Volunteers vs. Bulldogs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 27 | CFB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-20T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Tennessee Volunteers will travel to Starkville on September 27, 2025, for an SEC clash against the Mississippi State Bulldogs, a matchup that promises physicality, pace, and plenty of storylines. Tennessee will aim to assert its offensive firepower, while Mississippi State looks to protect its home turf with defensive grit and opportunistic playmaking.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 27, 2025
Start Time: 4:15 PM EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field
Bulldogs Record: (4-0)
Volunteers Record: (3-1)
OPENING ODDS
TENN Moneyline: -299
MISSST Moneyline: +238
TENN Spread: -7.5
MISSST Spread: +7.5
Over/Under: 62.5
TENN
Betting Trends
- Tennessee has been solid ATS in recent conference games, particularly on the road, where their up-tempo offense has allowed them to cover spreads by pulling away in second halves.
MISSST
Betting Trends
- Mississippi State has been inconsistent ATS at home, often struggling to cover in games where opponents successfully neutralize their defensive front and control time of possession.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Head-to-head meetings between Tennessee and Mississippi State have frequently produced close results, with the underdog covering in several recent matchups, making this rivalry-style game one to watch for bettors who value momentum and situational trends.
TENN vs. MISSST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Thomas over 45.5 Rushing Yards.
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Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/27/25
Third downs will be a critical swing point, with Tennessee’s defense aiming to get off the field quickly to unleash their offense, while Mississippi State will try to sustain drives to keep the Volunteers’ weapons on the sideline. Special teams could prove decisive as well, with field position likely to play a major role in a game where one or two momentum-shifting plays can tilt the outcome. The coaching chess match will also be fascinating, as Tennessee’s staff will want to dictate pace and force Mississippi State to play from behind, while the Bulldogs’ staff will be banking on bending but not breaking defensively and taking advantage of Tennessee’s occasional over-aggressiveness on offense. Emotions will run high in an SEC atmosphere that is notoriously difficult for visitors, meaning Tennessee must stay disciplined to avoid penalties and turnovers that could give Mississippi State the opening it needs to seize control. Ultimately, this matchup comes down to whether Tennessee can impose its offensive explosiveness against a defense built to frustrate opponents, or whether Mississippi State can slow the game down, force the Volunteers into uncomfortable situations, and use their home-field advantage to grind out an upset win. With both teams motivated to gain an edge in the SEC standings, fans can expect a game that is as much about execution under pressure as it is about talent, with every possession magnified in what should be a compelling contest deep into the fourth quarter.
Our #NFLVols showed out in week 3 ⤵️
— Tennessee Football (@Vol_Football) September 24, 2025
Tennessee Volunteers CFB Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers head into their September 27, 2025, road matchup against the Mississippi State Bulldogs determined to prove that their offensive firepower and depth can travel into one of the most hostile environments in the SEC, and their ability to stay composed in Starkville will go a long way toward deciding the outcome. Tennessee’s identity this season has been built on speed, balance, and explosive playmaking, with their quarterback continuing to show poise in spreading the ball to multiple receivers who can stretch the field and exploit mismatches, while their ground game has provided an added layer of unpredictability that keeps defenses from locking into coverage shells. The Volunteers’ offensive line has been tested by some of the league’s most physical fronts, but they’ve held up well enough to allow the passing attack to develop, and they’ll need to be disciplined in cadence and execution to neutralize the noise created by Mississippi State’s home crowd and defensive front that feeds off momentum. On defense, Tennessee has been opportunistic, forcing turnovers and showing better consistency in red-zone situations, though tackling efficiency and communication in the secondary remain areas to monitor against a Bulldogs team that thrives on methodical drives and chewing up clock with short gains.
