Mean Green vs. Broncos
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 06 | CFB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-30T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The North Texas Mean Green travel to Kalamazoo on September 6, 2025, to take on the Western Michigan Broncos in a non-conference matchup that highlights two Group of Five programs looking to establish early-season rhythm. North Texas enters as a 9.5-point favorite after dominating Lamar, while Western Michigan is hoping to rebound from an anemic offensive showing in a loss to Michigan State.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 06, 2025

Start Time: 3:30 PM EST​

Venue: Waldo Stadium​

Broncos Record: (0-1)

Mean Green Record: (1-0)

OPENING ODDS

NOTEX Moneyline: -370

WMICH Moneyline: +292

NOTEX Spread: -10

WMICH Spread: +10

Over/Under: 59.5

NOTEX
Betting Trends

  • North Texas is 1–0 ATS, coming off a 51–0 rout of Lamar in which freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, adding another score on the ground.

WMICH
Betting Trends

  • Western Michigan is 0–1 ATS, scoring just six points in a 23–6 loss to Michigan State, managing only 29 rushing yards on 23 carries while their lone touchdown came from the defense.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nearly 60% of bettors are backing North Texas to cover the spread, reflecting confidence in their offensive explosiveness, while Western Michigan’s home-field edge has drawn some underdog interest among contrarians.

NOTEX vs. WMICH
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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North Texas vs Western Michigan Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/6/25

The September 6, 2025 meeting between the North Texas Mean Green and the Western Michigan Broncos at Waldo Stadium provides a telling early-season test for both programs, with UNT arriving off a dominant 51–0 thrashing of Lamar and Western Michigan reeling from a 23–6 defeat to Michigan State in which their offense barely moved the ball. For North Texas, the story has been the emergence of redshirt freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker, who dazzled in his debut by throwing for 329 yards and three touchdowns while adding another score with his legs, showing command of Eric Morris’s wide-open passing system that relies on tempo, spacing, and attacking mismatches. Supported by a deep receiving corps and a steady backfield, the Mean Green looked explosive and efficient, piling up yards and points with ease while their defense pitched a shutout to underline the program’s growth under Morris. Western Michigan, meanwhile, struggled badly against Michigan State, finishing with just 29 rushing yards on 23 carries and producing their lone touchdown from a defensive scoop-and-score, a performance that highlighted ongoing issues with offensive line protection and quarterback inconsistency in Lance Taylor’s third season.

The Broncos must find answers quickly, because North Texas has the kind of passing game that can build a lead in a hurry, and if WMU’s offense cannot sustain drives, their defense will eventually wear down. Key matchups to watch include UNT’s receivers against Western Michigan’s secondary, which will need to hold up against constant tempo and downfield pressure, and the Broncos’ ground game against UNT’s front seven, as WMU must establish balance to avoid falling into obvious passing downs. Special teams and turnovers could also loom large, especially if Western Michigan can generate short fields to ease pressure on their offense. From a betting perspective, UNT is 1–0 ATS and heavily backed by bettors to cover as 9.5-point favorites, while WMU’s home environment has drawn some support from underdog bettors looking for a rebound. Ultimately, this game will likely come down to whether UNT can replicate the precision of their opener against a tougher opponent, or whether WMU can scrap together enough offensive rhythm to make it competitive. A decisive UNT win would signal that the Mean Green are legitimate AAC contenders, while a Broncos upset or cover would provide a desperately needed spark for a program searching for stability.

North Texas Mean Green CFB Preview

The North Texas Mean Green head into their September 6, 2025 trip to Kalamazoo with confidence brimming after a 51–0 demolition of Lamar that marked one of the most complete performances of Eric Morris’s tenure and showcased the arrival of redshirt freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker as the new face of the program. Mestemaker’s 329 passing yards and three touchdown tosses, along with a rushing score, highlighted his dual-threat ability and poise in running the Mean Green’s high-tempo offense, which thrives on quick reads, spread concepts, and attacking defenses with relentless pace. Backed by a veteran offensive line and a deep receiver group, UNT looked explosive, efficient, and difficult to slow down, raising expectations that they could be a real contender in the AAC this season. The defense also deserves credit, pitching a shutout against Lamar by dominating the line of scrimmage, forcing turnovers, and flying to the ball with energy that had been missing in recent years. Against Western Michigan, the challenge will be to replicate that intensity on the road, where hostile environments can disrupt rhythm and test a young quarterback’s composure. UNT must avoid turnovers, sustain tempo, and convert red-zone opportunities, because letting WMU hang around at home could create unnecessary pressure.

Defensively, the Mean Green will focus on stifling the Broncos’ ground game, forcing them into third-and-long situations that highlight their offensive struggles and limit their ability to dictate pace. Special teams efficiency will also be critical, as avoiding lapses in coverage or missed kicks can ensure UNT maintains control of the game’s momentum. From a betting standpoint, North Texas is 1–0 ATS and favored by 9.5 points, with nearly 60 percent of bettors siding with them to cover, reflecting belief in their offensive firepower and the apparent mismatch against a Western Michigan team that struggled mightily in Week 1. For Morris and his players, this game is about building on their explosive start, proving that Mestemaker’s debut was no fluke, and setting a standard for consistency that has sometimes eluded the program. A convincing win on the road would validate UNT as an AAC dark horse, while a stumble could slow their momentum and raise questions about whether the opener was more about opponent weakness than genuine strength. Ultimately, this is a chance for the Mean Green to make a statement, and if they execute with the same precision and confidence they showed in Week 1, they will be well positioned to roll out of Kalamazoo with another decisive victory.

The North Texas Mean Green travel to Kalamazoo on September 6, 2025, to take on the Western Michigan Broncos in a non-conference matchup that highlights two Group of Five programs looking to establish early-season rhythm. North Texas enters as a 9.5-point favorite after dominating Lamar, while Western Michigan is hoping to rebound from an anemic offensive showing in a loss to Michigan State. North Texas vs Western Michigan AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Western Michigan Broncos CFB Preview

The Western Michigan Broncos return to Waldo Stadium on September 6, 2025, desperate to find answers after a disheartening 23–6 loss to Michigan State that raised concerns about the state of their offense and highlighted the gap they must close to compete consistently under head coach Lance Taylor. Their opener saw them manage just 29 rushing yards on 23 attempts, with the offensive line overwhelmed at the point of attack and the passing game never settling into rhythm, forcing them to rely on a defensive touchdown for their only points. This lack of offensive production puts immense pressure on the Broncos’ defense, which played admirably in stretches but ultimately could not hold up against relentless Spartan drives. Against North Texas, the formula for improvement starts with the offensive line, which must open lanes for the ground game and protect their quarterback long enough to develop plays downfield, because if WMU becomes one-dimensional again, the Mean Green’s defense will feast. Establishing tempo and stringing together first downs will be critical not only for scoring but also for keeping their defense fresh against a UNT offense that thrives on pace.

Defensively, Western Michigan must find ways to generate pressure on freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker, disrupting his timing before he can carve up their secondary with quick reads and deep throws. Limiting big plays will be crucial, because a few breakdowns could quickly put WMU in a hole that their offense might not be able to climb out of. Special teams execution could provide hidden yardage and spark momentum, particularly at home where the Broncos will rely on crowd energy to keep them engaged. From a betting perspective, WMU sits at 0–1 ATS and enters as an underdog, but playing at home gives them at least a fighting chance to surprise if they can shore up the offense and avoid turnovers. For Taylor and his program, this game is less about style points and more about proving they can compete and execute in the basics—blocking, tackling, and sustaining drives. A competitive showing or upset would go a long way in restoring confidence in the direction of the program, while another flat performance could intensify pressure on the staff and leave the Broncos facing an uphill climb for the rest of the season.

North Texas vs. Western Michigan Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Mean Green and Broncos play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Waldo Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

North Texas vs. Western Michigan Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Mean Green and Broncos and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Western Michigan’s strength factors between a Mean Green team going up against a possibly deflated Broncos team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI North Texas vs Western Michigan picks, computer picks Mean Green vs Broncos, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Mean Green Betting Trends

North Texas is 1–0 ATS, coming off a 51–0 rout of Lamar in which freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, adding another score on the ground.

Broncos Betting Trends

Western Michigan is 0–1 ATS, scoring just six points in a 23–6 loss to Michigan State, managing only 29 rushing yards on 23 carries while their lone touchdown came from the defense.

Mean Green vs. Broncos Matchup Trends

Nearly 60% of bettors are backing North Texas to cover the spread, reflecting confidence in their offensive explosiveness, while Western Michigan’s home-field edge has drawn some underdog interest among contrarians.

North Texas vs. Western Michigan Game Info

North Texas vs Western Michigan starts on September 06, 2025 at 3:30 PM EST.

Spread: Western Michigan +10
Moneyline: North Texas -370, Western Michigan +292
Over/Under: 59.5

North Texas: (1-0)  |  Western Michigan: (0-1)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Nearly 60% of bettors are backing North Texas to cover the spread, reflecting confidence in their offensive explosiveness, while Western Michigan’s home-field edge has drawn some underdog interest among contrarians.

NOTEX trend: North Texas is 1–0 ATS, coming off a 51–0 rout of Lamar in which freshman quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns, adding another score on the ground.

