Spartans vs. Trojans
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 20 | CFB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-13T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
USC enters this clash as a favorite at home, riding strong offensive numbers and showing productivity through their passing attack while Michigan State arrives undefeated and looking to prove its capability on the road in a tough environment. The betting market has given USC a spread in the neighborhood of -14.5, signaling confidence in their offense and perhaps doubts about Michigan State’s ability to contain USC in Los Angeles.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 20, 2025
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST
Venue: United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Trojans Record: (3-0)
Spartans Record: (3-0)
OPENING ODDS
MICHST Moneyline: +495
USC Moneyline: -699
MICHST Spread: +15.5
USC Spread: -15.5
Over/Under: 56
MICHST
Betting Trends
- Michigan State has started the season 2-0 and their ATS record is showing signs of reliability; the Spartans have covered in each of the games so far when matched up in favorable spotups or when expectations were manageable. Given their early performance and consistency, bettors view them as a team capable of meeting or exceeding the spread even when outsiders consider them underdogs.
USC
Betting Trends
- USC is also 2-0 this season and has rewarded betting support in home games, especially when their offense is firing. The Trojans have posted strong offensive averages, particularly in total yards and points per game, which bolster confidence among bettors that they can dominate at home. Their coverage of spreads in favorable matchups, combined with home field advantage, suggests USC is expected not just to win but to do so emphatically.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- With USC favored by around 14.5, the spread is wide enough that a couple of key turnovers, penalties, or special teams miscues by the Trojans could give Michigan State room to cover. Also, Michigan State’s early ATS success makes them dangerous as underdogs; if they protect the ball and play mistake-free, they might keep this closer than many expect. Over/Under totals will likely be pushed high, reflecting expectations of a shoot‐out or explosive offense from USC. Any deviation—USC starting slow or MSU forcing turnovers early—could tilt the value toward the Spartans + the points. Home crowd energy and tempo will also be angles bettors will watch closely.
MICHST vs. USC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Chiles under 218.5 Passing Yards.
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Michigan State vs USC Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/20/25
Special teams could play a pivotal role as well, as flipping field position and limiting USC’s return opportunities will be critical in slowing the Trojans’ rhythm. For USC, the formula is straightforward: start fast, pile on points early, and make Michigan State play from behind, where the Spartans’ less dynamic offense is more likely to stall. The Trojans will aim to push tempo, exploit mismatches in the secondary, and rely on their playmakers to create separation, while their defense will focus on bottling up Michigan State’s ground game and forcing third-and-long situations. From a betting perspective, USC is favored by around two touchdowns, reflecting the perception that their offensive firepower will be too much for Michigan State to handle, but the Spartans’ 2-0 start and consistent ATS performance make them a dangerous underdog if they can execute their game plan and keep the contest within reach into the second half. The over/under will likely trend high given USC’s scoring potential, but Michigan State’s emphasis on tempo control and defense could tilt the game toward the under if they succeed in slowing the pace. Ultimately, this clash will hinge on whether Michigan State can drag USC into a grind-it-out style game or whether the Trojans impose their will with explosive plays and depth. Either way, it will be an early litmus test for both programs, with USC seeking to confirm its national contender status and Michigan State aiming to prove that its disciplined, physical style can travel and compete in one of college football’s toughest venues.
OMARI FOR 83 YARDS ON THE RETURN
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) September 15, 2025
📻 @SIRIUSXM Call of the Game pic.twitter.com/wguwjP69EN
Michigan State Spartans CFB Preview
The Michigan State Spartans head to Los Angeles for their September 20, 2025, battle with USC knowing full well the challenge that awaits them, but also believing they have the ingredients to make this a far more competitive contest than oddsmakers anticipate. At 2-0, Michigan State has demonstrated discipline and balance early in the season, combining a physical defense that prides itself on creating pressure with an offense that plays within its limits, avoids turnovers, and sustains drives to wear down opponents. The Spartans’ formula hinges on establishing the run behind a capable offensive line and then using play-action to create manageable passing situations, ensuring that the quarterback is not forced into high-risk throws against faster, more athletic defenses. Against USC, this approach will be crucial, as trading explosive plays with the Trojans would almost certainly spell disaster; instead, Michigan State must aim to shrink the number of possessions by controlling tempo and keeping USC’s dynamic offense off the field. Defensively, the Spartans have the size and strength up front to at least challenge USC’s offensive line, and if they can collapse the pocket and limit time for the quarterback to find his receivers downfield, they could disrupt the Trojans’ rhythm and create opportunities for turnovers. The secondary will need to play a near-perfect game, tackling crisply to prevent short passes from turning into long gains and staying disciplined against double moves and vertical threats.
