Rays vs Mets Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS MLB Lines & Props (Jun 14)

Updated: 2025-06-12T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Tampa Bay Rays (37–32) face the New York Mets (45–25) on Saturday, June 14, 2025, at 4:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets aim to even the series after a loss in the opener, while the Rays look to extend their winning streak.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jun 14, 2025

Start Time: 4:10 PM EST​

Venue: Citi Field​

Mets Record: (45-25)

Rays Record: (37-32)

OPENING ODDS

TB Moneyline: +117

NYM Moneyline: -138

TB Spread: +1.5

NYM Spread: -1.5

Over/Under: 7.5

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Tampa Bay Rays have a 7–3 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

NYM
Betting Trends

  • The New York Mets have a 4–6 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In their last meeting on June 13, 2025, the Rays defeated the Mets 7–5, covering the run line as underdogs.

TB vs. NYM
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup:

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Tampa Bay vs New York Mets Prediction & Odds:
Free MLB Betting Insights for 6/14/25

Saturday’s interleague showdown between the Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Mets at Citi Field offers a compelling clash between two postseason-caliber teams looking to assert themselves as summer approaches. The Mets, with an NL East-leading 45–25 record, suffered a rare stumble in the series opener—a 7–5 loss to the Rays—and will look to even the series behind the arm of Tylor Megill and the power of Pete Alonso. Meanwhile, the Rays, now 37–32 and chasing the Yankees and Orioles in the ultra-competitive AL East, arrive in Queens with momentum after a clean offensive showing on Friday, and aim to ride that wave into Saturday behind right-hander Drew Rasmussen. The game features two teams with contrasting strengths: the Mets, built around star power and explosive innings, and the Rays, known for their rotational depth, defensive flexibility, and ability to extract value from every player on the roster. Megill brings a solid mix of mid-90s heat and developing secondary pitches into his start, and though he’s had a few uneven outings this year, his 2025 performance has largely stabilized and he’s been a key factor in the Mets’ success. Across from him, Rasmussen offers a different look—command over overpowering velocity—and thrives by keeping hitters off-balance and limiting hard contact, which plays well against the Mets’ aggressive approach at the plate.

The Rays’ offensive depth has emerged in recent weeks, with key contributions from Yandy Díaz, Randy Arozarena, and Isaac Paredes, while their ability to manufacture runs through small ball and smart baserunning has kept them afloat even when the long ball isn’t flying. Tampa Bay’s win on Friday showcased their typical balanced attack—clutch hitting, disciplined at-bats, and aggressive bullpen usage to shut down late threats—and they’ll need a similar blueprint to beat a Mets team that rarely drops back-to-back games at home. On the flip side, the Mets will lean on Pete Alonso’s raw power and Francisco Lindor’s ability to deliver in tight spots, both of whom have been central to New York’s offensive engine. Brandon Nimmo’s consistency at the top of the order and Jeff McNeil’s contact-oriented approach complement the big bats, and when the Mets get contributions throughout the lineup, they become one of the most dangerous teams in baseball. Defensively, both teams are among the league’s most efficient, with the Mets boasting strong infield chemistry and outfield range, while the Rays continue to lead in shifting tactics and late-game matchups that neutralize opposing hitters. The key for New York will be whether Megill can keep the Rays off the bases and bridge the game to Edwin Díaz and the bullpen without falling behind early. For Tampa Bay, it’s about execution—can Rasmussen neutralize Alonso and company, and can their bats once again deliver in the clutch? With playoff implications already taking shape, Saturday’s contest could serve as a measuring stick for both clubs, and fans should expect a tightly contested, strategic game where every pitch and defensive decision could sway the outcome.

Tampa Bay Rays MLB Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays enter Saturday’s matchup at Citi Field carrying momentum after an impressive 7–5 win over the New York Mets in the series opener, improving their record to 37–32 and reigniting their push to climb the AL East standings. Currently trailing the division-leading Yankees and Orioles, the Rays understand the significance of each interleague win, especially against elite National League opponents like the Mets, and they have approached recent games with sharpened execution and trademark versatility. Saturday’s starter Drew Rasmussen brings a measured and cerebral presence to the mound, known for his sharp command and pitch mix that consistently limits hard contact, even against lineups as potent as New York’s. Rasmussen has returned to form after a stint on the injured list earlier in the season, and his ability to pound the zone, induce ground balls, and keep hitters guessing will be crucial in countering the Mets’ power-heavy middle order. Offensively, the Rays have embraced a collective approach, with contributions coming from up and down the lineup—Randy Arozarena continues to deliver in big spots with his mix of power and speed, while Yandy Díaz and Isaac Paredes have anchored the infield and supplied key run production. Tampa Bay rarely relies on any single player to carry the offense; instead, they piece together runs through smart situational hitting, aggressive base running, and consistently grinding out tough at-bats.

Their win Friday was emblematic of this philosophy—taking advantage of mistakes, delivering timely extra-base hits, and executing perfectly in late innings to hold off a Mets comeback. The bullpen, a longtime strength under manager Kevin Cash, has remained dependable, with Jason Adam and Pete Fairbanks providing reliable high-leverage relief and closing duties, respectively. The Rays’ ability to mix and match relievers depending on matchups gives them a late-game edge, particularly when they’re protecting narrow leads against elite teams like the Mets. Defensively, Tampa Bay remains one of the sharpest clubs in baseball, using advanced metrics, positioning, and communication to turn balls in play into outs, and they’ll need to maintain that crisp execution against a Mets team that thrives on big innings when extended opportunities arise. While the road record has been average this year, the Rays’ style of play—focused on execution, discipline, and exploiting inefficiencies—translates well to any ballpark, especially in tense, playoff-style atmospheres. Kevin Cash’s leadership continues to be a stabilizing force, as he masterfully manages platoons, in-game substitutions, and bullpen workload to maximize every edge available. With Rasmussen on the mound and the offense clicking, Saturday presents an opportunity for Tampa Bay to not only secure a series win but send a statement across both leagues that the Rays remain one of baseball’s most complete and resilient teams. A win over the Mets would bolster their playoff resume and signal that this team is ready to push deeper into the summer as a legitimate contender.

The Tampa Bay Rays (37–32) face the New York Mets (45–25) on Saturday, June 14, 2025, at 4:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets aim to even the series after a loss in the opener, while the Rays look to extend their winning streak. Tampa Bay vs New York Mets AI Prediction: Free MLB Betting Insights for Jun 14. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New York Mets Mets MLB Preview

The New York Mets head into Saturday’s game against the Tampa Bay Rays looking to bounce back from a rare home loss that dropped them to 45–25 but still firmly atop the NL East. Friday’s 7–5 defeat highlighted some recent inconsistencies on the mound and in clutch hitting, two areas that manager Carlos Mendoza will look to tighten as the Mets aim to even the series and prevent the Rays from gaining any additional interleague momentum. Tylor Megill gets the start for New York, bringing a season of steady contributions and flashes of dominance, with a fastball-slider combo that has been effective at neutralizing right-handed bats. Megill’s ability to command the strike zone early and avoid the long ball will be critical against a Rays lineup that thrives on capitalizing when pitchers fall behind in counts. The Mets’ bullpen, anchored by elite closer Edwin Díaz, remains one of the most trusted in the league, though they were unable to hold the line in the late innings on Friday. Expect Mendoza to adjust usage patterns and possibly rely on matchups more heavily in Game 2 if the game stays close.

Offensively, the Mets continue to be led by Pete Alonso, whose 15 home runs and 57 RBIs have anchored the middle of the lineup and made him a constant threat in any at-bat. Francisco Lindor adds balance with his ability to work counts, swipe bases, and provide pop from both sides of the plate, while Brandon Nimmo has been one of the most consistent leadoff hitters in the game, setting the tone with his plate discipline and on-base skills. When the offense is clicking—especially with Jeff McNeil putting balls in play and Mark Vientos showing signs of being a dangerous contributor—the Mets become an offensive juggernaut that can post crooked numbers in any inning. Despite the loss, the team’s approach at the plate remains sound, as they drew multiple walks and forced Tampa Bay into high pitch counts, something they’ll aim to do again against Rays starter Drew Rasmussen, who excels at pitching to contact. Defensively, the Mets have been one of the cleaner teams in baseball, with Lindor and McNeil forming a steady double-play combination and the outfield showing strong range and positioning. Citi Field has been kind to the Mets this season, and their 26–11 home record reflects a club that feeds off its crowd and consistently puts pressure on visitors early in games. The key Saturday will be to strike first, support Megill with early run production, and tighten the back end of the bullpen to protect any late-inning leads. A win would not only even the series but also affirm the Mets’ status as a team capable of rebounding quickly from losses and dominating in multi-game sets. With a deep roster, strong starting pitching, and a lineup that can hurt teams in multiple ways, the Mets remain one of the league’s most formidable squads, and Saturday is their chance to show why.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Rays and Mets play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Citi Field in Jun seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup:

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Rays and Mets and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Tampa Bay’s strength factors between a Rays team going up against a possibly unhealthy Mets team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our MLB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Tampa Bay vs New York Mets picks, computer picks Rays vs Mets, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full MLB schedule.

Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 7–3 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets have a 4–6 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

Rays vs. Mets Matchup Trends

In their last meeting on June 13, 2025, the Rays defeated the Mets 7–5, covering the run line as underdogs.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Game Info

Tampa Bay vs New York Mets starts on June 14, 2025 at 4:10 PM EST.

Spread: New York Mets -1.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +117, New York Mets -138
Over/Under: 7.5

Tampa Bay: (37-32)  |  New York Mets: (45-25)

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup:. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In their last meeting on June 13, 2025, the Rays defeated the Mets 7–5, covering the run line as underdogs.

TB trend: The Tampa Bay Rays have a 7–3 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

NYM trend: The New York Mets have a 4–6 record against the run line in their last 10 games.

See our latest MLB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.

Tampa Bay vs. New York Mets Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Tampa Bay vs New York Mets trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Tampa Bay vs New York Mets Opening Odds

TB Moneyline: +117
NYM Moneyline: -138
TB Spread: +1.5
NYM Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 7.5

Tampa Bay vs New York Mets Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Oct 19, 2025 8:04PM EDT
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
10/19/25 8:04PM
Mariners
Blue Jays
+108
-126
-1.5 (+172)
+1.5 (-210)
O 7.5 (-106)
U 7.5 (-114)

MLB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets Mets on June 14, 2025 at Citi Field.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our MLB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
TOR@SEA OVER 7 54.9% 3 WIN
LAD@MIL UNDER 7.5 56.6% 6 WIN
TOR@NYY OVER 8 54.9% 4 WIN
TOR@NYY CARLOS RODON OVER 1.5 TOTAL WALKS ALLOWED 53.3% 3 WIN
NYY@TOR OVER 7.5 54.8% 2 WIN
LAD@PHI OVER 7 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC CHC -109 53.8% 3 WIN
SD@CHC OVER 7.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
SD@CHC CHC -111 54.8% 4 LOSS
CIN@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 1.5 BASES 53.5% 3 WIN
BOS@NYY OVER 7 53.8% 3 LOSS
CIN@LAD ELLY DE LA CRUZ OVER 0.5 BASES 54.4% 4 LOSS
ARI@SD SD -131 57.3% 4 WIN
DET@BOS BOS -115 56.4% 5 WIN
NYM@CHC NYM -110 54.1% 3 WIN
HOU@ATH ATH +118 50.8% 4 WIN
NYM@CHC OVER 7 54.5% 3 WIN
STL@SF OVER 7.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
KC@LAA TYLER TOLBERT UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.4% 4 WIN
MIL@SD UNDER 9 54.7% 4 WIN
MIA@PHI KYLE SCHWARBER OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 53.3% 3 WIN
WAS@NYM OVER 8.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAA@COL COL +108 50.5% 3 WIN
TOR@KC UNDER 9 54.7% 4 LOSS
SEA@KC KC +1.5 62.3% 5 LOSS
NYY@MIN OVER 9 55.1% 4 WIN
MIA@COL OVER 10.5 55.0% 4 WIN
MIA@COL AGUSTIN RAMIREZ OVER 1.5 HITS+RUNS+RBIS 54.3% 4 WIN
SEA@KC BOBBY WITT UNDER 0.5 SINGLES 54.4% 4 LOSS
PHI@LAD LAD -113 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYY@BOS OVER 7.5 54.3% 3 WIN
KC@PHI PHI -130 58.3% 4 WIN
LAD@SF OVER 7.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
NYM@PHI PHI -122 55.6% 4 WIN
KC@CLE KC -104 52.0% 3 WIN
CIN@SD JAKE CRONEWORTH OVER 0.5 HITS 53.1% 3 WIN
WAS@MIA MIA -123 55.2% 4 LOSS
LAA@KC UNDER 9.5 54.9% 3 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9 54.2% 4 WIN
SF@COL UNDER 11.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
SF@COL RAFAEL DEVERS OVER 1.5 BASES 56.1% 6 WIN
MIA@WAS WAS -110 54.4% 4 WIN
NYM@DET OVER 8.5 54.5% 4 WIN
TEX@ARI UNDER 9.5 56.4% 6 WIN
TEX@ARI ALEJANDRO OSUNA UNDER 1.5 BASES 54.1% 4 LOSS
ATL@CHC CHC -116 55.1% 3 WIN
PHI@MIL OVER 8.5 55.0% 3 WIN
ARI@LAD SHOHEI OHTANI OVER 2.5 BASES 54.2% 4 WIN
SEA@CLE CLE +1.5 57.2% 3 WIN
CHC@SF CHC -105 54.1% 4 LOSS
NYY@CHW RYAN MCMAHON OVER 0.5 BASES 54.1% 4 WIN