Miss. State vs Iowa State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Nov 10)

Updated: 2025-11-08T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0) visit the Iowa State Cyclones (2-0) on November 10, 2025, in Sioux Falls in a non-conference showdown that pits two early-season winners against each other. Iowa State enters as the clear betting favorite after dominant opening games, while Mississippi State will look to prove they can keep up with a higher-tempo, high-execution squad.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Nov 10, 2025

Start Time: 9:00 PM EST​

Venue: Sanford Pentagon​

Cyclones Record: (2-0)

Bulldogs Record: (1-0)

OPENING ODDS

MISSST Moneyline: +183

IOWAST Moneyline: -225

MISSST Spread: +5.5

IOWAST Spread: -5.5

Over/Under: 150.5

MISSST
Betting Trends

  • Mississippi State opened the 2025-26 campaign with a win but their recent history shows mixed results against the spread, with several losses by small margins in the latter part of last season.

IOWAST
Betting Trends

  • Iowa State has covered the spread more consistently when installed as a favorite of moderate size, and their early form suggests confidence from bettors in their ability to control games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The line for this matchup opened around Iowa State -4.5 with a total of 150.5, and current trends suggest that heavy action is favoring the Cyclones while the Bulldogs are underdogs in most metrics; additionally, Iowa State’s offense and defense metrics from last season suggest they may be able to outperform the spread significantly.

MISSST vs. IOWAST
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jefferson over 22.5 PTS+REB.

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Miss. State vs Iowa State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 11/10/25

The November 10, 2025 clash between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Iowa State Cyclones promises an intriguing early-season test between two teams trying to define their identities in the first month of the college basketball calendar. Iowa State comes into this matchup with clear momentum, riding the high of back-to-back wins in which they dominated both ends of the court, averaging close to 95 points per game while allowing opponents barely over 55. Their offensive execution has been polished, thanks to balanced scoring, elite spacing, and rapid ball movement that keeps defenses chasing, while their defense remains as stingy as any in the Big 12, forcing turnovers and closing out aggressively on perimeter shooters. Mississippi State, meanwhile, has also started the season strong, notching an 86-62 win over North Alabama, showing a cohesive offense and a defensive effort that looked confident—but the challenge of stepping up in class against Iowa State’s relentless pace and disciplined system is substantial. The Bulldogs’ early numbers show efficiency inside and out, but they have yet to face a team with the Cyclones’ athleticism or depth. Key to this matchup will be rebounding and pace control; Iowa State is averaging more than 40 boards per game and excels at turning defensive stops into quick offensive bursts, while Mississippi State relies on half-court execution and patience to find open looks.

If the Bulldogs get dragged into a faster tempo, they may find themselves trading possessions rather than dictating them. Iowa State’s defensive rotations and communication will be tested against Mississippi State’s screen-heavy sets and dribble hand-offs, especially if the Bulldogs start hot from three-point range, but the Cyclones’ switching defense has been notably effective so far, limiting clean looks. Another deciding factor will be turnovers—Mississippi State struggled at times last season when pressured by longer, more athletic defenders, and Iowa State’s pressure defense is built exactly to exploit that. Both teams boast solid coaching, but Iowa State’s continuity and experience with early-season neutral site games could give them a strategic edge. Betting trends lean toward Iowa State, who have covered in a strong percentage of recent contests as moderate favorites, while Mississippi State has been less reliable against the spread when playing up in competition. Statistically and stylistically, Iowa State’s offense, currently among the most efficient in the nation, could outpace the Bulldogs unless Mississippi State’s guards can control tempo and find high-percentage looks consistently. Expect the Cyclones to attack early in transition, crash the glass relentlessly, and look to build momentum behind their home-region crowd, while the Bulldogs will need poise, physicality, and sharp shooting to keep it close into the final minutes. In the end, this matchup will likely hinge on whether Mississippi State can slow the game down and win the battle inside, or whether Iowa State’s pace, depth, and defense overwhelm them and extend the gap beyond the spread late.

Miss. State Bulldogs CBB Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head into their November 10, 2025, matchup against Iowa State with both optimism and awareness that this early-season test will reveal much about their readiness for tougher competition. The Bulldogs looked sharp in their opener, an 86-62 win over North Alabama, where they displayed balanced scoring, good spacing, and solid effort on the glass. However, facing Iowa State’s disciplined defense and fast-paced offense represents a far greater challenge than what they saw in their opener. Mississippi State’s offensive identity this season appears to hinge on tempo control and execution in half-court sets, where their guards can orchestrate the offense and find open looks for shooters off screens. Their ability to generate points from the perimeter will be critical, as Iowa State’s pressure defense thrives on forcing turnovers and disrupting rhythm. The Bulldogs must take care of the ball, limit live-ball turnovers, and make the most of every possession to prevent the Cyclones from scoring in transition. Defensively, Mississippi State has shown potential, holding opponents under 40 percent shooting early in the season, but their perimeter defense will be sternly tested by an Iowa State team that spaces the floor and attacks from multiple positions.

The Bulldogs’ frontcourt will need to battle hard on the boards, as second-chance points could swing momentum, especially if Iowa State’s rebounding numbers continue to trend near the top of the Big 12. Another key lies in foul management; if Mississippi State’s bigs get into early foul trouble, their defensive intensity may wane late. From a betting perspective, the Bulldogs have struggled historically to cover spreads in true road or neutral-site games against top-tier opponents, particularly when they’re underdogs by single digits. Their path to an ATS cover here depends on maintaining composure through Iowa State’s runs and keeping the score within reach through disciplined possessions. Look for the Bulldogs to rely on their veteran leadership and physical play inside to counter the Cyclones’ athleticism. If Mississippi State can dictate a slower pace, force Iowa State into longer possessions, and convert open looks from beyond the arc, they have the tools to stay competitive and potentially surprise. But if they fall behind early or lose control of the rebounding battle, the game could tilt heavily in favor of the Cyclones. The Bulldogs’ challenge is both physical and mental—remaining poised under pressure, minimizing mistakes, and executing when the crowd and tempo surge against them. Their success or failure in these areas will determine not only their chance of an upset but also how the early part of their season is defined.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0) visit the Iowa State Cyclones (2-0) on November 10, 2025, in Sioux Falls in a non-conference showdown that pits two early-season winners against each other. Iowa State enters as the clear betting favorite after dominant opening games, while Mississippi State will look to prove they can keep up with a higher-tempo, high-execution squad. Miss. State vs Iowa State AI Prediction: Free CBB Betting Insights for Nov 10. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Iowa State Cyclones CBB Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones enter their November 10, 2025 matchup against the Mississippi State Bulldogs with an early-season rhythm that few teams have matched so far. At 2-0, the Cyclones have looked dominant on both ends of the floor, averaging around 95 points per game while holding opponents to just over 55. Their balanced roster, filled with returning contributors and athletic newcomers, has allowed them to maintain tempo, intensity, and cohesion in every phase of play. Iowa State’s offense thrives on crisp ball movement, spacing, and unselfishness, with multiple players capable of creating their own shot or making the extra pass. Their perimeter shooting has been excellent to start the season, while their ability to attack closeouts and finish through contact has made them a nightmare to guard. On defense, the Cyclones remain one of the most disciplined and aggressive units in the Big 12, rotating with precision and applying constant pressure that forces turnovers and fast-break opportunities. That pressure defense, combined with their rebounding prowess—averaging more than 40 boards per contest—creates a relentless cycle of possessions that wears opponents down. In this matchup, Iowa State’s biggest challenge will be maintaining that same pace and efficiency against a Mississippi State team that prefers to slow the game down and execute in the half-court. Expect the Cyclones to test the Bulldogs early with full-court pressure and quick transition pushes designed to open the floor and create mismatches.

Their guards have excelled in pushing tempo while limiting turnovers, and their forwards have complemented that by cleaning up the glass and converting second-chance opportunities. From a betting standpoint, Iowa State has been a reliable team against the spread when favored by single digits, particularly at home or in neutral settings that still lean in their favor. The Cyclones’ statistical profile—strong shooting percentages, low turnover rate, and dominant rebounding—supports their status as favorites in this matchup. Coaching continuity and familiarity with early non-conference challenges also give Iowa State an edge; they are typically well-prepared, composed, and strategic in exploiting mismatches. The key for the Cyclones will be maintaining defensive intensity without over-committing, as Mississippi State’s offense can capitalize on lapses with timely perimeter shooting. Still, if Iowa State controls tempo and keeps the Bulldogs out of rhythm, this could be another statement win for a program that’s already playing like a top-tier unit. With their depth, discipline, and chemistry, the Cyclones have the tools to both win comfortably and cover the spread, provided they execute with the same precision that has defined their early-season dominance.

Miss. State vs. Iowa State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Cyclones play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Sanford Pentagon in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jefferson over 22.5 PTS+REB.

Miss. State vs. Iowa State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Bulldogs and Cyclones and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most keyed in on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly tired Cyclones team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Miss. State vs Iowa State picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Cyclones, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.

Bulldogs Betting Trends

Mississippi State opened the 2025-26 campaign with a win but their recent history shows mixed results against the spread, with several losses by small margins in the latter part of last season.

Cyclones Betting Trends

Iowa State has covered the spread more consistently when installed as a favorite of moderate size, and their early form suggests confidence from bettors in their ability to control games.

Bulldogs vs. Cyclones Matchup Trends

The line for this matchup opened around Iowa State -4.5 with a total of 150.5, and current trends suggest that heavy action is favoring the Cyclones while the Bulldogs are underdogs in most metrics; additionally, Iowa State’s offense and defense metrics from last season suggest they may be able to outperform the spread significantly.

Miss. State vs. Iowa State Game Info

Miss. State vs Iowa State starts on November 10, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.

Spread: Iowa State -5.5
Moneyline: Miss. State +183, Iowa State -225
Over/Under: 150.5

Miss. State: (1-0)  |  Iowa State: (2-0)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Jefferson over 22.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The line for this matchup opened around Iowa State -4.5 with a total of 150.5, and current trends suggest that heavy action is favoring the Cyclones while the Bulldogs are underdogs in most metrics; additionally, Iowa State’s offense and defense metrics from last season suggest they may be able to outperform the spread significantly.

MISSST trend: Mississippi State opened the 2025-26 campaign with a win but their recent history shows mixed results against the spread, with several losses by small margins in the latter part of last season.

IOWAST trend: Iowa State has covered the spread more consistently when installed as a favorite of moderate size, and their early form suggests confidence from bettors in their ability to control games.

See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Miss. State vs. Iowa State Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Miss. State vs Iowa State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Miss. State vs Iowa State Opening Odds

MISSST Moneyline: +183
IOWAST Moneyline: -225
MISSST Spread: +5.5
IOWAST Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 150.5

Miss. State vs Iowa State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 10, 2025 6:30PM EST
Delaware State Hornets
Niagara Purple Eagles
11/10/25 6:30PM
DELST
NIAGRA
 
-225
 
-5 (-106)
O 139 (-108)
U 139 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 6:30PM EST
Maine Black Bears
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
11/10/25 6:30PM
MAINE
RUT
+1100
-3335
+19.5 (-114)
-19.5 (-112)
O 136.5 (-114)
U 136.5 (-112)
Nov 10, 2025 6:30PM EST
Columbia Lions
UConn Huskies
11/10/25 6:30PM
CLMBIA
UCONN
 
 
+34 (-101)
-34 (-111)
O 155 (-113)
U 155 (-103)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Fairfield Stags
Seton Hall Pirates
11/10/25 7PM
FAIR
SETON
+637
-950
+13 (-101)
-13 (-111)
O 140 (-113)
U 140 (-103)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Pittsburgh Panthers
11/10/25 7PM
EMICH
PITT
+1050
-3335
+18 (-106)
-18 (-106)
O 146.5 (-102)
U 146.5 (-114)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Presbyterian College Blue Hose
Georgia State Panthers
11/10/25 7PM
PRESBY
GAST
 
 
pk
pk
O 139 (-108)
U 139 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Indiana State Sycamores
SIU-Edwardsville Cougars
11/10/25 7PM
INDST
SIUE
 
-122
 
-1.5 (-106)
O 158 (-113)
U 158 (-103)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
Kent State Golden Flashes
11/10/25 7PM
NCWILM
KENT
+130
-150
+3 (-111)
-3 (-101)
O 161.5 (-108)
U 161.5 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Stetson Hatters
Miami Hurricanes
11/10/25 7PM
STETSN
MIAMI
 
 
+32.5 (-117)
-32.5 (-108)
O 162.5 (-114)
U 162.5 (-112)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
South Carolina State Bulldogs
North Carolina A&T Aggies
11/10/25 7PM
SCST
NCAT
 
-120
 
-1 (-106)
O 157 (-108)
U 157 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
11/10/25 7PM
WKY
EKTY
-103
-124
+1.5 (-101)
-1.5 (-111)
O 164 (-108)
U 164 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 7:00PM EST
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
Citadel Bulldogs
11/10/25 7PM
CHARSO
CIT
-182
 
-4 (-101)
 
O 146 (-103)
U 146 (-113)
Nov 10, 2025 8:00PM EST
Arkansas Little Rock Trojans
Milwaukee Panthers
11/10/25 8PM
ARKLR
MILW
 
-170
 
-3.5 (-114)
O 158.5 (-113)
U 158.5 (-103)
Nov 10, 2025 8:00PM EST
Lindenwood Lions
Saint Louis Billikens
11/10/25 8PM
LINDEN
STLOU
+1500
-10000
+23.5 (-106)
-23.5 (-106)
O 164 (-117)
U 164 (+100)
Nov 10, 2025 8:00PM EST
New Orleans Privateers
LSU Tigers
11/10/25 8PM
NORL
LSU
+1100
-3335
+19.5 (-109)
-19.5 (-117)
O 158.5 (-117)
U 158.5 (-109)
Nov 10, 2025 8:00PM EST
Lamar Cardinals
TCU Horned Frogs
11/10/25 8PM
LAMAR
TCU
+1000
-3335
+17.5 (-110)
-17.5 (-115)
O 147.5 (-112)
U 147.5 (-114)
Nov 10, 2025 8:00PM EST
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Iowa State Cyclones
11/10/25 8PM
MISSST
IOWAST
 
-215
 
-5 (-112)
O 151 (-110)
U 151 (-106)
Nov 10, 2025 8:30PM EST
Cleveland State Vikings
Northwestern Wildcats
11/10/25 8:30PM
CLEVST
NWEST
 
-5000
 
-20 (-106)
O 148 (-106)
U 148 (-110)
Nov 10, 2025 8:30PM EST
Santa Clara Broncos
Xavier Musketeers
11/10/25 8:30PM
SNCLRA
XAVIER
+125
-145
+2.5 (-107)
-2.5 (-105)
O 157 (-113)
U 157 (-103)
Nov 10, 2025 9:00PM EST
Holy Cross Crusaders
Utah Utes
11/10/25 9PM
HOLY
UTAH
+1300
-5000
+20.5 (-109)
-20.5 (-117)
O 156.5 (-110)
U 156.5 (-115)
Nov 10, 2025 9:00PM EST
SE Louisiana Lions
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
11/10/25 9PM
SELOU
GATECH
+750
-1430
+16 (-106)
-16 (-106)
O 140 (-113)
U 140 (-103)
Nov 10, 2025 9:00PM EST
Northern Illinois Huskies
Grand Canyon Antelopes
11/10/25 9PM
NILL
GCU
+1200
-5000
+21 (-111)
-21 (-101)
O 164 (-114)
U 164 (-102)
Nov 10, 2025 9:30PM EST
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
Washington State Cougars
11/10/25 9:30PM
STTOM
WASHST
+110
 
+2 (-106)
 
O 160.5 (-108)
U 160.5 (-108)
Nov 10, 2025 10:00PM EST
CSU Fullerton Titans
California Golden Bears
11/10/25 10PM
CSFULL
CAL
+1500
-10000
+22.5 (-106)
-22.5 (-106)
O 157 (-117)
U 157 (+100)
Nov 10, 2025 10:00PM EST
West Georgia Wolves
UCLA Bruins
11/10/25 10PM
WGA
UCLA
 
 
+33 (-101)
-33 (-111)
O 149 (-108)
U 149 (-108)
Nov 11, 2025 8:00PM EST
Kentucky Wildcats
Louisville Cardinals
11/11/25 8PM
UK
LVILLE
+140
-170
+3.5 (-120)
-3.5 (-102)
O 169.5 (-110)
U 169.5 (-110)

CBB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Miss. State Bulldogs vs. Iowa State Cyclones on November 10, 2025 at Sanford Pentagon.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DRAKE@MIZZOU DRAKE +6.5 53.50% 2 WIN
XAVIER@TEXAS XAVIER -2.5 53.40% 2 WIN
UAB@MEMP MEMP -3.5 54.00% 2 WIN
LVILLE@DUKE LVILLE +6.5 53.10% 2 LOSS
ECU@UAB UAB -5 53.60% 2 WIN
PURDUE@MICH MICH +3 54.60% 3 WIN
CLEM@LVILLE CLEM -120 56.10% 3 LOSS
COL@HOU ANDREJ JAKIMOVSKI PTS + REB + AST - UNDER 15.5 53.70% 2 LOSS
FORD@GWASH FORD +7 53.80% 2 WIN
SEATTLE@ABIL ABIL +6 54.50% 3 WIN
BAMAST@TEXSOU BAMAST -110 55.40% 4 WIN
OHIO@TOLEDO TOLEDO +3 56.70% 4 WIN
UVA@GATECH GATECH +1.5 53.70% 2 WIN
COLO@WVU COLO +7.5 53.20% 2 WIN
USC@RUT USC -115 54.00% 2 WIN
TEXAS@VANDY VANDY -130 56.50% 3 LOSS
BUTLER@PROV BUTLER -115 55.20% 3 WIN
IDAHO@MONTANA MONTANA -6 53.50% 2 WIN
TROY@JMAD TROY -125 55.60% 2 WIN
BELMONT@DRAKE DRAKE -7.5 53.50% 2 LOSS
UCSD@UCDAV UCSD -12.5 53.40% 2 LOSS
SIUE@SEMO SEMO -2.5 54.80% 3 LOSS
ALCORN@ARKPB ARKPB +6.5 56.00% 4 WIN
NORFLK@HOWARD HOWARD +5.5 53.70% 2 LOSS
NKY@CLEVST NKY +4.5 54.40% 3 LOSS
STNFRD@ND STNFRD -125 56.40% 3 LOSS
TENN@OLEMISS OLEMISS +2.5 54.30% 3 WIN
LSALLE@GMASON GMASON -12 54.30% 3 LOSS
PITT@NCST NCST +2.5 56.70% 4 WIN
IND@OREG OREG -6.5 53.60% 2 WIN
FSU@UVA UVA -4 54.40% 3 LOSS
ARK@VANDY ARK +7.5 54.40% 3 WIN
SDGST@UNLV UNLV +2.5 54.10% 3 WIN
EKTY@JVILLE JVILLE -135 58.90% 3 WIN
MANHAT@NIAGARA MANHAT -115 54.70% 3 WIN
MEMP@UAB MEMP -115 54.90% 3 WIN
ILL@MICH MICH -2.5 56.00% 4 LOSS
OKLA@OLEMISS OKLA +7.5 54.50% 3 WIN
ARIZST@UTAH ARIZST +8.5 54.60% 3 LOSS
GC@SEATTLE GC -110 55.00% 3 WIN
PENN@CLMBIA CLMBIA -122 57.50% 4 LOSS
IONA@NIAGARA NIAGARA +1.5 54.30% 3 LOSS
MARIST@SACHRT SACHRT -120 55.40% 3 WIN
CLEVST@WRIGHT CLEVST +1.5 54.30% 3 LOSS
NDAK@STTHOM STTHOM -10 54.30% 3 WIN
USD@WASHST WASHST -12.5 55.20% 4 LOSS
CSBAK@LBEACH CSBAK -130 59.70% 4 WIN
BU@LEHIGH LEHIGH -135 57.70% 3 LOSS
DUQ@LSALLE DUQ -125 56.70% 3 WIN
BYU@ARIZST ARIZST +7.5 54.60% 3 LOSS
UTAHST@BOISE BOISE -4 55.50% 4 WIN