UCF vs Houston Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Feb 04)

Updated: 2026-02-02T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The UCF Knights (17‑4, 6‑3 Big 12) travel to face the Houston Cougars (19‑2, 7‑1 Big 12) on February 4, 2026 at the Fertitta Center in a high‑stakes Big 12 showdown between two of the league’s most dynamic teams; Houston is among the nation’s elite with a Top‑10 ranking and an intimidating home winning streak, while UCF has surged as a surprise conference contender. The Cougars have dominated this series recently with a 10‑0 all‑time edge and enter riding a long home success run, but UCF’s signature wins — including an upset of No. 11 Texas Tech — signal this won’t be an easy night for the hosts.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Feb 04, 2026

Start Time: 8:00 PM EST​

Venue: Fertitta Center​

Cougars Record: (19-2)

Knights Record: (17-4)

OPENING ODDS

UCF Moneyline: +935

HOU Moneyline: -1724

UCF Spread: +15

HOU Spread: -15.0

Over/Under: 148.5

UCF
Betting Trends

  • UCF has been solid against the spread recently, going 4–2 ATS in its last 6 games, showing the Knights often cover expectations even when underdogs.

HOU
Betting Trends

  • Houston sits at 12–9–0 ATS overall this season and has been strong at home (11–0 straight up) — a trend that has translated to covers more often than not in Fertitta Center games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In the last 10 head‑to‑head meetings between these programs, Houston holds a 10–0 straight‑up edge but is only 6–4 ATS, and the Over/Under is also 4–6, suggesting while the Cougars win consistently, many games stay close relative to expectations.

UCF vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bol under 6.5 Rebounds.

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UCF vs Houston Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 2/4/26

This Big 12 matchup between the UCF Knights and Houston Cougars on February 4, 2026, is one of the most compelling regular‑season games on the college basketball calendar. Houston enters the game with a 19‑2 overall record and a 7‑1 mark in conference play, firmly holding its place as one of the nation’s elite programs and ranked inside the Top 10. The Cougars boast a dominant home winning streak — one of the longest in the country — and have outscored most opponents by significant margins thanks to balanced scoring, strong defense, and disciplined execution on both ends of the floor. Key contributors such as freshman Kingston Flemings and scoring leader Emanuel Sharp have paced a Houston offense that is efficient and tough to contain, while the team’s defense limits high‑quality looks and forces turnovers that lead to transition points. UCF, meanwhile, enters at 17‑4 and 6‑3 in Big 12 play, representing one of the league’s more surprising success stories; the Knights have piled up signature wins, most recently dispatching No. 11 Texas Tech 88‑80, where point guard Themus Fulks delivered a standout performance with 21 points and seven assists and big men John Bol and Jamichael Stillwell flashed double‑double potential.

Those wins have lifted UCF’s profile and bolstered its NCAA Tournament outlook. The matchup dynamics pit Houston’s experience and home court dominance against UCF’s confidence and offensive versatility — the Knights rank among the top teams in the Big 12 in three‑point shooting and have shown they can rebound and convert in bunches. While Houston leads the all‑time series comfortably and has won the last 10 meetings, the ATS history shows that covers have been competitive historically, with UCF keeping games within reach more often than fans might assume. In a game where tempo control and half‑court execution matter, Houston’s ability to dictate pace and leverage transition will be tested by UCF’s perimeter accuracy and rebounding, and late possessions — particularly shot selection and defensive rotations down the stretch — could determine if this one stays close. With both squads eyeing league positioning and NCAA seeding implications, expect a fast‑paced, intense Big 12 battle that showcases the depth and strategy of two deep rosters.

Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

UCF Knights CBB Preview

The UCF Knights arrive in Houston riding a wave of confidence from a strong stretch of play that has dramatically elevated their profile in the Big 12 Conference. At 17‑4 overall and 6‑3 in league action, UCF has assembled one of its best seasons in program history, buoyed by quality road performances and key wins over ranked opponents like No. 11 Texas Tech. In that upset, point guard Themus Fulks led the charge with 21 points and seven assists, while Jordan Burks, John Bol, and Jamichael Stillwell provided balanced scoring and rebounding that allowed UCF to control tempo and respond to Texas Tech surges. This resume bolsters UCF’s NCAA Tournament hopes and signals that the Knights can compete with elite competition. UCF’s offensive identity blends three‑point shooting — the Knights rank near the top of the Big 12 in perimeter efficiency — with strong ball movement and transition scoring. They’ve shown resilience in late game situations, outscoring tough opponents like Arizona State in clutch moments and rebounding from deficits to seal wins.

Defensively, UCF has been opportunistic in forcing turnovers and leveraging rebounding to generate second‑chance points, although against high‑pressure defenses like Houston’s they’ll need to limit miscues and contest shots without fouling. UCF’s recent ATS form, with a 4–2 record in their last six, indicates they’ve kept games within the numbers even in competitive matchups, showcasing their ability to hang with strong opponents and cover as underdogs. On the road at Houston’s Fertitta Center, UCF will need to control its energy early, make three‑pointers count, and protect the ball to stay in striking distance. Coach Johnny Dawkins’ squad has the weapons and confidence to push the pace and challenge Houston’s defense — but minimizing turnovers and executing half‑court strategy will be imperative if UCF hopes to build on its standout season and secure a resume‑boosting road victory in a marquee Big 12 battle.

The UCF Knights (17‑4, 6‑3 Big 12) travel to face the Houston Cougars (19‑2, 7‑1 Big 12) on February 4, 2026 at the Fertitta Center in a high‑stakes Big 12 showdown between two of the league’s most dynamic teams; Houston is among the nation’s elite with a Top‑10 ranking and an intimidating home winning streak, while UCF has surged as a surprise conference contender. The Cougars have dominated this series recently with a 10‑0 all‑time edge and enter riding a long home success run, but UCF’s signature wins — including an upset of No. 11 Texas Tech — signal this won’t be an easy night for the hosts. UCF vs Houston AI Prediction: Free CBB Betting Insights for Feb 04. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Houston Cougars CBB Preview

The Houston Cougars enter this game as one of the strongest teams not only in the Big 12 but nationally. With a 19‑2 overall record and 7‑1 in league play, Houston has developed into an elite program under veteran coach Kelvin Sampson, combining defensive discipline with efficient offensive execution. The Cougars’ success at the Fertitta Center has been remarkable — they are unbeaten at home this season and have posted an outstanding home record stretching back multiple years, with wins built on balanced scoring and depth across the rotation. Players like Emanuel Sharp and Kingston Flemings have been central to Houston’s offensive rhythm, blending scoring punch with strong shot selection and the ability to convert from both inside and out. Houston’s defense has been equally impressive, holding opponents well below their scoring averages and generating turnovers that translate into transition opportunities. This defensive strength creates pressure for visiting teams, particularly those that rely on perimeter shooting or sustained offensive possessions without turnovers.

In Big 12 play, Houston has been consistent and resilient; after a road win at Cincinnati and solid performances versus TCU and others, the Cougars have handled both domestic conference competition and non‑league tests with poise. Their depth allows rotation flexibility, key late‑game defensive stops, and varied scoring options when shots aren’t falling early, making them difficult to counter. As they host UCF, Houston’s mantra is likely to emphasize tempo control, rebounding advantage, and converting high‑quality looks while minimizing turnover risks. The Cougars’ track record in close games, especially against conference rivals, suggests they understand how to close tight contests and make the most of home crowd energy. As one of the most complete teams in the Big 12 — and with NCAA tournament seeding on the line — Houston’s blend of veteran leadership, strategic coaching, and balanced talent gives them a formidable edge in this matchup, though their recent form also shows they can be tested in tight ATS scenarios when opponents execute at a high level.

UCF vs Houston Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Knights and Cougars play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Fertitta Center in Feb seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Bol under 6.5 Rebounds.

UCF vs Houston Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Knights and Cougars and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the growing weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Houston’s strength factors between a Knights team going up against a possibly strong Cougars team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI UCF vs Houston picks, computer picks Knights vs Cougars, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CBB 3/12 XAVIER@UCONN UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 3/12 MTSU@LATECH UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/12 LOYCHI@DAVID GET FREE PICK NOW 2
CBB 3/12 TCU@KANSAS UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/12 LOYCHI@DAVID UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/12 SCARST@NORFLK UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/12 OLEMISS@GEORGIA UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.

UCF Betting Trends

UCF has been solid against the spread recently, going 4–2 ATS in its last 6 games, showing the Knights often cover expectations even when underdogs.

Houston Betting Trends

Houston sits at 12–9–0 ATS overall this season and has been strong at home (11–0 straight up) — a trend that has translated to covers more often than not in Fertitta Center games.

Knights vs. Cougars Matchup Trends

In the last 10 head‑to‑head meetings between these programs, Houston holds a 10–0 straight‑up edge but is only 6–4 ATS, and the Over/Under is also 4–6, suggesting while the Cougars win consistently, many games stay close relative to expectations.

UCF vs. Houston Game Info

February 04, 2026 • 8:00 PM EST • Fertitta Center

UCF vs. Houston Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the UCF vs Houston trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

UCF vs Houston

UCF vs Houston Live Odds

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ABIL
UTTECH
28
46
+1200
-4500
+14.5 (-128)
-14.5 (-104)
O 148.5 (-114)
U 148.5 (-118)
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New Mexico Lobos
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SJST
NMEX
33
33
 
-1100
 
-10.5 (-114)
O 160.5 (-118)
U 160.5 (-112)
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UC Davis Aggies
CSU Fullerton Titans
In Progress
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CSFULL
26
38
+380
-580
+8.5 (-115)
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O 146.5 (-110)
U 146.5 (-120)
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GW Revolutionaries
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3/13/26 11:30AM
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STLOU
+215
-265
+6.5 (-115)
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O 161.5 (-112)
U 161.5 (-108)
Mar 13, 2026 12:00PM EDT
Ohio State Buckeyes
Michigan Wolverines
3/13/26 12PM
OHIOST
MICH
+550
-850
+12.5 (-104)
-12.5 (-118)
O 153.5 (-115)
U 153.5 (-105)
Mar 13, 2026 12:30PM EDT
Charlotte 49ers
UAB Blazers
3/13/26 12:30PM
CHARLO
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+168
-205
+4.5 (-102)
-4.5 (-120)
O 146.5 (-105)
U 146.5 (-115)
Mar 13, 2026 12:30PM EDT
Missouri State Bears
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
3/13/26 12:30PM
MIZZST
LATECH
 
-120
 
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O 134.5 (-112)
U 134.5 (-108)
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Kentucky Wildcats
Florida Gators
3/13/26 1PM
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FLA
+400
-550
+10.5 (-102)
-10.5 (-120)
O 159.5 (-115)
U 159.5 (-105)
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St. Bonaventure Bonnies
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STBON
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+225
-280
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O 140.5 (-110)
U 140.5 (-110)
Mar 13, 2026 2:00PM EDT
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
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ALA&M
 
+100
 
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O 142.5 (-112)
U 142.5 (-108)
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Wisconsin Badgers
Illinois Fighting Illini
3/13/26 2:30PM
WISC
ILL
+250
-310
+8.5 (-115)
-8.5 (-105)
O 156.5 (-105)
U 156.5 (-115)
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Kennesaw State Owls
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KENSAW
SAMST
 
 
pk
pk
O 163.5 (-110)
U 163.5 (-110)
Mar 13, 2026 3:30PM EDT
Tennessee Volunteers
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3/13/26 3:30PM
TENN
VANDY
+100
-120
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 147.5 (-110)
U 147.5 (-110)
Mar 13, 2026 3:30PM EDT
North Texas Mean Green
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
3/13/26 3:30PM
NOTEX
TULSA
+235
-295
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
O 143.5 (-105)
U 143.5 (-115)
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Umass Minutemen
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UMASS
TOLEDO
 
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O 158.5 (-110)
U 158.5 (-110)
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Duquesne Dukes
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DUQ
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+295
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O 152.5 (-115)
U 152.5 (-105)
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Seton Hall Pirates
St. John's Red Storm
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STJOHN
+235
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O 132.5 (-110)
U 132.5 (-110)
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South Carolina State Bulldogs
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O 145.5 (-115)
U 145.5 (-105)
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Purdue Boilermakers
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O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
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Miami Hurricanes
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+154
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O 143.5 (-112)
U 143.5 (-108)
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Ole Miss Rebels
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O 163.5 (-115)
U 163.5 (-105)
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Iowa State Cyclones
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+150
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O 143.5 (-105)
U 143.5 (-115)
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O 131.5 (-115)
U 131.5 (-105)
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Kent State Golden Flashes
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AKRON
+220
-275
+6.5 (-102)
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O 163.5 (-115)
U 163.5 (-105)
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O 140.5 (-110)
U 140.5 (-110)
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+130
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O 145.5 (-110)
U 145.5 (-110)
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3/13/26 9PM
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+176
 
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O 142.5 (-105)
U 142.5 (-115)
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O 135.5 (-110)
U 135.5 (-110)
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3/13/26 9:30PM
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O 144.5 (-115)
U 144.5 (-105)
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Oklahoma Sooners
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ARK
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O 168.5 (-110)
U 168.5 (-110)
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O 136.5 (-106)
U 136.5 (-114)
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O 134.5 (-115)
U 134.5 (-105)

CBB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers UCF Knights vs. Houston Cougars on February 04, 2026 at Fertitta Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
NKY@WISCGB NKY -2.5 54.3% 4 WIN
NIOWA@UIC NIOWA -3.5 54.5% 4 WIN
ARK@MIZZOU ARK +130 45.7% 1 WIN
SMU@FSU SMU +110 46.9% 1 LOSS
LVILLE@MIAMI LVILLE +114 49.2% 1 WIN
TXTECH@BYU BYU -125 55.6% 3 WIN
UNC@DUKE UNDER 147.5 53.3% 2 WIN
VANDY@TENN TENN -3.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
NDAK@STTOM-MN NDAK +12.5 54.3% 4 WIN
GWASH@LOYCHI LOYCHI +10.5 54.3% 4 WIN
ALBANY@UMASSLO UMASSLO -2.5 55.3% 5 WIN
PORT@SANFRAN PORT +7.5 53.6% 3 LOSS
UNC@DUKE DUKE -17 57.3% 7 LOSS
NIOWA@BRAD NIOWA -4.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
QUEENS@PEAY QUEENS +1.5 56.5% 6 WIN
CLMBIA@HARV CLMBIA +4.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
LONGWD@NCASH LONGWD -1 53.2% 3 LOSS
VMI@NCGRN NCGRN -7.5 52.7% 2 WIN
LATECH@LIB LATECH +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
MVSU@JACKST MVSU +10.5 56.1% 6 WIN
STETSON@EKTY EKTY -4 55.7% 5 LOSS
DUQ@RI RI -2 53.7% 2 WIN
OREG@ILL ILL -18 53.8% 3 WIN
BRYANT@NH BRYANT +1 57.3% 7 LOSS
MISSST@FLA FLA -21.5 53.9% 3 WIN
LAMAR@HOUBP LAMAR -114 55.1% 4 LOSS
IOWAST@ARIZ ARIZ -7 53.1% 1 WIN
RIDER@SIENA SIENA -15.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
CHARLO@FAU CHARLO +7.5 58.6% 8 WIN
NOTEX@UAB UAB -5.5 54.8% 3 LOSS
NIOWA@DRAKE NIOWA -4 54.8% 4 WIN
SCARST@MDESHORE SCARST +7.5 56.2% 6 WIN
YALE@CLMBIA YALE -5.5 55.3% 5 WIN
SFAUSTIN@HOUBP SFAUSTIN -8 54.3% 4 WIN
TXTECH@IOWAST TXTECH +10.5 52.3% 2 WIN
PITT@CAL PITT +8.5 57.3% 7 WIN
KANSAS@ARIZ ARIZ -9.5 53.6% 3 WIN
EILL@SIUE EILL +5.5 55.7% 5 LOSS
UVA@DUKE DUKE -10 53.9% 3 WIN
BUCK@LEHIGH BUCK +5.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
IOWA@PSU IOWA -9.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
ARK@FLA FLA -10.5 54.0% 3 WIN
CALPOLY@UCSD CALPOLY +6.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
NAU@EWASH NAU +9.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
VANDY@UK UK -0.5 53.9% 3 WIN
DEL@KENSAW DEL +11.5 55.2% 5 WIN
BAMA@TENN AMARI ALLEN UNDER 6.5 REB 54.8% 4 WIN
GONZAG@MARYCA PAULIUS MURAUSKAS UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB 55.1% 5 WIN
QUINN@NIAGARA NIAGARA +9 54.3% 4 WIN
MICH@ILL ILL +1 57.7% 7 LOSS
BROWN@CLMBIA BROWN +4.5 55.3% 5 LOSS