Heat vs Kings Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Jan 20)
Updated: 2026-01-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Miami Heat (22‑20) travel to Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings (12‑30) on January 20, 2026, in a matchup between a playoff‑type team from the East and a struggling but streaking Western squad. Miami enters as the favorite by a small margin, but Sacramento has won four of its last five games and could make this contest closer than expected.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 20, 2026
Start Time: 11:00 PM EST
Venue: Golden 1 Center
Kings Record: (12-31)
Heat Record: (22-21)
OPENING ODDS
MIA Moneyline: -139
SAC Moneyline: +118
MIA Spread: -2.5
SAC Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 236.5
MIA
Betting Trends
- Miami’s ATS record has been solid this season at 24‑18, and over the last 10 games they’ve gone 6‑4 against the spread, showing they cover more often than not.
SAC
Betting Trends
- Sacramento has been below‑average ATS overall (17‑25), but recently they’ve covered in 5 of their last 7 home games, suggesting the Kings can stay competitive as an underdog at Golden 1 Center.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The total for this game is set around 236.5, and both teams have seen significant scoring variance — Miami’s games have gone over roughly 20 of 41 times this season and Sacramento’s totals have gone over in 19 of 42, indicating scoring surprises are common when these teams meet.
MIA vs. SAC
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Powell under 30.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Miami vs Sacramento Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 1/20/26
This meeting between the Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings on January 20, 2026, at Golden 1 Center pits two teams in very different phases of their seasons. The Heat, above .500 and hovering around Eastern Conference playoff contention, have shown the ability to mix efficient offense with tough defense at times, balancing a potent scoring attack with disciplined perimeter pressure. Miami scores nearly 119.5 points per 100 possessions this season and plays at a manageable pace that helps mask occasional defensive slips. The Heat’s ball movement and assist‑to‑turnover ratio are strengths; they consistently generate open shots and share scoring responsibilities across several players, which makes them hard to scout and easy to adjust to when a game gets tight in the fourth quarter. Sacramento, on the other hand, is dealing with a season that’s largely been frustrating in the standings but has shown encouraging life recently, winning four of its last five and picking up confidence with offensive outbursts.
The Kings score just over 110 points per 100 possessions but have boosted their output recently, with improved shot selection and energy from stops that turn into transition offense. Sacramento’s defense has been a liability overall, allowing about 120 points per 100 possessions, which means this matchup has the making of a high‑scoring affair if Miami’s efficient offense finds traction. Tempo and pace will be key; the Heat will want to slow things down and grind possessions when possible, while Sacramento might try to get up and down the floor to exploit mismatches before rotations fully set. Turnovers, rebounding battles, and bench play could sway the outcome — Miami’s depth gives it an edge, but Sacramento’s recent form and home crowd energy can’t be discounted. This clash promises tactical intrigue with a tilt toward Miami’s balanced offensive and defensive execution, yet Sacramento’s recent momentum and ability to stay competitive at home means bettors should expect a closely contested game.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
SIMO AND 1 pic.twitter.com/b3QyH8CCWT
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) January 20, 2026
Miami Heat NBA Preview
The Miami Heat arrive in Sacramento with solid confidence and a respectable 22‑20 record, reflecting a squad that’s had its ups and downs but remains a viable postseason contender in the competitive Eastern Conference. Miami’s offensive efficiency sits among the better marks in the league, driven by a balanced attack that spreads scoring across multiple positions and emphasizes high‑quality shot creation over isolated scoring binges. The Heat’s assist‑to‑turnover ratio is a notable strength; when they protect the ball and share it, they often find open shooters and layups early in the shot clock, forcing defenses to rotate and revealing gaps late in possessions. Miami has been respectable against the spread this season, with an ATS mark showing they frequently outperform expectations, and a 6‑4 ATS record in the last 10 underscores their ability to compete even when lines are tight. Defensively, the Heat mix switching principles with help coverage that can frustrate opponents into low‑efficiency shots, though they are not immune to occasional lapses — especially against teams that push pace and shoot exceptionally well.
In this matchup, Miami’s goal will be to control tempo early, limit Sacramento’s transition chances, and survive early runs with disciplined defense that forces contested jumpers rather than wide‑open looks. The Heat’s experience in tight games and ability to close out wins late gives them an edge in clutch situations, but success on the road hinges on avoiding cold stretches on offense that can allow an opponent to build confidence and crowd energy. Bench scoring and guard play depth will be critical; if Miami’s reserves can contribute in controlled spurts and complement the starters’ efforts, the Heat can maintain leads into the fourth and lean on late‑game execution. Ultimately, this matchup presents Miami with a chance to reinforce its standing as a tough, adaptable opponent — but it will require consistent shot creation, disciplined defense, and control of rebounds and turnovers to emerge victorious on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Sacramento Kings NBA Preview
The Sacramento Kings have endured a challenging 2025‑26 season, sitting near the bottom of the Western Conference, but they’ve found potential in recent stretch results that might make this January 20 matchup against Miami more interesting than the records suggest. Sacramento has won four of its last five games, including convincing home victories where the offense flowed efficiently and key role players contributed meaningful minutes. The Kings benefit from veteran scoring punch; players like DeMar DeRozan and Malik Monk have provided scoring bursts, while Zach LaVine has shown he can take over games when he gets into rhythm early. Their scoring ability has occasionally overwhelmed opponents, giving Sacramento a chance to build leads and control quarters — a luxury they lacked earlier in the season. However, the team’s defensive metrics remain a concern, as they allow opponents to score at one of the highest rates in the league — a trend that can be fatal against disciplined offensive teams like Miami. Success for the Kings often hinges on pace and offensive balance.
If their ball movement is crisp and shooters are hitting from deep, Sacramento can put significant pressure on opposing defenses, forcing rotations and finding open looks. Inside scoring and rebounding have also been key; when the frontcourt bodies up in traffic and limits second‑chance opportunities, the Kings can flip defensive possessions into transition chances that lead to easy buckets. ATS trends at home have been a mixed bag, with Sacramento’s overall ATS record still sub‑.500, but recent home covers suggest the Kings can stay competitive on the spread, particularly when they score early and force games into track meets. Against a Heat squad that thrives on disciplined offense and limiting open looks, Sacramento’s ability to explode offensively may be their best pathway to staying close — or even pulling an upset — if they can force turnovers, crash the offensive glass, and sustain pressure through all four quarters in front of the Golden 1 Center crowd.
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— Sacramento Kings (@SacramentoKings) January 20, 2026
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Miami vs Sacramento Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Heat and Kings play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Golden 1 Center in Jan rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Miami vs Sacramento Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every past game between the Heat and Kings and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the growing factor emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Heat team going up against a possibly healthy Kings team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Miami vs Sacramento picks, computer picks Heat vs Kings, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NBA | 3/8 | NY@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/8 | HOU@SA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
VAULT v2
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| NBA | 3/8 | ORL@MIL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | DET@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | CHI@SAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | WAS@NO | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Miami Betting Trends
Miami’s ATS record has been solid this season at 24‑18, and over the last 10 games they’ve gone 6‑4 against the spread, showing they cover more often than not.
Sacramento Betting Trends
Sacramento has been below‑average ATS overall (17‑25), but recently they’ve covered in 5 of their last 7 home games, suggesting the Kings can stay competitive as an underdog at Golden 1 Center.
Heat vs. Kings Matchup Trends
The total for this game is set around 236.5, and both teams have seen significant scoring variance — Miami’s games have gone over roughly 20 of 41 times this season and Sacramento’s totals have gone over in 19 of 42, indicating scoring surprises are common when these teams meet.
Miami vs. Sacramento Game Info
Miami vs Sacramento starts on January 20, 2026 at 11:00 PM EST.
Venue: Golden 1 Center.
Spread: Sacramento +2.5
Moneyline: Miami -139, Sacramento +118
Over/Under: 236.5
Miami: (22-21) | Sacramento: (12-31)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: N. Powell under 30.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The total for this game is set around 236.5, and both teams have seen significant scoring variance — Miami’s games have gone over roughly 20 of 41 times this season and Sacramento’s totals have gone over in 19 of 42, indicating scoring surprises are common when these teams meet.
MIA trend: Miami’s ATS record has been solid this season at 24‑18, and over the last 10 games they’ve gone 6‑4 against the spread, showing they cover more often than not.
SAC trend: Sacramento has been below‑average ATS overall (17‑25), but recently they’ve covered in 5 of their last 7 home games, suggesting the Kings can stay competitive as an underdog at Golden 1 Center.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Miami vs. Sacramento Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Miami vs Sacramento trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| MIA Moneyline | -139 |
|---|---|
| SAC Moneyline | +118 |
| MIA Spread | -2.5 |
| SAC Spread | +2.5 |
| Over / Under | 236.5 |
Miami vs Sacramento Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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In Progress
New York Knicks
Los Angeles Lakers
In Progress
Knicks
Lakers
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33
46
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+140
-180
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+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-115)
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O 218.5 (-110)
U 218.5 (-120)
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Mar 8, 2026 6:10PM EDT
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat
3/8/26 6:10PM
Pistons
Heat
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–
–
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-120
+100
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-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
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O 230.5 (-115)
U 230.5 (-105)
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Mar 8, 2026 6:10PM EDT
Dallas Mavericks
Toronto Raptors
3/8/26 6:10PM
Mavericks
Raptors
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–
–
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+310
-395
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+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
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O 229.5 (-112)
U 229.5 (-108)
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Mar 8, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
New Orleans Pelicans
3/8/26 7:10PM
Wizards
Pelicans
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–
–
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+360
-470
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+11.5 (-112)
-11.5 (-108)
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O 244.5 (-115)
U 244.5 (-105)
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Mar 8, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs
3/8/26 8:10PM
Rockets
Spurs
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–
–
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+180
-218
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+5.5 (-108)
-5.5 (-112)
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O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Orlando Magic
Milwaukee Bucks
3/8/26 8:10PM
Magic
Bucks
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–
–
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-205
+170
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-5.5 (-115)
+5.5 (-105)
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O 216.5 (-115)
U 216.5 (-105)
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Mar 8, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Chicago Bulls
Sacramento Kings
3/8/26 9:10PM
Bulls
Kings
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–
–
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-130
+110
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-2.5 (-105)
+2.5 (-115)
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O 236.5 (-105)
U 236.5 (-115)
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Mar 8, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Indiana Pacers
Portland Trail Blazers
3/8/26 9:10PM
Pacers
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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+310
-395
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+8.5 (-105)
-8.5 (-115)
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O 236.5 (-108)
U 236.5 (-112)
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Mar 8, 2026 10:10PM EDT
Charlotte Hornets
Phoenix Suns
3/8/26 10:10PM
Hornets
Suns
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–
–
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-192
+160
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-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
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O 217.5 (-115)
U 217.5 (-105)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Miami Heat vs. Sacramento Kings on January 20, 2026 at Golden 1 Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
|
NBA |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@CHA | GRANT WILLIAMS OVER 3.5 REB | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@BOS | JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 REB + ASST | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@MIN | TOR +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@SAC | SAC +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| DET@SA | DET +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@PHX | GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAL@DEN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 5.5 REB | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@LAL | BOS -1 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | KELLY OUBRE JR. UNDER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| NYK@CHI | JOSH HART OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 2.5 ASSTS | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | DEN -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@LAL | KAWHI LEONARD UNDER 33.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@NY | NY -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@CHI | RJ BARRETT OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@LAC | DERRICK JONES JR. UNDER 4.5 REB + ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAC@HOU | LAC +9 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| POR@MIN | JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 21.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| SA@LAL | VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
