Notre Dame vs Arkansas Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Sep 27)

Updated: 2025-09-20T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish travel to Fayetteville on September 27, 2025 to battle the Arkansas Razorbacks in one of the marquee non-conference matchups of the week. Both teams are seeking statement wins, with Notre Dame aiming to solidify its playoff credentials while Arkansas looks to defend home turf and notch a signature upset in front of a raucous SEC crowd.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 27, 2025

Start Time: 12:00 PM EST​

Venue: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium​

Razorbacks Record: (2-2)

Fighting Irish Record: (1-2)

OPENING ODDS

ND Moneyline: -183

ARK Moneyline: +153

ND Spread: -4.5

ARK Spread: +4.5

Over/Under: 64.5

ND
Betting Trends

  • Notre Dame has been solid against the spread this season, covering in two of its last three games, thanks to disciplined play and balanced offense.

ARK
Betting Trends

  • Arkansas has struggled ATS at home, failing to cover in three straight games despite competitive efforts, largely due to defensive lapses and late-game execution issues.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Notre Dame has historically thrived as a road favorite, covering in four of its last five in that role, while Arkansas has been one of the most unreliable home underdogs ATS in the SEC. Early totals action leans toward the under, with bettors wary of two physical defenses colliding despite both offenses showing big-play potential.

ND vs. ARK
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carr under 251.5 Passing Yards.

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Notre Dame vs Arkansas Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/27/25

The September 27, 2025 matchup between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Arkansas Razorbacks in Fayetteville is one of the more intriguing non-conference games of the college football season, pitting a disciplined playoff-caliber independent against an SEC squad hungry to make a statement at home, and the stakes could not be higher for either side. Notre Dame arrives with momentum, having played some of the most balanced football in the country through the early part of the season, blending a run game that can churn out yards behind one of the nation’s most physical offensive lines with a passing attack that has grown increasingly efficient under a poised quarterback who has yet to wilt under pressure. The Irish offense thrives on versatility, capable of hitting big plays through the air when defenses stack the box, and grinding out long possessions when they need to control the clock, making them a difficult puzzle for Arkansas to solve. Defensively, Notre Dame has been equally impressive, with a front seven that excels at clogging running lanes and generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks, complemented by a secondary that has capitalized on turnovers and limited explosive plays, which will be critical against an Arkansas attack that relies heavily on creating momentum with chunk gains. The Razorbacks, meanwhile, enter this contest with urgency, needing a big win to flip the script on a frustrating start to the season defined by inconsistency and defensive struggles.

Offensively, Arkansas still has playmakers capable of challenging any defense, led by a dual-threat quarterback whose mobility can stretch plays and put stress on Notre Dame’s linebackers, as well as a physical rushing attack that, when in rhythm, can keep drives alive and wear down opponents. The challenge for Arkansas is their defense, which has been inconsistent in coverage and has struggled to contain balanced attacks like Notre Dame’s, giving up late-game points that have cost them covers and wins alike. To keep this one competitive, the Razorbacks will need to protect the football, generate pressure on the Irish quarterback, and find ways to make the Dome crowd a factor by forcing Notre Dame into uncomfortable situations early. From a betting perspective, Notre Dame has been reliable on the road, covering in most instances where they’ve been favored thanks to their ability to dictate tempo and avoid costly mistakes, while Arkansas has been one of the weaker ATS performers at home, struggling to meet expectations as an underdog even in tightly contested games. Special teams could play an outsized role here, as Arkansas will need to flip field position and take advantage of any miscues, while Notre Dame will look to remain steady in all phases to minimize risk. Ultimately, this game sets up as a classic test of discipline versus desperation, with Notre Dame bringing the steadier and more complete team while Arkansas leans on home-field passion and a handful of game-breaking talents to try to swing momentum. If Notre Dame controls the line of scrimmage and executes in the red zone, they should leave Fayetteville with a win that bolsters their playoff credentials, but if Arkansas can generate turnovers and ignite the crowd with big plays, this matchup has the potential to become one of the weekend’s most memorable showdowns.

Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish CFB Preview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish head into their September 27, 2025 showdown with Arkansas carrying both the pressure of national expectations and the confidence of a program that has played disciplined, balanced football through the first month of the season, and this matchup represents both a trap and an opportunity for Marcus Freeman’s squad to prove its playoff credentials on the road against an SEC opponent. Offensively, Notre Dame has built its success on versatility, led by a quarterback who has been efficient and mistake-free, spreading the ball across multiple receivers while leaning on one of the strongest offensive lines in the nation to protect him and open lanes for a physical rushing attack. Their ability to control tempo with the run game, while still hitting on explosive plays through play-action, makes them difficult to defend, and the Irish have excelled at turning red-zone trips into touchdowns rather than field goals, a hallmark of elite teams. Defensively, the Fighting Irish boast a rugged front seven anchored by interior linemen who can disrupt blocking schemes and linebackers capable of handling both run fits and coverage responsibilities, giving them flexibility to adjust to different offensive looks. Their secondary has been opportunistic, creating turnovers and limiting big plays, which will be especially important against an Arkansas team that thrives on momentum-shifting chunk gains and quarterback improvisation.

