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Texans vs. Patriots
FREE NFL AI Predictions
October 13, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 13, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (0-2)
Texans Record: (1-1)
OPENING ODDS
HOU Moneyline: -313
NE Moneyline: +249
HOU Spread: -7
NE Spread: +7.0
Over/Under: 37.5
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Texans have struggled against the spread (ATS) on the road, covering just 2 out of their last 6 games. They are also winless (0-7) in their last 7 games at Gillette Stadium, showing a historical difficulty when visiting the Patriots.
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots have been one of the least reliable ATS teams recently, going 1-4-1 in their last 6 games. They have also failed to cover in 10 of their last 11 games at home following a loss, making them a risky bet despite the +7 spread.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- An interesting ATS trend is that New England has covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Houston. Meanwhile, the Texans have failed to cover as road favorites in their last seven Sunday matchups, making this a potentially favorable spot for the Patriots to cover as underdogs.
HOU vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Drake Maye Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards
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AFTER VIGORISH
+381.91
VS. SPREAD
1574-1385
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$38,191
Houston vs New England AI Prediction:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/13/24
The Houston Texans visit the New England Patriots in a Week 6 AFC matchup at Gillette Stadium. The Texans, riding high on a two-game winning streak, have surprised many with their strong start to the season under rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. Stroud has amassed 1,385 passing yards with 7 touchdowns against only 3 interceptions. His primary targets, Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs, have been instrumental in the team’s passing success, while Joe Mixon and Cam Akers lead a balanced ground attack. Houston’s defense has been effective, ranking among the top 10 in passing yards allowed per game and holding opponents to 22.8 points per contest. On the other hand, the Patriots have faced a challenging season with Jacoby Brissett under center after injuries to key starters. Brissett has been steady but unspectacular, throwing for just 696 yards with 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
The offense has struggled to find its rhythm, averaging a mere 12.4 points per game. Rhamondre Stevenson has been a bright spot, rushing for 356 yards and contributing in the short passing game. However, New England’s defensive efforts have been undermined by their inability to consistently pressure opposing quarterbacks, ranking low in sacks and takeaways. The key matchup will be Houston’s high-powered offense against a Patriots defense that has allowed over 20 points in four of their five games. If the Texans can continue to get production from their playmakers and protect C.J. Stroud, they should be able to control the game. Conversely, the Patriots will need to rely on ball control and mistake-free football to keep this contest close. With New England as a home underdog, they could cover the spread, but Houston is the clear favorite to win outright.
1-0 in the H-Town uniforms 😤 pic.twitter.com/AMQLS96i0O
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) October 8, 2024
Texans AI Preview
The Houston Texans have been one of the surprise teams this season, starting 4-1 and sitting atop the AFC South. Led by rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, the Texans have exceeded expectations. Stroud has thrown for 1,385 yards and 7 touchdowns, showing poise and accuracy in the pocket. Wide receiver Nico Collins has emerged as a go-to option, leading the team with 567 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Stefon Diggs has also been impactful, complementing Collins with 31 receptions for 315 yards. On the ground, the Texans have relied on a committee approach, with Joe Mixon and Cam Akers combining for over 300 rushing yards. Houston’s balanced offensive attack has kept defenses off balance and allowed them to put up over 20 points in four of their five games. Defensively, the Texans have been stout against the pass, allowing just 154 passing yards per game, but have been susceptible to strong rushing teams. The pass rush, led by Will Anderson Jr., has been effective, accumulating 15 sacks on the season. Heading into this game, Houston will look to establish the run early to set up play-action opportunities for Stroud. If they can protect the ball and avoid turnovers, the Texans should be able to outscore a struggling Patriots team. However, they must remain vigilant, as they have historically struggled when playing in Foxborough.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Patriots AI Preview
The New England Patriots enter this matchup with a disappointing 1-4 record and are looking to rebound from a four-game losing streak. The Patriots’ offense has struggled mightily, averaging just 12.4 points per game. Veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett has taken over due to injuries at the position and has managed only 696 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in five games. With top receiving options limited, tight end Hunter Henry (180 yards) has been one of the few bright spots. On the ground, Rhamondre Stevenson has been the focal point, rushing for 356 yards and 3 touchdowns, but he has often been contained by opposing defenses. The offensive line has also been a weak point, contributing to Brissett’s inability to generate big plays in the passing game. Defensively, the Patriots have been inconsistent. While they rank respectably against the run, allowing just 118 yards per game, their secondary has been exposed, giving up 239 passing yards per contest. To have a chance against the Texans, New England will need to control the clock and keep Houston’s high-octane offense off the field. Establishing the run game early and limiting turnovers will be crucial. If Brissett can connect on a few deep shots and the defense can force Houston into mistakes, the Patriots might be able to make it competitive.
A second look at second-year CB Christian Gonzalez against Miami.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 7, 2024
🎥: https://t.co/Lqi6hzbb3O pic.twitter.com/At7Z6kGShb
Texans vs. Patriots FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Texans and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Oct rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: Drake Maye Over 27.5 Total Rushing Yards
Houston vs. New England NFL AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Texans and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned factor human bettors often put on New England’s strength factors between a Texans team going up against a possibly improved Patriots team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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