North Texas vs Western Michigan Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CFB Lines & Props (Sep 06)
Updated: 2025-08-30T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The North Texas Mean Green travel to Kalamazoo on September 6, 2025, to take on the Western Michigan Broncos in a non-conference matchup that highlights two Group of Five programs looking to establish early-season rhythm. North Texas enters as a 9.5-point favorite after dominating Lamar, while Western Michigan is hoping to rebound from an anemic offensive showing in a loss to Michigan State.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 06, 2025
Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: Waldo Stadium
Broncos Record: (0-1)
Mean Green Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
NOTEX Moneyline: -370
WMICH Moneyline: +292
NOTEX Spread: -10
WMICH Spread: +10
Over/Under: 59.5
NOTEX
Betting Trends
- North Texas is 1–0 ATS, coming off a 51–0 rout of Lamar in which freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, adding another score on the ground.
WMICH
Betting Trends
- Western Michigan is 0–1 ATS, scoring just six points in a 23–6 loss to Michigan State, managing only 29 rushing yards on 23 carries while their lone touchdown came from the defense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Nearly 60% of bettors are backing North Texas to cover the spread, reflecting confidence in their offensive explosiveness, while Western Michigan’s home-field edge has drawn some underdog interest among contrarians.
NOTEX vs. WMICH
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS
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North Texas vs Western Michigan Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/6/25
The September 6, 2025 meeting between the North Texas Mean Green and the Western Michigan Broncos at Waldo Stadium provides a telling early-season test for both programs, with UNT arriving off a dominant 51–0 thrashing of Lamar and Western Michigan reeling from a 23–6 defeat to Michigan State in which their offense barely moved the ball. For North Texas, the story has been the emergence of redshirt freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who dazzled in his debut by throwing for 329 yards and three touchdowns while adding another score with his legs, showing command of Eric Morris’s wide-open passing system that relies on tempo, spacing, and attacking mismatches. Supported by a deep receiving corps and a steady backfield, the Mean Green looked explosive and efficient, piling up yards and points with ease while their defense pitched a shutout to underline the program’s growth under Morris. Western Michigan, meanwhile, struggled badly against Michigan State, finishing with just 29 rushing yards on 23 carries and producing their lone touchdown from a defensive scoop-and-score, a performance that highlighted ongoing issues with offensive line protection and quarterback inconsistency in Lance Taylor’s third season.
The Broncos must find answers quickly, because North Texas has the kind of passing game that can build a lead in a hurry, and if WMU’s offense cannot sustain drives, their defense will eventually wear down. Key matchups to watch include UNT’s receivers against Western Michigan’s secondary, which will need to hold up against constant tempo and downfield pressure, and the Broncos’ ground game against UNT’s front seven, as WMU must establish balance to avoid falling into obvious passing downs. Special teams and turnovers could also loom large, especially if Western Michigan can generate short fields to ease pressure on their offense. From a betting perspective, UNT is 1–0 ATS and heavily backed by bettors to cover as 9.5-point favorites, while WMU’s home environment has drawn some support from underdog bettors looking for a rebound. Ultimately, this game will likely come down to whether UNT can replicate the precision of their opener against a tougher opponent, or whether WMU can scrap together enough offensive rhythm to make it competitive. A decisive UNT win would signal that the Mean Green are legitimate AAC contenders, while a Broncos upset or cover would provide a desperately needed spark for a program searching for stability.
