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Dolphins vs. Patriots
FREE NFL AI Predictions
October 06, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 06, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Patriots Record: (1-3)
Dolphins Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: -105
NE Moneyline: -114
MIA Spread: +1.5
NE Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 35.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) this season. Miami’s offensive struggles have contributed to their inability to cover, especially without key playmakers like Tua Tagovailoa, who has been sidelined due to injuries.
NE
Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 2-2 ATS this season. While their offense has been inconsistent, their defense has kept games relatively close, allowing them to cover in two of their four matchups despite a losing record overall.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in four of their last five games against the Patriots when playing on the road. This historical trend could provide a confidence boost for a Miami team looking to find its footing.
MIA vs. NE
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD
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AFTER VIGORISH
+381.91
VS. SPREAD
1574-1385
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$38,191
Miami vs New England AI Prediction:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24
The Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots, two AFC East rivals, will clash in Week 5 at Gillette Stadium. Both teams enter with identical 1-3 records, but the similarities end there. The Dolphins are struggling offensively, averaging just 11.3 points per game. Injuries to starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and backup Skylar Thompson have left Miami in a precarious position. They have cycled through quarterbacks, with Tyler Huntley starting in their most recent loss to the Tennessee Titans. Miami’s typically dynamic passing game has been muted, and their running game has been ineffective, producing less than 100 rushing yards per game.
The Patriots, meanwhile, have had their own struggles, but their issues are more centered around execution rather than personnel availability. Mac Jones has been inconsistent, and the team’s offensive line has failed to provide adequate protection, resulting in a lackluster 112.3 passing yards per game. The bright spot for New England has been their rushing attack, which has been more effective, thanks to Rhamondre Stevenson, who leads the team with 267 rushing yards. Defensively, the Dolphins are giving up 25.8 points per game, and their secondary has shown vulnerabilities, especially against teams with deep threats. The Patriots, on the other hand, are allowing 21.8 points per game, but their pass defense has been a major concern, giving up 254 passing yards per game. With both teams struggling to find consistency, this game will likely come down to which side can avoid turnovers and establish a semblance of offensive rhythm early on.
QB Tyler Huntley is live at the podium after #TENvsMIA
— Miami Dolphins (@MiamiDolphins) October 1, 2024
Dolphins AI Preview
The Miami Dolphins have had a rocky start to the season. Injuries to both Tua Tagovailoa and Skylar Thompson have left the Dolphins rotating through quarterbacks, and their offense has sputtered as a result. Miami’s wide receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle has not been able to produce as expected, primarily due to poor quarterback play and a lack of consistent protection up front. The ground game has been similarly ineffective, with De’Von Achane leading the team with just 165 rushing yards on the season. On defense, Miami has had some success in pressuring opposing quarterbacks, thanks to a strong performance from defensive ends Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb. However, the unit as a whole has struggled against both the run and the pass, allowing 25.8 points per game. Their secondary, led by Xavien Howard and Jevon Holland, has the talent to be effective, but injuries and a lack of cohesion have left them vulnerable, particularly in third-down situations. To beat New England, Miami will need to establish their ground game early and avoid putting too much pressure on their backup quarterback. If they can get Hill and Waddle involved with quick passes and screens, they might be able to exploit New England’s secondary and take some pressure off their defense.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Patriots AI Preview
The New England Patriots are in a rebuilding phase under new head coach Jerod Mayo. Their 1-3 start has been marked by poor offensive execution, and Mac Jones has been unable to string together consistent performances. Jones has thrown for 536 yards with just two touchdowns through four games, and New England’s offensive line has been a major concern, allowing significant pressure on their young quarterback. Despite these issues, the Patriots’ ground game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, has been effective, averaging 126.5 rushing yards per game. New England’s defense has been the team’s strength, ranking among the top ten in the league in rush defense, allowing just 99.3 yards per game on the ground. The Patriots’ front seven, led by Matthew Judon and rookie Keion White, have been disruptive, generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks. However, the secondary has struggled, particularly in deep coverage, which could be a problem against Miami’s speedsters if Tua Tagovailoa or Tyler Huntley can connect downfield.
.@AustinHooper18's first Patriots TD 🔥 pic.twitter.com/7n0VoMmgJ7
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 1, 2024
Dolphins vs. Patriots FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Dolphins and Patriots play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gillette Stadium in Oct seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Tyreek Hill Anytime TD
Miami vs. New England NFL AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Dolphins and Patriots and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the trending factor human bettors often put on Miami’s strength factors between a Dolphins team going up against a possibly unhealthy Patriots team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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