Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Feb 9)
Updated: 2026-02-07T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Memphis Grizzlies (20-31) head to Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors (28-25) on Monday, February 9, 2026 with the Warriors installed as roughly a 7-point favorite in the matchup. Golden State is looking to end a recent home slide and capitalize on its stronger home performance, while Memphis aims to stay competitive despite a losing record and roster changes.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Feb 9, 2026
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center
Warriors Record: (28-25)
Grizzlies Record: (20-31)
OPENING ODDS
MEM Moneyline: +225
GSW Moneyline: -278
MEM Spread: +6.5
GSW Spread: -6.5
Over/Under: 223.5
MEM
Betting Trends
- Memphis has been 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, showing struggles covering on the road recently. However, Grizzlies games have seen mixed results across different situations.
GSW
Betting Trends
- Golden State is 10-5-1 ATS in 16 games as a favorite of around 7 points or more this season, indicating the Warriors cover more often than not at home in extended roles.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- This series historically leans toward higher scoring outcomes as both teams have combined for totals above current lines frequently, and Warriors games have gone over the total in a large percentage of their games, while Grizzlies contests have been variable but often exceed expectations.
MEM vs. GSW
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Melton under 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Memphis vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 2/9/26
This February 9 matchup between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors presents an intriguing contrast of styles and recent fortunes. The Warriors, with a 28-25 record, are comfortably above .500 and possess a strong home court identity at Chase Center, where they’ve been significantly better than on the road. Golden State’s recent patterns reflect a team comfortable with pace and spacing, even as it has experienced ups and downs, including a three-game home losing streak it will be eager to snap. Memphis enters with a 20-31 record, enduring a challenging season that has included a major trade moving Jaren Jackson Jr. and other rotation players, signaling a shift toward a more developmental outlook. Despite these changes, the Grizzlies still compete and show resilience, as evidenced by recent wins and a couple of competitive performances, though their road results haven’t translated into consistent covers, particularly as underdogs.
The Warriors’ offensive efficiency at home tends to spike, often pushing combined scoring totals over posted lines, while Memphis has shown offensive aptitude but also defensive vulnerability, especially on the road. Betting trends underscore the Warriors’ ability to cover larger spreads as favorites and the propensity for these two teams’ games to yield strong offense from both sides — traits that point toward a fast-paced, high-scoring affair if Golden State’s shooters and Memphis’ counterattack find rhythm. Memphis will likely try to slow the pace and disrupt Golden State’s set plays, whereas the Warriors will aim to push tempo and exploit defensive mismatches. With both teams capable of explosive scoring spurts, this contest could feature lead changes and swings, making it a compelling matchup beyond the numbers.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
BIG triple for Small 👌
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) February 8, 2026
Q4 Action📱 https://t.co/vBFyHBZBu4 pic.twitter.com/PdJPT3AZsV
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies arrive in Golden State with a 20-31 record marked by adversity, roster upheaval, and a shift toward future growth. Memphis recently traded Jaren Jackson Jr. in a blockbuster deal that brought in a mix of young talent and depth pieces, reflecting a pivot toward long-term development rather than immediate contention. Despite these changes, the Grizzlies have shown flashes of competitiveness, including recent wins where bench scoring and unexpected contributions pushed them into the win column. Their road performance has been a mixed bag, with a particularly tough time covering the spread as underdogs — 4-11-1 ATS — highlighting struggles to stay close against favored opponents away from home. Memphis’s offense remains capable of generating points, with a scoring average not too far off from league norms, and its ability to rebound aggressively positions them to control possession and trim opponent scoring opportunities. However, defensive inconsistency and adjustment to new rotations can limit Memphis’s ability to impose its will on the road.
Facing a Warriors team that often plays more cohesively at home and uses spacing to create open looks, the Grizzlies will likely try to slow the pace, attack the interior, and leverage transition opportunities off turnovers. Key contributors must step up in scoring and defensive assignments to keep this game competitive, as Memphis’s success hinges on balanced scoring rather than relying on one or two stars. Without sustained defensive stops and efficient shot creation, Memphis could struggle to narrow a sizable gap against Golden State’s offensive movement and experience. Still, the Grizzlies have shown they can fight through adversity and produce moments of strong basketball; if they hit early shots and limit turnovers, they can keep the game closer than the line suggests. Road tests like this are challenging, but Memphis’s efforts to build identity and resilience will be on full display in San Francisco, where they’ll aim to disrupt the Warriors’ rhythm and capture momentum whenever possible.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors enter this game with a 28-25 record and a distinct home court advantage at Chase Center that has been a cornerstone of their success this season. Golden State’s offense is built on ball movement, three-point shooting, and veteran leadership, with role players stepping up to complement the team’s core actions. At home, the Warriors average a higher scoring output than on the road, often utilizing crowd energy to fuel fast breaks and efficient shooting sequences. Their ATS record as favorites of around 7 points or more (10-5-1) suggests that when the expectations are elevated, Golden State tends to meet or exceed them. This trend is supported by their ability to control tempo and maintain offensive rhythm, even against teams that might otherwise slow the game. Although the Warriors hit a rough patch with a home losing streak they’re now looking to break, this slate still features solid offensive metrics and a coaching staff adept at making in-game adjustments.
Injuries or absences, particularly at the star level, can impact flow; however, the Warriors’ depth has allowed them to sustain pressure and create scoring opportunities despite challenges. Their defensive schemes are designed to contain cutters and perimeter shooters, but they can be vulnerable to strong inside play and transition offenses if rotations lag. Against Memphis, Golden State will likely emphasize quick ball reversal and sharp catch-and-shoot opportunities to take advantage of defensive mismatches, while also forcing the Grizzlies into contested perimeter shots. Experience in clutch moments and familiarity with high-stakes situations give them an edge late in games, particularly at home where execution down the stretch can define outcomes. The Warriors’ balanced offensive philosophy, combined with their home comfort, positions them as favorites to secure the win and potentially cover the spread on February 9 in a matchup that could be high scoring and strategically rich.
The Dubs scored 394 points this week, meaning 118,200 meals were donated to families in need through our partnership with @kpnorcal and @AthletesCorner_
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) February 9, 2026
Learn more about Swishes for Dishes » https://t.co/hY8gfFvDzd pic.twitter.com/xXiTeXPSUR
Memphis vs Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Grizzlies and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Feb can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Memphis vs Golden State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every facet between the Grizzlies and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the unproportionally assigned emphasis human bettors often put on Memphis’s strength factors between a Grizzlies team going up against a possibly unhealthy Warriors team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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Below is our current AI Memphis vs Golden State picks, computer picks Grizzlies vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 3/5 | DET@SA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/5 | LAL@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NBA | 3/5 | NO@SAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/5 | TOR@MIN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/5 | CHI@PHX | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Memphis Betting Trends
Memphis has been 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, showing struggles covering on the road recently. However, Grizzlies games have seen mixed results across different situations.
Golden State Betting Trends
Golden State is 10-5-1 ATS in 16 games as a favorite of around 7 points or more this season, indicating the Warriors cover more often than not at home in extended roles.
Grizzlies vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
This series historically leans toward higher scoring outcomes as both teams have combined for totals above current lines frequently, and Warriors games have gone over the total in a large percentage of their games, while Grizzlies contests have been variable but often exceed expectations.
Memphis vs. Golden State Game Info
Memphis vs Golden State starts on February 9, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST.
Venue: Chase Center.
Spread: Golden State -6.5
Moneyline: Memphis +225, Golden State -278
Over/Under: 223.5
Memphis: (20-31) | Golden State: (28-25)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: D. Melton under 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
This series historically leans toward higher scoring outcomes as both teams have combined for totals above current lines frequently, and Warriors games have gone over the total in a large percentage of their games, while Grizzlies contests have been variable but often exceed expectations.
MEM trend: Memphis has been 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, showing struggles covering on the road recently. However, Grizzlies games have seen mixed results across different situations.
GSW trend: Golden State is 10-5-1 ATS in 16 games as a favorite of around 7 points or more this season, indicating the Warriors cover more often than not at home in extended roles.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Memphis vs. Golden State Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Memphis vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MEM Moneyline | +225 |
|---|---|
| GSW Moneyline | -278 |
| MEM Spread | +6.5 |
| GSW Spread | -6.5 |
| Over / Under | 223.5 |
Memphis vs Golden State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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U 229.5 (-110)
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–
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U 226.5 (-110)
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–
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O 221.5 (-110)
U 221.5 (-110)
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O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
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–
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+220
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O 225.5 (-112)
U 225.5 (-108)
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O 234.5 (-105)
U 234.5 (-115)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors on February 9, 2026 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@LAL | BOS -1 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | KELLY OUBRE JR. UNDER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| NYK@CHI | JOSH HART OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 2.5 ASSTS | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | DEN -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@LAL | KAWHI LEONARD UNDER 33.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@NY | NY -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@CHI | RJ BARRETT OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@LAC | DERRICK JONES JR. UNDER 4.5 REB + ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAC@HOU | LAC +9 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| POR@MIN | JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 21.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| SA@LAL | VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | ATL +8.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@BKN | BKN +4.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| OKC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 28.5 PTS + REB | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 22.5 PTS + REB | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@TOR | IND +9 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NY@BOS | NY +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| CLE@SAC | DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 34.5 PTS + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |