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The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Philadelphia Flyers are set to clash on March 17, 2025, at Amalie Arena. This matchup presents contrasting narratives, with the Lightning aiming to maintain their dominance and the Flyers seeking to disrupt the status quo. The Lightning enter the game with a commendable record of 38-23-5, reflecting their consistent performance throughout the season. They are currently positioned third in the Atlantic Division, showcasing a potent offense that averages 3.54 goals per game, ranking them second in the league. Defensively, they have been robust, allowing only 2.67 goals per game, placing them sixth in goals allowed. Leading the offensive charge for Tampa Bay is the dynamic duo of Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel, who have combined for an impressive 163 points this season. Kucherov’s playmaking abilities, complemented by Hagel’s scoring prowess, have been instrumental in the team’s success. Additionally, defenseman Victor Hedman has been pivotal, contributing 50 points and providing stability on the blue line. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a cornerstone for the Lightning, boasting a .919 save percentage. His consistent performances have often been the difference-maker in tightly contested games, reinforcing Tampa Bay’s defensive strength. In contrast, the Philadelphia Flyers have faced challenges this season, holding a record of 28-32-8. Their offense has struggled, averaging 2.8 goals per game, ranking them 23rd in the league.
Defensively, they have conceded an average of 3.32 goals per game, placing them 27th in goals allowed. The Flyers’ offense has been spearheaded by veteran Travis Konecny and emerging talent Matvei Michkov. Despite their efforts, the team has struggled to find consistent scoring, managing only five goals in their last four games. Defensively, the Flyers have encountered difficulties, allowing 22 goals in their last five games. Goaltender Samuel Ersson has faced challenges, with the team’s defensive lapses contributing to his struggles. Special teams play a crucial role in this matchup. The Lightning’s power play operates at a 26.1% success rate, ranking sixth in the league, while the Flyers’ penalty kill stands at 77.8%, ranking 18th. Conversely, the Flyers’ power play has been less effective, with a 15.2% success rate, ranking 29th, which could be a disadvantage against Tampa Bay’s disciplined penalty kill. Historically, the Lightning have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning seven of their last ten encounters with the Flyers. This trend, coupled with Tampa Bay’s strong home record, suggests a favorable outcome for the Lightning. From a betting perspective, the Lightning are favored, with moneyline odds reflecting their superior record and recent form. The over/under is set at 5.5 goals, considering the offensive capabilities of both teams. In conclusion, the upcoming game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Philadelphia Flyers is poised to showcase the Lightning’s offensive firepower against the Flyers’ resilience. For the Flyers to secure an upset, they will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, the Lightning will aim to maintain their dominance and continue their march toward the playoffs.
Back in action Monday night in Tampa. #CARvsPHI https://t.co/PMCA7qS6nK
— Philadelphia Flyers (@NHLFlyers) March 16, 2025
The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game with a disappointing 27-31-8 record, struggling to find consistency in what has been a difficult season. Offensively, the Flyers have been one of the weaker teams in the league, averaging just 2.8 goals per game, ranking 23rd overall. Travis Konecny has been their primary offensive weapon, leading the team with 22 goals and 41 assists, but outside of him, the Flyers have struggled to find consistent secondary scoring. Rookie Matvei Michkov has shown promise with 20 goals and 26 assists, but the team lacks offensive depth, making it difficult to compete with high-scoring teams like the Lightning. Their defensive struggles have been even more concerning, allowing 3.32 goals per game, ranking 27th in the league. The absence of Ryan Ellis, who has been on long-term injured reserve, has left a major hole in their blue line, and the Flyers’ defense has lacked the structure needed to contain opposing offenses. Goaltending has also been a significant issue, with starter Samuel Ersson posting a subpar .889 save percentage and a 2.94 goals-against average. Backup goaltenders Ivan Fedotov and Aleksei Kolosov have also struggled, making it difficult for the team to find consistency in net. The Flyers’ special teams have been equally problematic, with their power play ranking 29th in the NHL at just 15.2% efficiency, severely limiting their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Their penalty kill has been slightly better at 77.8%, but it still ranks just 18th in the league, highlighting their difficulties in shutting down opposing power plays. Additionally, coaching issues have emerged this season, with head coach John Tortorella receiving criticism from players, as a recent poll revealed that he was voted the least desirable coach to play for in the NHL. With internal challenges, a lack of offensive depth, and inconsistent defensive play, the Flyers have struggled to stay competitive, and their recent performances indicate that they will have a difficult time keeping up with the Lightning. They have also been active in making roster changes, acquiring Andrei Kuzmenko and Jakob Pelletier from the Calgary Flames in an attempt to bring new energy to the team, though neither player has yet made a significant impact. Injuries have also plagued the Flyers, with Garnet Hathaway recently sidelined due to an upper-body injury, further depleting their lineup. To have any chance of upsetting the Lightning, the Flyers will need to tighten their defense, get an elite goaltending performance, and capitalize on any scoring opportunities that arise. However, given their struggles this season and Tampa Bay’s strong track record against them, this game is likely to be another tough challenge for Philadelphia. If they cannot address their defensive weaknesses and find a way to contain Tampa Bay’s high-powered offense, the Flyers could be in for another difficult night on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Tampa Bay Lightning enter their matchup against the Philadelphia Flyers with a strong 38-23-5 record, placing them among the top teams in the Eastern Conference. Their offensive firepower has been a major driving force this season, ranking second in the league with an average of 3.54 goals per game. Led by Nikita Kucherov, who continues to dominate offensively with 37 goals and 55 assists, the Lightning have established themselves as one of the most potent scoring teams in the NHL. Kucherov’s chemistry with Brandon Hagel and Brayden Point has provided the team with a balanced scoring attack, making it difficult for opposing defenses to focus on shutting down a single player. In addition to their offensive strength, the Lightning’s defensive unit has been solid, allowing just 2.67 goals per game, ranking sixth in the NHL. Veteran defenseman Victor Hedman has been a stabilizing presence on the blue line, contributing 50 points while also providing strong defensive coverage. Mikhail Sergachev and Erik Cernak have also stepped up to provide depth in the defensive corps, ensuring that the Lightning can contain opposing teams’ top scorers. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy continues to be one of the best netminders in the league, boasting a .919 save percentage and consistently making key saves to keep Tampa Bay competitive in close games. Special teams have also been a bright spot for the Lightning, with their power play ranking sixth in the league at 26.1% efficiency, making them a dangerous team when given opportunities on the man advantage. Their penalty kill has also been effective, ranking in the top 10 at 82.3%, demonstrating their ability to limit opponents’ power-play opportunities. Heading into this game, the Lightning have won seven of their last ten meetings against the Flyers, further emphasizing their dominance in this matchup. With home-ice advantage at Amalie Arena, where they have been especially dominant this season, the Lightning are in a favorable position to secure another win against a struggling Philadelphia team. If they can continue executing their offensive game plan and capitalize on their special teams, they should be able to extend their winning record and solidify their playoff standing.
Just thinking about our SIX 20+ goal scorers 🤩
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) March 16, 2025
The most in any season in franchise history. pic.twitter.com/WJ8fVXMhZA
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Flyers and Lightning play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Amalie Arena in Mar seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Flyers and Lightning and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the linear correlation of emphasis human bettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Flyers team going up against a possibly rested Lightning team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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