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The upcoming clash between the New York Rangers and the Ottawa Senators on March 8, 2025, at the Canadian Tire Centre is set to be a pivotal encounter, with both teams sharing identical records of 31-26-5. This parity underscores the significance of the matchup, as each team vies for a favorable position in the playoff race. The Rangers have recently undergone significant roster changes, particularly on defense. General Manager Chris Drury orchestrated several trades, including sending former captain Jacob Trouba to Anaheim in exchange for Urho Vaakanainen and acquiring Will Borgen from Seattle in a deal involving Kaapo Kakko. These moves reflect a strategic shift aimed at bolstering the team’s defensive capabilities. The recent extension of Vaakanainen to a two-year contract further solidifies this new defensive core. Offensively, the Rangers rely heavily on Artemi Panarin, who leads the team with 61 points, and Chris Kreider, whose anticipated return from injury could provide a much-needed boost. Goaltender Igor Shesterkin’s performance will be crucial, especially considering the team’s recent defensive restructuring. The Senators, on the other hand, have demonstrated resilience and consistency. Led by captain Brady Tkachuk, who is on the cusp of surpassing Dany Heatley on the franchise’s all-time goal list, Ottawa’s offense is both dynamic and robust. Tim Stützle’s playmaking abilities complement Tkachuk’s scoring prowess, creating a formidable offensive duo.
Defensively, Thomas Chabot’s return from injury adds stability to the blue line, and goaltender Leevi Meriläinen’s impressive statistics, including a 2.20 goals-against average and a .917 save percentage, provide a strong last line of defense. Historically, the Rangers have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning seven of the last ten meetings. However, the Senators’ recent form and home-ice advantage cannot be overlooked. Betting trends indicate a propensity for lower-scoring games between these teams, with the total going UNDER in 11 of their last 16 encounters. This suggests that defensive strategies may play a pivotal role in the upcoming game. In terms of special teams, the Senators boast a power play success rate of 23.4%, ranking them 13th in the league, while the Rangers’ penalty kill operates at 81.93%, placing them in the top tier defensively. Faceoff efficiency is another area where both teams excel, with the Rangers at 53.4% and the Senators at 52.8%, indicating that puck possession will be fiercely contested. As the game approaches, both teams will need to address specific challenges. The Rangers must integrate their new defensive acquisitions effectively and ensure that their offensive leaders step up, especially in Kreider’s potential return. The Senators will aim to maintain their recent momentum, leveraging their home-ice advantage and the offensive contributions of their top players. In conclusion, this matchup promises to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams having clear strengths and areas that require attention. The outcome will likely hinge on defensive solidity, goaltending performances, and the effectiveness of special teams. Fans can anticipate a game that embodies the competitive spirit of the NHL, with significant implications for the playoff aspirations of both franchises.
#NYR President and General Manager Chris Drury on the 2025 Trade Deadline: pic.twitter.com/kHkyxIFRl7
— New York Rangers (@NYRangers) March 7, 2025
The New York Rangers enter their March 8, 2025, matchup against the Ottawa Senators with a 31-26-5 record, putting them right in the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race. Their season has been marked by defensive adjustments, roster changes, and a push for greater consistency as they look to solidify their postseason standing. Despite some early struggles, the Rangers have begun to find their rhythm, largely due to the strong play of their key contributors and recent lineup shifts aimed at strengthening their defense. Offensively, the Rangers continue to rely on Artemi Panarin as their primary playmaker and point producer. Panarin leads the team with 61 points, demonstrating his ability to dictate play in the offensive zone and create scoring chances for teammates. Chris Kreider, known for his net-front presence and power-play effectiveness, is expected to return to the lineup, providing an additional scoring threat that New York has sorely missed during his absence. Mika Zibanejad remains a pivotal two-way force, excelling in both faceoffs and special teams while contributing to the Rangers’ offensive push. Additionally, Vincent Trocheck has stepped up in a key secondary scoring role, helping to balance out the team’s attack. The Rangers’ power play, currently operating at a 22.9% success rate, has been a vital part of their game plan. With skilled puck movers like Adam Fox quarterbacking the man advantage, New York has the ability to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes. However, their five-on-five scoring has been inconsistent at times, leading to a reliance on special teams to generate offense. Against an Ottawa squad that plays a physical style and is strong on the forecheck, the Rangers will need to ensure they can create even-strength opportunities to avoid being overly dependent on the power play.
Defensively, the Rangers have undergone significant restructuring following a series of moves at the trade deadline. General Manager Chris Drury made a notable trade, moving Jacob Trouba to Anaheim in exchange for Urho Vaakanainen while also acquiring Will Borgen from Seattle. These moves indicate a shift toward a more mobile and defensively responsible blue line. The integration of these new additions will be critical, as the Rangers’ defensive corps looks to provide stability in front of goaltender Igor Shesterkin. Speaking of Shesterkin, he remains the backbone of the Rangers’ success. With a .916 save percentage and a 2.45 GAA, he continues to be one of the most reliable goaltenders in the league. His ability to make high-danger saves has bailed out the Rangers on multiple occasions, particularly when the team struggles defensively. Backup Jonathan Quick has also provided valuable support, stepping in when needed and ensuring that the team remains competitive even when Shesterkin is given rest. The Rangers’ biggest challenge in this game will be managing Ottawa’s aggressive playstyle and home-ice advantage. The Senators have historically been strong at the Canadian Tire Centre, meaning New York will need to maintain composure and avoid costly penalties. The Rangers must also improve their transition game, as Ottawa’s quick-strike offense thrives on turnovers. If New York can leverage their defensive improvements and get strong performances from their top scorers, they stand a solid chance of coming away with a crucial road victory.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The goaltending duties have been adeptly handled by Leevi Meriläinen, who has emerged as a reliable option between the pipes. Sporting a 2.20 goals-against average (GAA) and a .917 save percentage, Meriläinen has provided the stability Ottawa needs in net, especially in high-pressure situations. His ability to make key saves late in games has been a crucial factor in the Senators’ recent success. Backup goaltender Anton Forsberg has also stepped up when needed, giving the team confidence in its depth at the position. Beyond individual performances, the Senators’ overall defensive structure has improved significantly over the past month. Head coach Jacques Martin has emphasized discipline and positioning, leading to a noticeable reduction in odd-man rushes and defensive zone turnovers. This defensive improvement has been a key reason for Ottawa’s recent surge in the standings, as they have limited opponents to fewer than three goals in six of their last eight games. One of the Senators’ biggest strengths has been their ability to perform under pressure, particularly on home ice. The team boasts a 17-10-3 record at the Canadian Tire Centre this season, demonstrating their effectiveness in front of their home crowd. Their aggressive forechecking and physical playstyle have made it difficult for visiting teams to establish their rhythm. Additionally, Ottawa has shown an impressive ability to dictate the pace of play early in games, often outshooting opponents in the first period and setting the tone for the rest of the contest.
The Senators’ faceoff efficiency has also been a major asset, ranking 7th in the NHL at 52.8%. This strength allows them to control possession and dictate the pace of play, particularly in critical situations such as power plays and penalty kills. Special teams have played a crucial role in Ottawa’s success this season, with the penalty kill operating at 80.7%, a respectable mark that has helped them neutralize some of the league’s top offensive units. While the Senators have shown significant improvements, there are still areas that need refinement. One concern has been their tendency to take undisciplined penalties, ranking in the top 10 in penalty minutes per game. Against a disciplined team like the Rangers, staying out of the box will be essential. Additionally, the Senators will need continued offensive production from their depth players. While the top line of Tkachuk, Stützle, and Drake Batherson has been effective, secondary scoring from players like Ridly Greig and Shane Pinto will be crucial in sustaining offensive momentum. Heading into this matchup against the Rangers, the Senators will aim to capitalize on their home-ice advantage, relying on their structured defensive play, effective special teams, and strong goaltending to secure two critical points. With the Eastern Conference playoff race tightening, every game holds immense significance, and the Senators understand the stakes. If they can maintain their defensive discipline while continuing to generate high-quality scoring chances, they will have a strong chance of emerging victorious. Fans can expect an intense and physical battle, with both teams leaving everything on the ice in pursuit of a crucial win.
Welcome to the #Sens Fabian and Tristen 👊
— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) March 8, 2025
Can't wait to see you soon 🙌 pic.twitter.com/eP67fJVxMl
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Rangers and Senators play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Canadian Tire Centre in Mar almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: C. Ruhwedel over 0.5 Goals Scored
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Rangers and Senators and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on Ottawa’s strength factors between a Rangers team going up against a possibly tired Senators team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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