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Bills vs. Texans
FREE NFL AI Predictions
October 06, 2024
The Buffalo Bills will take on the Houston Texans on October 6, 2024, at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. The Bills come into this matchup looking to rebound after a tough loss to the Baltimore Ravens, while the Texans aim to build on a close victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Both teams stand at 3-1, making this game crucial for positioning within their respective divisions.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Oct 06, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: NRG Stadium
Texans Record: (3-1)
Bills Record: (3-1)
OPENING ODDS
BUF Moneyline: -103
HOU Moneyline: -117
BUF Spread: +1
HOU Spread: -1.0
Over/Under: 47
BUF
Betting Trends
- The Buffalo Bills are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) this season. They have been consistent in covering the spread in their victories, particularly when their offense has managed to score over 30 points.
HOU
Betting Trends
- The Houston Texans have struggled against the spread, going 0-3 ATS so far. Despite being competitive in most games, they have failed to cover due to late-game collapses and inconsistent defensive play.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Texans are 0-3 ATS at home when playing against AFC East opponents in the past two seasons, making this a difficult spot for them to turn things around, especially against a high-scoring Bills team.
BUF vs. HOU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Josh Allen Over 20.5 Passing Completions
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Buffalo vs Houston AI Prediction:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 10/6/24
The Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans will face off in a Week 5 showdown at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Both teams enter the game with 3-1 records, but they are coming off contrasting performances. The Bills suffered a lopsided 35-10 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, while the Texans pulled off a late-game 24-20 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars, led by a clutch performance from rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud. Buffalo’s offense, led by Josh Allen, has been one of the most potent in the league, averaging 30.5 points per game. Allen has thrown for 814 yards and 9 touchdowns, with Khalil Shakir and Stefon Diggs being his primary targets.
Their rushing attack, anchored by James Cook, provides a balanced offensive threat. Defensively, the Bills have been up and down, allowing 20.8 points per game, but they have struggled against teams that can establish a strong ground game. Houston, on the other hand, has been carried by the emergence of C.J. Stroud, who has thrown for 1,054 yards and 6 touchdowns. Nico Collins has been his go-to receiver, racking up 489 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns so far. Despite their offensive success, the Texans’ defense has been inconsistent, giving up 23.5 points per game and struggling against power running teams. For Houston to win, they need to control the tempo and limit the number of possessions for Buffalo’s high-octane offense.
"I expect Terrel Bernard to practice at some point during the week, while Taron Johnson is more of a question mark."
— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) September 30, 2024
Coach McDermott provides an injury update and other insights after Week 4: https://t.co/lYgfM6lMv1 pic.twitter.com/9g3MAYhn5M
Bills AI Preview
The Buffalo Bills come into this game looking to rebound after a disappointing performance against the Baltimore Ravens. Josh Allen has been the engine of the Bills’ offense, accounting for 9 total touchdowns and over 800 passing yards. Buffalo’s offense has been balanced, with James Cook providing a solid presence in the run game, averaging 4.1 yards per carry. Wide receiver Khalil Shakir has stepped up as a reliable target, contributing 230 receiving yards. Defensively, the Bills have been up and down. While they have been stout against the pass, allowing only 165.3 yards per game, they have struggled mightily against the run, giving up 156.5 yards per game on the ground. This could be a concern against a Texans team that may look to establish Joe Mixon early to open up the play-action game for Stroud. Buffalo’s path to victory will involve shutting down Houston’s passing attack and forcing them to be one-dimensional. In summary, this game will likely come down to whether Houston can protect Stroud and generate some semblance of a running game against a shaky Bills run defense. If they can, the Texans might keep it close, but if Buffalo’s offense gets into a rhythm, it could be a long day for the Houston defense.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Texans AI Preview
The Houston Texans have surprised many this season, standing at 3-1 and sitting atop the AFC South. Rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has been the driving force behind their resurgence, displaying poise and precision well beyond his years. Stroud has already thrown for 1,054 yards and 6 touchdowns, making him one of the top-performing rookies this season. His chemistry with Nico Collins, who has 489 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, has transformed Houston’s offense into a dynamic passing unit. However, the Texans’ ground game, led by Joe Mixon, has been inconsistent, averaging just 106.8 rushing yards per game. Their inability to establish the run has put more pressure on Stroud to carry the offense. Defensively, Houston has been vulnerable against the pass, allowing 161 passing yards per game, and the unit has struggled to generate turnovers. The key for the Texans will be to slow down the game, sustain long drives, and keep Josh Allen off the field.
.@CJ7STROUD making this world a better place 🤞 pic.twitter.com/0mW0ppkMQq
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) October 2, 2024
Bills vs. Texans FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Bills and Texans play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at NRG Stadium in Oct can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found a NFL AI prop bet for this matchup: Josh Allen Over 20.5 Passing Completions
Buffalo vs. Houston NFL AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Bills and Texans and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the trending emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Buffalo’s strength factors between a Bills team going up against a possibly unhealthy Texans team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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