Alabama vs Duke Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Mar 29)
Updated: 2025-03-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils will face the No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide on March 29, 2025, at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, for the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. Both teams bring formidable offenses and impressive tournament performances, setting the stage for a highly anticipated matchup.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

GAME INFO
Date: Mar 29, 2025
Start Time: 8:49 PM EST
Venue: Prudential Center
Blue Devils Record: (34-3)
Crimson Tide Record: (28-8)
OPENING ODDS
BAMA Moneyline: +250
DUKE Moneyline: -310
BAMA Spread: +7
DUKE Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 172.5
BAMA
Betting Trends
- Alabama has showcased a high-scoring offense throughout the tournament, notably setting a new NCAA record with 25 three-pointers in their 113-88 victory over BYU in the Sweet 16.
DUKE
Betting Trends
- Duke has demonstrated consistent performance, advancing to the Elite Eight with a 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, led by standout player Cooper Flagg’s 30 points, six rebounds, and seven assists.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The betting odds favor Duke with a -6.5 point spread, reflecting their defensive strength and consistent performance, while the over/under is set at 175.5, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.
BAMA vs. DUKE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Flagg under 26.5 Points.
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Alabama vs Duke Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 3/29/25
Alabama also gets key contributions from Grant Nelson and Rylan Griffen, both capable of creating mismatches through versatility and off-ball movement. However, the Crimson Tide’s defense remains vulnerable, especially against teams that can attack the rim or dominate on the glass. They’ve allowed 82.5 points per game this season, ranking near the bottom among tournament teams, which could be a concern against Duke’s physical frontcourt and patient offensive sets. The key to this game may lie in who can impose their tempo—if Alabama dictates pace and starts hitting from deep early, it could pull Duke out of its rhythm and into a shootout it’s less comfortable with. Conversely, if Duke is able to slow the game down, dominate the boards, and contest threes, they can expose Alabama’s defensive flaws and grind their way into the Final Four. The total is set at a high 175.5, reflecting the expectation of a shootout, but Duke’s ability to control tempo and defend may be the deciding factor. This matchup of contrasting philosophies, star power, and coaching tactics promises a thrilling, high-stakes showdown where every possession matters.
24 hours til the Elite 8.#RollTide | #AlmostGameday pic.twitter.com/cT9IaEuE5L
— Alabama Men’s Basketball (@AlabamaMBB) March 29, 2025
Alabama Crimson Tide CBB Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide enters the Elite Eight riding a wave of offensive momentum and confidence, having showcased the most explosive scoring output of the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Led by head coach Nate Oats, Alabama has compiled a 28-8 record this season and earned the No. 2 seed in their region through their signature high-tempo, three-point-heavy offensive system that has overwhelmed opponents all year. Their offensive identity centers on pace, spacing, and shot volume, with the Crimson Tide leading the nation in points per game (90.8), as well as ranking near the top in three-point attempts and makes. This strategy was on full display during their Sweet 16 matchup against BYU, when Alabama shattered NCAA Tournament history by sinking 25 three-pointers in a 113-88 rout. That performance not only showcased the efficiency of their offensive scheme but also the talent and rhythm of their perimeter shooters, headlined by senior guard Mark Sears, who exploded for 34 points and 10 threes. Sears, a transfer from Ohio University, has blossomed into the engine of Alabama’s offense, combining deep shooting range with veteran poise and an ability to get to the rim in transition. He’s averaging over 21 points per game in the tournament and serves as the primary ball handler and initiator in Oats’ wide-open offense. Alongside him are sharpshooters Aaron Estrada and Rylan Griffen, who space the floor effectively and stretch opposing defenses far beyond the arc. The frontcourt is anchored by Grant Nelson, a mobile big who adds floor-spacing and pick-and-pop ability, and Nick Pringle, who brings athleticism and rebounding on both ends.
Together, this starting unit has helped Alabama blitz defenses early and often, routinely scoring in the first 10 seconds of the shot clock and overwhelming slower, more traditional defenses with sheer volume. However, for all their offensive firepower, Alabama’s Achilles heel lies on the defensive end. The Crimson Tide allow over 82 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the Power 6 conferences in scoring defense. Their up-tempo system often leaves them vulnerable in transition and against well-structured half-court offenses. This will be especially problematic against Duke, whose methodical ball movement and interior presence can expose Alabama’s lack of rim protection and inconsistent perimeter defense. Alabama’s path to victory will likely depend on their ability to hit early and often from deep, force turnovers, and speed Duke out of their comfort zone. If the Crimson Tide can turn the game into a track meet and create chaos through pace and offensive rebounds, they can negate Duke’s defensive structure and force a shootout. Bench depth could also play a key role, with Jarin Stevenson and Latrell Wrightsell Jr. offering additional shooting and defensive versatility. Coach Nate Oats has fully leaned into his analytical, NBA-style offense, and his players have bought in. Now, just one win from the program’s first-ever Final Four appearance, Alabama faces its biggest test of the season in Duke—a team that thrives in half-court defense and takes pride in controlling pace. The Crimson Tide will need to play their cleanest, most efficient game of the year, but if their shots are falling and tempo is in their favor, they have the firepower to make history and punch their ticket to college basketball’s biggest stage.

