Purdue vs Notre Dame Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Sep 20)
Updated: 2025-09-13T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
Notre Dame hosts Purdue in South Bend as the Fighting Irish look to bounce back from a narrow season-opening loss, while Purdue enters 2025 with low external expectations after a difficult 2024, hoping to show improvement early under its new regime. This matchup carries high rivalry stakes and may serve as a litmus test for both programs—Notre Dame to reaffirm its status, Purdue to prove it can compete at a higher level than the previous year.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 20, 2025
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium
Fighting Irish Record: (0-2)
Boilermakers Record: (2-1)
OPENING ODDS
PURDUE Moneyline: +1800
ND Moneyline: -5882
PURDUE Spread: +26.5
ND Spread: -26.5
Over/Under: 52.5
PURDUE
Betting Trends
- Purdue’s ATS (against the spread) metrics for 2025 are not fully public, but early season results suggest mixed performance: strong in games they win, especially at home, but vulnerable in blowouts or when facing teams with superior firepower. Predictions and previews place Purdue as underdogs or modestly challenged in many key games, and bettors seem cautious about expecting them to cover large spreads, especially on the road.
ND
Betting Trends
- Notre Dame’s early games reflect a program that often meets or slightly under‐performs against expectations in tight games, though they benefit from home field and history in rivalry matchups. After losing the opener at Miami in a close game, they have faced high expectations from both fans and bettors, which influences how people view their ability to cover: the spread is likely to favor Notre Dame, but large margins could be tempered if the opponent plays well.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Because Purdue is coming off a historically bad 1-11 season, many line‐makers and bettors will likely assume Notre Dame has the talent and momentum edge; however, Purdue’s early season wins have shown flashes and given hope to those looking for undervalued underdogs. The rivalry history is heavily tilted toward Notre Dame, especially at home; their winning streak in recent meetings adds psychological weight, but also raises expectations that sometimes lead to overconfidence. The Over/Under line might draw attention: gone are games where either team can be expected to be passive—both sides have shown capacity for scoring, though Notre Dame’s defensive lapses in close games could open up scoring avenues. The key ATS angles: whether Purdue can cover + points if the spread becomes large; whether Notre Dame can not only win but dominate enough to cover; and whether bettors believe Notre Dame might ease up late if the game gets out of hand, opening backdoor cover opportunities.
PURDUE vs. ND
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Raridon under 47.5 Receiving Yards.
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Purdue vs Notre Dame Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/20/25
The September 20, 2025, matchup between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Purdue Boilermakers in South Bend is a clash steeped in history and tradition, with both programs entering the game with something to prove at different stages of their trajectories. Notre Dame comes in looking to rebound from a season-opening setback and demonstrate that its aspirations of national relevance remain intact, while Purdue, after a historically rough 2024 campaign, seeks to show progress and credibility under its rebuilding effort. For Notre Dame, the emphasis will be on playing a complete game; their offense has shown the ability to move the ball efficiently with a balanced attack that mixes strong quarterback play and explosive skill position talent, but lapses in execution and untimely turnovers have prevented them from turning drives into comfortable wins. Defensively, the Irish need to clean up mistakes in coverage and improve red-zone stops, as they were tested in their opener and looked vulnerable to big plays, something Purdue will surely try to exploit. The Boilermakers, on the other hand, enter with a chip on their shoulder, eager to distance themselves from the 1-11 nightmare of last year and showcase that their roster has both the discipline and toughness to compete against higher-caliber opponents.
While their talent level may not match Notre Dame’s across the board, Purdue has shown flashes of improvement early in the year, with a running game that can move the chains and an offense that, when clicking, is capable of stringing together scoring drives. Their defense, however, has been inconsistent, particularly against more athletic opponents, and in this matchup they will need to be opportunistic, forcing turnovers and pressuring Notre Dame’s quarterback into mistakes to keep the game within striking distance. The rivalry aspect cannot be ignored either, as Purdue always views Notre Dame as a measuring stick, and close games in the past have been decided by small margins or late swings in momentum. From a betting perspective, Notre Dame will likely be favored by double digits, but covering the spread depends on their ability to control tempo, limit mistakes, and dominate in the trenches, while Purdue’s potential as an underdog lies in keeping the game competitive into the second half and exploiting any lapses in Irish execution. The Over/Under may draw significant interest, as Notre Dame’s offense is capable of scoring quickly but Purdue’s ability to slow the game and chew clock could keep totals down if they succeed in controlling tempo. Ultimately, this game shapes up as a barometer for both programs—Notre Dame aiming to reassert its strength and show it can put away lesser opponents convincingly, and Purdue looking to prove it has turned a corner by standing tall in a hostile road environment against a team with far greater expectations.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
.@SanoussiKane1 recovers the blocked punt 🔥
— Purdue Football (@BoilerFootball) September 14, 2025
📺 CBS pic.twitter.com/XOduZSDMCy
Purdue Boilermakers CFB Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers travel to South Bend on September 20, 2025, seeking not only to compete with the storied Notre Dame Fighting Irish but also to demonstrate that their program is steadily climbing out of the struggles that defined their 2024 campaign. Coming off a 1-11 season that marked one of the lowest points in program history, Purdue has entered 2025 with a renewed sense of urgency under its coaching staff, focusing on instilling discipline, balance, and a commitment to improvement in all phases of the game. Offensively, the Boilermakers have leaned on a run-first approach to establish rhythm, using the ground game to set up manageable passing situations while trying to build confidence for their quarterback in an attack that has struggled to find consistency. Against Notre Dame’s defense, which has had its own lapses in coverage and tackling, Purdue’s best path lies in sustaining long drives, limiting turnovers, and converting red-zone opportunities into touchdowns rather than settling for field goals. Their offensive line will need to hold its own against a physical Irish front, as constant pressure on the quarterback or a stifled run game could spell trouble early and force the Boilermakers out of their comfort zone.
Defensively, Purdue will be tasked with slowing down a Notre Dame attack that has speed and versatility at multiple positions, and while the Boilermakers have shown flashes of defensive intensity, they will need to be sharper than ever in gap discipline and tackling to avoid being exploited by explosive plays. Forcing turnovers and creating short fields will be critical if Purdue hopes to stay competitive, as trading long drives with the Irish may not be sustainable over four quarters. Special teams execution will also be important, as flipping field position and avoiding mistakes could give the Boilermakers a chance to build momentum in what is likely to be a hostile atmosphere. From a betting perspective, Purdue is almost certain to enter as a heavy underdog, but that role suits them in a rivalry game where motivation and energy can sometimes keep the margin closer than expected. If they can stay within striking distance through the first half and force Notre Dame to work harder than anticipated, the Boilermakers have a chance to reward those who back them to cover. While an outright upset would require near-perfect execution and Notre Dame underperforming, Purdue can use this matchup to showcase its resilience, measure its progress against elite competition, and set a tone for the rest of its season that the program is on its way back to respectability.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Notre Dame Fighting Irish CFB Preview
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish return to the friendly confines of South Bend on September 20, 2025, to host the Purdue Boilermakers in a game that offers the chance to regain momentum, reinforce their standing as a top national program, and remind rivals that Notre Dame Stadium is one of the toughest environments for visitors in college football. After a disappointing early-season setback that revealed both strengths and flaws, the Irish enter this matchup knowing that controlling tempo, executing cleanly, and playing disciplined football will be key to avoiding the kind of nervous, down-to-the-wire finishes that have tripped them up before. Offensively, Notre Dame boasts balance, with a quarterback who has shown the ability to lead sustained drives and stretch the field with timely throws, paired with a rushing attack that can punish defenses behind a physical offensive line. The receiving corps has the speed to create mismatches, and if the Irish get into rhythm early, they have the firepower to overwhelm a Purdue defense that has been prone to giving up chunk plays. Defensively, Notre Dame’s front seven will be tasked with shutting down the Boilermakers’ run game and forcing them into predictable passing situations where the Irish secondary can look to generate turnovers and clamp down on explosive plays.
This unit has been inconsistent at times, particularly in third-down situations, but against Purdue they will look to impose their will with physicality and depth. At home, the Irish also have the added edge of a crowd that expects dominance in a rivalry game and can provide a lift during momentum swings. Special teams have been reliable, particularly in the kicking game, and with solid return units, Notre Dame has the tools to tilt field position in their favor and make life even harder for the visitors. From a betting perspective, Notre Dame will be favored by a significant margin, likely in the double digits, reflecting both their superior talent and Purdue’s rebuilding status, though the question will be whether the Irish can sustain focus and intensity long enough to cover. If they start fast, limit turnovers, and finish drives in the red zone with touchdowns, Notre Dame has the potential to win comfortably and reaffirm their place in the national conversation. If they allow Purdue to hang around, however, the spread could become tricky, even in a game that never feels in doubt outright. Ultimately, this is an opportunity for the Irish to show that they can take care of business against a rival at home, assert dominance across all three phases, and send a message that despite early setbacks, they are a program that still expects to compete on the highest stage.
𝙂𝙖𝙢𝙚 𝙒𝙚𝙚𝙠
— Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) September 15, 2025
🆚 Purdue
📍 South Bend, Indiana
📅 Saturday, Sept. 20
🕞 3:30 PM ET
📺 NBC | Peacock#GoIrish☘️ | @TireRack pic.twitter.com/gQlO6nr7cH
Purdue vs Notre Dame Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Boilermakers and Fighting Irish play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Notre Dame Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Purdue vs Notre Dame Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Boilermakers and Fighting Irish and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the trending factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Boilermakers team going up against a possibly rested Fighting Irish team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Purdue vs Notre Dame picks, computer picks Boilermakers vs Fighting Irish, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Purdue Betting Trends
Purdue’s ATS (against the spread) metrics for 2025 are not fully public, but early season results suggest mixed performance: strong in games they win, especially at home, but vulnerable in blowouts or when facing teams with superior firepower. Predictions and previews place Purdue as underdogs or modestly challenged in many key games, and bettors seem cautious about expecting them to cover large spreads, especially on the road.
Notre Dame Betting Trends
Notre Dame’s early games reflect a program that often meets or slightly under‐performs against expectations in tight games, though they benefit from home field and history in rivalry matchups. After losing the opener at Miami in a close game, they have faced high expectations from both fans and bettors, which influences how people view their ability to cover: the spread is likely to favor Notre Dame, but large margins could be tempered if the opponent plays well.
Boilermakers vs. Fighting Irish Matchup Trends
Because Purdue is coming off a historically bad 1-11 season, many line‐makers and bettors will likely assume Notre Dame has the talent and momentum edge; however, Purdue’s early season wins have shown flashes and given hope to those looking for undervalued underdogs. The rivalry history is heavily tilted toward Notre Dame, especially at home; their winning streak in recent meetings adds psychological weight, but also raises expectations that sometimes lead to overconfidence. The Over/Under line might draw attention: gone are games where either team can be expected to be passive—both sides have shown capacity for scoring, though Notre Dame’s defensive lapses in close games could open up scoring avenues. The key ATS angles: whether Purdue can cover + points if the spread becomes large; whether Notre Dame can not only win but dominate enough to cover; and whether bettors believe Notre Dame might ease up late if the game gets out of hand, opening backdoor cover opportunities.
Purdue vs. Notre Dame Game Info
Purdue vs Notre Dame starts on September 20, 2025 at 3:30 PM EST.
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium.
Spread: Notre Dame -26.5
Moneyline: Purdue +1800, Notre Dame -5882
Over/Under: 52.5
Purdue: (2-1) | Notre Dame: (0-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Raridon under 47.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Because Purdue is coming off a historically bad 1-11 season, many line‐makers and bettors will likely assume Notre Dame has the talent and momentum edge; however, Purdue’s early season wins have shown flashes and given hope to those looking for undervalued underdogs. The rivalry history is heavily tilted toward Notre Dame, especially at home; their winning streak in recent meetings adds psychological weight, but also raises expectations that sometimes lead to overconfidence. The Over/Under line might draw attention: gone are games where either team can be expected to be passive—both sides have shown capacity for scoring, though Notre Dame’s defensive lapses in close games could open up scoring avenues. The key ATS angles: whether Purdue can cover + points if the spread becomes large; whether Notre Dame can not only win but dominate enough to cover; and whether bettors believe Notre Dame might ease up late if the game gets out of hand, opening backdoor cover opportunities.
PURDUE trend: Purdue’s ATS (against the spread) metrics for 2025 are not fully public, but early season results suggest mixed performance: strong in games they win, especially at home, but vulnerable in blowouts or when facing teams with superior firepower. Predictions and previews place Purdue as underdogs or modestly challenged in many key games, and bettors seem cautious about expecting them to cover large spreads, especially on the road.
ND trend: Notre Dame’s early games reflect a program that often meets or slightly under‐performs against expectations in tight games, though they benefit from home field and history in rivalry matchups. After losing the opener at Miami in a close game, they have faced high expectations from both fans and bettors, which influences how people view their ability to cover: the spread is likely to favor Notre Dame, but large margins could be tempered if the opponent plays well.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Purdue vs. Notre Dame Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Purdue vs Notre Dame trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
| PURDUE Moneyline | +1800 |
|---|---|
| ND Moneyline | -5882 |
| PURDUE Spread | +26.5 |
| ND Spread | -26.5 |
| Over / Under | 52.5 |
Purdue vs Notre Dame Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
|
–
–
|
+1300
-2800
|
+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
|
O 46.5 (-115)
U 46.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
|
–
–
|
-135
+114
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
|
–
–
|
-135
+114
|
-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
|
O 66.5 (-112)
U 66.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
|
+180
-218
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 59.5 (-105)
U 59.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-122
|
-1.5 (-112)
|
O 43.5 (-108)
U 43.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+400
-535
|
+12.5 (-108)
-12.5 (-112)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-135
+114
|
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 48.5 (-105)
U 48.5 (-115)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+150
-180
|
+4 (-112)
-4 (-108)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+164
-198
|
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
|
O 47.5 (-112)
U 47.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+164
-198
|
+4.5 (-108)
-4.5 (-112)
|
O 38.5 (+100)
U 38.5 (-120)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Purdue Boilermakers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish on September 20, 2025 at Notre Dame Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |