Sun Devils vs. Bulldogs
Prediction, Odds & Props
Sep 06 | CFB AI Picks

Updated: 2025-08-30T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

Arizona State, the defending Big 12 champions and College Football Playoff participants, head to Starkville on September 6, 2025, riding early-season momentum after a solid 38–19 season-opening victory over Northern Arizona behind dual-threat QB Sam Leavitt. Mississippi State returns to Davis Wade Stadium looking to continue its perfect season-opening streak under second-year coach Jeff Lebby, having started 1–0 again this year and aiming to showcase stability and bounce-back ability at home.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 06, 2025

Start Time: 7:30 PM EST​

Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field​

Bulldogs Record: (1-0)

Sun Devils Record: (1-0)

OPENING ODDS

ARIZST Moneyline: -237

MISSST Moneyline: +193

ARIZST Spread: -6.5

MISSST Spread: +6.5

Over/Under: 59

ARIZST
Betting Trends

  • Arizona State is 1–0 ATS, credited to their Week 1 performance where Leavitt accounted for four total touchdowns, including two rushing, in their 38–19 win over Northern Arizona.

MISSST
Betting Trends

  • Mississippi State is also 1–0 ATS, having opened the season with a win over Eastern Kentucky to keep alive their streak of eight straight season-opening victories.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Despite ASU being a ranked playoff contender, some bettors are intrigued by Mississippi State’s home-field stability and opener success, making this matchup draw surprising attention on both sides of the spread.

ARIZST vs. MISSST
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Traore under 41.5 Receiving Yards.

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Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction & Odds:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/6/25

The September 6, 2025 matchup between the Arizona State Sun Devils and the Mississippi State Bulldogs at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville sets up as one of the more intriguing non-conference showdowns in the early part of the season, pitting a program on the rise in the SEC against a proven Big 12 contender with playoff aspirations. Arizona State enters this game with the confidence of a defending Big 12 championship and a College Football Playoff berth still fresh in memory, and their season-opening 38–19 win over Northern Arizona highlighted just how dangerous quarterback Sam Leavitt can be, as he threw for two touchdowns, ran for two more, and showcased the dual-threat skill set that makes him the centerpiece of Kenny Dillingham’s high-tempo offense. The Sun Devils’ offensive line provided him with time to operate, their receivers found space consistently against man coverage, and the running game was efficient enough to keep defenses honest, creating balance that will be vital against an SEC front seven. Mississippi State, meanwhile, also began its season with a win, extending its remarkable streak of opening-week victories to eight straight under five different coaches, and in Jeff Lebby’s second season in charge, the Bulldogs are looking to pair his offensive creativity with a defensive front that has the physicality to cause problems for even elite opponents.

While Arizona State is clearly the more heralded team on paper, Mississippi State’s home-field advantage at Davis Wade Stadium is real, and SEC speed combined with crowd energy makes them a dangerous underdog capable of making this a far tighter contest than outsiders might expect. Strategically, Arizona State will lean on Leavitt’s ability to extend plays and keep drives alive with his legs, hoping to put the Bulldogs’ defense on its heels and force them into mismatches in the secondary, while also testing Mississippi State’s linebackers in space with quick throws and tempo-driven sequences. Defensively, ASU will look to take away chunk plays and force Mississippi State’s quarterbacks into high-pressure third downs, knowing that turnovers or missed assignments could swing momentum quickly in a hostile environment. For the Bulldogs, the game plan is to slow the tempo, establish a run game that can chew clock, and pressure Leavitt enough to disrupt timing and rhythm, as forcing Arizona State into uncomfortable down-and-distance scenarios may be their only path to controlling the game. Special teams and field position will play an outsized role, as early September games often come down to hidden yardage and composure in tight moments, particularly for underdogs trying to hang within striking distance. From a betting perspective, both teams enter 1–0 ATS after covering in their openers, but Arizona State’s national profile has them installed as a favorite, while Mississippi State’s track record of performing well at home has attracted attention from bettors intrigued by the possibility of an SEC underdog rising to the occasion. Ultimately, this matchup comes down to identity and execution: if Arizona State’s offense runs cleanly and Leavitt stays poised, they have the firepower to put the game away, but if Mississippi State controls tempo, wins the line of scrimmage, and rides the energy of Starkville, they could turn this into one of the weekend’s more compelling surprises.