WMICH trend: Western Michigan is 0–1 ATS, scoring just six points in a 23–6 loss to Michigan State, managing only 29 rushing yards on 23 carries while their lone touchdown came from the defense.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

North Texas vs. Western Michigan Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the North Texas vs Western Michigan trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

North Texas vs Western Michigan Opening Odds

NOTEX Moneyline: -370
WMICH Moneyline: +292
NOTEX Spread: -10
WMICH Spread: +10
Over/Under: 59.5

North Texas vs Western Michigan Live Odds

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Iowa State Cyclones
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U 55.5 (-117)
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+219
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U 58 (-110)
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U 55 (-110)
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U 53.5 (-110)
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U 45 (-110)
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U 41 (-115)
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U 58 (-112)
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+476
-650
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
O 56 (-105)
U 56 (-115)
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Miami Hurricanes
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10/4/25 7:30PM
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-180
+157
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+4 (-105)
O 53.5 (-115)
U 53.5 (-105)
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Tulsa Golden Hurricane
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+795
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+127
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U 55.5 (-110)
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10/4/25 10:30PM
NEVADA
FRESNO
+406
-535
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O 45 (-115)
U 45 (-105)
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10/9/25 7:30PM
ECAR
TULANE
 
 
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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NOTEX
 
 
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
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TEXAM
 
 
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
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Alabama Crimson Tide
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MIZZOU
-205
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O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
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Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
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+530
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U 50.5 (-115)
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Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
-172
+142
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
+300
-385
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
 
 
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
+350
-465
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers North Texas Mean Green vs. Western Michigan Broncos on September 06, 2025 at Waldo Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
EMICH@CMICH CMICH -148 62.8% 7 WIN
SDGST@NOILL SDGST -118 55.7% 3 WIN
BAMA@GEORGIA GEORGIA -125 58.7% 7 LOSS
TENN@MISSST MISSST +7.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UK@SC SC -5.5 54.8% 4 WIN
WKY@MIZZST MIZZST +4.5 55.6% 6 LOSS
JAXST@USM USM -3.5 56.0% 5 WIN
NMEXST@NMEX NMEX -14.5 56.9% 6 WIN
ARIZ@IOWAST ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.5% 5 WIN
TCU@ARIZST JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 53.4% 3 WIN
ARIZST@BAYLOR BAYLOR -130 58.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@COLO WYO +13.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
TULANE@OLEMISS MISS -11.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UNC@UCF UCF -6.5 54.4% 4 WIN
ARKST@KENSAW KENSAW +4.5 54.5% 4 WIN
ILL@IND IND -6 53.2% 3 WIN
SELOU@LSU LSU -47.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
TNMART@MIZZST MIZZST -14.5 56.2% 6 WIN
FRESNO@HAWAII HAWAII +3 56.6% 6 WIN
MRSHL@MTSU MTSU +2.5 56.8% 6 LOSS
MICH@NEB NEB +1.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
WASH@WASHST DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS 56.2% 6 LOSS
IOWA@RUT ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS 54.4% 4 WIN
GEORGIA@TENN UNDER 50.5 55.5% 6 LOSS
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -225 72.0% 9 WIN
DUKE@TULANE TULANE -120 56.5% 4 WIN
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -6.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
AKRON@UAB UAB -11 54.7% 4 LOSS
UCONN@DEL DEL +9.5 55.0% 5 WIN
APLST@USM USM +4 55.3% 6 WIN
MERIMK@KENSAW KENSAW -13.5 56.2% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA IOWA -34.5 56.4% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS 54.8% 4 WIN
NMEX@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT 53.4% 3 LOSS
KSTATE@ARIZ ARIZ +1.5 56.1% 6 WIN
BC@MICHST NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS 53.6% 3 WIN
ARIZST@MISSST MISSST +7 54.2% 4 WIN
TULSA@NMEXST NMEXST +3.5 56.9% 6 WIN
UCLA@UNLV OVER 54.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
FRESNO@OREGST FRESNO +1.5 54.7% 4 WIN
VANDY@VATECH VANDY +2.5 55.8% 5 WIN
JMAD@LVILLE LVILLE -14.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
TCU@UNC JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS 53.8% 3 LOSS
ND@MIAMI MIAMI +3 55.2% 6 WIN
MISSST@USM USM +14.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
UTAH@UCLA UCLA +5.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CAL@OREGST OREGST +1.5 55.1% 5 LOSS
FAU@MD MD -13.5 55.2% 5 WIN
GAS@FRESNO FRESNO +2 55.2% 5 WIN
TOLEDO@UK UK -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
AUSTPEAY@MTSU PEAY +12.5 56.2% 6 WIN