Special teams could also be a deciding factor for the Spartans, as flipping field position with strong punting and limiting USC’s return game would help tilt hidden yardage in their favor. Mentally, Michigan State must embrace the underdog role, understanding that as a two-touchdown underdog their job is to frustrate USC by keeping the game close into the second half and forcing the Trojans to execute under pressure. From a betting perspective, Michigan State’s strong early ATS record indicates they can be trusted to compete relative to expectations, and if they stick to their identity—defense, ball control, and mistake-free football—they offer real value against the spread even if an outright win is a long shot. For the Spartans to pull off an upset, they must capitalize on every scoring opportunity, avoid turnovers in their own half, and force USC to grind out long drives instead of hitting quick-strike touchdowns. Their ability to handle the atmosphere of the Coliseum, stay poised under early pressure, and execute their game plan with precision will ultimately determine whether they can make this a close contest or become another victim of USC’s offensive juggernaut.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
USC Trojans CFB Preview
The USC Trojans enter their September 20, 2025, home clash with Michigan State as heavy favorites and with the expectation of showcasing once again why their offense is among the most feared in the nation. USC has opened the season on fire, putting up gaudy yardage and point totals behind a passing attack that can score in a flash, with their quarterback distributing the ball with precision to a deep and explosive receiving corps that regularly creates separation and turns short passes into big plays. The running game has been complementary rather than dominant, but it has done enough to force defenses to respect the threat, keeping them from selling out to stop the pass. At the Coliseum, USC enjoys one of the most significant home-field advantages in college football, with crowd energy and pace of play often overwhelming opponents who aren’t accustomed to that type of environment. Against Michigan State, the Trojans will aim to set the tone early by striking quickly and putting the Spartans in a hole that forces them to abandon their ground-and-pound identity in favor of higher-risk passing plays. USC’s defense, though not as consistent as the offense, has made strides in creating turnovers and limiting big plays, and their athletic front seven will look to disrupt Michigan State’s quarterback and bottle up the run game to take away the Spartans’ most reliable path to success.
The key for the Trojans will be to maintain intensity for four quarters, as lapses in focus could open the door for Michigan State to extend drives and hang around longer than expected. Special teams could also be a quiet advantage, as USC has the athletes to create field position swings that further tilt momentum in their favor. From a betting perspective, USC’s early-season dominance has made them reliable at home, but covering a spread around 14.5 will require efficiency, discipline, and the ability to avoid the kind of turnovers or penalties that keep an opponent like Michigan State within striking distance. If USC executes its game plan—hit explosive plays, pressure defensively, and feed off the crowd—they have the depth and talent to win by multiple scores and make a statement about their national aspirations. For Lincoln Riley’s team, this matchup is about more than just earning another victory; it is about proving that the Trojans can pair offensive firepower with consistent defense, handle a physical opponent, and continue to establish themselves as a program capable of contending deep into the season.
Trojans never flinch 💪😤@All_Americann28 🚚 pic.twitter.com/9UfPAIdZna
— USC Football ✌️ (@uscfb) September 14, 2025
Michigan State vs. USC Prop Picks (AI)
Michigan State vs. USC Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Spartans and Trojans and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors regularly put on Michigan State’s strength factors between a Spartans team going up against a possibly tired Trojans team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Michigan State vs USC picks, computer picks Spartans vs Trojans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Spartans Betting Trends
Michigan State has started the season 2-0 and their ATS record is showing signs of reliability; the Spartans have covered in each of the games so far when matched up in favorable spotups or when expectations were manageable. Given their early performance and consistency, bettors view them as a team capable of meeting or exceeding the spread even when outsiders consider them underdogs.
