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Chiefs vs. Falcons
FREE NFL AI Predictions
September 22, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 22, 2024
Start Time: 8:20 PM EST
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Falcons Record: (1-1)
Chiefs Record: (2-0)
OPENING ODDS
KC Moneyline: -185
ATL Moneyline: +154
KC Spread: -3.5
ATL Spread: +3.5
Over/Under: 46.5
KC
Betting Trends
- The Chiefs are 1-1 against the spread (ATS) this season and have covered in four of their last six games when favored by fewer than five points. However, the Chiefs’ struggles against the run have been apparent, which may impact their performance.
ATL
Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 1-1 ATS this season, and they have been successful covering the spread in five of their last seven games as home underdogs. However, Atlanta’s inconsistency in their offense, led by Kirk Cousins, may pose a challenge against a strong Kansas City defense.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The Falcons have gone under the total points line in five of their last seven games, especially in matchups where they focus on running the ball. Meanwhile, Kansas City has struggled to stop the run, allowing a league-high 58% success rate on rushing plays, which may lead to a more ground-based game and could influence the point total.
KC vs. ATL
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Rashee Rice Over 70.5 Total Receiving Yards
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AFTER VIGORISH
+371.18
VS. SPREAD
1505-1329
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$37,118
Kansas City vs Atlanta AI Prediction:
Free NFL Betting Insights for 9/22/24
The Week 3 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons presents a classic clash between a high-powered offense and a team that thrives on controlling the pace of the game with the run. The Chiefs come into the game as the defending Super Bowl champions, and despite losing running back Isiah Pacheco to injury, their offense remains potent under Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes has thrown for 641 yards and six touchdowns through two games, and while his deep threats are limited, his connection with Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice has been critical in maintaining offensive efficiency. Atlanta, on the other hand, found some momentum in a surprising 28-27 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2.
Kirk Cousins, who took over as the Falcons’ starting quarterback this season, will rely heavily on his running backs, Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier, to exploit Kansas City’s vulnerable run defense. Robinson has already tallied 221 rushing yards, and Atlanta will likely lean on him to control the clock and keep Mahomes off the field. Defensively, the Falcons will face the tough task of containing Mahomes, but their success will depend on their ability to generate pressure without sacrificing coverage. If Atlanta can force Mahomes into quick throws and limit big plays, they may keep the game within reach. However, Kansas City’s pass rush, led by Chris Jones, could cause problems for Cousins, especially if Atlanta is forced to pass more than they would prefer.
This touchdown. This angle. 🤯 pic.twitter.com/4UucsAo0tv
— Kansas City Chiefs (@Chiefs) September 18, 2024
Chiefs AI Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs come into this Week 3 matchup looking to extend their winning streak to three games. Patrick Mahomes has been in excellent form, leading the league in passing touchdowns through two games. With running back Isiah Pacheco out due to injury, the Chiefs will lean on Carson Steele and Samaje Perine to carry the load in the ground game, but the offense will likely still revolve around Mahomes’ ability to create plays in the passing game. Kansas City’s defense has been aggressive, ranking among the top teams in terms of blitzing, and will look to disrupt Kirk Cousins’ rhythm. While their run defense has been a weak spot, allowing an average of 5.2 yards per carry, the Chiefs’ ability to generate pressure in passing situations could make the difference. If the Chiefs can jump out to an early lead, they can force Atlanta into a pass-heavy game plan, which would play into Kansas City’s defensive strengths. This game promises to be a battle of contrasting styles, with the Falcons trying to control the clock through their running game and the Chiefs looking to overwhelm Atlanta with their offensive firepower.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Falcons AI Preview
The Atlanta Falcons enter Week 3 with a 1-1 record and plenty to prove. After a sluggish start to the season, their comeback victory against the Eagles in Week 2 demonstrated resilience, but questions remain about their consistency. Kirk Cousins has been solid, throwing for 494 yards, but the real strength of the Falcons’ offense lies in their rushing attack. Bijan Robinson, the rookie standout, leads the team with 221 rushing yards, and he will be a central figure in their game plan against Kansas City’s defense, which ranks 29th in the league against the run. Atlanta’s game plan will focus on running the ball effectively to control the tempo and keep Mahomes off the field. The Falcons’ defense, while improved, will need to generate pressure on Mahomes without compromising their secondary, which struggled at times against Philadelphia’s passing attack. If the Falcons can limit big plays and force Kansas City to settle for field goals, they stand a good chance of pulling off the upset at home.
That’s our coach 👏 pic.twitter.com/fRkDUOlTej
— Atlanta Falcons (@AtlantaFalcons) September 17, 2024
Chiefs vs. Falcons FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Chiefs and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and found the best prop bet play for this game: Rashee Rice Over 70.5 Total Receiving Yards
Kansas City vs. Atlanta NFL AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Chiefs and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the growing emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Atlanta’s strength factors between a Chiefs team going up against a possibly deflated Falcons team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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