Playing on the road requires added discipline, and for Tennessee, that means limiting penalties, staying sharp on special teams, and making sure they don’t give Mississippi State short fields that could keep the crowd engaged and the game within reach. The Volunteers will likely lean on their tempo to wear down the Bulldogs’ defense, using quick completions, screens, and a mix of run-pass options to prevent substitutions and create mismatches against a unit that likes to dictate pace. Defensively, they will need to sell out to stop the run early, forcing Mississippi State into passing downs where their pass rushers can take advantage of longer developing plays, and that will hinge on winning in the trenches and setting the tone physically despite being the road team. The coaching staff has emphasized road poise, reminding the team that execution is what silences crowds, and that staying focused on fundamentals is the surest way to escape with a win in SEC play. If Tennessee can protect their quarterback, maintain balance on offense, and convert in the red zone, their superior athleticism and explosiveness should give them the edge, but they must avoid turnovers and mental lapses that could open the door for Mississippi State to spring an upset. In the end, the Volunteers’ road success will depend on their ability to control tempo, limit mistakes, and trust their identity as a team built to outscore opponents by sustaining pressure over four quarters, even in one of the most difficult places to play in the conference.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Mississippi State Bulldogs CFB Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs welcome the Tennessee Volunteers to Starkville on September 27, 2025, with the knowledge that protecting their home turf will require discipline, physicality, and opportunistic play in all three phases of the game, as this matchup pits their grind-it-out style against one of the SEC’s most explosive offenses. Mississippi State’s formula for success begins in the trenches, where their offensive line must establish consistent push to fuel a rushing attack that keeps Tennessee’s high-octane offense on the sidelines, and their backs must churn out steady yardage to create manageable third downs while controlling time of possession. The Bulldogs’ passing game is built more on efficiency than explosiveness, but if their quarterback can hit timely throws off play-action and avoid turnovers, they can sustain long drives that frustrate Tennessee’s defense and sap its energy. On defense, Mississippi State thrives on effort and toughness, anchored by a front seven that has been stout against the run and dangerous when blitzing in passing situations, and their ability to pressure Tennessee’s quarterback without giving up big plays downfield will be central to their chances. The secondary must play disciplined football against Tennessee’s talented receivers, limiting explosive plays and forcing the Volunteers to settle for short completions rather than quick strikes that can swing momentum.
Special teams could also tilt the contest, as Mississippi State cannot afford lapses in coverage against a Volunteers team that has been effective at flipping field position and creating opportunities off returns, and conversely, the Bulldogs could use a big play in the return game to spark the crowd and shift momentum. The environment at Davis Wade Stadium will provide a boost, as the noise and intensity of the fans can create communication issues for opposing offenses, and Mississippi State’s players often feed off that energy to elevate their performance, but discipline will be just as important, as costly penalties or turnovers can negate any home-field advantage. The Bulldogs’ coaching staff will likely aim to slow the pace, leaning on a controlled tempo and aggressive defensive play-calling to keep the Volunteers uncomfortable, while emphasizing the need for their players to capitalize on every scoring opportunity, knowing that field goals instead of touchdowns may not be enough against Tennessee’s prolific attack. For Mississippi State, the key will be staying within their identity, playing smart, physical football, and using complementary play between offense, defense, and special teams to maximize efficiency and limit Tennessee’s chances to break the game open. If they can execute their plan, create a turnover or two, and keep the game within striking distance into the fourth quarter, the Bulldogs will give themselves a legitimate shot at pulling off the upset, proving that their brand of SEC toughness can still topple even the most dynamic offenses when they defend their house with grit and determination.
𝚃𝚘-𝙳𝚘 𝙻𝚒𝚜𝚝:
— Mississippi State Football (@HailStateFB) September 24, 2025
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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prop Picks (AI)
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Volunteers and Bulldogs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on Mississippi State’s strength factors between a Volunteers team going up against a possibly strong Bulldogs team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Tennessee vs Mississippi State picks, computer picks Volunteers vs Bulldogs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Volunteers Betting Trends
Tennessee has been solid ATS in recent conference games, particularly on the road, where their up-tempo offense has allowed them to cover spreads by pulling away in second halves.
Bulldogs Betting Trends
Mississippi State has been inconsistent ATS at home, often struggling to cover in games where opponents successfully neutralize their defensive front and control time of possession.
Volunteers vs. Bulldogs Matchup Trends
Head-to-head meetings between Tennessee and Mississippi State have frequently produced close results, with the underdog covering in several recent matchups, making this rivalry-style game one to watch for bettors who value momentum and situational trends.
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Info
What time does Tennessee vs Mississippi State start on September 27, 2025?
Tennessee vs Mississippi State starts on September 27, 2025 at 4:15 PM EST.
Where is Tennessee vs Mississippi State being played?
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
What are the opening odds for Tennessee vs Mississippi State?
Spread: Mississippi State +7.5
Moneyline: Tennessee -299, Mississippi State +238
Over/Under: 62.5
What are the records for Tennessee vs Mississippi State?
Tennessee: (3-1) | Mississippi State: (4-0)
What is the AI best bet for Tennessee vs Mississippi State?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Thomas over 45.5 Rushing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Tennessee vs Mississippi State trending bets?
Head-to-head meetings between Tennessee and Mississippi State have frequently produced close results, with the underdog covering in several recent matchups, making this rivalry-style game one to watch for bettors who value momentum and situational trends.
