated North Texas Mean Green in a matchup that will test both their resilience and growth under head coach Alex Golesh. USF has been steadily improving since Golesh took over, adopting an up-tempo offensive system that thrives on spacing, misdirection, and the dual-threat ability of its quarterback, who remains the focal point of the Bulls’ offensive identity. His ability to extend plays with his legs and make throws on the move has given South Florida a new level of unpredictability, though consistency in execution will be key against a disciplined North Texas defense. The Bulls’ offensive line, which has shown improvement in protection and run blocking, will face one of its toughest assignments of the season against a Mean Green front that loves to pressure and collapse pockets quickly. Establishing an effective run game early—both through designed runs and read-option plays—will be crucial in keeping North Texas honest and creating play-action opportunities downfield. USF’s receiving corps has developed into a versatile group, capable of stretching the field vertically and attacking soft zones underneath, which they’ll need to exploit to keep drives alive and sustain momentum. Defensively, the Bulls must play their most disciplined game of the year, as North Texas’ high-tempo offense will punish missed tackles and blown assignments. The front seven will need to win early downs and contain the run, as the Mean Green’s offense gains momentum quickly when ahead of schedule.
USF’s linebackers and safeties must communicate effectively and react decisively to motion and tempo changes to prevent chunk plays that could shift momentum. In the secondary, the Bulls must maintain tight coverage and force North Texas to drive the length of the field rather than allowing quick-strike scores. Creating turnovers will be a vital component of any upset bid; if USF’s defense can force takeaways and give its offense short fields, it can help offset North Texas’ offensive efficiency. Special teams, too, could prove decisive, with field position battles and kicking accuracy playing a larger role in what’s expected to be a fast-paced contest. On the road, composure will be as important as scheme—USF must avoid pre-snap penalties, turnovers, and missed assignments that could magnify under the pressure of a loud and energetic North Texas crowd. The Bulls have proven they can score in bunches, but sustaining that production against an aggressive defense will require balance and patience. Expect Golesh to mix tempo, RPOs, and misdirection to slow down the Mean Green’s pursuit and create opportunities for his quarterback to make plays both inside and outside the pocket. If USF can capitalize on red-zone chances, maintain possession, and force North Texas to play from behind, the Bulls could have a legitimate path to an upset. However, the margin for error is razor-thin, and their ability to adapt defensively to North Texas’ relentless pace will determine whether they can keep it competitive deep into the fourth quarter.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
North Texas Mean Green CFB Preview
The North Texas Mean Green enter their October 10, 2025, home matchup against the South Florida Bulls with confidence, momentum, and a clear goal—to stay unbeaten and continue their dominant start to the American Athletic Conference campaign. Under head coach Eric Morris, North Texas has emerged as one of the most exciting and explosive teams in the Group of Five, led by an offense that thrives on tempo, rhythm, and attacking defenses in multiple ways. The Mean Green have excelled in spreading the field, using quick reads and precision passing to stretch defenses horizontally before unleashing deep shots that test the secondary. Their quarterback, who has been nothing short of electric this season, orchestrates the offense with poise and control, thriving on pre-snap adjustments and quick decision-making that keeps the ball moving at a relentless pace. North Texas’ offensive line has been outstanding, both in protection and in creating running lanes for a versatile backfield capable of turning modest gains into long breakaway runs. The combination of a balanced run-pass attack and near-seamless execution has made UNT’s offense one of the most difficult to contain in the AAC. At home, their speed and timing are amplified by the energy of the crowd at DATCU Stadium, where the Mean Green have consistently played their best football. Defensively, North Texas has evolved from a unit known for volatility into one that thrives on pressure and opportunism. Their front seven is fast and aggressive, excelling at generating disruption in the backfield while maintaining strong gap discipline against the run.
The linebackers, physical and instinctive, will play a critical role in containing USF’s dual-threat quarterback, ensuring he cannot escape the pocket and extend drives with his legs. In the secondary, UNT’s defenders are disciplined in coverage and excel at jumping routes when quarterbacks get impatient, a trait that could prove pivotal against a Bulls offense that loves to push the ball downfield. For the Mean Green, the defensive emphasis will be on forcing South Florida into long, methodical drives rather than allowing explosive plays, knowing that consistency and patience are not always the Bulls’ strongest suits. Special teams have been another strength for North Texas this season, with dependable kicking and return units that can change field position in an instant. The home-field advantage cannot be overstated—the energy in Denton often helps UNT build early leads, and their tempo on offense only becomes more dangerous when playing ahead. For North Texas to maintain control, they must start fast, win the turnover battle, and prevent South Florida from settling into rhythm. The Mean Green’s offensive balance, defensive confidence, and coaching stability give them every reason to expect success. If they continue to execute with the same efficiency and aggression that has defined their season so far, North Texas should be able to overwhelm USF with pace and precision, feeding off their home crowd to extend drives, control possession, and wear down the Bulls’ defense over four quarters. With their sights set on an AAC title run, the Mean Green have the tools, leadership, and home-field dominance to stay perfect and keep their championship ambitions alive in front of their roaring fans in Denton.
⚫️⚫️⚫️#GMG🦅 pic.twitter.com/AXcBppWK4A
— UNT Football (@MeanGreenFB) October 5, 2025
South Florida vs North Texas Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Bulls and Mean Green play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at DATCU Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
South Florida vs North Texas Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Bulls and Mean Green and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on South Florida’s strength factors between a Bulls team going up against a possibly unhealthy Mean Green team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI South Florida vs North Texas picks, computer picks Bulls vs Mean Green, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
South Florida Betting Trends
The Bulls are 3-1-0 ATS so far this season.
North Texas Betting Trends
The Mean Green are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
Bulls vs. Mean Green Matchup Trends
North Texas has been favored by double digits and has covered as a favorite in those high-line games, while USF has been perfect against the spread when favored by large margins this season.
South Florida vs. North Texas Game Info
South Florida vs North Texas starts on October 10, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.
Venue: DATCU Stadium.
Spread: North Texas -1.5
Moneyline: South Florida +100, North Texas -121
Over/Under: 67.5
South Florida: (4-1) | North Texas: (5-0)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Mestemaker under 257.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
North Texas has been favored by double digits and has covered as a favorite in those high-line games, while USF has been perfect against the spread when favored by large margins this season.
SFLA trend: The Bulls are 3-1-0 ATS so far this season.
NOTEX trend: The Mean Green are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
South Florida vs. North Texas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each line. In fact, anytime the South Florida vs North Texas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| SFLA Moneyline | +100 |
|---|---|
| NOTEX Moneyline | -121 |
| SFLA Spread | +1.5 |
| NOTEX Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 67.5 |
South Florida vs North Texas Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1300
-2500
|
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
|
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-135
+110
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-130
+110
|
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
|
O 66.5 (-115)
U 66.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+184
-220
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 58.5 (-115)
U 58.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-132
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+430
-560
|
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-134
+114
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-106)
U 48.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+156
-186
|
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+158
-188
|
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-114)
U 47.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+172
-210
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers South Florida Bulls vs. North Texas Mean Green on October 10, 2025 at DATCU Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |