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The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans meet for an important AFC South showdown at NRG Stadium on Sunday, September 29, 2024. The Texans are off to a strong start this season, entering the game with a 2-1 record and looking to bounce back from a tough 34-7 loss to the Vikings. Led by second-year quarterback C.J. Stroud, Houston’s offense has been efficient, particularly in their two wins against the Colts and Bears, where Stroud passed for over 500 yards combined. With a strong rushing attack anchored by veteran running back Joe Mixon, the Texans have found a balanced offensive approach that has kept opposing defenses on their heels.
The Jaguars, on the other hand, are struggling. After being blown out by the Bills 47-10, they have fallen to 0-3 on the season. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been unable to find consistency behind a shaky offensive line, and while running back Travis Etienne Jr. has shown flashes of brilliance, the Jaguars’ offense has been largely ineffective. Defensively, Jacksonville has struggled mightily, allowing 28.3 points per game, and will need a more disciplined effort to contain the Texans’ balanced offensive attack. The Jaguars’ recent history against the Texans does not bode well, as they are 1-5 SU in their last six trips to Houston. The Texans are currently favored by 6 points, and with Jacksonville’s poor form, Houston seems primed to cover the spread in front of their home crowd. The key to this game will likely be whether the Jaguars can protect Lawrence and establish a more effective ground game, while the Texans will look to capitalize on Jacksonville’s defensive struggles.
On to Houston.@Dream_Finders | #DUUUVAL pic.twitter.com/T0Kk60IEfX
— Jacksonville Jaguars (@Jaguars) September 24, 2024
The Jacksonville Jaguars enter this Week 4 matchup desperate for their first win of the season. After a disappointing start, including a 47-10 blowout loss to Buffalo, the Jaguars are looking for answers. Trevor Lawrence has struggled to find consistency, completing just over 60% of his passes while dealing with constant pressure. The Jaguars’ offense, averaging just 13.3 points per game, has yet to hit its stride, and their rushing attack, led by Travis Etienne Jr., has been one of the few bright spots. Defensively, the Jaguars have been porous, allowing nearly 30 points per game, and they have struggled particularly in pass defense, giving up 252.3 passing yards per game. If Jacksonville hopes to turn their season around, they will need to tighten up defensively, especially in the secondary, and generate more pressure on opposing quarterbacks. They’ll also need to limit turnovers, as Lawrence has thrown costly interceptions in each of the past two games. Despite their struggles, the Jaguars have the talent to compete, but their track record in Houston is concerning. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games at NRG Stadium, and their offense will need to find answers quickly if they hope to avoid falling to 0-4.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Houston Texans have surprised many with their 2-1 start to the 2024 season, thanks to an offense that has developed under the leadership of quarterback C.J. Stroud. After a close win over the Colts in Week 1 and a defensive battle victory against the Bears, the Texans now return home to face a Jaguars team desperate for a win. The Texans’ offense, averaging 108.7 rushing yards and 232.3 passing yards per game, has shown balance, with Joe Mixon providing solid production on the ground and Stroud spreading the ball effectively to his receivers. Defensively, Houston has been solid, allowing only 24.7 points per game and limiting opponents to under 100 rushing yards on average. Linebacker Will Anderson Jr. has been a force in the pass rush, while Azeez Al-Shaair leads the team in tackles. The defense will aim to pressure Lawrence and force turnovers, a strategy that has been effective in their past matchups against Jacksonville. Playing at NRG Stadium gives Houston a significant advantage, as they have gone 3-1 ATS in their last four home games. The Texans will be looking to exploit Jacksonville’s vulnerable defense and continue their winning ways at home.
The mentality stays the same pic.twitter.com/FaUZ3gJDWA
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 23, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Jaguars and Texans play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at NRG Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and found the best Prop Bet for this matchup: Trevor Lawrence Over 225.5 Passing Yards.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Jaguars and Texans and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the trending weight emotional bettors tend to put on Jacksonville’s strength factors between a Jaguars team going up against a possibly tired Texans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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