Nuggets vs Heat Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 29)
Updated: 2025-12-27T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Denver Nuggets (22-9) travel to take on the Miami Heat (15-14) on Monday, December 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center, with Denver favored but Miami boasting a respectable home record. This game pairs Denver’s top-ranked scoring offense against a Heat team that has alternated wins and losses, setting up a potential high-tempo, high-scoring showdown.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 29, 2025
Start Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Kaseya Center
Heat Record: (17-15)
Nuggets Record: (22-9)
OPENING ODDS
DEN Moneyline: -154
MIA Moneyline: +131
DEN Spread: -2.5
MIA Spread: +2.5
Over/Under: 244.5
DEN
Betting Trends
- Denver has covered nine times in 16 road games this season and hit the OVER in 11 of those contests, underscoring its scoring upside away from home.
MIA
Betting Trends
- Miami is 11-5 in home games this season and has covered the spread nine times at Kaseya Center, showing it often outperforms expectations in front of its crowd.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The OVER has hit in a majority of recent Nuggets games, and this matchup’s total is set near 244.5 points, reflecting both teams’ ability to score efficiently — Denver leads the league in scoring while Miami is also above league average — suggesting conditions are ripe for a high point total.
DEN vs. MIA
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Watson over 16.5 PTS+REB.
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Denver vs Miami Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/29/25
The Denver Nuggets travel to face the Miami Heat on Monday, December 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center in a clash between one of the NBA’s most potent offenses and a Heat team capable of high-level scoring and disciplined play. Denver, leading the league in points per game at 125.8, relies on Nikola Jokić as both a scoring and playmaking centerpiece, supported by Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, and Tim Hardaway Jr. The Nuggets excel in spacing, ball movement, and efficiency, generating offense both in transition and in half-court sets. While their defense ranks near league average, Denver’s ability to sustain offensive pressure often allows them to overcome moderate lapses, making them a formidable opponent even on the road. Miami counters with a balanced attack led by Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, and Andrew Wiggins, combining interior scoring, perimeter shooting, and secondary playmaking to stay competitive. The Heat have demonstrated the ability to explode offensively, most recently in a 142‑116 win over the Orlando Magic, showing that when their rhythm clicks, they can match elite offenses. This matchup is also intriguing from a pace and scoring perspective.
Denver’s road games frequently hit the OVER, while Miami has maintained strong home performance, going 11‑5 at Kaseya Center, suggesting both teams are comfortable in high-scoring environments. Turnover margin, rebounding, and late-game execution will be critical, as both clubs can capitalize on mistakes and create fast-break opportunities. In their previous matchup this season, Denver used a balanced attack and efficient shooting to claim a 122‑112 win, illustrating their ability to control tempo and exploit mismatches. Ultimately, the game could hinge on defensive execution and the supporting casts’ ability to contribute consistently. Miami will need to contest shots, control the boards, and generate efficient offense, while Denver must sustain offensive efficiency and limit turnovers to avoid giving the Heat transition opportunities. With both teams capable of scoring in bursts and shifting momentum quickly, this game promises a fast-paced, high-scoring contest where late-game composure could decide the outcome.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Moving up on another historic ladder pic.twitter.com/Ou1CUQr6GA
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) December 28, 2025
Denver Nuggets NBA Preview
The Denver Nuggets travel to Miami on December 29, 2025, aiming to assert their offensive dominance against a Heat team that has been strong at home. Denver enters the contest as the league’s highest-scoring team, averaging 125.8 points per game, with Nikola Jokić leading the charge as a multifaceted playmaker and scorer. Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, and Tim Hardaway Jr. complement him, providing perimeter shooting, athleticism, and secondary playmaking that keeps defenses on edge. On the road, Denver has shown it can maintain scoring consistency, though defensive lapses and turnovers have occasionally allowed opponents to stay close in high-paced contests. Limiting mistakes and converting possessions efficiently will be critical for success in a hostile environment like Kaseya Center. Denver’s road performance is built on executing offensive sets with precision, emphasizing spacing, ball movement, and exploiting mismatches. Jokić’s ability to score inside, create shots from the high post, and facilitate for teammates makes him the central focus, but supporting players must convert opportunities to keep Miami’s defense stretched.
Transition offense will also be key, as Denver can capitalize on turnovers and rebounds to generate high-percentage fast-break points. Maintaining composure and controlling tempo in the first half will help Denver avoid falling behind early against a disciplined Heat squad. Defensively, the Nuggets must focus on limiting second-chance points, contesting perimeter shots, and securing rebounds to prevent Miami from generating easy transition opportunities. Turnovers are a critical factor; careless possessions can quickly swing momentum in a high-scoring matchup. Denver’s success on the road will also depend on contributions from role players stepping up alongside the stars, whether through shooting, defense, or hustle plays. If Denver executes efficiently on offense while tightening defensive rotations and protecting the ball, they have the firepower to compete and potentially win against a Miami team that thrives on tempo and home-court energy. Sustaining that balance over 48 minutes is essential for a road victory in this challenging matchup.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Miami Heat NBA Preview
The Miami Heat host the Denver Nuggets on December 29, 2025, looking to leverage their home-court advantage and balanced offensive attack against one of the NBA’s most potent teams. Miami has compiled a 15‑14 overall record while excelling at Kaseya Center, going 11‑5 at home and covering the spread nine times, demonstrating consistency in front of their crowd. Offensively, the Heat are versatile, averaging just over 120 points per game with multiple scoring options, including Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Andrew Wiggins, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. This depth allows them to sustain scoring pressure even when one or two players are contained, making it difficult for opponents like Denver to focus on a single threat. Miami’s ability to mix inside scoring with perimeter shooting ensures balance and spacing, which is critical against the Nuggets’ high-powered offense. Defensively, Miami emphasizes contesting shots, protecting the paint, and limiting transition opportunities—elements that will be vital against Denver’s elite scoring attack led by Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray. Controlling rebounds, particularly on the defensive glass, will help prevent Denver from generating second-chance points and fast-break opportunities.
The Heat also benefit from strong ball pressure and rotations that can disrupt passing lanes and force Denver into lower-percentage shots. Maintaining discipline on defense while staying aggressive offensively will be crucial in sustaining momentum throughout the game. Miami’s success will hinge on executing efficiently in both halves, particularly in late-game situations where Denver’s offensive firepower can create rapid swings. Protecting the basketball, converting free throws, and maximizing scoring opportunities from pick-and-roll sets or transition chances are all keys to keeping the game competitive. If Miami can combine efficient offense with disciplined defense, control tempo, and capitalize on Denver’s occasional turnovers, they have the tools to challenge the Nuggets and potentially secure a key home victory. This matchup promises a fast-paced, high-scoring contest where Miami’s execution and composure could make the difference.
The court vision + The pump fake = The rookie bucket!
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) December 28, 2025
The Ultimate Assist // @RobinhoodApp pic.twitter.com/Hem45I7Zw3
Denver vs Miami Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Nuggets and Heat play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kaseya Center in Dec can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Denver vs Miami Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Nuggets and Heat and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most watching on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Miami’s strength factors between a Nuggets team going up against a possibly deflated Heat team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Denver vs Miami picks, computer picks Nuggets vs Heat, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| NBA | 3/8 | NY@LAL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/8 | HOU@SA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/8 | ORL@MIL | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | DET@MIA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/8 | CHI@SAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
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| NBA | 3/8 | WAS@NO | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Denver Betting Trends
Denver has covered nine times in 16 road games this season and hit the OVER in 11 of those contests, underscoring its scoring upside away from home.
Miami Betting Trends
Miami is 11-5 in home games this season and has covered the spread nine times at Kaseya Center, showing it often outperforms expectations in front of its crowd.
Nuggets vs. Heat Matchup Trends
The OVER has hit in a majority of recent Nuggets games, and this matchup’s total is set near 244.5 points, reflecting both teams’ ability to score efficiently — Denver leads the league in scoring while Miami is also above league average — suggesting conditions are ripe for a high point total.
Denver vs. Miami Game Info
Denver vs Miami starts on December 29, 2025 at 8:30 PM EST.
Venue: Kaseya Center.
Spread: Miami +2.5
Moneyline: Denver -154, Miami +131
Over/Under: 244.5
Denver: (22-9) | Miami: (17-15)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: P. Watson over 16.5 PTS+REB.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The OVER has hit in a majority of recent Nuggets games, and this matchup’s total is set near 244.5 points, reflecting both teams’ ability to score efficiently — Denver leads the league in scoring while Miami is also above league average — suggesting conditions are ripe for a high point total.
DEN trend: Denver has covered nine times in 16 road games this season and hit the OVER in 11 of those contests, underscoring its scoring upside away from home.
MIA trend: Miami is 11-5 in home games this season and has covered the spread nine times at Kaseya Center, showing it often outperforms expectations in front of its crowd.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Denver vs. Miami Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Denver vs Miami trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| DEN Moneyline | -154 |
|---|---|
| MIA Moneyline | +131 |
| DEN Spread | -2.5 |
| MIA Spread | +2.5 |
| Over / Under | 244.5 |
Denver vs Miami Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
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Boston Celtics
Cleveland Cavaliers
In Progress
Celtics
Cavaliers
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42
28
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-410
+290
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-8.5 (-118)
+8.5 (-114)
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O 214.5 (+110)
U 214.5 (-146)
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Los Angeles Lakers
3/8/26 3:40PM
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–
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-138
+118
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-3 (-108)
+3 (-112)
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O 227.5 (-110)
U 227.5 (-110)
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Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat
3/8/26 6:10PM
Pistons
Heat
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–
–
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-120
+102
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-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
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O 231.5 (-110)
U 231.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 6:10PM EDT
Dallas Mavericks
Toronto Raptors
3/8/26 6:10PM
Mavericks
Raptors
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–
–
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+340
-430
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+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
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O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
New Orleans Pelicans
3/8/26 7:10PM
Wizards
Pelicans
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–
–
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+350
-450
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+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
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O 244.5 (-110)
U 244.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs
3/8/26 8:10PM
Rockets
Spurs
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–
–
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+176
-210
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+5.5 (-112)
-5.5 (-108)
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O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Orlando Magic
Milwaukee Bucks
3/8/26 8:10PM
Magic
Bucks
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–
–
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-205
+172
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-6 (-106)
+6 (-114)
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O 217.5 (-110)
U 217.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Chicago Bulls
Sacramento Kings
3/8/26 9:10PM
Bulls
Kings
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–
–
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-132
+112
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-2.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-114)
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O 236.5 (-108)
U 236.5 (-112)
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Mar 8, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Indiana Pacers
Portland Trail Blazers
3/8/26 9:10PM
Pacers
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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+310
-390
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+8.5 (-108)
-8.5 (-112)
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O 236.5 (-110)
U 236.5 (-110)
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Mar 8, 2026 10:10PM EDT
Charlotte Hornets
Phoenix Suns
3/8/26 10:10PM
Hornets
Suns
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–
–
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-186
+156
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-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-108)
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O 218.5 (-112)
U 218.5 (-108)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat on December 29, 2025 at Kaseya Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
|
NBA |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@CHA | GRANT WILLIAMS OVER 3.5 REB | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@BOS | JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 REB + ASST | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@MIN | TOR +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@SAC | SAC +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| DET@SA | DET +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@PHX | GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAL@DEN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 5.5 REB | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@LAL | BOS -1 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | KELLY OUBRE JR. UNDER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| NYK@CHI | JOSH HART OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 2.5 ASSTS | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | DEN -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@LAL | KAWHI LEONARD UNDER 33.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@NY | NY -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@CHI | RJ BARRETT OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@LAC | DERRICK JONES JR. UNDER 4.5 REB + ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAC@HOU | LAC +9 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| POR@MIN | JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 21.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| SA@LAL | VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