Arizona State Sun Devils CFB Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils travel to Starkville on September 6, 2025 with the swagger of a program that has rapidly transformed itself into a national contender under head coach Kenny Dillingham, and their 38–19 season-opening win over Northern Arizona provided an early reminder of why they remain a threat in the Big 12 and beyond. Quarterback Sam Leavitt was the story in Week 1, accounting for four total touchdowns with two through the air and two on the ground, showing off the dual-threat ability that makes him one of the most difficult players in college football to prepare for, and his command of the offense ensured the Sun Devils never looked uncomfortable even when Northern Arizona attempted to pressure him. Arizona State’s offensive line gave Leavitt the protection needed to spread the ball effectively, while the backfield rotation contributed steady rushing production that kept the chains moving and prevented the defense from keying exclusively on Leavitt. The receiving corps, featuring multiple explosive options, took advantage of mismatches downfield, and the tempo with which Dillingham likes to play proved too much for the Lumberjacks, a theme the Sun Devils will aim to replicate against an SEC defense that will be far more physical and athletic.

On the defensive side, Arizona State showed flashes of the opportunism that helped fuel their 2024 playoff run, with a front seven capable of generating pressure and a secondary quick to close gaps and break up passes, though they know they must tighten up against a Mississippi State offense that under Jeff Lebby emphasizes pace and creativity. Special teams looked sharp in the opener, particularly in coverage and field position, which will be critical in a hostile road environment where any misstep could tilt momentum toward the Bulldogs. From a betting standpoint, Arizona State is 1–0 ATS and has gained confidence among backers who view them as a balanced, efficient team that can cover spreads even away from home, and their pedigree as Big 12 champions only adds to that reputation. The challenge for ASU will be maintaining focus against a team that has a history of upsetting ranked opponents in Starkville, avoiding turnovers that feed the crowd, and executing with the same sharpness they displayed in Week 1. For Dillingham and his players, this game is about proving that last year’s success was not an anomaly but the start of a sustained rise, and a convincing win in an SEC road environment would be a statement that their championship goals remain realistic. If Leavitt continues to operate with the same confidence, the offensive line holds against the Bulldogs’ pass rush, and the defense forces Mississippi State into mistakes, Arizona State will have every reason to believe they can not only win comfortably but also strengthen their case as one of the nation’s elite teams.

Arizona State, the defending Big 12 champions and College Football Playoff participants, head to Starkville on September 6, 2025, riding early-season momentum after a solid 38–19 season-opening victory over Northern Arizona behind dual-threat QB Sam Leavitt. Mississippi State returns to Davis Wade Stadium looking to continue its perfect season-opening streak under second-year coach Jeff Lebby, having started 1–0 again this year and aiming to showcase stability and bounce-back ability at home. Arizona State vs Mississippi State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 06. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Mississippi State Bulldogs CFB Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs return to Davis Wade Stadium on September 6, 2025 looking to seize a golden opportunity to make an early-season statement against visiting Arizona State, a program carrying the reputation of a Big 12 champion and College Football Playoff participant. Under second-year head coach Jeff Lebby, the Bulldogs enter this game at 1–0 after extending their streak of season-opening wins to eight straight, a testament to the program’s resilience and ability to start fast regardless of coaching turnover. That opener against Eastern Kentucky served as a tune-up, giving Lebby a chance to showcase the tempo-driven offensive style that has become his signature while also rotating younger talent into meaningful snaps, but the Sun Devils present an entirely different level of challenge and a true test of how much progress Mississippi State has made. The Bulldogs’ path to competing lies in leveraging their physicality at the line of scrimmage, establishing a run game early to control tempo, and using the home-field advantage of a raucous Starkville crowd to put pressure on Arizona State quarterback Sam Leavitt, whose dual-threat ability makes him one of the toughest players in the nation to contain. Defensively, Mississippi State must prioritize discipline, maintaining gap integrity against ASU’s balanced attack while also being aggressive enough to generate pressure and force Leavitt into uncomfortable situations where he might be rushed into mistakes.

The secondary, which has shown flashes of athleticism, will be tested against a Sun Devil receiving corps that thrives on speed and precision, making communication and assignment execution critical to avoiding big plays. On offense, the Bulldogs will need efficient quarterback play and timely execution in the passing game to complement the ground attack, keeping Arizona State’s defense honest and preventing them from simply keying on one dimension. Special teams could play a pivotal role, as hidden yardage in field position battles and the ability to pin the Sun Devils deep could be the difference in keeping the game close into the second half. From a betting perspective, Mississippi State is 1–0 ATS and has drawn attention from contrarian backers who believe their home-field advantage and knack for competing well in Starkville make them a live underdog despite Arizona State’s pedigree and ranking. For Lebby and his team, this matchup represents more than just another non-conference game—it is a chance to show recruits, fans, and the broader SEC that the Bulldogs are capable of standing toe-to-toe with playoff-caliber opponents and that their rebuild is ahead of schedule. If Mississippi State can keep mistakes to a minimum, force a turnover or two, and ride the emotion of the home crowd, they could very well push Arizona State into uncomfortable territory and turn this into one of the most surprising results of the early college football season.

Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Sun Devils and Bulldogs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Traore under 41.5 Receiving Yards.

Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Sun Devils and Bulldogs and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned factor emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Sun Devils team going up against a possibly rested Bulldogs team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Arizona State vs Mississippi State picks, computer picks Sun Devils vs Bulldogs, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CFB schedule

Sun Devils Betting Trends

Arizona State is 1–0 ATS, credited to their Week 1 performance where Leavitt accounted for four total touchdowns, including two rushing, in their 38–19 win over Northern Arizona.

Bulldogs Betting Trends

Mississippi State is also 1–0 ATS, having opened the season with a win over Eastern Kentucky to keep alive their streak of eight straight season-opening victories.

Sun Devils vs. Bulldogs Matchup Trends

Despite ASU being a ranked playoff contender, some bettors are intrigued by Mississippi State’s home-field stability and opener success, making this matchup draw surprising attention on both sides of the spread.

Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Game Info

Arizona State vs Mississippi State starts on September 06, 2025 at 7:30 PM EST.

Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.

Spread: Mississippi State +6.5
Moneyline: Arizona State -237, Mississippi State +193
Over/Under: 59

Arizona State: (1-0)  |  Mississippi State: (1-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: S. Traore under 41.5 Receiving Yards.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

Despite ASU being a ranked playoff contender, some bettors are intrigued by Mississippi State’s home-field stability and opener success, making this matchup draw surprising attention on both sides of the spread.

ARIZST trend: Arizona State is 1–0 ATS, credited to their Week 1 performance where Leavitt accounted for four total touchdowns, including two rushing, in their 38–19 win over Northern Arizona.

MISSST trend: Mississippi State is also 1–0 ATS, having opened the season with a win over Eastern Kentucky to keep alive their streak of eight straight season-opening victories.

See our latest CFB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Arizona State vs. Mississippi State Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Arizona State vs Mississippi State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Opening Odds

ARIZST Moneyline: -237
MISSST Moneyline: +193
ARIZST Spread: -6.5
MISSST Spread: +6.5
Over/Under: 59

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Live Odds

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Oct 4, 2025 12:00PM EDT
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Wisconsin Badgers
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+344
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Iowa State Cyclones
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Army Black Knights
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U 58 (-112)
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Mississippi State Bulldogs
Texas A&M Aggies
10/4/25 7:30PM
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TEXAM
+476
-650
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
O 56 (-105)
U 56 (-115)
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Miami Hurricanes
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10/4/25 7:30PM
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FSU
-180
+157
-4 (-115)
+4 (-105)
O 53.5 (-115)
U 53.5 (-105)
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U 45 (-105)
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East Carolina Pirates
Tulane Green Wave
10/9/25 7:30PM
ECAR
TULANE
 
 
+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
Oct 10, 2025 7:30PM EDT
South Florida Bulls
North Texas Mean Green
10/10/25 7:30PM
SFLA
NOTEX
 
 
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Florida Gators
Texas A&M Aggies
10/11/25 12PM
FLA
TEXAM
 
 
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Alabama Crimson Tide
Missouri Tigers
10/11/25 12PM
BAMA
MIZZOU
-205
+168
-6.5 (-102)
+6.5 (-120)
O 55.5 (-108)
U 55.5 (-112)
Oct 11, 2025 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Illinois Fighting Illini
10/11/25 12PM
OHIOST
ILL
-780
+530
-15.5 (-110)
+15.5 (-110)
O 50.5 (-105)
U 50.5 (-115)
Oct 11, 2025 12:45PM EDT
Georgia Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers
10/11/25 12:45PM
UGA
AUBURN
-172
+142
-3.5 (-114)
+3.5 (-106)
O 47.5 (-110)
U 47.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Indiana Hoosiers
Oregon Ducks
10/11/25 3:30PM
IND
OREG
+300
-385
+10.5 (-112)
-10.5 (-108)
O 52.5 (-110)
U 52.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 3:30PM EDT
Oklahoma Sooners
Texas Longhorns
10/11/25 3:30PM
OKLA
TEXAS
 
 
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
Oct 11, 2025 4:15PM EDT
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee Volunteers
10/11/25 4:15PM
ARK
TENN
+350
-465
+12.5 (-110)
-12.5 (-110)
O 67.5 (-110)
U 67.5 (-110)

CFB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs on September 06, 2025 at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CFB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
EMICH@CMICH CMICH -148 62.8% 7 WIN
SDGST@NOILL SDGST -118 55.7% 3 WIN
BAMA@GEORGIA GEORGIA -125 58.7% 7 LOSS
TENN@MISSST MISSST +7.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UK@SC SC -5.5 54.8% 4 WIN
WKY@MIZZST MIZZST +4.5 55.6% 6 LOSS
JAXST@USM USM -3.5 56.0% 5 WIN
NMEXST@NMEX NMEX -14.5 56.9% 6 WIN
ARIZ@IOWAST ROCCO BECHT UNDER 1.5 PASS TDS 55.5% 5 WIN
TCU@ARIZST JOSH HOOVER PASS YDS UNDER 287.5 53.4% 3 WIN
ARIZST@BAYLOR BAYLOR -130 58.4% 6 LOSS
WYO@COLO WYO +13.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
TULANE@OLEMISS MISS -11.5 54.3% 4 WIN
UNC@UCF UCF -6.5 54.4% 4 WIN
ARKST@KENSAW KENSAW +4.5 54.5% 4 WIN
ILL@IND IND -6 53.2% 3 WIN
SELOU@LSU LSU -47.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
TNMART@MIZZST MIZZST -14.5 56.2% 6 WIN
FRESNO@HAWAII HAWAII +3 56.6% 6 WIN
MRSHL@MTSU MTSU +2.5 56.8% 6 LOSS
MICH@NEB NEB +1.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
WASH@WASHST DENZEL BOSTON UNDER 69.5 RECV YDS 56.2% 6 LOSS
IOWA@RUT ANTWAN RAYMOND OVER 0.5 TOUCHDOWNS 54.4% 4 WIN
GEORGIA@TENN UNDER 50.5 55.5% 6 LOSS
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -225 72.0% 9 WIN
DUKE@TULANE TULANE -120 56.5% 4 WIN
ARK@OLEMISS MISS -6.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
AKRON@UAB UAB -11 54.7% 4 LOSS
UCONN@DEL DEL +9.5 55.0% 5 WIN
APLST@USM USM +4 55.3% 6 WIN
MERIMK@KENSAW KENSAW -13.5 56.2% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA IOWA -34.5 56.4% 7 WIN
UMASS@IOWA JAZIUN PATTERSON UNDER 0.5 RUSH TDS 54.8% 4 WIN
NMEX@UCLA NICO IAMALEAVA UNDER 31.5 PASS ATT 53.4% 3 LOSS
KSTATE@ARIZ ARIZ +1.5 56.1% 6 WIN
BC@MICHST NICK MARSH OVER 47.5 RCV YDS 53.6% 3 WIN
ARIZST@MISSST MISSST +7 54.2% 4 WIN
TULSA@NMEXST NMEXST +3.5 56.9% 6 WIN
UCLA@UNLV OVER 54.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
FRESNO@OREGST FRESNO +1.5 54.7% 4 WIN
VANDY@VATECH VANDY +2.5 55.8% 5 WIN
JMAD@LVILLE LVILLE -14.5 54.0% 3 LOSS
TCU@UNC JOSEPH MANJACK OVER 37.5 RECV YDS 53.8% 3 LOSS
ND@MIAMI MIAMI +3 55.2% 6 WIN
MISSST@USM USM +14.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
UTAH@UCLA UCLA +5.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CAL@OREGST OREGST +1.5 55.1% 5 LOSS
FAU@MD MD -13.5 55.2% 5 WIN
GAS@FRESNO FRESNO +2 55.2% 5 WIN
TOLEDO@UK UK -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
AUSTPEAY@MTSU PEAY +12.5 56.2% 6 WIN