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The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins are set to clash in a pivotal AFC East matchup on November 24, 2024. Both teams have faced a tumultuous season, with the Patriots holding a 3-8 record and the Dolphins at 4-6. The Patriots are coming off a narrow 28-22 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, while the Dolphins recently secured a 34-19 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. Offensively, the Patriots have struggled with consistency. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has shown flashes of potential but has been hindered by a lack of support from the offensive line and receiving corps. The running game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been a bright spot, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Defensively, New England has been stout against the run but vulnerable against the pass, allowing an average of 250 passing yards per game.
The Dolphins, on the other hand, have experienced a resurgence with the return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. His connection with wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has revitalized Miami’s passing attack, which ranks in the top 10 in the league. The running game has been less effective, averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. Defensively, the Dolphins have been opportunistic, forcing turnovers at key moments but have struggled with consistency, particularly in the secondary. Key factors in this matchup include the Patriots’ ability to protect Maye against Miami’s pass rush and the Dolphins’ capacity to exploit New England’s secondary. Special teams could also play a pivotal role, as both teams have had issues with field goal accuracy this season.
Three Patriots legends move one step closer to @ProFootballHOF immortality.@MikeDussault19 on Vinatieri, Harrison and Wilfork's gold jacket eligibility: https://t.co/QghnNVPwp0 pic.twitter.com/OQeqtxkyz5
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) November 20, 2024
The New England Patriots have endured a challenging season, holding a 3-8 record and facing questions about the direction of the franchise. Rookie quarterback Drake Maye has been thrust into the starting role and has shown promise, displaying a strong arm and mobility. However, his inexperience has led to turnovers and missed opportunities. The offensive line has been a point of concern, allowing 30 sacks on the season, which has disrupted the offensive rhythm. The receiving corps has been inconsistent, with drops and miscommunications hindering the passing game. The running game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been a relative bright spot, providing balance and helping to control the clock. Defensively, the Patriots have been stout against the run, ranking in the top 10 in rushing yards allowed. The pass defense, however, has been vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. Linebacker Ja’Whaun Bentley has been a leader on defense, leading the team in tackles and providing stability. Special teams have been uncharacteristically shaky, with missed field goals and issues in punt coverage contributing to the team’s struggles. The coaching staff has faced criticism for play-calling and game management decisions. With the playoffs out of reach, the focus has shifted to developing young talent and building for the future. This game provides an opportunity for the Patriots to evaluate their roster and gain momentum heading into the offseason.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Miami Dolphins enter this matchup with a 4-6 record, aiming to build on their recent victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. The return of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been a significant boost for the offense. Tagovailoa’s chemistry with wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has been evident, with both receivers ranking among the league leaders in yards after catch. The offensive line has shown improvement, allowing fewer sacks in recent games, which has contributed to the passing game’s success. However, the running game remains a concern, with the team averaging under 100 rushing yards per game. Defensively, the Dolphins have been a mixed bag. The pass rush, led by defensive end Emmanuel Ogbah, has been effective, recording 25 sacks on the season. The secondary, however, has been inconsistent, allowing several big plays that have cost the team in close games. Linebacker Jerome Baker has been a standout, leading the team in tackles and providing leadership on the field. Special teams have been solid, with kicker Jason Sanders converting 85% of his field goal attempts. The coaching staff has emphasized the importance of reducing penalties and mental errors, which have plagued the team throughout the season. With the playoffs still within reach, the Dolphins view this game as a must-win to keep their postseason hopes alive.
8 minutes and 6 seconds of Mike McDaniel mic'd up. You're welcome 😌 pic.twitter.com/XD1RVOlv9b
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) November 20, 2024
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Patriots and Dolphins play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Hard Rock Stadium in Nov can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Patriots and Dolphins and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the trending factor human bettors tend to put on New England’s strength factors between a Patriots team going up against a possibly rested Dolphins team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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