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Saints vs. Falcons
FREE NFL AI Predictions
September 29, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 29, 2024
Start Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Record: (1-2)
Saints Record: (2-1)
OPENING ODDS
NO Moneyline: +109
ATL Moneyline: -129
NO Spread: +1.5
ATL Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 42.5
NO
Betting Trends
- The Saints have been strong as road underdogs, covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. They are also 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Atlanta.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons have struggled in recent ATS performances, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also been poor as home favorites in Week 4 matchups, losing 5 of their last 6.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Saints have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs on the East Coast, a trend that could be significant against an inconsistent Falcons squad.
NO vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.
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AFTER VIGORISH
+372.13
VS. SPREAD
1521-1342
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$37,213
New Orleans vs Atlanta AI Prediction:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/29/24
The Week 4 clash between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons is a pivotal NFC South showdown. The Saints, led by Derek Carr, sit at 2-1 after a narrow 15-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. Prior to that, they had dominated the Cowboys and Panthers, scoring a combined 91 points in those two wins. Their defense has been stingy, allowing just 14.7 points per game, and they will look to rebound against a struggling Falcons offense. Atlanta, with a 1-2 record, comes off a disappointing loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. The Falcons’ offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 16.3 points per game, and while Bijan Robinson has shown flashes of brilliance, the ground game has struggled to gain momentum.
Their defense, however, ranks 13th in the league, allowing just over 20 points per game. This matchup will likely come down to whether the Falcons can find a way to jumpstart their offense against a solid Saints defense. New Orleans has historically performed well on the road against Atlanta, winning 5 of their last 6 meetings in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Saints are listed as slight underdogs, but their recent form suggests they could cover the spread and potentially pull off the victory.
Brees and Ingram led the pregame chant 🗣️#Saints pic.twitter.com/qIRff2XSFO
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) September 22, 2024
Saints AI Preview
The New Orleans Saints have started the 2024 season strong, sitting at 2-1 after impressive wins against the Panthers and Cowboys. Despite a stumble last week against the Eagles, where they only managed 12 points, the Saints have shown they can score in bunches, averaging 34.3 points in their two wins. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, although his performance against Philadelphia highlighted the need for more consistent offensive production. On the ground, Alvin Kamara has returned to form, amassing 87 rushing yards in their loss to the Eagles. Chris Olave has been a key weapon in the passing game, leading the team with 86 receiving yards in that game. The Saints’ defense, meanwhile, has been exceptional, allowing just 14.7 points per game and holding their last three opponents under 300 passing yards. New Orleans has also been effective in road games, particularly in Atlanta, where they have won 5 of their last 6 contests. Their defense will be looking to stifle a Falcons offense that has been sluggish, and Carr will aim to exploit Atlanta’s secondary. The Saints have been reliable underdogs, covering the spread in 12 of their last 13 games on the East Coast, and their solid defense should keep them in the game, even if the offense continues to have up-and-down performances.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Falcons AI Preview
The Atlanta Falcons enter this matchup desperate for a turnaround after a 1-2 start to the season. In their last game, they failed to capitalize on an early lead against the Kansas City Chiefs, ultimately losing 23-17. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, who has been serviceable, finished the game with 230 passing yards but failed to spark a consistent offensive rhythm. The Falcons’ ground game, featuring rookie Bijan Robinson, has also underperformed, averaging just 83.7 rushing yards per game. Defensively, Atlanta has been solid, giving up 20.3 points per game and ranking in the top half of the league in most key metrics. Their pass defense, in particular, has been a bright spot, limiting opponents to 205 yards per game. However, injuries to key players like Kaleb McGary on the offensive line and defensive contributors could pose challenges. The Falcons’ recent ATS record at home has not been favorable. They are just 1-6 ATS when playing at home against the Saints in their last seven meetings, and they have historically struggled in Week 4 matchups as favorites. To win, Atlanta will need more production from Robinson and the offense, along with a cleaner game overall, avoiding the costly mistakes that have hampered their early season.
KP for 50 😤@kylepitts__ pic.twitter.com/H8Gzdla5mI
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 24, 2024
Saints vs. Falcons FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Saints and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Chris Olave Over 5.5 Receptions.
New Orleans vs. Atlanta NFL AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Saints and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the growing factor emotional bettors regularly put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Saints team going up against a possibly strong Falcons team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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