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The Week 17 matchup between the Miami Dolphins and the Cleveland Browns features two teams with contrasting motivations. The Dolphins, at 7-8, are fighting to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, needing to win their remaining games and receive help from other teams. The Browns, at 3-12, are out of playoff contention and are looking to evaluate talent and build momentum for the future. The Dolphins’ offense, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, has been inconsistent this season. Tagovailoa has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in connecting with wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who continues to be a deep-threat and has been instrumental in stretching defenses.
However, the offensive line has struggled, leading to Tagovailoa facing significant pressure and the running game failing to establish consistency. Running back Raheem Mostert has been a bright spot, providing explosiveness when given space. Defensively, the Dolphins have been vulnerable, allowing an average of 22.3 points per game. The secondary, despite the presence of standout cornerback Xavien Howard, has been susceptible to big plays, and the pass rush has been inconsistent in generating pressure. Special teams have been reliable, with kicker Jason Sanders maintaining consistency in field goal attempts. The Browns have faced a tumultuous season, with instability at the quarterback position being a significant issue. Rookie quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has shown potential but has been hampered by injuries and inconsistent play. The running game, traditionally a strength with Nick Chubb, has been underutilized, and the offensive line has struggled to protect the quarterback, leading to stalled drives and turnovers. Defensively, the Browns have allowed an average of 25.4 points per game, with the secondary being a particular weakness. Safety Grant Delpit has been a standout performer, but overall, the unit has failed to contain opposing offenses effectively. Special teams have seen changes, with kicker Dustin Hopkins being replaced by Andre Szmyt due to performance issues. In their previous meeting in November 2022, the Dolphins secured a convincing 39-17 victory over the Browns, showcasing their offensive capabilities. For this matchup, the Dolphins will look to exploit the Browns’ defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in the secondary, by utilizing Hill’s speed and Tagovailoa’s accuracy. Establishing the run with Mostert could also open up play-action opportunities. Defensively, applying pressure on Thompson-Robinson and forcing turnovers will be crucial to disrupt the Browns’ offensive rhythm. The Browns, on the other hand, will aim to control the clock with a heavy dose of the running game, utilizing Chubb’s power and vision. Protecting Thompson-Robinson and allowing him to make quick, decisive throws will be essential to avoid turnovers. Defensively, containing Hill and forcing the Dolphins into third-and-long situations could tilt the game in their favor. This matchup provides the Dolphins with an opportunity to keep their playoff aspirations alive, while the Browns can play spoiler and gain valuable experience for their younger players. With both teams having clear objectives, fans can anticipate a competitive game at Huntington Bank Field.
White on white combo ⚪️ pic.twitter.com/R9kfNeeT3y
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) December 27, 2024
The Miami Dolphins enter Week 17 with a 7-8 record, clinging to faint playoff hopes and needing a win to stay in contention. Under head coach Mike McDaniel, the Dolphins have been one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league when firing on all cylinders. However, inconsistency has plagued them throughout the season, particularly in close games and on the road. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been at the helm of the Dolphins’ high-powered offense, throwing for over 3,800 yards and 26 touchdowns. Tagovailoa’s quick release and pinpoint accuracy make him one of the most effective passers in the league when given time to throw. His connection with Tyreek Hill has been electric, with Hill surpassing 1,400 receiving yards and solidifying his status as one of the league’s premier deep threats. Jaylen Waddle provides another dynamic option in the passing game, creating mismatches with his speed and route-running ability. The Dolphins’ ground game has been inconsistent but still features playmakers like Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr. Mostert’s ability to break long runs adds an extra dimension to the offense, though the offensive line’s struggles in run blocking have limited his overall impact. Establishing the run will be a priority against a Browns defense vulnerable to big plays in the trenches. Defensively, the Dolphins have been up and down, allowing an average of 22.3 points per game. The secondary, led by Xavien Howard, has the talent to contain opposing receivers but has been inconsistent, allowing multiple big plays in key moments this season. The pass rush, featuring Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips, has the potential to disrupt Dorian Thompson-Robinson, but it will need to be more consistent to capitalize on the Browns’ offensive line weaknesses. Special teams have been a reliable unit for Miami, with kicker Jason Sanders delivering clutch field goals and punter Jake Bailey excelling in pinning opponents deep. The return game has also provided a spark at times, with opportunities for favorable field position giving the Dolphins a potential edge in close games. Heading into their matchup against the Browns, the Dolphins’ focus will be on executing their offense with precision and avoiding costly turnovers. Tua Tagovailoa will need to spread the ball effectively to his playmakers and take advantage of the Browns’ struggling secondary. On defense, generating pressure on Thompson-Robinson and forcing him into mistakes will be crucial to limiting Cleveland’s ability to sustain drives. With their playoff hopes hanging by a thread, the Dolphins must treat this game as a must-win. A victory would not only keep them in contention but also provide momentum heading into the final week of the regular season. Miami’s ability to remain disciplined and capitalize on Cleveland’s weaknesses will determine whether they can leave Huntington Bank Field with a much-needed win.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Cleveland Browns enter Week 17 with a 3-12 record, having been eliminated from playoff contention. Under head coach Kevin Stefanski, the team has faced numerous challenges, particularly at the quarterback position, leading to a lack of offensive consistency. Rookie quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has shown flashes of potential but has been hindered by injuries and a lack of protection from the offensive line. The running game, led by Nick Chubb, has been underutilized, despite Chubb’s proven track record as one of the league’s premier backs. The offensive line’s struggles in pass protection have further compounded the team’s offensive woes. Defensively, the Browns have allowed an average of 25.4 points per game, with the secondary being a notable weakness. Safety Grant Delpit has been a standout performer, but overall, the unit has failed to contain opposing offenses effectively. The pass rush, led by Myles Garrett, has been inconsistent, and the linebacking corps has struggled with injuries and performance issues. Special teams have seen changes, with kicker Dustin Hopkins being replaced by Andre Szmyt due to performance issues. Defensively, the Browns will need to lean heavily on Myles Garrett’s ability to disrupt the Dolphins’ passing game. Generating pressure on Tua Tagovailoa and collapsing the pocket will be critical to containing Miami’s offense, particularly given the Dolphins’ reliance on quick passing plays to Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. The secondary, which has struggled all season, must tighten coverage and limit big plays to avoid being overwhelmed by the Dolphins’ deep-threat capabilities. On offense, Nick Chubb remains the Browns’ most reliable weapon, and utilizing him effectively will be key to their game plan. Controlling the clock through sustained drives and keeping Miami’s high-powered offense off the field could be the Browns’ best chance at success. Rookie quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson will need to make smart decisions and avoid turnovers, as mistakes could swing momentum decisively in Miami’s favor. Quick passes and play-action opportunities could help alleviate pressure from the Dolphins’ defensive line. Special teams will also play a pivotal role. New kicker Andre Szmyt will need to deliver in what could be a low-scoring, tightly contested game. Improving coverage on returns and providing better starting field position for the offense will be critical, as the Browns cannot afford to give Miami any additional advantages. The Browns’ focus in this matchup will be on playing spoiler and gaining valuable experience for their younger players. While the playoffs are out of reach, a win over a Dolphins team still fighting for postseason positioning would provide a morale boost and set a positive tone heading into the offseason. Cleveland’s ability to execute a disciplined, error-free game plan will determine whether they can pull off the upset in front of their home fans.
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— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) December 27, 2024
🎮: https://t.co/Bg21nIfu93 pic.twitter.com/t9UVRQh1Th
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Dolphins and Browns play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Huntington Bank Field in Dec rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Dolphins and Browns and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly strong Browns team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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