Trojans Betting Trends
USC is also 2-0 this season and has rewarded betting support in home games, especially when their offense is firing. The Trojans have posted strong offensive averages, particularly in total yards and points per game, which bolster confidence among bettors that they can dominate at home. Their coverage of spreads in favorable matchups, combined with home field advantage, suggests USC is expected not just to win but to do so emphatically.
Spartans vs. Trojans Matchup Trends
With USC favored by around 14.5, the spread is wide enough that a couple of key turnovers, penalties, or special teams miscues by the Trojans could give Michigan State room to cover. Also, Michigan State’s early ATS success makes them dangerous as underdogs; if they protect the ball and play mistake-free, they might keep this closer than many expect. Over/Under totals will likely be pushed high, reflecting expectations of a shoot‐out or explosive offense from USC. Any deviation—USC starting slow or MSU forcing turnovers early—could tilt the value toward the Spartans + the points. Home crowd energy and tempo will also be angles bettors will watch closely.
Michigan State vs. USC Game Info
What time does Michigan State vs USC start on September 20, 2025?
Michigan State vs USC starts on September 20, 2025 at 11:00 PM EST.
Where is Michigan State vs USC being played?
Venue: United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
What are the opening odds for Michigan State vs USC?
Spread: USC -15.5
Moneyline: Michigan State +495, USC -699
Over/Under: 56
What are the records for Michigan State vs USC?
Michigan State: (3-0) | USC: (3-0)
What is the AI best bet for Michigan State vs USC?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: A. Chiles under 218.5 Passing Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Michigan State vs USC trending bets?
With USC favored by around 14.5, the spread is wide enough that a couple of key turnovers, penalties, or special teams miscues by the Trojans could give Michigan State room to cover. Also, Michigan State’s early ATS success makes them dangerous as underdogs; if they protect the ball and play mistake-free, they might keep this closer than many expect. Over/Under totals will likely be pushed high, reflecting expectations of a shoot‐out or explosive offense from USC. Any deviation—USC starting slow or MSU forcing turnovers early—could tilt the value toward the Spartans + the points. Home crowd energy and tempo will also be angles bettors will watch closely.
What are Michigan State trending bets?
MICHST trend: Michigan State has started the season 2-0 and their ATS record is showing signs of reliability; the Spartans have covered in each of the games so far when matched up in favorable spotups or when expectations were manageable. Given their early performance and consistency, bettors view them as a team capable of meeting or exceeding the spread even when outsiders consider them underdogs.
What are USC trending bets?
USC trend: USC is also 2-0 this season and has rewarded betting support in home games, especially when their offense is firing. The Trojans have posted strong offensive averages, particularly in total yards and points per game, which bolster confidence among bettors that they can dominate at home. Their coverage of spreads in favorable matchups, combined with home field advantage, suggests USC is expected not just to win but to do so emphatically.
Where can I find AI Picks for Michigan State vs USC?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Michigan State vs. USC Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Michigan State vs USC trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Michigan State vs USC Opening Odds
MICHST Moneyline:
+495 USC Moneyline: -699
MICHST Spread: +15.5
USC Spread: -15.5
Over/Under: 56
Michigan State vs USC Live Odds
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U 61.5 (-110)
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+890
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O 48.5 (-110)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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O 62.5 (-110)
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+105
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O 53.5 (-110)
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U 41.5 (-110)
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O 53.5 (-115)
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+350
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-500
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|
O 64.5 (-104)
U 64.5 (-118)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 6:00PM EDT
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Old Dominion Monarchs
10/4/25 6PM
COAST
OLDDOM
|
–
–
|
+860
-1600
|
+20.5 (-106)
-20.5 (-114)
|
O 54.5 (-115)
U 54.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
UNLV Rebels
Wyoming Cowboys
10/4/25 7PM
UNLV
WYO
|
–
–
|
-166
+138
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Houston Cougars
10/4/25 7PM
TXTECH
HOU
|
–
–
|
-420
+320
|
-10.5 (-112)
+10.5 (-108)
|
O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
South Alabama Jaguars
Troy Trojans
10/4/25 7PM
SBAMA
TROY
|
–
–
|
+108
-130
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Florida Atlantic Owls
Rice Owls
10/4/25 7PM
FAU
RICE
|
–
–
|
+150
-182
|
+4.5 (-112)
-4.5 (-108)
|
O 53.5 (-115)
U 53.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Ohio State Buckeyes
10/4/25 7:30PM
MINN
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+1280
-3500
|
+23.5 (-110)
-23.5 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-105)
U 44.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Kansas Jayhawks
UCF Knights
10/4/25 7:30PM
KANSAS
UCF
|
–
–
|
-205
+168
|
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
|
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
TCU Horned Frogs
10/4/25 7:30PM
COLO
TCU
|
–
–
|
+400
-550
|
+13.5 (-104)
-13.5 (-118)
|
O 57.5 (-110)
U 57.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
10/4/25 7:30PM
MISSST
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
+470
-670
|
+14.5 (-114)
-14.5 (-106)
|
O 55.5 (-110)
U 55.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
Florida State Seminoles
10/4/25 7:30PM
MIAMI
FSU
|
–
–
|
-184
+150
|
-4.5 (-106)
+4.5 (-114)
|
O 53.5 (-115)
U 53.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Memphis Tigers
10/4/25 8PM
TULSA
MEMP
|
–
–
|
+800
-1400
|
+20.5 (-114)
-20.5 (-106)
|
O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 9:30PM EDT
Duke Blue Devils
California Golden Bears
10/4/25 9:30PM
DUKE
CAL
|
–
–
|
-155
+130
|
-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
|
O 57.5 (-110)
U 57.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 10:30PM EDT
Nevada Wolf Pack
Fresno State Bulldogs
10/4/25 10:30PM
NEVADA
FRESNO
|
–
–
|
+440
-610
|
+13.5 (-102)
-13.5 (-120)
|
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
|
|
Oct 9, 2025 7:30PM EDT
East Carolina Pirates
Tulane Green Wave
10/9/25 7:30PM
ECAR
TULANE
|
–
–
|
|
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 10, 2025 7:30PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
North Texas Mean Green
10/10/25 7:30PM
SFLA
NOTEX
|
–
–
|
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Florida Gators
Texas A&M Aggies
10/11/25 12PM
FLA
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
|
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers
10/11/25 12PM
BAMA
MIZZOU
|
–
–
|
-205
+168
|
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-120)
|
O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
|
–
–
|
-780
+530
|
-15.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
|
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
|
–
–
|
-172
+142
|
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
|
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
|
–
–
|
+300
-385
|
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
|
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
|
–
–
|
|
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
|
–
–
|
+350
-465
|
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
|
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Michigan State Spartans vs. USC Trojans on September 20, 2025 at United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UNC@UCF | UCF -6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@KENSAW | KENSAW +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ILL@IND | IND -6 | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
SELOU@LSU | LSU -47.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
TNMART@MIZZST | MIZZST -14.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
FRESNO@HAWAII | HAWAII +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
MRSHL@MTSU | MTSU +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
MICH@NEB | NEB +1.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
WASH@WASHST | DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@RUT | ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
GEORGIA@TENN | UNDER 50.5 | 55.5% | 6 | LOSS |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -225 | 72.0% | 9 | WIN |
DUKE@TULANE | TULANE -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
AKRON@UAB | UAB -11 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
UCONN@DEL | DEL +9.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
APLST@USM | USM +4 | 55.3% | 6 | WIN |
MERIMK@KENSAW | KENSAW -13.5 | 56.2% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | IOWA -34.5 | 56.4% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
NMEX@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
KSTATE@ARIZ | ARIZ +1.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
BC@MICHST | NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@MISSST | MISSST +7 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
TULSA@NMEXST | NMEXST +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
UCLA@UNLV | OVER 54.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
FRESNO@OREGST | FRESNO +1.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
VANDY@VATECH | VANDY +2.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
JMAD@LVILLE | LVILLE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
TCU@UNC | JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
ND@MIAMI | MIAMI +3 | 55.2% | 6 | WIN |
MISSST@USM | USM +14.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
UTAH@UCLA | UCLA +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
CAL@OREGST | OREGST +1.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
FAU@MD | MD -13.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
GAS@FRESNO | FRESNO +2 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
TOLEDO@UK | UK -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
AUSTPEAY@MTSU | PEAY +12.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |