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The upcoming contest between the Ottawa Senators and the Philadelphia Flyers on March 11, 2025, at the Wells Fargo Center presents an intriguing matchup between two teams navigating contrasting seasons. The Senators, boasting a record of 31-25-5, have positioned themselves as playoff contenders in the Eastern Conference. Their offense, averaging 2.9 goals per game, is led by captain Brady Tkachuk, who has recorded 26 goals and 23 assists, totaling 49 points. Center Tim Stützle has been a pivotal playmaker, leading the team with 45 assists and accumulating 65 points. Defensively, the Senators have been relatively stable, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. Goaltender Leevi Meriläinen has been impressive, posting a .925 save percentage, providing a reliable last line of defense. In contrast, the Flyers have encountered a challenging season, reflected in their 27-27-8 record. Their offense has struggled, averaging 2.8 goals per game, with right winger Travis Konecny leading the charge, amassing 22 goals and 42 assists for a total of 64 points.
Defensively, the Flyers have faced difficulties, conceding an average of 3.3 goals per game. Goaltender Samuel Ersson has had a tough season, with a save percentage of .889, indicating challenges in net. Recent form favors the Senators, who have secured victories in four of their last five games, including a 2-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings on March 10. The Flyers, conversely, have struggled, losing four of their last five games, with a 3-1 defeat to the New Jersey Devils on March 9. The Senators’ momentum and the Flyers’ recent struggles suggest an advantage for Ottawa in this matchup. However, the Flyers’ home record and the historical ATS statistic favoring home teams in this series indicate that Philadelphia could leverage home-ice advantage to counteract their recent form. This game presents an opportunity for the Senators to solidify their playoff aspirations and for the Flyers to regain confidence and disrupt Ottawa’s momentum.
Brady Tkachuk on the mic is leadership personified 🎙️
— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) March 9, 2025
📺 Watch 'Leading by Example' the newest episode of Breakaway presented by @Bell: https://t.co/qXQmrzMWdT pic.twitter.com/0TwWylf90M
The Ottawa Senators have experienced a season of resurgence, reflected in their 31-25-5 record, positioning them as legitimate contenders in the Eastern Conference. Offensively, the team has been effective, averaging 2.9 goals per game. Captain Brady Tkachuk has been instrumental, leading the team with 26 goals and contributing 23 assists, totaling 49 points. His physical play and leadership have set the tone for the team’s aggressive style. Center Tim Stützle has emerged as a key playmaker, leading the team with 45 assists and accumulating 65 points, showcasing his vision and creativity on the ice. Defensively, the Senators have been relatively stable, allowing an average of 2.8 goals per game. Goaltender Leevi Meriläinen has been a revelation for the Senators this season, stepping into the starting role and providing a significant boost in net. His impressive .925 save percentage has been a key factor in Ottawa’s ability to remain competitive, as he has consistently delivered clutch performances. The Senators’ blue line, anchored by Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson, has been solid, providing a strong two-way presence that allows the team to transition quickly from defense to offense. Chabot, in particular, has been a workhorse, averaging over 25 minutes of ice time per game and contributing offensively with 40 points on the season. Sanderson, meanwhile, continues to develop into one of the league’s premier young defensemen, using his skating and positioning to shut down opposing forwards. One of the key factors behind Ottawa’s success has been their ability to generate high-quality scoring chances. They rank among the league leaders in expected goals per game, a testament to their aggressive forechecking and ability to sustain offensive pressure. Their power play has been another strength, converting at a respectable 22% clip.
This unit has been especially dangerous with Stützle and Drake Batherson working in tandem to create scoring opportunities. The penalty kill, however, has been an area of concern, ranking in the bottom half of the NHL. The Senators have struggled to contain opposing power plays, often getting caught out of position or allowing too many second-chance opportunities. Ottawa’s recent form suggests they are peaking at the right time. They have won four of their last five games, including a crucial 2-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings on March 10. Their ability to win tight, low-scoring games has been encouraging, as it indicates they can adapt their style to different opponents. Against Philadelphia, the Senators will look to capitalize on the Flyers’ defensive struggles by pushing the tempo and forcing turnovers in the neutral zone. Their speed advantage should allow them to exploit gaps in Philadelphia’s defense, especially if the Flyers continue to struggle with their defensive assignments. Despite entering this game as favorites, the Senators cannot afford to take the Flyers lightly. Philadelphia has played better at home and has a history of making games difficult for opponents at Wells Fargo Center. Ottawa’s defensive structure will need to remain disciplined, as the Flyers still possess offensive weapons like Travis Konecny who can turn a game in an instant. The Senators will also need to be wary of getting into penalty trouble, as their penalty kill remains one of their few weak spots. Overall, this game represents another opportunity for Ottawa to solidify their playoff standing and continue their strong run of form. A win here would further cement their reputation as a team on the rise and put additional pressure on their conference rivals. If they can execute their game plan effectively, maintain their defensive discipline, and continue to get strong goaltending from Meriläinen, the Senators should be in a good position to come away with the two points.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Philadelphia Flyers have endured a tumultuous 2024-2025 NHL season, culminating in a 27-27-8 record that reflects their ongoing struggles. Offensively, the team has been underwhelming, averaging 2.8 goals per game. Right winger Travis Konecny has been a rare bright spot, leading the team with 22 goals and 42 assists, totaling 64 points. His consistent performance has been crucial in an otherwise lackluster offensive lineup. Defensively, the Flyers have been porous, allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game. Goaltender Samuel Ersson has faced significant challenges, with a save percentage of .889, indicating struggles in net. The team’s defensive woes have been exacerbated by injuries and inconsistent play from the defensive corps.
Special teams have also been a concern, with the power play operating at a subpar efficiency and the penalty kill failing to contain opposing offenses effectively. Recent performances have highlighted these issues, with the Flyers losing four of their last five games, including a 3-1 defeat to the New Jersey Devils on March 9. The team has struggled to generate offense, scoring only three goals in their last three games. Despite these challenges, the Flyers have shown resilience in certain matchups, indicating potential for improvement. As they prepare to host the Ottawa Senators, the Flyers aim to leverage their home-ice advantage to reverse their fortunes. The coaching staff has emphasized the need for defensive solidity and increased offensive production. Integrating younger talent and adjusting strategies may be pivotal in revitalizing the team’s performance. The upcoming game against the Senators presents an opportunity for the Flyers to disrupt Ottawa’s momentum and regain confidence. A focused and disciplined approach will be essential for the Flyers to secure a victory and potentially reignite their season.
Back at it tomorrow afternoon at @WellsFargoCtr. #SEAvsPHI https://t.co/dcZflFvKai
— Philadelphia Flyers (@NHLFlyers) March 8, 2025
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Senators and Flyers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Wells Fargo Center in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. Ristolainen over 0.5 Goals Scored
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Senators and Flyers and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending weight human bettors tend to put on Ottawa’s strength factors between a Senators team going up against a possibly rested Flyers team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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