Get live CFB odds and precise AI CFB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
On to the next one!#GMG🦅 pic.twitter.com/DohVLuETzS
— UNT Football (@MeanGreenFB) September 1, 2025
North Texas Mean Green CFB Preview
The North Texas Mean Green head into their September 6, 2025 trip to Kalamazoo with confidence brimming after a 51–0 demolition of Lamar that marked one of the most complete performances of Eric Morris’s tenure and showcased the arrival of redshirt freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker as the new face of the program. Mestemaker’s 329 passing yards and three touchdown tosses, along with a rushing score, highlighted his dual-threat ability and poise in running the Mean Green’s high-tempo offense, which thrives on quick reads, spread concepts, and attacking defenses with relentless pace. Backed by a veteran offensive line and a deep receiver group, UNT looked explosive, efficient, and difficult to slow down, raising expectations that they could be a real contender in the AAC this season. The defense also deserves credit, pitching a shutout against Lamar by dominating the line of scrimmage, forcing turnovers, and flying to the ball with energy that had been missing in recent years. Against Western Michigan, the challenge will be to replicate that intensity on the road, where hostile environments can disrupt rhythm and test a young quarterback’s composure. UNT must avoid turnovers, sustain tempo, and convert red-zone opportunities, because letting WMU hang around at home could create unnecessary pressure.
Defensively, the Mean Green will focus on stifling the Broncos’ ground game, forcing them into third-and-long situations that highlight their offensive struggles and limit their ability to dictate pace. Special teams efficiency will also be critical, as avoiding lapses in coverage or missed kicks can ensure UNT maintains control of the game’s momentum. From a betting standpoint, North Texas is 1–0 ATS and favored by 9.5 points, with nearly 60 percent of bettors siding with them to cover, reflecting belief in their offensive firepower and the apparent mismatch against a Western Michigan team that struggled mightily in Week 1. For Morris and his players, this game is about building on their explosive start, proving that Mestemaker’s debut was no fluke, and setting a standard for consistency that has sometimes eluded the program. A convincing win on the road would validate UNT as an AAC dark horse, while a stumble could slow their momentum and raise questions about whether the opener was more about opponent weakness than genuine strength. Ultimately, this is a chance for the Mean Green to make a statement, and if they execute with the same precision and confidence they showed in Week 1, they will be well positioned to roll out of Kalamazoo with another decisive victory.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Western Michigan Broncos CFB Preview
The Western Michigan Broncos return to Waldo Stadium on September 6, 2025, desperate to find answers after a disheartening 23–6 loss to Michigan State that raised concerns about the state of their offense and highlighted the gap they must close to compete consistently under head coach Lance Taylor. Their opener saw them manage just 29 rushing yards on 23 attempts, with the offensive line overwhelmed at the point of attack and the passing game never settling into rhythm, forcing them to rely on a defensive touchdown for their only points. This lack of offensive production puts immense pressure on the Broncos’ defense, which played admirably in stretches but ultimately could not hold up against relentless Spartan drives. Against North Texas, the formula for improvement starts with the offensive line, which must open lanes for the ground game and protect their quarterback long enough to develop plays downfield, because if WMU becomes one-dimensional again, the Mean Green’s defense will feast. Establishing tempo and stringing together first downs will be critical not only for scoring but also for keeping their defense fresh against a UNT offense that thrives on pace.
Defensively, Western Michigan must find ways to generate pressure on freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker, disrupting his timing before he can carve up their secondary with quick reads and deep throws. Limiting big plays will be crucial, because a few breakdowns could quickly put WMU in a hole that their offense might not be able to climb out of. Special teams execution could provide hidden yardage and spark momentum, particularly at home where the Broncos will rely on crowd energy to keep them engaged. From a betting perspective, WMU sits at 0–1 ATS and enters as an underdog, but playing at home gives them at least a fighting chance to surprise if they can shore up the offense and avoid turnovers. For Taylor and his program, this game is less about style points and more about proving they can compete and execute in the basics—blocking, tackling, and sustaining drives. A competitive showing or upset would go a long way in restoring confidence in the direction of the program, while another flat performance could intensify pressure on the staff and leave the Broncos facing an uphill climb for the rest of the season.
Week 2️⃣ matchup
— Western Michigan Football (@WMU_Football) September 3, 2025
The Broncos will Kickoff against North Texas at 3:30PM EST on ESPN+#BroncosReign #EAT pic.twitter.com/x80KU7QsHE
North Texas vs Western Michigan Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Mean Green and Broncos play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Waldo Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
North Texas vs Western Michigan Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Mean Green and Broncos and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the trending weight emotional bettors regularly put on North Texas’s strength factors between a Mean Green team going up against a possibly tired Broncos team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI North Texas vs Western Michigan picks, computer picks Mean Green vs Broncos, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACTIVE PICKS LOCKED - SEE NOW | ||||||
These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule.
North Texas Betting Trends
North Texas is 1–0 ATS, coming off a 51–0 rout of Lamar in which freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, adding another score on the ground.
Western Michigan Betting Trends
Western Michigan is 0–1 ATS, scoring just six points in a 23–6 loss to Michigan State, managing only 29 rushing yards on 23 carries while their lone touchdown came from the defense.
Mean Green vs. Broncos Matchup Trends
Nearly 60% of bettors are backing North Texas to cover the spread, reflecting confidence in their offensive explosiveness, while Western Michigan’s home-field edge has drawn some underdog interest among contrarians.
North Texas vs. Western Michigan Game Info
North Texas vs Western Michigan starts on September 06, 2025 at 3:30 PM EST.
Venue: Waldo Stadium.
Spread: Western Michigan +10
Moneyline: North Texas -370, Western Michigan +292
Over/Under: 59.5
North Texas: (1-0) | Western Michigan: (0-1)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Nearly 60% of bettors are backing North Texas to cover the spread, reflecting confidence in their offensive explosiveness, while Western Michigan’s home-field edge has drawn some underdog interest among contrarians.
NOTEX trend: North Texas is 1–0 ATS, coming off a 51–0 rout of Lamar in which freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, adding another score on the ground.
WMICH trend: Western Michigan is 0–1 ATS, scoring just six points in a 23–6 loss to Michigan State, managing only 29 rushing yards on 23 carries while their lone touchdown came from the defense.
See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
North Texas vs. Western Michigan Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the North Texas vs Western Michigan trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| NOTEX Moneyline | -370 |
|---|---|
| WMICH Moneyline | +292 |
| NOTEX Spread | -10 |
| WMICH Spread | +10 |
| Over / Under | 59.5 |
North Texas vs Western Michigan Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Troy Trojans
James Madison Dukes
12/5/25 7PM
TROY
JMAD
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–
–
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+1300
-2500
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+23.5 (-108)
-23.5 (-112)
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O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
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Dec 5, 2025 7:00PM EST
Kennesaw State Owls
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
12/5/25 7PM
KENSAW
JAXST
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–
–
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-135
+110
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-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
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O 60.5 (-110)
U 60.5 (-110)
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Dec 5, 2025 8:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Tulane Green Wave
12/5/25 8PM
NOTEX
TULANE
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–
–
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-130
+110
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-2.5 (-112)
+2.5 (-108)
|
O 66.5 (-115)
U 66.5 (-105)
|
|
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Dec 5, 2025 8:01PM EST
UNLV Rebels
Boise State Broncos
12/5/25 8:01PM
UNLV
BOISE
|
–
–
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+184
-220
|
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 58.5 (-115)
U 58.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
Miami Ohio Redhawks
Western Michigan Broncos
12/6/25 12PM
MIAOH
WMICH
|
–
–
|
-132
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 42.5 (-115)
U 42.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 12:00PM EST
BYU Cougars
Texas Tech Red Raiders
12/6/25 12PM
BYU
TXTECH
|
–
–
|
+430
-560
|
+12.5 (-105)
-12.5 (-115)
