Bobcats vs. Sun Devils
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 13 | CFB AI Picks
Updated: 2025-09-06T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
Texas State visits Mountain America Stadium on Saturday, September 13, 2025, facing Arizona State in a non-conference test between a fast-tempo Sun Belt contender and a Big 12 riser under Kenny Dillingham. Early markets have ASU favored by roughly two touchdowns with a total in the high 50s, signaling expectations of pace and points if both offenses avoid self-inflicted stalls.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Sep 13, 2025
Start Time: 10:30 PM EST
Venue: Mountain America Stadium
Sun Devils Record: (1-1)
Bobcats Record: (2-0)
OPENING ODDS
TEXST Moneyline: +454
ARIZST Moneyline: -629
TEXST Spread: +14.5
ARIZST Spread: -14.5
Over/Under: 59.5
TEXST
Betting Trends
- Trend snapshots lean positive: Texas State is 5–2 ATS last 7 overall and 4–1 ATS last 5 on the road, with recent games skewing to the over.
ARIZST
Betting Trends
- ASU is 7–2 ATS last 9 overall and 7–0 SU in its last 7 at home per aggregated trend data; several recent ASU totals have also pushed over.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Book openers show ASU −14.5 / ~57.5–59.5; in that band, two red-zone trades of TD→FG swing ~8 ATS points. Computer leans at OddsShark even project a tighter score than the spread, heightening backdoor risk late.
TEXST vs. ARIZST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Tyson over 17.85 Fantasy Score.
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Texas State vs Arizona State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/13/25
Arizona State’s plan is more straightforward: use their recruiting depth to dominate the line of scrimmage, pressure Texas State’s quarterbacks into mistakes, and allow their own balanced offense to operate on schedule. When ASU has been at its best under Dillingham, the formula has been a run game strong enough to keep linebackers honest and a quarterback capable of hitting slots and tight ends on intermediate routes before unleashing vertical shots when safeties start to cheat. The Sun Devils’ ATS checklist is simple: keep turnovers to one or fewer, finish at least 60 percent of red-zone trips with touchdowns, and avoid the penalty clusters that extend opponent drives. Because the spread sits in a high-variance band (−14.5, total ~59), leverage points become critical. The “middle eight” minutes around halftime can be decisive—if ASU closes the first half with points and scores on its first drive after the break, it can quickly create a three-score margin that suffocates an underdog. Special teams also loom large: a made 42-yard field goal or a pinned punt inside the 10-yard line could represent the difference between a comfortable ASU cover and a late Texas State backdoor. Ultimately, the most likely game script involves Texas State keeping it competitive with pace and creativity through the first half before Arizona State’s depth, home-field advantage, and situational polish take over down the stretch. Whether that translates to a cover will hinge on small edges in execution—turnover margin, red-zone finishing, and explosive differential—all of which are magnified in a game with a high total and a spread hovering around two touchdowns.
𝟐-𝟎#EatEmUp pic.twitter.com/ylXo6ztg9a
— Texas State Football (@TXSTATEFOOTBALL) September 8, 2025
Texas State Bobcats CFB Preview
For Texas State, the September 13 road trip to Tempe is a chance to measure their high-tempo system against a Power Five roster and prove that the Bobcats’ surge under GJ Kinne is built to travel. Their recent ATS record tells the story of a program punching above its weight—5–2 in their last seven overall and 4–1 in their last five on the road—because the offense has a way of creating chaos and forcing opponents into uncomfortable game states. The Bobcats lean on pace, using tempo and quick reads to prevent defenses from substituting and then layering RPOs and play-action to attack space, a formula that has produced explosive plays and profitable results for bettors. Against Arizona State, the key is avoiding the negative plays that stall tempo-driven systems: false starts, blown protections, and turnovers in plus territory. Texas State needs early-down success rates in the 45–50 percent range to keep second-and-mediums alive, because if they are forced into repeated third-and-longs against ASU’s defensive front, their efficiency collapses and the game tilts heavily toward the favorite. Offensively, the Bobcats will emphasize quick inside zone and split-zone runs, short slants, and hitches to set up deeper shots—if they can land two or three explosives of 20-plus yards, they’ll not only flip field position but also buy margin against ASU’s depth.
Defensively, the strategy is about structure: force the Sun Devils to earn every yard by limiting explosives, rally-tackling, and bringing pressure selectively to generate a sack or tipped pass. Holding ASU to field goals on at least two red-zone trips would be massive in a game where the spread sits near two touchdowns, because every touchdown-to-field-goal trade is effectively a four-point swing in the math. Special teams execution also cannot be overlooked—clean coverage, directional punts to the sideline, and a reliable field-goal unit from 40–47 yards are the small edges that can keep Texas State inside the number even if they trail late. The danger is clear: if turnovers pile up, if tempo leads to quick three-and-outs, or if penalties erase chunk plays, the Bobcats will give ASU short fields that could bury them before halftime. But the path to a cover exists: win turnover margin by +1, create two explosive plays to shift momentum, and stay disciplined enough on defense to force Arizona State into sustained drives. If they can check those boxes, Texas State has every chance to keep this game competitive into the fourth quarter, with the potential to slip through the backdoor late and validate their reputation as one of the nation’s most dangerous underdogs.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Arizona State Sun Devils CFB Preview
For Arizona State, the September 13 matchup against Texas State is as much about confirming their upward trajectory under Kenny Dillingham as it is about avoiding the pitfalls that often trip up heavy home favorites, because the Sun Devils enter as a two-touchdown chalk with an offense that has shown flashes of explosiveness and a defense still searching for consistency. At Mountain America Stadium, the expectation is straightforward: use roster depth and balance to outlast a tempo-heavy opponent that thrives on pace and chaos. Arizona State’s offense has been at its best when it maintains balance on standard downs, pairing an inside-zone run game with quick passes to the slot and perimeter, and then unleashing vertical shots when safeties creep downhill. Against Texas State’s fast pace, the Sun Devils must keep early-down success above 50 percent to ensure their own tempo is dictated rather than reactive, because stalled drives can allow the Bobcats’ offense to dictate rhythm. Defensively, the focus will be on disrupting timing: forcing second-and-long by winning at the line of scrimmage, disguising pressures to bait hurried throws, and tackling in space to turn potential five-yard gains into manageable second downs.
The Sun Devils’ depth advantage is particularly critical in the second half, when conditioning and fresh legs at the skill positions and in the trenches can swing the game. Special teams also loom large; a made mid-range field goal, directional punting that pins Texas State deep, and clean coverage units can tilt hidden yardage in ASU’s favor, a crucial edge in games where the spread is high and the total near 60. Arizona State’s ATS profile at home has been strong—7–0 straight up in their last seven in Tempe and 7–2 against the spread in their last nine overall—which reflects both crowd energy and late-game separation when their talent advantage wears opponents down. To cover against Texas State, the Sun Devils’ benchmarks are simple: red-zone touchdown conversion at or above 60 percent, turnover margin neutral or better, and penalty yards capped under 50 to avoid extending Bobcat drives. The “middle eight” minutes around halftime represent their best chance to slam the door; a scoring drive before the break followed by a quick score in the third quarter can force Texas State to abandon balance and lean exclusively on high-risk plays. The risks are predictable: if Arizona State commits turnovers, settles repeatedly for field goals, or allows tempo to dictate defensive substitutions, they open the door to a backdoor cover by a Bobcats team that has thrived in that role. But if the Sun Devils execute their blueprint—balanced offense, disciplined defense, and opportunistic special teams—they have every chance to validate their status as heavy favorites, win comfortably at home, and send a message that they can handle the variance a fast-paced opponent brings without losing control of the game.
A legacy reimagined 👀
— Sun Devil Football (@ASUFootball) September 8, 2025
10 am AZT pic.twitter.com/4fE5iabLXB
Texas State vs. Arizona State Prop Picks (AI)
Texas State vs. Arizona State Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Bobcats and Sun Devils and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the growing weight human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Bobcats team going up against a possibly deflated Sun Devils team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Texas State vs Arizona State picks, computer picks Bobcats vs Sun Devils, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
Bobcats Betting Trends
Trend snapshots lean positive: Texas State is 5–2 ATS last 7 overall and 4–1 ATS last 5 on the road, with recent games skewing to the over.
Sun Devils Betting Trends
ASU is 7–2 ATS last 9 overall and 7–0 SU in its last 7 at home per aggregated trend data; several recent ASU totals have also pushed over.
Bobcats vs. Sun Devils Matchup Trends
Book openers show ASU −14.5 / ~57.5–59.5; in that band, two red-zone trades of TD→FG swing ~8 ATS points. Computer leans at OddsShark even project a tighter score than the spread, heightening backdoor risk late.
Texas State vs. Arizona State Game Info
What time does Texas State vs Arizona State start on September 13, 2025?
Texas State vs Arizona State starts on September 13, 2025 at 10:30 PM EST.
Where is Texas State vs Arizona State being played?
Venue: Mountain America Stadium.
What are the opening odds for Texas State vs Arizona State?
Spread: Arizona State -14.5
Moneyline: Texas State +454, Arizona State -629
Over/Under: 59.5
What are the records for Texas State vs Arizona State?
Texas State: (2-0) | Arizona State: (1-1)
What is the AI best bet for Texas State vs Arizona State?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Tyson over 17.85 Fantasy Score.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Texas State vs Arizona State trending bets?
Book openers show ASU −14.5 / ~57.5–59.5; in that band, two red-zone trades of TD→FG swing ~8 ATS points. Computer leans at OddsShark even project a tighter score than the spread, heightening backdoor risk late.
What are Texas State trending bets?
TEXST trend: Trend snapshots lean positive: Texas State is 5–2 ATS last 7 overall and 4–1 ATS last 5 on the road, with recent games skewing to the over.
What are Arizona State trending bets?
ARIZST trend: ASU is 7–2 ATS last 9 overall and 7–0 SU in its last 7 at home per aggregated trend data; several recent ASU totals have also pushed over.
Where can I find AI Picks for Texas State vs Arizona State?
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Texas State vs. Arizona State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Texas State vs Arizona State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Texas State vs Arizona State Opening Odds
TEXST Moneyline:
+454 ARIZST Moneyline: -629
TEXST Spread: +14.5
ARIZST Spread: -14.5
Over/Under: 59.5
Texas State vs Arizona State Live Odds
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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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O 51 (-110)
U 51 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Illinois Fighting Illini
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+285
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-10 (-110)
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O 57 (-110)
U 57 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Kansas State Wildcats
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O 61.5 (-110)
U 61.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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+820
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-20.5 (-110)
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O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
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Clemson Tigers
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-652
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-14 (-110)
+14 (-110)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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MICH
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O 43 (-110)
U 43 (-110)
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O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Iowa State Cyclones
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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U 57 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 1:00PM EDT
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Oct 4, 2025 1:00PM EDT
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-241
+192
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O 56.5 (-110)
U 56.5 (-110)
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U 55.5 (-110)
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U 55.5 (-110)
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U 52.5 (-110)
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U 45.5 (-110)
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U 40.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Syracuse Orange
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+550
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+17.5 (-110)
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O 58.5 (-110)
U 58.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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ND
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–
–
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+796
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+20.5 (-110)
-20.5 (-110)
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O 62.5 (-110)
U 62.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oregon State Beavers
App State Mountaineers
10/4/25 3:30PM
OREGST
APPST
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–
–
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-101
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+1.5 (-110)
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O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
FIU Panthers
UConn Huskies
10/4/25 3:30PM
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–
–
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-310
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O 55 (-110)
U 55 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Penn State Nittany Lions
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PSU
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–
–
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-4000
+1175
|
-25.5 (-110)
+25.5 (-110)
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O 49.5 (-110)
U 49.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Texas Longhorns
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–
–
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-271
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|
-7 (-110)
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O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Kent State Golden Flashes
Oklahoma Sooners
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OKLA
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–
–
|
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+45.5 (-104)
-45.5 (-108)
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O 53.5 (-110)
U 53.5 (-106)
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Michigan State Spartans
Nebraska Cornhuskers
10/4/25 4PM
MICHST
NEB
|
–
–
|
+370
-526
|
+12 (-110)
-12 (-110)
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O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 4:00PM EDT
Texas State Bobcats
Arkansas State Red Wolves
10/4/25 4PM
TEXST
ARKST
|
–
–
|
-481
+350
|
-13.5 (-110)
+13.5 (-110)
|
O 64.5 (-110)
U 64.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 6:00PM EDT
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Old Dominion Monarchs
10/4/25 6PM
COAST
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|
–
–
|
+690
-1205
|
+20.5 (-110)
-20.5 (-110)
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O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
UNLV Rebels
Wyoming Cowboys
10/4/25 7PM
UNLV
WYO
|
–
–
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-173
+140
|
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
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O 51.5 (-110)
U 51.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Houston Cougars
10/4/25 7PM
TXTECH
HOU
|
–
–
|
-495
+361
|
-10.5 (-110)
+10.5 (-110)
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O 50.5 (-110)
U 50.5 (-110)
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Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
South Alabama Jaguars
Troy Trojans
10/4/25 7PM
SBAMA
TROY
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–
–
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+114
-139
|
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
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O 47 (-110)
U 47 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:00PM EDT
Florida Atlantic Owls
Rice Owls
10/4/25 7PM
FAU
RICE
|
–
–
|
+164
-204
|
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
|
O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Ohio State Buckeyes
10/4/25 7:30PM
MINN
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+1150
-3030
|
+24 (-110)
-24 (-110)
|
O 44.5 (-110)
U 44.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Kansas Jayhawks
UCF Knights
10/4/25 7:30PM
KANSAS
UCF
|
–
–
|
-212
+169
|
-5 (-110)
+5 (-110)
|
O 54.5 (-110)
U 54.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Colorado Buffaloes
TCU Horned Frogs
10/4/25 7:30PM
COLO
TCU
|
–
–
|
+400
-575
|
+13.5 (-110)
-13.5 (-110)
|
O 57.5 (-110)
U 57.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
10/4/25 7:30PM
MISSST
TEXAM
|
–
–
|
+440
-649
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 55.5 (-110)
U 55.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 7:30PM EDT
Miami Hurricanes
Florida State Seminoles
10/4/25 7:30PM
MIAMI
FSU
|
–
–
|
-202
+162
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
|
O 54 (-110)
U 54 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 8:00PM EDT
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Memphis Tigers
10/4/25 8PM
TULSA
MEMP
|
–
–
|
+880
-1699
|
+20.5 (-110)
-20.5 (-110)
|
O 57 (-110)
U 57 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 9:30PM EDT
Duke Blue Devils
California Golden Bears
10/4/25 9:30PM
DUKE
CAL
|
–
–
|
-155
+130
|
-3 (-110)
+3 (-110)
|
O 57.5 (-110)
U 57.5 (-110)
|
|
Oct 4, 2025 10:30PM EDT
Nevada Wolf Pack
Fresno State Bulldogs
10/4/25 10:30PM
NEVADA
FRESNO
|
–
–
|
+436
-657
|
+14 (-110)
-14 (-110)
|
O 45 (-110)
U 45 (-110)
|
|
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
|
–
–
|
+315
-410
|
+10.5 (-106)
-10.5 (-114)
|
O 51.5 (-115)
U 51.5 (-105)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Texas State Bobcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils on September 13, 2025 at Mountain America Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
EMICH@CMICH | CMICH -148 | 62.8% | 7 | WIN |
SDGST@NOILL | SDGST -118 | 55.7% | 3 | WIN |
BAMA@GEORGIA | GEORGIA -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
TENN@MISSST | MISSST +7.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UK@SC | SC -5.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
WKY@MIZZST | MIZZST +4.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
JAXST@USM | USM -3.5 | 56.0% | 5 | WIN |
NMEXST@NMEX | NMEX -14.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
ARIZ@IOWAST | ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
TCU@ARIZST | JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@BAYLOR | BAYLOR -130 | 58.4% | 6 | LOSS |
WYO@COLO | WYO +13.5 | 54.1% | 3 | LOSS |
TULANE@OLEMISS | MISS -11.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
UNC@UCF | UCF -6.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
ARKST@KENSAW | KENSAW +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
ILL@IND | IND -6 | 53.2% | 3 | WIN |
SELOU@LSU | LSU -47.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
TNMART@MIZZST | MIZZST -14.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
FRESNO@HAWAII | HAWAII +3 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
MRSHL@MTSU | MTSU +2.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
MICH@NEB | NEB +1.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
WASH@WASHST | DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
IOWA@RUT | ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
GEORGIA@TENN | UNDER 50.5 | 55.5% | 6 | LOSS |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -225 | 72.0% | 9 | WIN |
DUKE@TULANE | TULANE -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
ARK@OLEMISS | MISS -6.5 | 53.9% | 3 | LOSS |
AKRON@UAB | UAB -11 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
UCONN@DEL | DEL +9.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
APLST@USM | USM +4 | 55.3% | 6 | WIN |
MERIMK@KENSAW | KENSAW -13.5 | 56.2% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | IOWA -34.5 | 56.4% | 7 | WIN |
UMASS@IOWA | JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
NMEX@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
KSTATE@ARIZ | ARIZ +1.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
BC@MICHST | NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@MISSST | MISSST +7 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
TULSA@NMEXST | NMEXST +3.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
UCLA@UNLV | OVER 54.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
FRESNO@OREGST | FRESNO +1.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
VANDY@VATECH | VANDY +2.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
JMAD@LVILLE | LVILLE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
TCU@UNC | JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
ND@MIAMI | MIAMI +3 | 55.2% | 6 | WIN |
MISSST@USM | USM +14.5 | 56.0% | 6 | LOSS |
UTAH@UCLA | UCLA +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
CAL@OREGST | OREGST +1.5 | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
FAU@MD | MD -13.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
GAS@FRESNO | FRESNO +2 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
TOLEDO@UK | UK -9.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
AUSTPEAY@MTSU | PEAY +12.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |