Jaguars vs. Mean Green
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 27 | CFB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-20T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The South Alabama Jaguars travel to Denton on September 27, 2025, to face the North Texas Mean Green in a non-conference battle that should highlight offensive fireworks and contrasting approaches to ball control. South Alabama will look to rely on its balanced offense, while North Texas counters with tempo and explosive passing to protect its home turf.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 27, 2025
Start Time: 12:00 PM EST
Venue: DATCU Stadium
Mean Green Record: (4-0)
Jaguars Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
SBAMA Moneyline: +364
NOTEX Moneyline: -481
SBAMA Spread: +12.5
NOTEX Spread: -12.5
Over/Under: 62.5
SBAMA
Betting Trends
- South Alabama has covered in three of its last five road games, showing resilience in tight contests by leaning on defense and a disciplined run game.
NOTEX
Betting Trends
- North Texas has been inconsistent ATS at home, covering just twice in its last five as defensive lapses have often neutralized strong offensive outings.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The over has hit in four of North Texas’s last five home games due to their explosive offense and leaky defense, while South Alabama has leaned under in three of its last four on the road. Bettors will be watching whether South Alabama’s ball-control approach can slow the tempo enough to disrupt North Texas’s usual high-scoring home trend.
SBAMA vs. NOTEX
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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South Alabama vs North Texas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/27/25
The question for North Texas will be whether their defense can rise to the occasion, as they have been vulnerable to physical running games like South Alabama’s, often struggling with tackling consistency and giving up third-down conversions that extend drives and keep their explosive offense on the sideline. Special teams could play a pivotal role as well, with both programs leaning on returns and hidden yardage in past contests to swing momentum in their favor, and in a game with such contrasting identities, even one big play on special teams could tip the scales. From a betting perspective, trends lean toward high-scoring games in Denton, with the Mean Green frequently hitting overs due to their combination of offensive firepower and defensive shortcomings, while South Alabama has often leaned under on the road as their ball-control philosophy grinds down tempo. This clash is likely to come down to which team dictates style: if North Texas pushes the pace, forces South Alabama to chase points, and leans into their offensive identity, they could win decisively, but if the Jaguars impose their physicality, grind clock, and force the Mean Green into a lower-possession game, they will have a real chance to pull off a road upset.
𝗗𝗘𝗩𝗜𝗡 𝗗𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗚 𝗗𝗔𝗠𝗔𝗚𝗘 👊#LSF | @Devinvoisin pic.twitter.com/3mAEdeslSu
— South Alabama Football 🏈 (@SouthAlabamaFB) September 23, 2025
South Alabama Jaguars CFB Preview
The South Alabama Jaguars enter their September 27, 2025 road clash against the North Texas Mean Green with a clear plan: slow the game down, lean on their physicality, and rely on a disciplined defense to frustrate one of the most up-tempo offenses in the Group of Five. The Jaguars have carved out an identity built on efficiency and balance, with a ground game that features patient, powerful backs running behind a steady offensive line, complemented by a quarterback who manages the game well, avoiding reckless throws while still being capable of hitting receivers downfield when the opportunity presents itself. Against a North Texas defense that has been inconsistent and prone to missed tackles, South Alabama will look to sustain long drives, convert on third down, and turn time of possession into its biggest ally, knowing that keeping the Mean Green’s explosive offense on the sideline is their best defense. Their offense will need to be efficient in the red zone, turning possessions into touchdowns rather than field goals, as leaving points on the board could make it difficult to keep pace if North Texas heats up offensively. Defensively, the Jaguars bring a front seven that excels in gap discipline and tackling fundamentals, which will be essential against a Mean Green offense that thrives on rhythm and explosive plays in space.
The linebackers will be tasked with containing North Texas’s quarterback when he looks to extend plays, while the secondary must hold up against a deep, talented receiving corps that can turn small windows into game-breaking touchdowns. South Alabama’s strength has been its ability to limit explosive plays, forcing opponents to earn every yard, and that philosophy will be tested against one of the nation’s more aggressive passing attacks. Special teams execution will also loom large, as field position could dictate whether the Jaguars can pin North Texas back and force them to work the length of the field or risk giving them short fields that play into their tempo. From a betting perspective, South Alabama has been solid on the road ATS, largely because their defense keeps them in games even when the offense sputters, and that could make them an intriguing underdog if they can drag this contest into the kind of grind they prefer. The formula for victory is clear: control the clock with the run game, stay disciplined on defense to limit North Texas’s big plays, and avoid turnovers that could swing momentum. If the Jaguars stick to their identity and execute with precision, they have the tools to walk away from Denton with a statement win, but if they allow the Mean Green to dictate tempo and turn the game into a shootout, they may find themselves struggling to match the pace for four quarters.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
North Texas Mean Green CFB Preview
The North Texas Mean Green return to Apogee Stadium on September 27, 2025, with the goal of turning their matchup against South Alabama into the type of shootout they are built to win, leaning on an explosive offense that thrives at home in front of a crowd that feeds off big plays and relentless tempo. Their quarterback is the engine of this attack, a fearless passer with the arm strength to push the ball vertically and the confidence to keep defenses honest by taking shots downfield early and often, supported by a versatile group of receivers who excel at creating separation and turning short completions into chunk gains. The running game provides balance, with backs who can gash defenses when opponents sell out against the pass, but the Mean Green’s identity has always been tied to their ability to push pace, keep defenses off balance, and rack up points in a hurry, particularly in their home stadium where momentum can build with every drive. Defensively, however, North Texas has been inconsistent, often struggling to tackle in space and allowing opponents to extend drives, which has created a recurring issue of putting too much pressure on their offense to simply outscore opponents. Against South Alabama, this will be their biggest challenge, as the Jaguars are disciplined, physical, and intent on slowing the tempo with long, clock-draining drives, and the Mean Green must find a way to get off the field on third downs and avoid giving away momentum through defensive lapses.
