Alabama vs Duke Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Mar 29)

Updated: 2025-03-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils will face the No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide on March 29, 2025, at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, for the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. Both teams bring formidable offenses and impressive tournament performances, setting the stage for a highly anticipated matchup.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Mar 29, 2025

Start Time: 8:49 PM EST​

Venue: Prudential Center​

Blue Devils Record: (34-3)

Crimson Tide Record: (28-8)

OPENING ODDS

BAMA Moneyline: +250

DUKE Moneyline: -310

BAMA Spread: +7

DUKE Spread: -7.0

Over/Under: 172.5

BAMA
Betting Trends

  • Alabama has showcased a high-scoring offense throughout the tournament, notably setting a new NCAA record with 25 three-pointers in their 113-88 victory over BYU in the Sweet 16.

DUKE
Betting Trends

  • Duke has demonstrated consistent performance, advancing to the Elite Eight with a 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, led by standout player Cooper Flagg’s 30 points, six rebounds, and seven assists.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The betting odds favor Duke with a -6.5 point spread, reflecting their defensive strength and consistent performance, while the over/under is set at 175.5, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.

BAMA vs. DUKE
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Flagg under 26.5 Points.

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Alabama vs Duke Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 3/29/25

The Elite Eight matchup between the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils and No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide on March 29, 2025, is shaping up to be one of the most highly anticipated games of the NCAA Tournament, pitting one of the most suffocating defenses in college basketball against the most explosive offense in the country. With a trip to the Final Four on the line, both programs enter the contest with significant momentum and loaded rosters, yet drastically different philosophies that set the stage for a true clash of styles. Duke, led by second-year head coach Jon Scheyer, has forged its identity through defensive excellence, allowing just 58.7 points per game—best in the ACC and among the top five nationally. Their tournament run has included a gritty 100-93 win over a red-hot Arizona team in the Sweet 16, where freshman sensation Cooper Flagg exploded for 30 points and led the team in scoring, rebounding, and assists. Flagg, widely considered the top NBA prospect in the country, is the centerpiece of a balanced Blue Devils squad that also features elite rim protection from Khaman Maluach and solid perimeter play from Jared McCain and Caleb Foster. Duke’s defense, length, and discipline will be thoroughly tested by Alabama, a team that thrives in chaos, tempo, and perimeter shooting. Alabama, coached by Nate Oats, enters with a 28-8 record and a style of play that is pure offensive fireworks. The Crimson Tide lead the nation in scoring at 90.8 points per game and recently made NCAA Tournament history by sinking 25 three-pointers in a 113-88 Sweet 16 rout of BYU. Mark Sears, a veteran guard who leads the team in scoring, poured in 34 points and nailed 10 triples in that contest, continuing a trend of torrid shooting that has powered Alabama’s deep run. Oats’ offensive scheme spaces the floor with shooters at every position and operates at one of the fastest tempos in Division I, forcing opponents to either match their pace or fall behind quickly.

Alabama also gets key contributions from Grant Nelson and Rylan Griffen, both capable of creating mismatches through versatility and off-ball movement. However, the Crimson Tide’s defense remains vulnerable, especially against teams that can attack the rim or dominate on the glass. They’ve allowed 82.5 points per game this season, ranking near the bottom among tournament teams, which could be a concern against Duke’s physical frontcourt and patient offensive sets. The key to this game may lie in who can impose their tempo—if Alabama dictates pace and starts hitting from deep early, it could pull Duke out of its rhythm and into a shootout it’s less comfortable with. Conversely, if Duke is able to slow the game down, dominate the boards, and contest threes, they can expose Alabama’s defensive flaws and grind their way into the Final Four. The total is set at a high 175.5, reflecting the expectation of a shootout, but Duke’s ability to control tempo and defend may be the deciding factor. This matchup of contrasting philosophies, star power, and coaching tactics promises a thrilling, high-stakes showdown where every possession matters.

Alabama Crimson Tide CBB Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide enters the Elite Eight riding a wave of offensive momentum and confidence, having showcased the most explosive scoring output of the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Led by head coach Nate Oats, Alabama has compiled a 28-8 record this season and earned the No. 2 seed in their region through their signature high-tempo, three-point-heavy offensive system that has overwhelmed opponents all year. Their offensive identity centers on pace, spacing, and shot volume, with the Crimson Tide leading the nation in points per game (90.8), as well as ranking near the top in three-point attempts and makes. This strategy was on full display during their Sweet 16 matchup against BYU, when Alabama shattered NCAA Tournament history by sinking 25 three-pointers in a 113-88 rout. That performance not only showcased the efficiency of their offensive scheme but also the talent and rhythm of their perimeter shooters, headlined by senior guard Mark Sears, who exploded for 34 points and 10 threes. Sears, a transfer from Ohio University, has blossomed into the engine of Alabama’s offense, combining deep shooting range with veteran poise and an ability to get to the rim in transition. He’s averaging over 21 points per game in the tournament and serves as the primary ball handler and initiator in Oats’ wide-open offense. Alongside him are sharpshooters Aaron Estrada and Rylan Griffen, who space the floor effectively and stretch opposing defenses far beyond the arc. The frontcourt is anchored by Grant Nelson, a mobile big who adds floor-spacing and pick-and-pop ability, and Nick Pringle, who brings athleticism and rebounding on both ends.

Together, this starting unit has helped Alabama blitz defenses early and often, routinely scoring in the first 10 seconds of the shot clock and overwhelming slower, more traditional defenses with sheer volume. However, for all their offensive firepower, Alabama’s Achilles heel lies on the defensive end. The Crimson Tide allow over 82 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the Power 6 conferences in scoring defense. Their up-tempo system often leaves them vulnerable in transition and against well-structured half-court offenses. This will be especially problematic against Duke, whose methodical ball movement and interior presence can expose Alabama’s lack of rim protection and inconsistent perimeter defense. Alabama’s path to victory will likely depend on their ability to hit early and often from deep, force turnovers, and speed Duke out of their comfort zone. If the Crimson Tide can turn the game into a track meet and create chaos through pace and offensive rebounds, they can negate Duke’s defensive structure and force a shootout. Bench depth could also play a key role, with Jarin Stevenson and Latrell Wrightsell Jr. offering additional shooting and defensive versatility. Coach Nate Oats has fully leaned into his analytical, NBA-style offense, and his players have bought in. Now, just one win from the program’s first-ever Final Four appearance, Alabama faces its biggest test of the season in Duke—a team that thrives in half-court defense and takes pride in controlling pace. The Crimson Tide will need to play their cleanest, most efficient game of the year, but if their shots are falling and tempo is in their favor, they have the firepower to make history and punch their ticket to college basketball’s biggest stage.

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils will face the No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide on March 29, 2025, at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, for the Elite Eight round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. Both teams bring formidable offenses and impressive tournament performances, setting the stage for a highly anticipated matchup. Alabama vs Duke AI Prediction: Free CBB Betting Insights for Mar 29. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Duke Blue Devils CBB Preview

The Duke Blue Devils head into their Elite Eight showdown against Alabama with the poise and pedigree of a championship-caliber team, backed by one of the most complete rosters in college basketball and a coaching staff that has maximized their talent across the board. Under second-year head coach Jon Scheyer, Duke has compiled an outstanding 34-3 record, capturing the ACC title and steamrolling through the NCAA Tournament with a combination of stifling defense, elite shot-making, and unshakable composure in pressure moments. The cornerstone of Duke’s success is their defense, which ranks among the nation’s best—allowing just 58.7 points per game while holding opponents to under 40% shooting from the field. Their defensive execution has been surgical, built on disciplined rotations, elite rim protection, and switchable defenders who can guard multiple positions. This defensive unit has been tested throughout the season but continues to deliver, most recently in their 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, where they limited Arizona’s potent transition game and forced difficult late-clock possessions. At the center of Duke’s excellence is freshman phenom Cooper Flagg, a generational talent whose all-around brilliance has transformed the Blue Devils into a national title favorite. Flagg has been dominant throughout March Madness, averaging 21 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists per game during the tournament, and showcasing his elite basketball IQ, defensive instincts, and clutch shot-making. His performance against Arizona was a masterpiece—30 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists—and he’s quickly emerged as Duke’s leader in both production and presence. Around Flagg is a strong core of versatile, high-IQ players including Jared McCain, who spaces the floor with sharpshooting ability; Caleb Foster, a strong perimeter defender and secondary playmaker; and Tyrese Proctor, a steadying force who can control the tempo and distribute. Khaman Maluach, the team’s 7’1” center, brings elite rim protection and is averaging over 2 blocks per game while anchoring the interior defense. His ability to alter shots and rebound in traffic will be crucial against Alabama’s fast-paced offense.

Offensively, Duke is efficient and deliberate, running sets that create quality looks from inside and outside the arc. They shoot over 37% from three-point range and excel at making the extra pass to find open teammates. Their depth is also a strength, with role players like Sean Stewart and Ryan Young providing valuable minutes off the bench, allowing Scheyer to rotate fresh legs and match up with a variety of lineups. With elite talent at both ends of the floor and a defense-first identity that travels well in tournament play, Duke is built to win in multiple ways—whether it’s a low-scoring slugfest or a high-octane shootout. Against Alabama’s record-setting offense, Duke’s ability to control the pace, dominate the glass, and defend the perimeter will be put to the test. But with a transcendent star in Flagg, a lockdown defense, and a mature, battle-tested supporting cast, the Blue Devils are fully equipped to reach the Final Four and make a serious push toward banner number six.

Alabama vs. Duke Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Crimson Tide and Blue Devils play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Prudential Center in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Flagg under 26.5 Points.

Alabama vs. Duke Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Crimson Tide and Blue Devils and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending weight emotional bettors often put on Alabama’s strength factors between a Crimson Tide team going up against a possibly rested Blue Devils team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Alabama vs Duke picks, computer picks Crimson Tide vs Blue Devils, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.

Crimson Tide Betting Trends

Alabama has showcased a high-scoring offense throughout the tournament, notably setting a new NCAA record with 25 three-pointers in their 113-88 victory over BYU in the Sweet 16.

Blue Devils Betting Trends

Duke has demonstrated consistent performance, advancing to the Elite Eight with a 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, led by standout player Cooper Flagg’s 30 points, six rebounds, and seven assists.

Crimson Tide vs. Blue Devils Matchup Trends

The betting odds favor Duke with a -6.5 point spread, reflecting their defensive strength and consistent performance, while the over/under is set at 175.5, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.

Alabama vs. Duke Game Info

Alabama vs Duke starts on March 29, 2025 at 8:49 PM EST.

Venue: Prudential Center.

Spread: Duke -7.0
Moneyline: Alabama +250, Duke -310
Over/Under: 172.5

Alabama: (28-8)  |  Duke: (34-3)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Flagg under 26.5 Points.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

The betting odds favor Duke with a -6.5 point spread, reflecting their defensive strength and consistent performance, while the over/under is set at 175.5, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.

BAMA trend: Alabama has showcased a high-scoring offense throughout the tournament, notably setting a new NCAA record with 25 three-pointers in their 113-88 victory over BYU in the Sweet 16.

DUKE trend: Duke has demonstrated consistent performance, advancing to the Elite Eight with a 100-93 win over Arizona in the Sweet 16, led by standout player Cooper Flagg’s 30 points, six rebounds, and seven assists.

See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Alabama vs. Duke Odds

Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Alabama vs Duke trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Alabama vs Duke Opening Odds

BAMA Moneyline: +250
DUKE Moneyline: -310
BAMA Spread: +7
DUKE Spread: -7.0
Over/Under: 172.5

Alabama vs Duke Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U

CBB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Duke Blue Devils on March 29, 2025 at Prudential Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
DRAKE@MIZZOU DRAKE +6.5 53.50% 2 WIN
XAVIER@TEXAS XAVIER -2.5 53.40% 2 WIN
UAB@MEMP MEMP -3.5 54.00% 2 WIN
LVILLE@DUKE LVILLE +6.5 53.10% 2 LOSS
ECU@UAB UAB -5 53.60% 2 WIN
PURDUE@MICH MICH +3 54.60% 3 WIN
CLEM@LVILLE CLEM -120 56.10% 3 LOSS
COL@HOU ANDREJ JAKIMOVSKI PTS + REB + AST - UNDER 15.5 53.70% 2 LOSS
FORD@GWASH FORD +7 53.80% 2 WIN
SEATTLE@ABIL ABIL +6 54.50% 3 WIN
BAMAST@TEXSOU BAMAST -110 55.40% 4 WIN
OHIO@TOLEDO TOLEDO +3 56.70% 4 WIN
UVA@GATECH GATECH +1.5 53.70% 2 WIN
COLO@WVU COLO +7.5 53.20% 2 WIN
USC@RUT USC -115 54.00% 2 WIN
TEXAS@VANDY VANDY -130 56.50% 3 LOSS
BUTLER@PROV BUTLER -115 55.20% 3 WIN
IDAHO@MONTANA MONTANA -6 53.50% 2 WIN
TROY@JMAD TROY -125 55.60% 2 WIN
BELMONT@DRAKE DRAKE -7.5 53.50% 2 LOSS
UCSD@UCDAV UCSD -12.5 53.40% 2 LOSS
SIUE@SEMO SEMO -2.5 54.80% 3 LOSS
ALCORN@ARKPB ARKPB +6.5 56.00% 4 WIN
NORFLK@HOWARD HOWARD +5.5 53.70% 2 LOSS
NKY@CLEVST NKY +4.5 54.40% 3 LOSS
STNFRD@ND STNFRD -125 56.40% 3 LOSS
TENN@OLEMISS OLEMISS +2.5 54.30% 3 WIN
LSALLE@GMASON GMASON -12 54.30% 3 LOSS
PITT@NCST NCST +2.5 56.70% 4 WIN
IND@OREG OREG -6.5 53.60% 2 WIN
FSU@UVA UVA -4 54.40% 3 LOSS
ARK@VANDY ARK +7.5 54.40% 3 WIN
SDGST@UNLV UNLV +2.5 54.10% 3 WIN
EKTY@JVILLE JVILLE -135 58.90% 3 WIN
MANHAT@NIAGARA MANHAT -115 54.70% 3 WIN
MEMP@UAB MEMP -115 54.90% 3 WIN
ILL@MICH MICH -2.5 56.00% 4 LOSS
OKLA@OLEMISS OKLA +7.5 54.50% 3 WIN
ARIZST@UTAH ARIZST +8.5 54.60% 3 LOSS
GC@SEATTLE GC -110 55.00% 3 WIN
PENN@CLMBIA CLMBIA -122 57.50% 4 LOSS
IONA@NIAGARA NIAGARA +1.5 54.30% 3 LOSS
MARIST@SACHRT SACHRT -120 55.40% 3 WIN
CLEVST@WRIGHT CLEVST +1.5 54.30% 3 LOSS
NDAK@STTHOM STTHOM -10 54.30% 3 WIN
USD@WASHST WASHST -12.5 55.20% 4 LOSS
CSBAK@LBEACH CSBAK -130 59.70% 4 WIN
BU@LEHIGH LEHIGH -135 57.70% 3 LOSS
DUQ@LSALLE DUQ -125 56.70% 3 WIN
BYU@ARIZST ARIZST +7.5 54.60% 3 LOSS
UTAHST@BOISE BOISE -4 55.50% 4 WIN