Notre Dame’s biggest edge, however, may be its discipline: they rarely beat themselves with penalties, turnovers, or missed assignments, and that steadiness travels well, even into hostile SEC environments. Special teams have also been a strength, with reliable kicking and consistent coverage units that help protect field position, another key when playing on the road. From a betting perspective, Notre Dame has been strong ATS in road favorite roles, a reflection of their ability to dictate tempo and wear opponents down, while Arkansas has consistently struggled to cover at home as an underdog, often starting well before fading late. The Irish will look to take the Fayetteville crowd out of the game early by establishing dominance at the line of scrimmage, sustaining long drives, and preventing Arkansas from landing the kind of explosive plays that generate momentum and noise. The keys for Notre Dame will be protecting their quarterback, avoiding turnovers, and maintaining their efficiency on third downs and in the red zone, because their opponent is capable of capitalizing quickly on mistakes. If the Irish play to their identity—physical, methodical, and opportunistic—they have every chance to not only win but to win convincingly, reinforcing their playoff ambitions and adding an SEC road scalp to their resume. This game will test their composure, but Notre Dame has the personnel, the coaching, and the balance to handle the environment and prove why they continue to be viewed as one of college football’s most complete teams.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish travel to Fayetteville on September 27, 2025 to battle the Arkansas Razorbacks in one of the marquee non-conference matchups of the week. Both teams are seeking statement wins, with Notre Dame aiming to solidify its playoff credentials while Arkansas looks to defend home turf and notch a signature upset in front of a raucous SEC crowd. Notre Dame vs Arkansas AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Arkansas Razorbacks CFB Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks welcome the Notre Dame Fighting Irish to Fayetteville on September 27, 2025 in what is arguably their most high-profile home game of the season, and for Sam Pittman’s program it represents both a daunting challenge and a golden opportunity to flip the narrative of their year. Arkansas enters this matchup with urgency, having struggled with consistency through the early schedule, particularly on the defensive side where coverage breakdowns and missed tackles have repeatedly cost them games and prevented them from closing out winnable contests. Still, the Razorbacks have offensive weapons capable of stressing even Notre Dame’s disciplined defense, starting with their dual-threat quarterback who combines mobility with a big arm, creating stress for linebackers and safeties by keeping plays alive and threatening both as a runner and a passer. Their rushing attack remains physical and punishing, anchored by a stable of backs who can churn out tough yards between the tackles, and when the offensive line establishes rhythm, Arkansas has the ability to control tempo and sustain drives that sap the energy of opposing defenses. Against Notre Dame, however, the Razorbacks must be sharp in the red zone, as field goals are unlikely to be enough against an Irish team that consistently turns trips inside the 20 into touchdowns.

Defensively, Arkansas faces its toughest task, as Notre Dame’s balanced offense can exploit their weaknesses both on the ground and through the air, and the Razorbacks will need to generate pressure on the quarterback without overcommitting and leaving their secondary exposed. The Fayetteville crowd will be one of their biggest assets, capable of creating communication issues and momentum swings, and the Razorbacks must capitalize on that energy by starting fast and landing an early punch to put Notre Dame under pressure. Special teams could also play a decisive role, as a big return or a forced turnover on a kick could tilt the game and provide Arkansas with the type of spark they’ll need to pull off the upset. From a betting standpoint, the Razorbacks have been one of the least reliable home underdogs ATS in the SEC, often competing well for stretches before faltering late, but that unpredictability also makes them dangerous, particularly if they can generate turnovers and feed off their home crowd. To win this game, Arkansas must protect the football, create explosive plays to stress Notre Dame’s defense, and find a way to deliver stops on third downs to keep the Irish from grinding them into submission. If they can clean up the mistakes that have plagued them early in the year and rise to the moment, the Razorbacks could turn this into one of the season’s defining upsets, proving that despite their flaws they remain a dangerous SEC program capable of spoiling playoff hopefuls’ dreams.

Notre Dame vs Arkansas Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Fighting Irish and Razorbacks play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Carr under 251.5 Passing Yards.

