Tennessee State Tigers
Tennessee State gets 9.5 points against a Murray State team that scored 90-plus in both exhibitions. The defending OVC champion rebuilt around transfers, and a total in the low 160s puts pace at the center of this Sioux Falls opener.
Murray State Racers
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| Sportsbook | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +440 MURRAY -610 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
| DraftKings | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +400 MURRAY -535 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
| BetMGM | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +400 MURRAY -550 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
| BetRivers | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +375 MURRAY -530 | O 165.5 U 165.5 |
| Fanatics | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +400 MURRAY -550 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
| Bovada | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +400 MURRAY -575 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
| BetOnline.ag | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +415 MURRAY -550 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
| LowVig.ag | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +415 MURRAY -550 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
| BetUS | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +390 MURRAY -500 | O 164 U 164 |
| Caesars | TENNST +10.5 MURRAY -10.5 | TENNST +400 MURRAY -550 | O 164.5 U 164.5 |
Injury Report
No injury absence was publicly reported for either team in the pregame previews reviewed. Rotations are the bigger unknown. Murray State used Brayden Shorter and Talis Soulhac as exhibition starters ahead of Kaden Magwood and Christian Jones, so roles may still shift. Tennessee State lost Aaron Nkrumah, Travis Harper II and Dante Harris and is leaning on transfers such as Aaron Bradshaw and Ty-Laur Johnson. Confirm starting lineups before tip.
Key Players
Key Matchup Edge
Tennessee State's best path to a cover is the glass. The Tigers posted a 34 percent offensive rebound rate last season, and Murray State ranked 214th in defensive rebound rate. If second chances keep the Tigers close, the points have value. If not, a Murray State offense that topped 90 in both exhibitions can pull away.
3 Things to Watch
- Tennessee State offensive rebounding against Murray State
- Roman Domon's shot volume in a fast game
- Aaron Bradshaw's rim protection in his Tigers debut
Betting Breakdown
Tennessee State is a 9.5-point underdog to Murray State at the Sanford Pentagon, with the total between 161.5 and 162.5 depending on the book. Both teams have changed a lot since last season. Murray State went 20-13 in Ryan Miller's first year but lost its last three games, including an NIT loss at Nevada. Tennessee State went 23-10 under Nolan Smith, won the OVC Tournament to reach its first NCAA Tournament in 32 years and then lost 108-74 to Iowa State in the NCAA Tournament. The Tigers lost Aaron Nkrumah, Travis Harper II and Dante Harris and added Aaron Bradshaw, Ty-Laur Johnson, Arterio Morris and Joshua Rivera. Murray State returns Roman Domon and scored more than 90 points in exhibition wins over Wichita State and Incarnate Word. The spread matches KenPom's nine-point projection, so there is no obvious mispricing on the side. The better angle may be the total. Murray State played at a top-10 pace last season, and Tennessee State forced turnovers at a 19 percent rate, which points to a high number of possessions.
Tennessee State Betting Outlook
Tennessee State starts 0-0 and 0-0 ATS as the defending OVC Tournament champion, but much of that team is gone. Nolan Smith lost OVC Player of the Year Aaron Nkrumah, plus Travis Harper II and Dante Harris. The rebuild leans on transfers: 7-foot-1 center Aaron Bradshaw, guard Ty-Laur Johnson, who averaged 14.6 points at San Diego, Arterio Morris and former Fordham forward Joshua Rivera. Last season's identity was offensive rebounding and pressure, with a 34 percent offensive rebound rate and a 19 percent turnover rate forced. If that carries over, the Tigers can stay within the number. The worry is ball security from a new backcourt against a Murray State team that wants to run.
Murray State Betting Outlook
Murray State starts 0-0 and 0-0 ATS after finishing 20-13 and 12-8 in the Missouri Valley, but the season ended with losses to Bradley, UIC and Nevada. Roman Domon is the anchor after averaging 13.6 points on 49 percent shooting and 36 percent from three. Belmont transfer Brigham Rogers starts at center, and Auburn transfer Kaden Magwood and former George Washington guard Christian Jones add scoring depth. The exhibitions were encouraging, with 90-plus points against both Wichita State and Incarnate Word. The concern is defense, especially on the glass, where Murray State ranked 214th in defensive rebound rate. Laying 9.5 requires that weakness not to show up against a team built to attack the offensive boards.
Latest Team Buzz
Robert Covington (@Holla_At_Rob33) Joins Nolan Smith’s Staff as Chief Basketball Officer https://t.co/xmlZ095EYN
— Tennessee State Men's Basketball (@TSUTigersMBB) September 8, 2026
𝐒𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐚𝐲 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐭𝐬 ☑️ #GoRacers🏇 https://t.co/IDHllRiSTa
— Murray State Men's Basketball (@RacersHoops) November 1, 2026
Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers FAQ
What is the current spread for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
The current home spread is MURRAY -10.5, while the away spread is TENNST +10.5.
How far has the spread moved for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
The spread opened at MURRAY -8.5 and is now MURRAY -10.5.
What is the current moneyline for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
The current moneyline is TENNST +400 / MURRAY -535.
How far has the moneyline moved for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
The moneyline opened at TENNST +260 / MURRAY -325 and is now TENNST +400 / MURRAY -535.
What is the current total for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
The current total is 164.5.
How far has the total moved for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
The total opened at 161.5 and is now 164.5.
Is the market taking the underdog in Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
Current market signal: Market Widening.
Is the market taking the favorite in Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
Current market signal: Favorite Taking Support.
Is the total dropping for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Is the total rising for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
Current totals signal: Total Rising.
Where to watch Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
You can watch this game on The Field of 68. For the latest broadcast details, see Where to Watch.
Where to stream Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
You can stream this game on YouTube.
What is the best free prop bet for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
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What is the biggest matchup edge for Tennessee State Tigers vs Murray State Racers?
Tennessee State's best path to a cover is the glass. The Tigers posted a 34 percent offensive rebound rate last season, and Murray State ranked 214th in defensive rebound rate. If second chances keep the Tigers close, the points have value. If not, a Murray State offense that topped 90 in both exhibitions can pull away.
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