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The Week 17 AFC East clash between the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills presents a matchup of teams on opposite trajectories. The Bills, at 12-3, have clinched the division title and are vying for the top seed in the AFC. Quarterback Josh Allen continues to lead a potent offense, averaging 31.8 points per game. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs remains his primary target, contributing significantly to the passing attack. The Bills’ defense has been opportunistic, allowing 22.1 points per game and excelling in creating turnovers. The Jets, with a 4-11 record, are enduring a challenging season. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers has amassed over 3,500 passing yards, but the offense has struggled with consistency, averaging 20.2 points per game. The recent loss of rookie left tackle Olu Fashanu to injury further complicates their offensive line dynamics. Defensively, the Jets have allowed 23.2 points per game, struggling to contain high-powered offenses.
Betting lines favor the Bills by 10.5 points, with an over/under set at 47.5 points. The Bills’ recent ATS success and perfect home record suggest they may cover the spread, especially given the Jets’ struggles both on the field and against the spread. For the Bills, maintaining offensive balance and leveraging their defensive strengths will be key. Establishing the run game to complement Allen’s passing attack can keep the Jets’ defense off balance. Defensively, containing Rodgers and limiting big plays will be crucial to securing a victory. The Jets must focus on protecting Rodgers and sustaining drives to keep the Bills’ offense off the field. Utilizing short, quick passes to mitigate the pass rush and involving running back Breece Hall can help in controlling the tempo. Defensively, the Jets need to find ways to disrupt Allen’s rhythm and force the Bills into third-and-long situations, where their pass defense can attempt to make plays. In summary, this matchup features a Bills team looking to secure favorable playoff positioning against a Jets squad aiming to end a disappointing season on a high note. Execution in all phases will be pivotal, with the Bills looking to capitalize on the Jets’ vulnerabilities to secure a victory at Highmark Stadium.
running back work 🏃♂️💨 pic.twitter.com/zC2tghXC4y
— New York Jets (@nyjets) December 26, 2024
The New York Jets come into this Week 17 matchup with a 4-11 record, closing out a season filled with struggles and unfulfilled expectations. Despite the challenges, head coach Robert Saleh remains focused on building a competitive culture and evaluating young talent for the future. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers, while still effective, has been unable to elevate the team to playoff contention, throwing for over 3,500 yards with 24 touchdowns but dealing with increased pressure due to injuries on the offensive line. The Jets’ offensive struggles stem largely from a lack of consistency in protection and execution. The injury to rookie left tackle Olu Fashanu has left the line vulnerable, forcing Rodgers to work under constant duress. Running back Breece Hall has been a standout performer, showcasing his explosiveness and accumulating over 1,200 yards from scrimmage. Hall’s ability to create big plays remains a critical component of the Jets’ offense, but he has often lacked the support needed to sustain drives. In the passing game, Garrett Wilson has been Rodgers’ most reliable target, surpassing 1,000 receiving yards and solidifying his role as the team’s No. 1 wideout. Tight end Tyler Conklin and wide receiver Allen Lazard have contributed sporadically, but the lack of a consistent secondary option has limited the offense’s ability to stretch the field. The Jets will need to find creative ways to involve their playmakers against a tough Bills defense. Defensively, the Jets have shown flashes of potential but have been inconsistent overall, allowing 23.2 points per game. Defensive tackle Quinnen Williams remains a force in the trenches, leading the charge in stopping the run and pressuring opposing quarterbacks. Cornerback Sauce Gardner has continued to develop into one of the league’s premier shutdown corners, but the rest of the secondary has struggled to keep pace. The defense will need to play its best game of the season to slow down Buffalo’s high-powered offense. Special teams have been a bright spot for the Jets, with kicker Greg Zuerlein converting 87% of his field goal attempts, including several from beyond 50 yards. The return game, led by Braxton Berrios, has also provided occasional sparks, giving the offense favorable field position. However, these contributions have not been enough to compensate for the team’s overall struggles. To compete with the Bills, the Jets will need to execute a near-perfect game plan. Offensively, protecting Rodgers and establishing Breece Hall early will be critical to controlling the clock and limiting Buffalo’s possessions. Defensively, generating turnovers and containing Josh Allen’s mobility will be key to keeping the game within reach. Although the Jets are significant underdogs, a spirited performance against a division rival could provide a sense of pride and momentum heading into the offseason. This matchup serves as an opportunity for the Jets to evaluate their roster and identify building blocks for the future while attempting to pull off an upset against one of the league’s top teams.