Notre Dame vs Arkansas Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Fighting Irish and Razorbacks and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Fighting Irish team going up against a possibly unhealthy Razorbacks team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Notre Dame vs Arkansas picks, computer picks Fighting Irish vs Razorbacks, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.

Notre Dame Betting Trends

Notre Dame has been solid against the spread this season, covering in two of its last three games, thanks to disciplined play and balanced offense.

Arkansas Betting Trends

Arkansas has struggled ATS at home, failing to cover in three straight games despite competitive efforts, largely due to defensive lapses and late-game execution issues.

Fighting Irish vs. Razorbacks Matchup Trends

Notre Dame has historically thrived as a road favorite, covering in four of its last five in that role, while Arkansas has been one of the most unreliable home underdogs ATS in the SEC. Early totals action leans toward the under, with bettors wary of two physical defenses colliding despite both offenses showing big-play potential.

Notre Dame vs. Arkansas Game Info

September 27, 2025 • 12:00 PM EST • Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

Notre Dame vs. Arkansas Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Notre Dame vs Arkansas trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Notre Dame vs Arkansas

Notre Dame vs Arkansas Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
+1258
-5049
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
-135
+110
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
-136
+111
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 66.5 (-110)
U 66.5 (-110)
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
+170
-212
+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
O 59 (-110)
U 59 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
 
-128
 
-2 (-110)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
+380
-526
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
-130
+106
-2 (-110)
+2 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
+151
-187
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 58 (-110)
U 58 (-110)
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
+165
-200
+4 (-105)
-4 (-115)
O 47.5 (-115)
U 47.5 (-105)
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
+172
-216
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Arkansas Razorbacks on September 27, 2025 at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
COLO@KSTATE COLO +17.5 54.0% 4 WIN
PSU@RUT RUT +14 52.8% 1 WIN
OHIOST@MICH MICH +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
VATECH@UVA VATECH +8 57.8% 7 LOSS
NWEST@ILL LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP 54.3% 4 WIN
ORE@WAS DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
MIAMI@VATECH VATECH +18.5 54.2% 4 WIN
GAST@TROY TROY -9.5 55.7% 5 WIN
DEL@WAKE DEL +18 56.7% 6 LOSS
NMEX@AF NMEX -3.5 56.1% 5 WIN
WASHST@JMAD WASHST +14.5 55.3% 5 WIN
ILL@WISC WISC +9 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@LSU WKY +23.5 56.3% 6 WIN
WASH@UCLA DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT 56.3% 6 WIN
TCU@HOU AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS 55.2% 5 WIN
TEX@UGA NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS 55.5% 5 WIN
PUR@WASH ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.1% 4 WIN
OKLA@BAMA UNDER 46 52.4% 2 WIN
UVA@DUKE DUKE -3.5 54.7% 3 LOSS
OKLA@BAMA BAMA -6 54.5% 3 LOSS
OREGST@TULSA OREGST -120 55.6% 5 LOSS
UTEP@MIZZST MIZZST -5 54.3% 4 WIN
COLOST@NMEX NMEX -14 57.1% 6 LOSS
PSU@MICHST MICHST +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
MISSST@MIZZOU MISSST +7.5 57.2% 7 LOSS
FAU@TULANE FAU +17.5 56.0% 6 WIN
NCST@MIAMI NCST +15.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
KENTST@AKRON AKRON -6.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
JAXST@UTEP JAXST -105 57.0% 7 WIN
FSU@CLEM CLEM -118 57.1% 5 WIN
UNLV@COLOST UNLV -4 55.2% 5 WIN
OREG@IOWA IOWA +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
NEB@UCLA NEB +1.5 55.8% 5 WIN
KENSAW@NMEXST NMEXST +10 56.5% 6 WIN
STNFRD@UNC STNFRD +7.5 53.8% 3 WIN
DUKE@UCONN UCONN +8.5 57.9% 7 WIN
NEVADA@UTAHST NEVADA +9.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
SAMST@OREGST SAMST +21 57.7% 7 WIN
NEB@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
HOU@UCF HOU -112 58.0% 6 WIN
GASTHRN@APPST GASTHRN +180 36.5% 2 WIN
KENTST@BALLST BALLST -2.5 54.5% 4 WIN
WAKE@FSU WAKE +10.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@SDGST SDGST -10.5 56.7% 7 WIN
OKLA@TENN TENN -130 58.3% 5 LOSS
GATECH@NCST GATECH -5 56.4% 6 LOSS
MIAMI@SMU MIAMI -10 54.3% 4 LOSS
IND@MD MD +21.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
CINCY@UTAH CINCY +11 57.6% 7 LOSS
OLDDOM@LAMON LAMON +17 58.4% 8 LOSS
VANDY@TEXAS OVER 46.5 53.7% 2 WIN