Siena Saints
Dayton returns home seeking a response to its overtime upset, but Siena brings a red-hot freshman rebounder and a recent cover. With the Flyers favored by double digits, the key question is whether their frontcourt can control the glass.
Dayton Flyers
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | SIENA +12.5 DAYTON -12.5 | SIENA +680 DAYTON -1200 | O 159.5 U 159.5 |
| DraftKings | SIENA +13.5 DAYTON -13.5 | SIENA +650 DAYTON -1000 | O 159.5 U 159.5 |
| BetMGM | SIENA +13.5 DAYTON -13.5 | SIENA +650 DAYTON -1100 | O 159.5 U 159.5 |
| BetRivers | SIENA +12.5 DAYTON -12.5 | SIENA +540 DAYTON -910 | O 158.5 U 158.5 |
| Fanatics | SIENA +13 DAYTON -13 | SIENA +650 DAYTON -1000 | O 159 U 159 |
| Bovada | SIENA +13 DAYTON -13 | SIENA +625 DAYTON -1000 | O 159 U 159 |
| BetOnline.ag | SIENA +13 DAYTON -13 | SIENA +661 DAYTON -1000 | O 160 U 160 |
| LowVig.ag | SIENA +13 DAYTON -13 | SIENA +661 DAYTON -1000 | O 160 U 160 |
| BetUS | SIENA +13 DAYTON -13 | SIENA +650 DAYTON -1000 | O 160 U 160 |
| Caesars | SIENA +12.5 DAYTON -12.5 | SIENA +650 DAYTON -1000 | O 159 U 159 |
Injury Report
Siena guard Y. Steger is listed out for the 2026-27 season with a right knee injury, removing a backcourt option from the rotation. The matchup injury listing shows no reported Dayton absences. That does not guarantee every player will be available at tip-off; late lineup and warmup updates remain important. No other specific basketball-impact injury was sufficiently confirmed for inclusion.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Dayton has the home-floor advantage and stronger established program profile, but covering a spread near 13 requires a sustained margin. Siena freshman Tim Ibukunoluwa has been efficient inside, and the Flyers must contain his second-chance opportunities while avoiding another sluggish start after falling behind Northern Illinois.
3 Things to Watch
- Ibukunoluwa versus Dayton interior defenders
- Derkack rebounding and foul trouble
- Dayton response after overtime upset
Betting Breakdown
Dayton hosts Siena at UD Arena on November 10 with both teams carrying 1-1 records. The Flyers opened by beating NJIT 89-58 but then lost 81-76 in overtime to Northern Illinois after rallying from a sizable early deficit. That contrast matters for bettors laying nearly two touchdowns in points: Dayton has already demonstrated both blowout potential and vulnerability as a substantial home favorite. Siena lost 80-75 at Bryant before rebounding with an 82-68 win against Princeton. Freshman Tim Ibukunoluwa led the Saints against Princeton with 30 points, 12 rebounds and a perfect 12-for-12 shooting performance. Dayton freshman Aiden Derkack counters with consecutive 20-point double-doubles, including 20 points and 10 rebounds against Northern Illinois. The matchup hinges on paint scoring, rebounding and how often Siena can avoid empty possessions. Dayton covered against NJIT but failed to cover against Northern Illinois; Siena has split its first two against the number. Market listings vary around Dayton -13 and a total in the low 150s, so bettors should check the live price rather than relying on one stale number.
Siena Betting Outlook
Siena enters its second road test under Nevada Smith after splitting its opening two games. The Saints fell 80-75 at Bryant as a narrow favorite, then beat Princeton 82-68 as an underdog, giving them a 1-1 ATS start. Tim Ibukunoluwa has delivered immediate interior production and Pace Prosser adds playmaking; Dayton reports Prosser averaging 17.5 points and seven assists through two outings. Siena must translate its efficient offense against Princeton into a difficult road environment. Rebounding and protecting the ball are particularly important because empty possessions could quickly create separation against a motivated Flyers team. The Saints have only one prior meeting with Dayton, a loss in 2001.
Dayton Betting Outlook
Dayton is 1-1 straight up and against the spread after beating NJIT by 31 and losing to Northern Illinois by five in overtime. Aiden Derkack is averaging 20.5 points and 10.5 rebounds through two games, while Landen Joseph contributed 19 points against Northern Illinois. The Flyers have been strong at UD Arena historically, but a powerful home environment does not automatically justify a double-digit point spread. Their biggest concern is consistency: Northern Illinois built a 17-point first-half lead before Dayton mounted its comeback. A sharper opening stretch, control of defensive rebounds and better execution against Siena's productive freshmen would support the favorite covering. Watch the final injury and starting-lineup updates.
Latest Team Buzz
🏀 Win #⃣2⃣9⃣9⃣ at @TheMVPArena, win #⃣1⃣ of the @nvsmith Era
— Siena Basketball (@SienaMBB) November 9, 2026
📸 Lisa Schlager
🖼️ https://t.co/fA7EP4qzpM
#MarchOn x #SienaSaints x #NCAAM
Congratulations Aiden ✈️🏀
— Dayton Basketball (@DaytonMBB) November 9, 2026
#GoFlyers // @aderkack04
Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers FAQ
What is the current spread for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
The current home spread is DAYTON -13.5, while the away spread is SIENA +13.5.
How far has the spread moved for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
The spread opened at DAYTON -12.5 and is now DAYTON -13.5.
What is the current moneyline for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
The current moneyline is SIENA +650 / DAYTON -1000.
How far has the moneyline moved for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
The moneyline opened at SIENA +600 / DAYTON -900 and is now SIENA +650 / DAYTON -1000.
What is the current total for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
The current total is 159.5.
How far has the total moved for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
The total opened at 152.5 and is now 159.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Is the total rising for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Where to watch Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
You can watch this game on Spectrum News 1. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
You can stream this game on ESPN+.
What is the best free prop bet for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Siena Saints vs Dayton Flyers?
Dayton has the home-floor advantage and stronger established program profile, but covering a spread near 13 requires a sustained margin. Siena freshman Tim Ibukunoluwa has been efficient inside, and the Flyers must contain his second-chance opportunities while avoiding another sluggish start after falling behind Northern Illinois.
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