|
O 49.5 (-108)
U 49.5 (-112)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 4:00PM EST
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide
12/6/25 4PM
UGA
BAMA
|
–
–
|
-134
+114
|
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
|
O 48.5 (-106)
U 48.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:00PM EST
Duke Blue Devils
Virginia Cavaliers
12/6/25 8PM
DUKE
UVA
|
–
–
|
+156
-186
|
+3.5 (-102)
-3.5 (-120)
|
O 57.5 (-115)
U 57.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Dec 6, 2025 8:01PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/6/25 8:01PM
IND
OHIOST
|
–
–
|
+158
-188
|
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
|
O 47.5 (-114)
U 47.5 (-106)
|
|
|
Dec 13, 2025 3:00PM EST
Army Black Knights
Navy Midshipmen
12/13/25 3PM
ARMY
NAVY
|
–
–
|
+172
-210
|
+4.5 (-105)
-4.5 (-115)
|
O 38.5 (-110)
U 38.5 (-110)
|
CFB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers North Texas Mean Green vs. Western Michigan Broncos on September 06, 2025 at Waldo Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
| LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COLO@KSTATE | COLO +17.5 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| PSU@RUT | RUT +14 | 52.8% | 1 | WIN |
| OHIOST@MICH | MICH +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| VATECH@UVA | VATECH +8 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| NWEST@ILL | LUKE ALTMYER UNDER 19.5 PASS COMP | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ORE@WAS | DEMOND WILLIAMS JR UNDER 43.5 RUSH YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MIAMI@VATECH | VATECH +18.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| GAST@TROY | TROY -9.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| DEL@WAKE | DEL +18 | 56.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NMEX@AF | NMEX -3.5 | 56.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WASHST@JMAD | WASHST +14.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| ILL@WISC | WISC +9 | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WKY@LSU | WKY +23.5 | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| WASH@UCLA | DEMOND WILLIAMS UNDER 27.5 PASS ATT | 56.3% | 6 | WIN |
| TCU@HOU | AMARE THOMAS OVER 69.5 RECV YDS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| TEX@UGA | NATE FRAZIER UNDER 65.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| PUR@WASH | ANTONIO HARRIS UNDER 73.5 RUSH + REC YDS | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| OKLA@BAMA | UNDER 46 | 52.4% | 2 | WIN |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -3.5 | 54.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| OKLA@BAMA | BAMA -6 | 54.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| OREGST@TULSA | OREGST -120 | 55.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| UTEP@MIZZST | MIZZST -5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| COLOST@NMEX | NMEX -14 | 57.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| PSU@MICHST | MICHST +7.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| MISSST@MIZZOU | MISSST +7.5 | 57.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| FAU@TULANE | FAU +17.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| NCST@MIAMI | NCST +15.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -6.5 | 55.4% | 5 | LOSS |
| JAXST@UTEP | JAXST -105 | 57.0% | 7 | WIN |
| FSU@CLEM | CLEM -118 | 57.1% | 5 | WIN |
| UNLV@COLOST | UNLV -4 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| OREG@IOWA | IOWA +6.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NEB +1.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| KENSAW@NMEXST | NMEXST +10 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| STNFRD@UNC | STNFRD +7.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DUKE@UCONN | UCONN +8.5 | 57.9% | 7 | WIN |
| NEVADA@UTAHST | NEVADA +9.5 | 55.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAMST@OREGST | SAMST +21 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| NEB@UCLA | NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 180.5 PASS YDS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@UCF | HOU -112 | 58.0% | 6 | WIN |
| GASTHRN@APPST | GASTHRN +180 | 36.5% | 2 | WIN |
| KENTST@BALLST | BALLST -2.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| WAKE@FSU | WAKE +10.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| WYO@SDGST | SDGST -10.5 | 56.7% | 7 | WIN |
| OKLA@TENN | TENN -130 | 58.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| GATECH@NCST | GATECH -5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| MIAMI@SMU | MIAMI -10 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| IND@MD | MD +21.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CINCY@UTAH | CINCY +11 | 57.6% | 7 | LOSS |
| OLDDOM@LAMON | LAMON +17 | 58.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| VANDY@TEXAS | OVER 46.5 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |