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The upcoming clash between the Edmonton Oilers and the New York Islanders on March 14, 2025, at UBS Arena presents a compelling narrative of contrasting styles. The Oilers, boasting a 37-23-4 record, have been an offensive juggernaut this season, led by the dynamic duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. McDavid, with 95 points, and Draisaitl, with 90 points, have been instrumental in propelling Edmonton to the upper echelons of the Western Conference. Their ability to dominate the ice with speed and precision has been a hallmark of the Oilers’ strategy. On the defensive end, goaltender Calvin Pickard has stepped up admirably, especially in the absence of the injured Stuart Skinner. Pickard’s 15-7-0 record, accompanied by a 2.76 goals-against average (GAA) and a .896 save percentage, underscores his reliability between the pipes. His previous encounters with the Islanders, although dated, provide a backdrop of experience that could be pivotal in this matchup. The Oilers’ power play has been particularly lethal, converting at a league-leading rate, which could pose significant challenges for the Islanders’ penalty kill units. Conversely, the New York Islanders enter this game with a 29-27-7 record, reflecting a season of inconsistency. Despite their struggles, the Islanders’ defensive structure remains robust, allowing an average of 2.85 goals per game. Goaltender Ilya Sorokin has been a cornerstone of their defense, with a .924 save percentage and multiple shutouts to his name. Offensively, the team has faced challenges, with key players like Brock Nelson being traded, signaling a potential shift towards rebuilding.
However, veterans such as Bo Horvat and Mathew Barzal continue to provide leadership and offensive contributions. The Islanders’ penalty kill has been effective, ranking in the top ten of the league, which will be crucial against the Oilers’ potent power play. Historically, matchups between these teams have been tightly contested. The underdog has covered the spread in four of their last five meetings, indicating a propensity for close games. The Islanders have managed to stifle the Oilers’ offense in previous encounters, leveraging their defensive acumen to neutralize Edmonton’s star players. However, the current form and offensive firepower of the Oilers present a formidable challenge for the Islanders. From a betting perspective, the Oilers’ success against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering in 60% of their away games, contrasts with the Islanders’ struggles at home, where they’ve covered only 45% of the time. This disparity suggests a potential edge for Edmonton in the ATS market. Additionally, the total goals line, often set around six for these matchups, has seen the ‘over’ hit in three of their last five meetings, reflecting the offensive capabilities of the Oilers and the occasional defensive lapses of the Islanders. In conclusion, this matchup is a classic case of offense versus defense. The Oilers’ high-scoring approach, led by McDavid and Draisaitl, will test the Islanders’ defensive resilience. The outcome may hinge on special teams’ performance, particularly how well the Islanders can suppress the Oilers’ power play. Fans can anticipate a strategic battle, with the Oilers aiming to exploit their offensive strengths and the Islanders striving to impose their defensive will.
Draisaitl & Bouchard extend their point streaks with goals, but the Devils score 1:25 apart in the third period to sink the #Oilers to their second straight loss in a 3-2 defeat. https://t.co/Koka00IFls
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) March 14, 2025
The Edmonton Oilers, boasting a 37-22-4 record, have solidified their position as a formidable force in the Western Conference this season. Central to their success is the dynamic duo of Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. Draisaitl leads the NHL with 47 goals and ranks second in points with 98, currently riding an impressive 16-game point streak, during which he has amassed 24 points (12 goals, 12 assists). McDavid, with 84 points (24 goals, 60 assists) in 59 games, is on a nine-game point streak, contributing 13 points (2 goals, 11 assists) in that span. Their synergy on the ice has been pivotal in driving the Oilers’ high-octane offense. In goal, Calvin Pickard is the expected starter for the upcoming game against the New York Islanders. Pickard holds a 15-7-0 record this season, with a 2.76 goals-against average (GAA) and a .896 save percentage (SV%). Notably, he has not faced the Islanders since January 14, 2020, when he was with the Detroit Red Wings.
The Oilers have been active in bolstering their roster, acquiring defenseman Jake Walman from the San Jose Sharks at the trade deadline. Walman has made an immediate impact, recording two assists in his first three games with Edmonton and logging over 23 minutes of ice time in two of those contests. Additionally, the Oilers secured forwards Trent Frederic, Max Jones, and Petr Hauser in a three-team trade involving the Boston Bruins and New Jersey Devils. Frederic, who played 337 games with the Bruins, has yet to make his debut with Edmonton. The Oilers’ offensive strategy emphasizes speed and precision, with Draisaitl and McDavid orchestrating plays that often leave opposing defenses scrambling. Their power play unit has been particularly lethal, leading the league in conversion rates, a testament to their ability to capitalize on opponents’ penalties. Defensively, the addition of Walman adds depth to their blue line, providing stability and experience. As they prepare to face the Islanders, the Oilers will look to maintain their offensive momentum while ensuring defensive solidity to counter the Islanders’ structured play. 
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The New York Islanders, currently holding a 26-25-7 record, are navigating a season marked by both challenges and resilience. Under the leadership of head coach Patrick Roy, who took over mid-season in 2023-24 and was appointed full-time head coach thereafter, the team has experienced fluctuations in performance. Defensively, the Islanders have been relatively stable, allowing 172 goals over 58 games, averaging approximately 2.97 goals against per game. This defensive effort is anchored by goaltender Ilya Sorokin, who leads the team with 21 wins. Sorokin’s consistent performance has been a cornerstone for the Islanders, providing them with a reliable last line of defense. Offensively, the team has faced challenges, scoring 158 goals this season, averaging about 2.72 goals per game. Captain Anders Lee leads the team in goals with 23 and shares the points lead with Bo Horvat, both amassing 41 points. Despite these individual efforts, the team’s overall offensive production has been underwhelming, often struggling to convert opportunities into goals. Special teams have been a significant area of concern for the Islanders. Their power play has been notably ineffective, with a success rate of 12.09%, placing them at the bottom of the league rankings. Similarly, their penalty kill has been subpar, operating at 64.29% efficiency, which is historically low. These deficiencies in special teams have been detrimental, often tipping the balance in closely contested games. The Islanders have also been plagued by inconsistency, as highlighted by their recent performance.
Despite strong underlying statistics in expected goals percentage and shot share, the team has struggled to translate these metrics into victories. Frequent line changes and a lack of urgency have been cited as contributing factors to their inconsistent play. Injuries have further compounded the Islanders’ challenges, with key players missing significant time, leading to adjustments in the lineup and impacting team chemistry. Despite these setbacks, the team has shown resilience, managing to stay within reach of a playoff spot. Looking ahead to their matchup against the Edmonton Oilers, the Islanders face a formidable opponent known for their offensive prowess. To secure a favorable outcome, the Islanders will need to tighten their defensive play, improve their special teams’ performance, and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The leadership of veterans like Lee and Horvat will be crucial in guiding the team through this challenging period. Additionally, the performance of Sorokin in goal will be pivotal in countering the Oilers’ high-powered offense. The Islanders’ ability to adapt and overcome adversity will be tested as they strive to keep their playoff aspirations alive. The support of the home crowd at UBS Arena could provide the necessary boost for the team to elevate their performance. In conclusion, the New York Islanders are at a critical juncture in their season. Addressing the issues in special teams, finding consistency in their play, and maintaining resilience in the face of adversity will be key factors in determining their success moving forward. The upcoming game against the Oilers presents an opportunity for the Islanders to showcase their character and commitment to turning their season around. A collective effort, strong leadership, and strategic adjustments will be essential as they navigate the challenges ahead in their pursuit of a playoff berth.
Check out the photos from todays #Isles practice on the Island ⬇️ https://t.co/A0OdhUqzve
— New York Islanders (@NYIslanders) March 13, 2025
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Oilers and Islanders play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at UBS Arena in Mar can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: B. Kulak over 0.5 Goals Scored
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Oilers and Islanders and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the growing factor emotional bettors regularly put on Edmonton’s strength factors between a Oilers team going up against a possibly unhealthy Islanders team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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