Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NFL Lines & Props (Oct 27)

Updated: 2024-10-20T02:28:40.156150ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Atlanta Falcons (4-3) will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) on October 27, 2024, at Raymond James Stadium. This NFC South showdown is crucial as both teams vie for control of the division. Tampa Bay is slightly favored at home, but the game is expected to be tight.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Oct 27, 2024

Start Time: 1:00 PM EST​

Venue: Raymond James Stadium​

Buccaneers Record: (4-2)

Falcons Record: (4-3)

OPENING ODDS

ATL Moneyline: -125

TB Moneyline: +109

ATL Spread: -2.5

TB Spread: +2.5

Over/Under: 47.5

ATL
Betting Trends

  • The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.

TB
Betting Trends

  • The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.

ATL vs. TB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

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Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Prediction & Odds:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/27/24

The Week 8 contest between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers promises to be a pivotal NFC South battle. Both teams have playoff aspirations, with the Buccaneers sitting at 4-2 and the Falcons at 4-3. The Buccaneers are slight favorites in this matchup, largely due to their home-field advantage and more consistent performance this season. Atlanta has been riding the back of a balanced offensive attack, with rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder showing progress and running back Bijan Robinson providing dynamic playmaking ability. Robinson leads the Falcons’ rushing attack, which ranks in the top 10 in the league in yards per game. Ridder has formed a strong connection with receivers Drake London and tight end Kyle Pitts, giving the Falcons multiple weapons through the air.

Tampa Bay, on the other hand, has leaned on veteran quarterback Baker Mayfield to manage the offense efficiently. Mayfield has thrown for over 1,500 yards this season and has been particularly effective in play-action situations. Wide receiver Mike Evans continues to be his primary target, while the Buccaneers’ defense, led by linebacker Lavonte David, has been solid against both the run and the pass. The key matchup to watch will be Tampa Bay’s defense against Atlanta’s rushing attack. The Buccaneers rank in the top 10 in run defense, allowing just over 100 yards per game, while the Falcons rely heavily on their ground game to control the pace of the game. If Tampa Bay can limit Robinson’s production, they could force Ridder into more passing situations, where the Buccaneers’ secondary can capitalize. With the Buccaneers favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 48.5, expect a close, competitive game. Both teams will be looking to avoid costly mistakes and take control of the division in this key matchup.

Atlanta Falcons NFL Preview

The Atlanta Falcons come into this contest at 4-3, looking to stay competitive in the NFC South. Their season has been marked by ups and downs, largely driven by the development of rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder. While Ridder has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in his connection with Kyle Pitts and Drake London, he has also been prone to making rookie mistakes. His ability to handle the Buccaneers’ aggressive defense will be key to Atlanta’s chances in this game. On the ground, the Falcons have been one of the most productive rushing teams in the league, led by standout rookie Bijan Robinson. Robinson is averaging over 4.5 yards per carry and has been a dynamic playmaker, both running and receiving out of the backfield. The Falcons will look to establish the run early and often, hoping to control the clock and limit Tampa Bay’s offensive opportunities. Defensively, the Falcons have struggled to generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which could be problematic against a veteran like Mayfield. However, if they can disrupt Tampa Bay’s passing rhythm and force the Bucs into third-and-long situations, they’ll have a chance to keep the game within reach. For Atlanta, the key to success will be limiting turnovers and controlling the game on the ground. If they can win the time of possession battle and keep Mayfield off the field, they’ll have a good shot at pulling off the upset on the road.

The Atlanta Falcons (4-3) will face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2) on October 27, 2024, at Raymond James Stadium. This NFC South showdown is crucial as both teams vie for control of the division. Tampa Bay is slightly favored at home, but the game is expected to be tight. Atlanta vs Tampa Bay AI Prediction: Free NFL Betting Insights for Oct 27. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers enter this game looking to build on their 4-2 record and strengthen their grip on the NFC South. Led by Baker Mayfield, the Bucs have been efficient offensively, though not spectacular. Mayfield has managed the game well, limiting turnovers and relying on veteran playmakers like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Evans, in particular, has been a standout, leading the team in receiving yards and touchdowns. Tampa Bay’s defense, however, has been the backbone of their success this season. The front seven, anchored by Lavonte David and Vita Vea, has been particularly effective in stopping the run, which will be crucial against the Falcons’ potent ground attack. The Buccaneers have allowed just over 100 rushing yards per game, putting them among the league leaders in run defense. In this game, the Buccaneers will need to maintain their strong defensive play while continuing to capitalize on big plays through the air. If Mayfield can stay clean in the pocket and avoid turnovers, the Bucs should be able to control the game and come out with a win. Home-field advantage also plays a factor, as Tampa Bay is 3-1 at Raymond James Stadium this season, giving them added confidence in this matchup.

Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Falcons and Buccaneers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Raymond James Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.

Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Falcons and Buccaneers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Remi has been most keyed in on the trending weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on player performance factors between a Falcons team going up against a possibly deflated Buccaneers team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NFL AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Atlanta vs Tampa Bay picks, computer picks Falcons vs Buccaneers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, weather, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NFL Schedule.

Falcons Betting Trends

The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.

Buccaneers Betting Trends

The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Matchup Trends

In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.

Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

Atlanta vs Tampa Bay starts on October 27, 2024 at 1:00 PM EST.

Venue: Raymond James Stadium.

Spread: Tampa Bay +2.5
Moneyline: Atlanta -125, Tampa Bay +109
Over/Under: 47.5

Atlanta: (4-3)  |  Tampa Bay: (4-2)

Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.

In divisional matchups, the Buccaneers have covered the spread in five of their last seven games against NFC South opponents.

ATL trend: The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs, struggling to cover the spread when playing away from home.

TB trend: The Buccaneers have been more reliable ATS, covering in four of their last six games this season. They have been solid at home, going 3-1 ATS at Raymond James Stadium.

See our latest NFL picks and odds pages for 2024 to compare prices before you bet.

Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Opening Odds

ATL Moneyline: -125
TB Moneyline: +109
ATL Spread: -2.5
TB Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 47.5

Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Nov 16, 2025 9:30AM EST
Washington Commanders
Miami Dolphins
11/16/25 9:30AM
Commanders
Dolphins
+126
-148
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-112)
O 47.5 (-104)
U 47.5 (-118)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
11/16/25 1PM
Panthers
Falcons
+172
-205
+3.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-115)
O 41.5 (-110)
U 41.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Chicago Bears
Minnesota Vikings
11/16/25 1PM
Bears
Vikings
+128
-152
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
O 47.5 (-120)
U 47.5 (-102)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
11/16/25 1PM
Chargers
Jaguars
-160
+138
-3 (-105)
+3 (-115)
O 44 (-110)
U 44 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
11/16/25 1PM
Packers
Giants
-340
+275
-7.5 (-102)
+7.5 (-120)
O 42.5 (-110)
U 42.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Cincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers
11/16/25 1PM
Bengals
Steelers
+210
-250
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 49 (-110)
U 49 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Buffalo Bills
11/16/25 1PM
Buccaneers
Bills
+240
-290
+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-120)
O 46.5 (-110)
U 46.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 1:00PM EST
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
11/16/25 1PM
Texans
Titans
-255
+210
-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
O 37.5 (-104)
U 37.5 (-118)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
San Francisco 49ers
Arizona Cardinals
11/16/25 4:05PM
49ers
Cardinals
-200
+170
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 48 (-110)
U 48 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:05PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
11/16/25 4:05PM
Seahawks
Rams
+150
-175
+3.5 (-115)
-3.5 (-105)
O 48.5 (-110)
U 48.5 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
11/16/25 4:25PM
Chiefs
Broncos
-215
+180
-3.5 (-120)
+3.5 (-102)
O 44.5 (-115)
U 44.5 (-105)
Nov 16, 2025 4:25PM EST
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns
11/16/25 4:25PM
Ravens
Browns
-450
+355
-8 (-105)
+8 (-115)
O 38 (-110)
U 38 (-110)
Nov 16, 2025 8:20PM EST
Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
11/16/25 8:20PM
Lions
Eagles
+124
-146
+2.5 (-104)
-2.5 (-118)
O 46.5 (-114)
U 46.5 (-106)
Nov 17, 2025 8:15PM EST
Dallas Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders
11/17/25 8:15PM
Cowboys
Raiders
-190
+160
-3.5 (-105)
+3.5 (-115)
O 50.5 (-104)
U 50.5 (-118)
Nov 20, 2025 8:15PM EST
Buffalo Bills
Houston Texans
11/20/25 8:15PM
Bills
Texans
-194
+162
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 44.5 (-102)
U 44.5 (-120)
Nov 23, 2025 1:00PM EST
Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee Titans
11/23/25 1PM
Seahawks
Titans
-750
+530
-12.5 (-105)
+12.5 (-115)
O 43.5 (-110)
U 43.5 (-110)

NFL Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 27, 2024 at Raymond James Stadium.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NFL odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

    LEAN     %WIN     UNITS RESULT
PHI@GB PHI +1.5 54.8% 4 WIN
PHI@GB UNDER 45.5 52.4% 2 WIN
PHI@GB SAQUON BARKLEY OVER 17.5 RUSH ATT 56.6% 6 WIN
PHI@GB JOSH JACOBS UNDER 42.5 1ST HALF RUSH + REC YDS 54.4% 4 LOSS
NO@CAR CAR -5 55.4% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIN BAL -3.5 57.6% 7 WIN
CLE@NYJ CLE -130 65.4% 7 LOSS
NYG@CHI CHI -4.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
NE@TB TB -2 56.1% 6 LOSS
LAR@SF LAR -5.5 53.3% 2 WIN
JAC@HOU UNDER 38 54.8% 5 LOSS
ARI@SEA TREY MCBRIDE OVER 9 RECV TARGETS 55.8% 5 WIN
DET@WAS TERRION ARNOLD OVER 4.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 56.8% 6 LOSS
JAC@HOU TRAVIS ETIENNE UNDER 74.5 RUSH + REC YDS 54.4 4 LOSS
LV@DEN DANIEL CARLSON OVER 1.5 FIELD GOALS 55.2% 5 LOSS
LV@DEN COURTLAND SUTTON OVER 53.5 RECV YDS 54.2% 4 LOSS
LV@DEN RILEY MOSS OVER 4.5 TACKLE + ASST 54.8% 4 WIN
LV@DEN UNDER 43 53.4% 2 WIN
ARI@DAL BUDDA BAKER OVER 7.5 TACKLES + ASSTS 54.4% 4 WIN
ARI@DAL GEORGE PICKENS OVER 4.5 RECEPTIONS 56.6% 6 WIN
DEN@HOU WIL LUTZ OVER 1.5 MADE FIELD GOALS 54.2% 3 LOSS
SEA@WAS SEA -3 56.7% 6 WIN
IND@PIT IND -3 56.8% 6 LOSS
LAC@TEN LAC -9.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHI@CIN CHI -2.5 52.6% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS OVER 48 52.9% 2 WIN
SEA@WAS JAYDEN DANIELS OVER 20.5 PASS COMP 56.7% 6 LOSS
JAC@LV JAC -140 64.2% 7 WIN
NO@LAR LAR -14 55.0% 4 WIN
DEN@HOU HOU -1.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
CAR@GB GB -12.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
SF@NYG NYG +2.5 56.1% 5 LOSS
BAL@MIA TUA TAGOVAILOA UNDER 0.5 INT 55.3% 5 LOSS
TB@NO TB -3.5 52.3% 1 WIN
GB@PIT GB -2.5 52.3% 1 WIN
SF@HOU SF +2.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
NYG@PHI NYG +7.5 53.9% 3 LOSS
BUF@CAR CAR +7.5 54.2% 3 LOSS
DAL@DEN DAL +3.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
MIA@ATL MIA +7 54.3% 4 WIN
CLE@NE CLE +7 56.8% 6 LOSS
TB@NO BAKER MAYFIELD OVER 15.5 RUSH YDS 56.6% 6 LOSS
MIN@LAC JUSTIN HERBERT PASS ATT UNDER 35.5 55.5% 5 WIN
TB@DET TB +6.5 54.4% 4 LOSS
TB@DET RACHAAD WHITE UNDER 14.5 RUSH ATT 54.4% 4 WIN
NE@TEN NE -6.5 55.2% 5 WIN
CAR@NYJ CAR -110 57.4 4 WIN
PHI@MIN PHI -130 58.0% 6 WIN
GB@ARI ARI +7 54.8% 5 WIN
NO@CHI NO +4.5 57.4% 7 LOSS
WAS@DAL JAYDEN DANIELS 1H RUSH YDS OVER 22.5 56.1% 5 WIN