Baylor failed to cover a 32.5-point number in its 87-65 opener, while Arkansas-Pine Bluff fell short of a 42.5-point cushion at Arkansas, so laying a huge spread with a rotation full of debuting players remains a delicate proposition.
Baylor Bears
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | ARKPB +35.5 BAYLOR -35.5 | — | O 157.5 U 157.5 |
| DraftKings | ARKPB +36.5 BAYLOR -36.5 | — | O 158.5 U 158.5 |
| BetRivers | ARKPB +35.5 BAYLOR -35.5 | — | O 157.5 U 157.5 |
| Fanatics | ARKPB +36.5 BAYLOR -36.5 | ARKPB +12000 BAYLOR -100000 | O 158.5 U 158.5 |
| Bovada | ARKPB +36.5 BAYLOR -36.5 | — | O 158.5 U 158.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | ARKPB +36.5 BAYLOR -36.5 | — | O 159 U 159 |
| LowVig.ag | ARKPB +36.5 BAYLOR -36.5 | — | O 159 U 159 |
| Caesars | ARKPB +36.5 BAYLOR -36.5 | — | O 157.5 U 157.5 |
Injury Report
No significant injuries are listed for either side. Baylor center Juslin Bodo Bodo is back after missing the entire 2025-26 season with an arm injury, giving Scott Drew additional size off the bench. Arkansas-Pine Bluff standout Creed Williamson fouled out of the opener after scoring 13, so foul trouble rather than injury was the Golden Lions' biggest availability issue. With 10 Baylor players making debuts on Monday, minutes distribution could be wide in a lopsided game.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Ball security decides how lopsided this gets. Arkansas-Pine Bluff committed 24 turnovers at Arkansas, and Baylor's backcourt of Kayden Mingo and Dylan Mingo combined for 31 points, with Dylan adding six assists and four steals. If the Golden Lions cannot handle Baylor's guard pressure, the Bears will generate transition points in bunches, as they did in building a 30-9 lead against Northwestern State.
3 Things to Watch
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff turnovers against Baylor's guards
- Brett Decker Jr.'s three-point volume
- Baylor's bench minutes in the second half
Betting Breakdown
Baylor's new-look roster delivered an efficient debut, beating Northwestern State 87-65 while leading for 39 minutes and 28 seconds. The Bears raced to a 30-9 lead, never led by fewer than 15 after halftime, and placed four players in double figures. Liberty transfer Brett Decker Jr. and Kayden Mingo each scored 17, with Decker hitting 5-of-9 threes, while freshman Dylan Mingo, the No. 2 prospect in the 2026 class by Rivals, filled the box score with 14 points, six rebounds, six assists and four steals. Elijah Williams added 11 in his first career start. Arkansas-Pine Bluff opened with a 106-61 loss at No. 12 Arkansas, shooting 38.9 percent and committing 24 turnovers. Jalen Tatum led with 16 points, and Creed Williamson had 13 before fouling out. Baylor still failed to cover a 32.5-point spread in its opener, which is the key betting caution against another massive number. The Bears are 4-0 all-time against the Golden Lions, winning every meeting by at least 27 points.
Arkansas Pine Bluff Betting Outlook
Arkansas-Pine Bluff, coached by Solomon Bozeman, is in the middle of a demanding nonconference stretch featuring 11 straight road games through Dec. 12. The opener at Arkansas exposed issues with ball security, as the Golden Lions committed 24 turnovers and shot 21-of-54 from the field and 6-of-21 from three. Jalen Tatum was the bright spot with 16 points, six rebounds and 7-of-8 free throw shooting. Creed Williamson, son of former Arkansas star Corliss Williamson, scored 13 before fouling out, and Harrison Pickett and Jeremy Nyakundi each added 10 points in the loss.
Baylor Betting Outlook
Baylor was picked 10th by Big 12 coaches but showed its talent level during an exhibition slate that included wins over Oklahoma, Florida in overtime and Illinois. The backcourt is loaded, with Kayden Mingo scoring 31 against Florida and freshman Dylan Mingo contributing in every category in the opener. Brett Decker Jr. adds perimeter shooting after making five threes against Northwestern State, and Elijah Williams, son of former NBA coach Monty Williams, scored 11 in his first start. Juslin Bodo Bodo's return provides depth inside. Scott Drew is 21-3 in season openers at Baylor and owns 482 wins in Waco.
Latest Team Buzz
out the gate with it 🦾 #ItsTime | #1Team1Roar https://t.co/15kphjFPRG
— Golden Lion Basketball 🦁 (@UAPBLionsMBB) July 7, 2026
The best time of year is here 🏀 Back at it in @FosterPavilion on Friday! 🎟️ https://t.co/KVWJmyhc8j #SicEm | #CultureofJOY https://t.co/NWlxsRD3gP
— Baylor Men’s Basketball (@BaylorMBB) November 3, 2026
Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears FAQ
What is the current spread for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
The current home spread is BAYLOR -36.5, while the away spread is ARKPB +36.5.
How far has the spread moved for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
The spread opened at BAYLOR -36.5 and is now BAYLOR -36.5.
What is the current moneyline for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
The current moneyline is / .
How far has the moneyline moved for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
The moneyline opened at / and is now / .
What is the current total for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
The current total is 158.5.
How far has the total moved for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
The total opened at 158.5 and is now 158.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
Current market signal: Market Steady.
Is the market taking the favorite in Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
Current market signal: .
Is the total dropping for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Is the total rising for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
Current totals signal: Total Steady.
Where to watch Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
You can watch this game on ESPN+. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
You can stream this game on ESPN+.
What is the best free prop bet for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Baylor Bears?
Ball security decides how lopsided this gets. Arkansas-Pine Bluff committed 24 turnovers at Arkansas, and Baylor's backcourt of Kayden Mingo and Dylan Mingo combined for 31 points, with Dylan adding six assists and four steals. If the Golden Lions cannot handle Baylor's guard pressure, the Bears will generate transition points in bunches, as they did in building a 30-9 lead against Northwestern State.
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