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The Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts square off in a Week 4 AFC showdown with both teams heading in different directions early in the 2024 season. The Steelers come into the game with a perfect 3-0 record, largely due to their top-ranked defense, which has allowed only 8.7 points per game. Led by Justin Fields, the Steelers’ offense has been efficient but has relied heavily on their defensive unit, spearheaded by T.J. Watt, who leads the team with 3 sacks. The Colts, meanwhile, are still finding their footing under second-year quarterback Anthony Richardson.
Despite their 1-2 record, Richardson has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly with his dual-threat capabilities. Indianapolis’ offensive focal point remains running back Jonathan Taylor, who has been the workhorse with 261 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns through three games. Taylor will be critical in helping the Colts control the clock and keep the Steelers’ pass rush at bay. The Steelers are favored by 1.5 points heading into the game, and their recent dominance over the Colts gives them an edge. Pittsburgh’s defense will likely key in on limiting Taylor’s production and forcing Richardson to beat them through the air. For the Colts to pull off an upset, they will need to protect Richardson and create opportunities for Taylor to exploit Pittsburgh’s defense. The game total is set at 40 points, indicating expectations of a low-scoring contest, which aligns with both teams’ recent performances.
No traffic when you create your own lane 💨 @justnfields
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) September 24, 2024
📺: #PITvsIND 9/29 at 1 PM ET on CBS pic.twitter.com/9zstw5RUKb
The Pittsburgh Steelers have started the 2024 season red-hot with a 3-0 record, and they’ll look to keep the momentum going against the Colts. Pittsburgh’s success has been largely driven by their defense, which has allowed a league-low 8.7 points per game. Linebacker T.J. Watt has been dominant, leading the team with 3 sacks and numerous pressures on opposing quarterbacks. The Steelers’ defense has also excelled at stopping the run, allowing just 71.3 rushing yards per game, which will be key in neutralizing Jonathan Taylor. Offensively, Justin Fields has managed games well, throwing for 518 yards and 3 touchdowns. While the Steelers’ passing game hasn’t been explosive, wide receiver George Pickens has emerged as a reliable target, leading the team with 171 receiving yards. Running back Najee Harris is still the centerpiece of the ground attack, amassing 209 rushing yards, and he will be critical in wearing down the Colts’ vulnerable run defense. Pittsburgh’s recent success ATS, covering in all three games this season, makes them the favorites in this matchup. Their defensive strength and ability to control the pace of the game give them a significant advantage over the Colts. For Pittsburgh to continue their unbeaten run, they’ll need to pressure Richardson into mistakes and establish the run early to control the tempo.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Indianapolis Colts have had an up-and-down start to the 2024 season, entering Week 4 with a 1-2 record. Under head coach Shane Steichen, the Colts are gradually building an offense around quarterback Anthony Richardson and running back Jonathan Taylor. Richardson has flashed potential but remains a work in progress, with 583 passing yards and 4 touchdowns through three games. Taylor, the engine of the offense, is off to a solid start, rushing for 261 yards and 2 touchdowns, and he’ll be crucial in slowing down the Steelers’ aggressive defense. Defensively, the Colts have struggled to stop the run, allowing an average of 179 rushing yards per game. This weakness will be particularly concerning against a Pittsburgh offense that relies on balance, with Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren contributing effectively on the ground. Indianapolis will need a strong performance from DeForest Buckner and the defensive front to limit the Steelers’ rushing attack and generate pressure on Fields. The Colts are 1-1 at home this season but have struggled to cover the spread in key games. If they can establish the run with Taylor and protect Richardson from Pittsburgh’s fierce pass rush, they’ll have a chance to pull off an upset. However, without a clean game from their young quarterback, the Colts could find themselves overwhelmed by Pittsburgh’s disciplined defense.
Our unofficial depth chart for #PITvsIND.
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) September 24, 2024
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Steelers and Colts play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown.
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Steelers and Colts and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the linear correlation of factor human bettors often put on Indianapolis’s strength factors between a Steelers team going up against a possibly healthy Colts team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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