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Duke Blue Devils CBB Preview
The Duke Blue Devils head into their Elite Eight showdown against Alabama with the poise and pedigree of a championship-caliber team, backed by one of the most complete rosters in college basketball and a coaching staff that has maximized their talent across the board. Under second-year head coach Jon Scheyer, Duke has compiled an outstanding 34-3 record, capturing the ACC title and steamrolling through the NCAA Tournament with a combination of stifling defense, elite shot-making, and unshakable composure in pressure moments. The cornerstone of Duke’s success is their defense, which ranks among the nation’s best—allowing just 58.7 points per game while holding opponents to under 40% shooting from the field. Their defensive execution has been surgical, built on disciplined rotations, elite rim protection, and switchable defenders who can guard multiple positions. This defensive unit has been tested throughout the season but continues to deliver, most recently in their 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, where they limited Arizona’s potent transition game and forced difficult late-clock possessions. At the center of Duke’s excellence is freshman phenom Cooper Flagg, a generational talent whose all-around brilliance has transformed the Blue Devils into a national title favorite. Flagg has been dominant throughout March Madness, averaging 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists per game during the tournament, and showcasing his elite basketball IQ, defensive instincts, and clutch shot-making. His performance against Arizona was a masterpiece—30 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists—and he’s quickly emerged as Duke’s leader in both production and presence. Around Flagg is a strong core of versatile, high-IQ players including Jared McCain, who spaces the floor with sharpshooting ability; Caleb Foster, a strong perimeter defender and secondary playmaker; and Tyrese Proctor, a steadying force who can control the tempo and distribute. Khaman Maluach, the team’s 7’1” center, brings elite rim protection and is averaging over 2 blocks per game while anchoring the interior defense. His ability to alter shots and rebound in traffic will be crucial against Alabama’s fast-paced offense.
Offensively, Duke is efficient and deliberate, running sets that create quality looks from inside and outside the arc. They shoot over 37% from three-point range and excel at making the extra pass to find open teammates. Their depth is also a strength, with role players like Sean Stewart and Ryan Young providing valuable minutes off the bench, allowing Scheyer to rotate fresh legs and match up with a variety of lineups. With elite talent at both ends of the floor and a defense-first identity that travels well in tournament play, Duke is built to win in multiple ways—whether it’s a low-scoring slugfest or a high-octane shootout. Against Alabama’s record-setting offense, Duke’s ability to control the pace, dominate the glass, and defend the perimeter will be put to the test. But with a transcendent star in Flagg, a lockdown defense, and a mature, battle-tested supporting cast, the Blue Devils are fully equipped to reach the Final Four and make a serious push toward banner number six.
back to work + on to the next 🕺 pic.twitter.com/kVZkSv3O4a
— Duke Men’s Basketball (@DukeMBB) March 28, 2025
Alabama vs. Duke Prop Picks (AI)
Alabama vs. Duke Prediction (AI)

Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Crimson Tide and Blue Devils and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending weight emotional bettors often put on Alabama’s strength factors between a Crimson Tide team going up against a possibly rested Blue Devils team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Alabama vs Duke picks, computer picks Crimson Tide vs Blue Devils, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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Crimson Tide Betting Trends
Alabama has showcased a high-scoring offense throughout the tournament, notably setting a new NCAA record with 25 three-pointers in their 113-88 victory over BYU in the Sweet 16.
Blue Devils Betting Trends
Duke has demonstrated consistent performance, advancing to the Elite Eight with a 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, led by standout player Cooper Flagg’s 30 points, six rebounds, and seven assists.
Crimson Tide vs. Blue Devils Matchup Trends
The betting odds favor Duke with a -6.5 point spread, reflecting their defensive strength and consistent performance, while the over/under is set at 175.5, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.
Alabama vs. Duke Game Info
What time does Alabama vs Duke start on March 29, 2025?
Alabama vs Duke starts on March 29, 2025 at 8:49 PM EST.
Where is Alabama vs Duke being played?
Venue: Prudential Center.
What are the opening odds for Alabama vs Duke?
Spread: Duke -7.0
Moneyline: Alabama +250, Duke -310
Over/Under: 172.5
What are the records for Alabama vs Duke?
Alabama: (28-8) | Duke: (34-3)
What is the AI best bet for Alabama vs Duke?
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Flagg under 26.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
What are Alabama vs Duke trending bets?
The betting odds favor Duke with a -6.5 point spread, reflecting their defensive strength and consistent performance, while the over/under is set at 175.5, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.
What are Alabama trending bets?
BAMA trend: Alabama has showcased a high-scoring offense throughout the tournament, notably setting a new NCAA record with 25 three-pointers in their 113-88 victory over BYU in the Sweet 16.
What are Duke trending bets?
DUKE trend: Duke has demonstrated consistent performance, advancing to the Elite Eight with a 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, led by standout player Cooper Flagg’s 30 points, six rebounds, and seven assists.
Where can I find AI Picks for Alabama vs Duke?
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Alabama vs. Duke Odds
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Alabama vs Duke trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Alabama vs Duke Opening Odds
BAMA Moneyline:
+250 DUKE Moneyline: -310
BAMA Spread: +7
DUKE Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 172.5
Alabama vs Duke Live Odds
Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U |
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CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Duke Blue Devils on March 29, 2025 at Prudential Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|
DRAKE@MIZZOU | DRAKE +6.5 | 53.50% | 2 | WIN |
XAVIER@TEXAS | XAVIER -2.5 | 53.40% | 2 | WIN |
UAB@MEMP | MEMP -3.5 | 54.00% | 2 | WIN |
LVILLE@DUKE | LVILLE +6.5 | 53.10% | 2 | LOSS |
ECU@UAB | UAB -5 | 53.60% | 2 | WIN |
PURDUE@MICH | MICH +3 | 54.60% | 3 | WIN |
CLEM@LVILLE | CLEM -120 | 56.10% | 3 | LOSS |
COL@HOU | ANDREJ JAKIMOVSKI PTS + REB + AST - UNDER 15.5 | 53.70% | 2 | LOSS |
FORD@GWASH | FORD +7 | 53.80% | 2 | WIN |
SEATTLE@ABIL | ABIL +6 | 54.50% | 3 | WIN |
BAMAST@TEXSOU | BAMAST -110 | 55.40% | 4 | WIN |
OHIO@TOLEDO | TOLEDO +3 | 56.70% | 4 | WIN |
UVA@GATECH | GATECH +1.5 | 53.70% | 2 | WIN |
COLO@WVU | COLO +7.5 | 53.20% | 2 | WIN |
USC@RUT | USC -115 | 54.00% | 2 | WIN |
TEXAS@VANDY | VANDY -130 | 56.50% | 3 | LOSS |
BUTLER@PROV | BUTLER -115 | 55.20% | 3 | WIN |
IDAHO@MONTANA | MONTANA -6 | 53.50% | 2 | WIN |
TROY@JMAD | TROY -125 | 55.60% | 2 | WIN |
BELMONT@DRAKE | DRAKE -7.5 | 53.50% | 2 | LOSS |
UCSD@UCDAV | UCSD -12.5 | 53.40% | 2 | LOSS |
SIUE@SEMO | SEMO -2.5 | 54.80% | 3 | LOSS |
ALCORN@ARKPB | ARKPB +6.5 | 56.00% | 4 | WIN |
NORFLK@HOWARD | HOWARD +5.5 | 53.70% | 2 | LOSS |
NKY@CLEVST | NKY +4.5 | 54.40% | 3 | LOSS |
STNFRD@ND | STNFRD -125 | 56.40% | 3 | LOSS |
TENN@OLEMISS | OLEMISS +2.5 | 54.30% | 3 | WIN |
LSALLE@GMASON | GMASON -12 | 54.30% | 3 | LOSS |
PITT@NCST | NCST +2.5 | 56.70% | 4 | WIN |
IND@OREG | OREG -6.5 | 53.60% | 2 | WIN |
FSU@UVA | UVA -4 | 54.40% | 3 | LOSS |
ARK@VANDY | ARK +7.5 | 54.40% | 3 | WIN |
SDGST@UNLV | UNLV +2.5 | 54.10% | 3 | WIN |
EKTY@JVILLE | JVILLE -135 | 58.90% | 3 | WIN |
MANHAT@NIAGARA | MANHAT -115 | 54.70% | 3 | WIN |
MEMP@UAB | MEMP -115 | 54.90% | 3 | WIN |
ILL@MICH | MICH -2.5 | 56.00% | 4 | LOSS |
OKLA@OLEMISS | OKLA +7.5 | 54.50% | 3 | WIN |
ARIZST@UTAH | ARIZST +8.5 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
GC@SEATTLE | GC -110 | 55.00% | 3 | WIN |
PENN@CLMBIA | CLMBIA -122 | 57.50% | 4 | LOSS |
IONA@NIAGARA | NIAGARA +1.5 | 54.30% | 3 | LOSS |
MARIST@SACHRT | SACHRT -120 | 55.40% | 3 | WIN |
CLEVST@WRIGHT | CLEVST +1.5 | 54.30% | 3 | LOSS |
NDAK@STTHOM | STTHOM -10 | 54.30% | 3 | WIN |
USD@WASHST | WASHST -12.5 | 55.20% | 4 | LOSS |
CSBAK@LBEACH | CSBAK -130 | 59.70% | 4 | WIN |
BU@LEHIGH | LEHIGH -135 | 57.70% | 3 | LOSS |
DUQ@LSALLE | DUQ -125 | 56.70% | 3 | WIN |
BYU@ARIZST | ARIZST +7.5 | 54.60% | 3 | LOSS |
UTAHST@BOISE | BOISE -4 | 55.50% | 4 | WIN |