The defensive line will need to hold firm against a South Alabama rushing attack designed to grind down opponents, while the secondary must remain disciplined to avoid being caught off guard by timely deep throws from a quarterback who prefers to manage games but can take shots when the opportunity arises. Special teams could also play a key role, as North Texas has benefited in the past from explosive returns and hidden yardage that spark their offense and tilt field position in their favor, and in a game where their defense could struggle, those extra boosts might prove essential. From a betting standpoint, the Mean Green have been inconsistent ATS at home, a reflection of their defensive shortcomings, but their offense has consistently delivered fireworks, leading to frequent overs in Denton and giving them the potential to overwhelm opponents if their attack finds early rhythm. For North Texas, the path to victory is straightforward: strike quickly, force South Alabama to abandon its ball-control approach, and keep the pressure on by piling up points in a way that forces the Jaguars into uncomfortable territory. If they can do that, the Mean Green have the firepower to win decisively at home, but if they allow the Jaguars to dictate tempo, their defensive vulnerabilities could once again put them in danger of an upset.
A force on and off the field 🏈📚@__TheChosen_1 has been named a @NFFNetwork Campbell Award Semifinalist!
— UNT Football (@MeanGreenFB) September 24, 2025
📰: https://t.co/Zai4kXh53m#GMG🦅 pic.twitter.com/wxBk2T4tqE
South Alabama vs. North Texas Prop Picks (AI)
South Alabama vs. North Texas Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Jaguars and Mean Green and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors tend to put on North Texas’s strength factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly unhealthy Mean Green team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI South Alabama vs North Texas picks, computer picks Jaguars vs Mean Green, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Jaguars Betting Trends
South Alabama has covered in three of its last five road games, showing resilience in tight contests by leaning on defense and a disciplined run game.
Mean Green Betting Trends
North Texas has been inconsistent ATS at home, covering just twice in its last five as defensive lapses have often neutralized strong offensive outings.
Jaguars vs. Mean Green Matchup Trends
The over has hit in four of North Texas’s last five home games due to their explosive offense and leaky defense, while South Alabama has leaned under in three of its last four on the road. Bettors will be watching whether South Alabama’s ball-control approach can slow the tempo enough to disrupt North Texas’s usual high-scoring home trend.
South Alabama vs. North Texas Game Info
What time does South Alabama vs North Texas start on September 27, 2025?
South Alabama vs North Texas starts on September 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM EST.
Where is South Alabama vs North Texas being played?
Venue: DATCU Stadium.
What are the opening odds for South Alabama vs North Texas?
Spread: North Texas -12.5
Moneyline: South Alabama +364, North Texas -481
Over/Under: 62.5
What are the records for South Alabama vs North Texas?
South Alabama: (1-3) | North Texas: (4-0)
What is the AI best bet for South Alabama vs North Texas?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are South Alabama vs North Texas trending bets?
The over has hit in four of North Texas’s last five home games due to their explosive offense and leaky defense, while South Alabama has leaned under in three of its last four on the road. Bettors will be watching whether South Alabama’s ball-control approach can slow the tempo enough to disrupt North Texas’s usual high-scoring home trend.
What are South Alabama trending bets?
SBAMA trend: South Alabama has covered in three of its last five road games, showing resilience in tight contests by leaning on defense and a disciplined run game.
What are North Texas trending bets?
NOTEX trend: North Texas has been inconsistent ATS at home, covering just twice in its last five as defensive lapses have often neutralized strong offensive outings.