What are Tennessee trending bets?
TENN trend: Tennessee has been solid ATS in recent conference games, particularly on the road, where their up-tempo offense has allowed them to cover spreads by pulling away in second halves.
What are Mississippi State trending bets?
MISSST trend: Mississippi State has been inconsistent ATS at home, often struggling to cover in games where opponents successfully neutralize their defensive front and control time of possession.
Where can I find AI Picks for Tennessee vs Mississippi State?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Tennessee vs Mississippi State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Opening Odds
TENN Moneyline:
-299 MISSST Moneyline: +238
TENN Spread: -7.5
MISSST Spread: +7.5
Over/Under: 62.5
Tennessee vs Mississippi State Live Odds
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O 48 (-115)
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–
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+1156
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|
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Kansas Jayhawks
UCF Knights
10/4/25 7:30PM
KANSAS
UCF
|
–
–
|
-200
+174
|
-5 (-106)
+5 (-114)
|
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
TCU Horned Frogs
10/4/25 7:30PM
COLO
TCU
|
–
–
|
+403
-530
|
+13.5 (-111)
-13.5 (-109)
|
O 58 (-108)
U 58 (-112)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
10/4/25 7:30PM
MISSST
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
+476
-650
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 56 (-105)
U 56 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
Florida State Seminoles
10/4/25 7:30PM
MIAMI
FSU
|
–
–
|
-180
+157
|
-4 (-115)
+4 (-105)
|
O 53.5 (-115)
U 53.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Memphis Tigers
10/4/25 8PM
TULSA
MEMP
|
–
–
|
+795
-1300
|
+20 (-110)
-20 (-110)
|
O 57 (-103)
U 57 (-117)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 9:30PM EDT
Duke Blue Devils
California Golden Bears
10/4/25 9:30PM
DUKE
CAL
|
–
–
|
-147
+127
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 55.5 (-110)
U 55.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 10:30PM EDT
Nevada Wolf Pack
Fresno State Bulldogs
10/4/25 10:30PM
NEVADA
FRESNO
|
–
–
|
+406
-535
|
+13.5 (-107)
-13.5 (-113)
|
O 45 (-115)
U 45 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:30PM EDT
East Carolina Pirates
Tulane Green Wave
10/9/25 7:30PM
ECAR
TULANE
|
–
–
|
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 10, 2025 7:30PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
North Texas Mean Green
10/10/25 7:30PM
SFLA
NOTEX
|
–
–
|
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Florida Gators
Texas A&M Aggies
10/11/25 12PM
FLA
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers
10/11/25 12PM
BAMA
MIZZOU
|
–
–
|
-205
+168
|
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-120)
|
O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
|
–
–
|
-780
+530
|
-15.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
|
–
–
|
-172
+142
|
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
|
–
–
|
+300
-385
|
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
|
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
|
–
–
|
+350
-465
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs on September 27, 2025 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UNC@UCF | UCF -6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@KENSAW | KENSAW +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ILL@IND | IND -6 | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
SELOU@LSU | LSU -47.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
TNMART@MIZZST | MIZZST -14.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
FRESNO@HAWAII | HAWAII +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
MRSHL@MTSU | MTSU +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
MICH@NEB | NEB +1.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
WASH@WASHST | DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@RUT | ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
GEORGIA@TENN | UNDER 50.5 | 55.5% | 6 | LOSS |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -225 | 72.0% | 9 | WIN |
DUKE@TULANE | TULANE -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
AKRON@UAB | UAB -11 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
UCONN@DEL | DEL +9.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
APLST@USM | USM +4 | 55.3% | 6 | WIN |
MERIMK@KENSAW | KENSAW -13.5 | 56.2% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | IOWA -34.5 | 56.4% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
NMEX@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
KSTATE@ARIZ | ARIZ +1.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
BC@MICHST | NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@MISSST | MISSST +7 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
TULSA@NMEXST | NMEXST +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
UCLA@UNLV | OVER 54.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
FRESNO@OREGST | FRESNO +1.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
VANDY@VATECH | VANDY +2.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
JMAD@LVILLE | LVILLE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
TCU@UNC | JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
ND@MIAMI | MIAMI +3 | 55.2% | 6 | WIN |
MISSST@USM | USM +14.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
UTAH@UCLA | UCLA +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
CAL@OREGST | OREGST +1.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
FAU@MD | MD -13.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
GAS@FRESNO | FRESNO +2 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
TOLEDO@UK | UK -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
AUSTPEAY@MTSU | PEAY +12.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |