Houston vs Iowa State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Feb 16)
Updated: 2026-02-14T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
Houston travels to face a red-hot Iowa State in what shapes up as a critical Big 12 showdown between two of the nation’s most consistent teams. Both squads are ranked in the top 5 nationally, and with the Big 12 title race tight, this game carries major implications for seeding and momentum heading into March.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Feb 16, 2026
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Hilton Coliseum
Cyclones Record: (22-3)
Cougars Record: (23-2)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON
IOWAST Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON
HOU Spread: ODDS COMING SOON
IOWAST Spread: ODDS COMING SOON
Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Cougars have shown strong value as road underdogs recently — going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in that role — and are solid overall ATS as underdogs over their last 29 games. Their recent trend suggests they can cover even when not favored.
IOWAST
Betting Trends
- Iowa State has been a terrific home ATS team, with a 10-1 ATS record in its last 11 home games against teams with a high road winning percentage and strong recent ATS results as a home underdog. Their home comfort at Hilton Coliseum is a major factor.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Cyclones are undefeated at home this season and have a long history of covering the spread against quality opponents at Hilton Coliseum, while Houston’s ability to cover as a road underdog versus strong home teams adds an intriguing counterpoint; trends favor an ATS edge to the host with this matchup’s narrow projected line.
HOU vs. IOWAST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Sharp over 20.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Houston vs Iowa State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 2/16/26
This Big 12 clash between the Houston Cougars and the Iowa State Cyclones on February 16 promises to be one of the more compelling late-season matchups in college basketball. Both teams have been ranked in the top 5 nationwide for much of the season, with Houston sitting near No. 3 and Iowa State near No. 5 in the most recent AP poll — a testament to the high quality of play on both sides. Houston enters on a long winning streak, boasting one of the best defenses in the country and showing resilience in hostile environments. The Cougars have a knack for staying competitive in Big 12 play, even on the road, and have covered the spread at a strong clip when listed as modest underdogs. Iowa State, meanwhile, rides the energy of Hilton Coliseum, where it has yet to lose this season and carries one of the best home winning and ATS records in the league.
The Cyclones’ ability to handle pressure and convert inside their arena gives them a tangible advantage. Offensively, Iowa State puts up high scoring averages and shoots efficiently, while Houston is known for its defensive discipline and ability to control tempo. Matchups like this often come down to execution in the half court and turnovers, and both teams excel in forcing mistakes and playing physical defense. Ultimately, this Big 12 heavyweight battle could very well come down to who makes the big plays down the stretch; bettors and fans alike will be treated to a strategic chess match that should influence postseason seeding.
Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Photo of the Game, presented by @HR_Payroll_TX@joseph_tugler #ForTheCity x #GoCoogs pic.twitter.com/kblMKt6JXE
— Houston Men's Hoops 🏀 🐾 (@UHCougarMBK) February 15, 2026
Houston Cougars CBB Preview
The Houston Cougars arrive in Ames as one of the nation’s most balanced and efficient teams, blending defensive tenacity with opportunistic offense. Ranked near the top of the AP poll and riding a significant win streak, Houston has shown it can win in different ways and grind out results away from home. Head coach Kelvin Sampson emphasizes possession control, disciplined defense, and limiting second-chance points — a strategy that has helped the Cougars stay competitive against elite competition. Statistically, Houston’s defense is among the best in the country; the team forces turnovers, pressures the ball, and challenges shots both in the paint and on the perimeter. Offensively, while they may not be the highest scoring squad, they execute clean sets and make the extra pass to find open looks, as evidenced by their assist numbers and shooting splits. As a team that has performed well against the spread as a road underdog, Houston understands how to navigate hostile arenas and lean into its identity even when not favored on the line.
The Cougars’ recent trend of ATS success in road games against quality opponents speaks to their ability to keep games close and cover even when Vegas sets tight spreads. Houston also features depth, allowing it to weather foul trouble and maintain intensity throughout the game’s final minutes. When facing a high-octane offensive team like Iowa State, Houston’s defense will be the focal point: contesting shooters, controlling the boards, and looking to create transition opportunities. If the Cougars can manage turnovers and score efficiently early, they put themselves in a strong position to upset a Cyclones squad that loves life in Hilton Coliseum. Execution in clutch moments and control of the tempo will be crucial; Houston has the discipline and poise to rise to the occasion if it plays its trademark brand.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Iowa State Cyclones CBB Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones have emerged this season as one of the toughest teams in the Big 12 — not just in terms of overall record but in their dominance at Hilton Coliseum. Entering this game undefeated at home, the Cyclones have built an imposing reputation on their own floor, where the crowd, combined with clubbing defense and multi-faceted scoring, has given opponents fits. With a balanced lineup that features the scoring punch of Milan Momcilovic and the all-around playmaking of Joshua Jefferson, Iowa State’s offense can stretch the floor and attack defenses from multiple angles. Their shooting efficiency, particularly from beyond the arc, puts consistent pressure on opponents to defend the perimeter without losing track of inside scoring threats. Defensively, the Cyclones disrupt passing lanes and contest shots effectively, making every possession an uphill battle for rivals.
Coach T.J. Otzelberger has instilled a competitive edge that’s obvious when Iowa State plays in front of its home crowd — the team maintains intensity for all 40 minutes and rarely lets big runs go unanswered. Special teams numbers, including the Cyclones’ strong ATS home record and their ability to cover against teams with excellent road records, underscore how formidable they are in spread scenarios. When Iowa State hits its stride, it forces turnovers, controls rebounds, and pushes transition opportunities that tire out defenses. Especially at home, the Cyclones are comfortable leading and responding to adversity, which will be crucial against a disciplined Houston squad. If Iowa State can maintain strong ball movement, limit turnovers, and defend inside the arc, they could not only win but assert authority in the Big 12 title chase.
The Shot#Cyclones | #C5C | @MilanMomcilovi5 pic.twitter.com/VSkozE5lcp
— Iowa State Men’s Basketball (@CycloneMBB) February 15, 2026
Houston vs Iowa State Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Cougars and Cyclones play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Hilton Coliseum in Feb rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Houston vs Iowa State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Cougars and Cyclones and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the trending emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Houston’s strength factors between a Cougars team going up against a possibly tired Cyclones team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Houston vs Iowa State picks, computer picks Cougars vs Cyclones, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| CBB | 3/11 | BYU@WVU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | UCSB@UCDAV | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | TEMPLE@FAU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | BU@LEHIGH | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | TULANE@MEMP | GET FREE PICK NOW | 3 | – | |
| CBB | 3/11 | XAVIER@MARQET | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/11 | NWEST@IND | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | WAKE@CLEM | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/11 | RUT@MINN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | OLEMISS@TEXAS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | CAL@FSU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | SJST@BOISE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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| CBB | 3/11 | SC@OKLA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.
Houston Betting Trends
The Cougars have shown strong value as road underdogs recently — going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in that role — and are solid overall ATS as underdogs over their last 29 games. Their recent trend suggests they can cover even when not favored.
Iowa State Betting Trends
Iowa State has been a terrific home ATS team, with a 10-1 ATS record in its last 11 home games against teams with a high road winning percentage and strong recent ATS results as a home underdog. Their home comfort at Hilton Coliseum is a major factor.
Cougars vs. Cyclones Matchup Trends
The Cyclones are undefeated at home this season and have a long history of covering the spread against quality opponents at Hilton Coliseum, while Houston’s ability to cover as a road underdog versus strong home teams adds an intriguing counterpoint; trends favor an ATS edge to the host with this matchup’s narrow projected line.
Houston vs. Iowa State Game Info
Houston vs Iowa State starts on February 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Hilton Coliseum.
Spread: Iowa State ODDS COMING SOON
Moneyline: Houston ODDS COMING SOON, Iowa State ODDS COMING SOON
Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON
Houston: (23-2) | Iowa State: (22-3)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: E. Sharp over 20.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The Cyclones are undefeated at home this season and have a long history of covering the spread against quality opponents at Hilton Coliseum, while Houston’s ability to cover as a road underdog versus strong home teams adds an intriguing counterpoint; trends favor an ATS edge to the host with this matchup’s narrow projected line.
HOU trend: The Cougars have shown strong value as road underdogs recently — going 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in that role — and are solid overall ATS as underdogs over their last 29 games. Their recent trend suggests they can cover even when not favored.
IOWAST trend: Iowa State has been a terrific home ATS team, with a 10-1 ATS record in its last 11 home games against teams with a high road winning percentage and strong recent ATS results as a home underdog. Their home comfort at Hilton Coliseum is a major factor.
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Houston vs. Iowa State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Houston vs Iowa State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| HOU Moneyline | ODDS COMING SOON |
|---|---|
| IOWAST Moneyline | ODDS COMING SOON |
| HOU Spread | ODDS COMING SOON |
| IOWAST Spread | ODDS COMING SOON |
| Over / Under | ODDS COMING SOON |
Houston vs Iowa State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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OLEMISS
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72
64
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-1000
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77
63
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O 150.5 (-110)
U 150.5 (-118)
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54
68
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U 128.5 (-110)
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17
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O 132.5 (-118)
U 132.5 (-112)
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CALPLY
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15
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O 152.5 (-118)
U 152.5 (-112)
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10
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13
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+148
-192
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O 141.5 (-110)
U 141.5 (-122)
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9
20
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O 154.5 (-114)
U 154.5 (-114)
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0
4
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O 141.5 (-115)
U 141.5 (-105)
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–
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+110
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O 144.5 (-114)
U 144.5 (-106)
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-300
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+150
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O 139.5 (-110)
U 139.5 (-110)
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O 145.5 (-115)
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MONT
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+210
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O 156.5 (-110)
U 156.5 (-110)
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+122
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O 133.5 (-110)
U 133.5 (-110)
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–
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+190
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O 149.5 (-110)
U 149.5 (-110)
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–
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+920
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O 159.5 (-115)
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O 158.5 (-110)
U 158.5 (-110)
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–
–
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+580
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+13.5 (-110)
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O 160.5 (-110)
U 160.5 (-110)
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RI
DUQ
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–
–
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+100
-120
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+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 138.5 (-110)
U 138.5 (-110)
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Mar 12, 2026 5:30PM EDT
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–
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+110
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+1.5 (-102)
-1.5 (-120)
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O 140.5 (-110)
U 140.5 (-110)
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Mar 12, 2026 6:00PM EDT
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NORFLK
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–
–
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pk
pk
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O 145.5 (-110)
U 145.5 (-110)
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Mar 12, 2026 6:30PM EDT
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LATECH
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–
–
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+110
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O 130.5 (-110)
U 130.5 (-110)
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KENT
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–
–
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+136
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O 159.5 (-115)
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–
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+400
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-10.5 (-120)
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O 147.5 (-115)
U 147.5 (-105)
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3/12/26 7PM
XAVIER
UCONN
|
–
–
|
+680
-1100
|
+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
|
O 151.5 (-110)
U 151.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:00PM EDT
BYU Cougars
Houston Cougars
3/12/26 7PM
BYU
HOU
|
–
–
|
+220
-275
|
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
|
O 151.5 (-115)
U 151.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:30PM EDT
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
Davidson Wildcats
3/12/26 7:30PM
LOYCHI
DAVID
|
–
–
|
-275
|
-6.5 (-120)
|
O 132.5 (-110)
U 132.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 8:30PM EDT
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
North Carolina Central Eagles
3/12/26 8:30PM
UMES
NCCENT
|
–
–
|
-114
|
-1.5 (-105)
|
O 132.5 (-115)
U 132.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 9:00PM EDT
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
UT Arlington Mavericks
3/12/26 9PM
SUTAH
UTARL
|
–
–
|
+168
|
+5.5 (-115)
|
O 140.5 (-115)
U 140.5 (-105)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 9:00PM EDT
Kennesaw State Owls
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
3/12/26 9PM
KENSAW
WKY
|
–
–
|
-126
|
-1.5 (-115)
|
O 157.5 (-110)
U 157.5 (-110)
|
CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones on February 16, 2026 at Hilton Coliseum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
|
CBB |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKY@WISCGB | NKY -2.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NIOWA@UIC | NIOWA -3.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| ARK@MIZZOU | ARK +130 | 45.7% | 1 | WIN |
| SMU@FSU | SMU +110 | 46.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +114 | 49.2% | 1 | WIN |
| TXTECH@BYU | BYU -125 | 55.6% | 3 | WIN |
| UNC@DUKE | UNDER 147.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| VANDY@TENN | TENN -3.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| NDAK@STTOM-MN | NDAK +12.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GWASH@LOYCHI | LOYCHI +10.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ALBANY@UMASSLO | UMASSLO -2.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PORT@SANFRAN | PORT +7.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| UNC@DUKE | DUKE -17 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@BRAD | NIOWA -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| QUEENS@PEAY | QUEENS +1.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLMBIA@HARV | CLMBIA +4.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LONGWD@NCASH | LONGWD -1 | 53.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| VMI@NCGRN | NCGRN -7.5 | 52.7% | 2 | WIN |
| LATECH@LIB | LATECH +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MVSU@JACKST | MVSU +10.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| STETSON@EKTY | EKTY -4 | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| DUQ@RI | RI -2 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| OREG@ILL | ILL -18 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| BRYANT@NH | BRYANT +1 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| MISSST@FLA | FLA -21.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAMAR@HOUBP | LAMAR -114 | 55.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| IOWAST@ARIZ | ARIZ -7 | 53.1% | 1 | WIN |
| RIDER@SIENA | SIENA -15.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| CHARLO@FAU | CHARLO +7.5 | 58.6% | 8 | WIN |
| NOTEX@UAB | UAB -5.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@DRAKE | NIOWA -4 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| SCARST@MDESHORE | SCARST +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| YALE@CLMBIA | YALE -5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| SFAUSTIN@HOUBP | SFAUSTIN -8 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TXTECH@IOWAST | TXTECH +10.5 | 52.3% | 2 | WIN |
| PITT@CAL | PITT +8.5 | 57.3% | 7 | WIN |
| KANSAS@ARIZ | ARIZ -9.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| EILL@SIUE | EILL +5.5 | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -10 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| BUCK@LEHIGH | BUCK +5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| IOWA@PSU | IOWA -9.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARK@FLA | FLA -10.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CALPOLY@UCSD | CALPOLY +6.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| NAU@EWASH | NAU +9.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| VANDY@UK | UK -0.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| DEL@KENSAW | DEL +11.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| BAMA@TENN | AMARI ALLEN UNDER 6.5 REB | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GONZAG@MARYCA | PAULIUS MURAUSKAS UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| QUINN@NIAGARA | NIAGARA +9 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| MICH@ILL | ILL +1 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| BROWN@CLMBIA | BROWN +4.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