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Buffalo Bills enter Week 17 with a 12-3 record, having clinched the AFC East title and positioning themselves for a deep playoff run. Under head coach Sean McDermott, the Bills have exhibited a high-powered offense and a resilient defense throughout the season. Quarterback Josh Allen continues to be the linchpin of the offense, throwing for over 4,200 yards and accounting for 35 total touchdowns. His dual-threat capability poses significant challenges for opposing defenses. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs remains Allen’s favorite target, leading the team with 1,200 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns. The emergence of rookie wideout Khalil Shakir has added depth to the receiving corps, providing Allen with another reliable option. Tight end Dawson Knox contributes as a dependable red-zone target, enhancing the Bills’ scoring efficiency. The running game, spearheaded by Devin Singletary and complemented by rookie James Cook, offers a balanced attack that keeps defenses honest. Singletary has accumulated over 900 rushing yards, showcasing his ability to handle a significant workload. The offensive line has been effective in both pass protection and run blocking, allowing the offense to operate at a high level. Defensively, the Bills have been formidable, allowing 22.1 points per game. The pass rush, led by Von Miller and Greg Rousseau, has been effective in disrupting opposing quarterbacks, contributing to a high turnover rate. Linebacker Tremaine Edmunds leads the team in tackles, providing stability in the middle of the defense. The secondary, anchored by All-Pro cornerback Tre’Davious White, has been adept at limiting big plays and securing interceptions. Special teams have been a consistent asset for the Bills. Kicker Tyler Bass has been reliable, converting 90% of his field goal attempts, including several from beyond 50 yards. Punter Matt Haack has excelled in pinning opponents deep, aiding the defense with favorable field position. The return game, led by Isaiah McKenzie, has provided occasional sparks, contributing to the team’s overall momentum. Facing the New York Jets in Week 17, the Bills have an opportunity to maintain their perfect home record and strengthen their position for playoff seeding. Offensively, establishing a balanced attack will be key. Utilizing play-action passes to exploit the Jets’ secondary and maintaining a strong running game will help keep the Jets’ defense on its heels. Josh Allen’s ability to extend plays with his legs and find receivers downfield adds a dynamic element to the offense that the Jets will struggle to contain. Look for Stefon Diggs to be a focal point of the passing game, with complementary contributions from Dawson Knox and Khalil Shakir. Defensively, the Bills will aim to disrupt Aaron Rodgers’ rhythm by applying consistent pressure with their pass rush. Von Miller and Greg Rousseau are critical to this strategy, as forcing Rodgers into hurried throws could lead to turnovers. The Bills’ secondary, led by Tre’Davious White, will focus on containing the Jets’ top receiving threats, particularly Garrett Wilson. Additionally, the defense must be prepared to limit the impact of running back Breece Hall, whose ability to break long runs has been a bright spot for the Jets. Special teams could play a key role in securing field position and controlling the flow of the game. Tyler Bass’ accuracy in long-range field goals ensures the Bills can capitalize on scoring opportunities, while Matt Haack’s punting can pin the Jets deep in their own territory. Isaiah McKenzie’s potential to provide a game-changing return adds another layer of advantage for the Bills. In summary, the Bills enter this matchup as heavy favorites and are well-positioned to maintain their dominance at home. With a disciplined, balanced performance in all phases, Buffalo can secure a strong finish to the regular season while preparing for what promises to be a competitive postseason.
They grow up so fast. 🥹@Taronj11 is excited for his 100th NFL game this Sunday: https://t.co/jx3PvzeCBK@GoBonnies | #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/cpwgCf2ebT
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) December 26, 2024
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Jets and Bills play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Highmark Stadium in Dec seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Jets and Bills and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors often put on coaching factors between a Jets team going up against a possibly rested Bills team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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