Where can I find AI Picks for South Alabama vs North Texas?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
South Alabama vs. North Texas Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the South Alabama vs North Texas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
South Alabama vs North Texas Opening Odds
SBAMA Moneyline:
+364 NOTEX Moneyline: -481
SBAMA Spread: +12.5
NOTEX Spread: -12.5
Over/Under: 62.5
South Alabama vs North Texas Live Odds
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O 51 (-108)
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O 56 (-110)
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+21 (-115)
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U 48.5 (-115)
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O 47 (-105)
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U 43.5 (-105)
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O 55.5 (-103)
U 55.5 (-117)
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U 55 (-110)
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O 61 (-113)
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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+100
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O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
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-275
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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U 41.5 (-110)
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–
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O 53.5 (-104)
U 53.5 (-116)
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
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NEB
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–
–
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+350
-450
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+11.5 (-110)
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O 48 (-115)
U 48 (-105)
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Texas State Bobcats
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–
–
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-475
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O 64 (-110)
U 64 (-110)
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–
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+910
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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–
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-170
+149
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O 50 (-110)
U 50 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
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HOU
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–
–
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-400
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O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
South Alabama Jaguars
Troy Trojans
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–
–
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+108
-128
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+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
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O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
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–
–
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+161
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+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
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O 54 (-108)
U 54 (-112)
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Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Minnesota Golden Gophers
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10/4/25 7:30PM
MINN
OHIOST
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–
–
|
+1156
-2500
|
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Kansas Jayhawks
UCF Knights
10/4/25 7:30PM
KANSAS
UCF
|
–
–
|
-200
+174
|
-5 (-106)
+5 (-114)
|
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
TCU Horned Frogs
10/4/25 7:30PM
COLO
TCU
|
–
–
|
+403
-530
|
+13.5 (-111)
-13.5 (-109)
|
O 58 (-108)
U 58 (-112)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
10/4/25 7:30PM
MISSST
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
+476
-650
|
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
|
O 56 (-105)
U 56 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
Florida State Seminoles
10/4/25 7:30PM
MIAMI
FSU
|
–
–
|
-180
+157
|
-4 (-115)
+4 (-105)
|
O 53.5 (-115)
U 53.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Memphis Tigers
10/4/25 8PM
TULSA
MEMP
|
–
–
|
+795
-1300
|
+20 (-110)
-20 (-110)
|
O 57 (-103)
U 57 (-117)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 9:30PM EDT
Duke Blue Devils
California Golden Bears
10/4/25 9:30PM
DUKE
CAL
|
–
–
|
-147
+127
|
-2.5 (-120)
+2.5 (+100)
|
O 55.5 (-110)
U 55.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 10:30PM EDT
Nevada Wolf Pack
Fresno State Bulldogs
10/4/25 10:30PM
NEVADA
FRESNO
|
–
–
|
+406
-535
|
+13.5 (-107)
-13.5 (-113)
|
O 45 (-115)
U 45 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:30PM EDT
East Carolina Pirates
Tulane Green Wave
10/9/25 7:30PM
ECAR
TULANE
|
–
–
|
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 10, 2025 7:30PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
North Texas Mean Green
10/10/25 7:30PM
SFLA
NOTEX
|
–
–
|
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Florida Gators
Texas A&M Aggies
10/11/25 12PM
FLA
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers
10/11/25 12PM
BAMA
MIZZOU
|
–
–
|
-205
+168
|
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-120)
|
O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
|
–
–
|
-780
+530
|
-15.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
|
–
–
|
-172
+142
|
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
|
–
–
|
+300
-385
|
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
|
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
|
–
–
|
+350
-465
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green on September 27, 2025 at DATCU Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UNC@UCF | UCF -6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@KENSAW | KENSAW +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ILL@IND | IND -6 | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
SELOU@LSU | LSU -47.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
TNMART@MIZZST | MIZZST -14.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
FRESNO@HAWAII | HAWAII +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
MRSHL@MTSU | MTSU +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
MICH@NEB | NEB +1.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
WASH@WASHST | DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@RUT | ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
GEORGIA@TENN | UNDER 50.5 | 55.5% | 6 | LOSS |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -225 | 72.0% | 9 | WIN |
DUKE@TULANE | TULANE -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
AKRON@UAB | UAB -11 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
UCONN@DEL | DEL +9.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
APLST@USM | USM +4 | 55.3% | 6 | WIN |
MERIMK@KENSAW | KENSAW -13.5 | 56.2% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | IOWA -34.5 | 56.4% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
NMEX@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
KSTATE@ARIZ | ARIZ +1.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
BC@MICHST | NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@MISSST | MISSST +7 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
TULSA@NMEXST | NMEXST +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
UCLA@UNLV | OVER 54.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
FRESNO@OREGST | FRESNO +1.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
VANDY@VATECH | VANDY +2.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
JMAD@LVILLE | LVILLE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
TCU@UNC | JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
ND@MIAMI | MIAMI +3 | 55.2% | 6 | WIN |
MISSST@USM | USM +14.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
UTAH@UCLA | UCLA +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
CAL@OREGST | OREGST +1.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
FAU@MD | MD -13.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
GAS@FRESNO | FRESNO +2 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
TOLEDO@UK | UK -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
AUSTPEAY@MTSU | PEAY +12.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |