Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 26)
Updated: 2025-12-24T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Memphis on December 26, 2025 to face the Grizzlies in a matchup that pits two struggling but dangerous teams against each other in the late-December slate. Both squads have had bouts of inconsistency this season, and Memphis’ edge at home could be decisive in what promises to be a competitive contest.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 26, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: FedExForum
Grizzlies Record: (14-16)
Bucks Record: (12-18)
OPENING ODDS
MIL Moneyline: +185
MEM Moneyline: -207
MIL Spread: +5.5
MEM Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 227.5
MIL
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee enters this game with a 14-16 ATS record overall and has been around .429 ATS on the road, showing mixed results away from home this season. Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games, suggesting they’ve been competitive against expectations even if results have fluctuated.
MEM
Betting Trends
- The Grizzlies also have a 14-16 ATS record on the season, and while they’ve covered some games recently, their home ATS performance stands at 6-8, showing they haven’t consistently covered at FedExForum.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically in head-to-head matchups, Milwaukee has struggled against Memphis, with the Grizzlies dominating recent meetings — including an extended winning streak — and Milwaukee has been 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against Memphis, highlighting a significant historical edge for the Grizzlies in this series.
MIL vs. MEM
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Kuzma over 22.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Milwaukee vs Memphis Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/26/25
The December 26, 2025 matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Memphis Grizzlies presents a compelling meeting of two teams attempting to stabilize their seasons after inconsistent first halves. Both clubs have shown flashes of high-level play but have struggled to string together sustained success, making this contest an important opportunity to reset momentum. Memphis enters with the benefit of home court, where energy and physicality often elevate its performance, while Milwaukee arrives looking to prove it can compete reliably away from home against a tough, athletic opponent. Stylistically, this game is defined by contrast. Milwaukee prefers a more controlled, half-court approach built around ball movement, spacing, and deliberate shot selection. When the Bucks are executing properly, they can generate efficient looks by forcing defenses to rotate and by attacking mismatches patiently rather than rushing possessions. However, inconsistency has plagued them this season, particularly when early shots fail to fall and offensive rhythm deteriorates. Memphis, by comparison, thrives on pace and physicality. The Grizzlies are most dangerous when they turn defensive stops into quick offense, using athleticism and rebounding to fuel transition opportunities and wear opponents down over the course of the game. Rebounding looms as one of the most critical battlegrounds in this matchup. Memphis has a clear advantage in physicality and second-chance production, often extending possessions and creating high-percentage looks through offensive rebounds. If the Grizzlies control the glass, they can dictate tempo and limit Milwaukee’s ability to set up its half-court offense. Conversely, if the Bucks can hold their own on the boards and finish defensive possessions cleanly, they can slow the game down and force Memphis into longer, more structured offensive sets that reduce its explosiveness.
Defensively, both teams face important tests. Milwaukee must remain disciplined against Memphis’ movement and energy, particularly in transition defense, where breakdowns can quickly lead to scoring runs. The Bucks will aim to wall off the paint, contest shots without fouling, and avoid turnovers that ignite the Grizzlies’ fast break. Memphis, on the other hand, must focus on consistency and communication in the half court. While capable of strong defensive stretches, the Grizzlies have at times allowed opponents to find rhythm through ball movement and spacing. Limiting Milwaukee’s perimeter looks and staying connected through rotations will be essential. Late-game execution could ultimately decide the outcome. Memphis’ home crowd often amplifies momentum, but closing games has been an issue at times when defensive focus slips or shot selection becomes rushed. Milwaukee’s experience and composure in structured late-game situations could become a factor if the score remains tight in the final minutes. The Bucks will look to rely on disciplined sets and clock management, while Memphis will aim to leverage energy, rebounding, and timely scoring to maintain control. Overall, this matchup represents a test of identity for both teams. Memphis seeks to assert its physical, fast-paced style on its home floor, while Milwaukee aims to impose structure and efficiency. Whichever team better controls pace, rebounds effectively, and executes under pressure will likely emerge with a valuable late-December victory.
Get live NBA odds and precise AI NBA picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) December 24, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks NBA Preview
The Milwaukee Bucks head into the December 26, 2025 matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies as the road team still searching for consistency and clarity in their identity. This season has been defined by uneven performances, particularly away from home, where execution and energy have fluctuated from quarter to quarter. Despite those challenges, the Bucks remain a disciplined and capable group when they commit to their core principles, making this game an important opportunity to demonstrate resilience against a physical Memphis squad in a demanding environment. Offensively, Milwaukee’s approach is built around control and balance. The Bucks are most effective when they emphasize ball movement, spacing, and deliberate shot creation rather than quick, isolation-heavy possessions. When the offense flows through multiple options, defenses are forced to rotate, opening up higher-percentage looks both inside and on the perimeter. However, road games have often exposed Milwaukee’s tendency to fall into stagnant stretches, where possessions become predictable and late-clock attempts dominate. Against Memphis, avoiding these lapses will be critical, as empty possessions can quickly turn into transition opportunities for the Grizzlies. Defensively, the Bucks rely on structure and positioning more than raw athleticism. Their success hinges on communication, timely rotations, and the ability to contest shots without fouling. Memphis presents a unique challenge in this regard, as the Grizzlies thrive on offensive rebounds and second-chance scoring. Milwaukee must be especially attentive to boxing out and finishing defensive possessions cleanly.
Allowing extra opportunities would not only inflate Memphis’ scoring chances but also sap energy and disrupt the Bucks’ preferred slower tempo. Turnover control will be another defining factor for Milwaukee on the road. Careless passes or rushed decisions can quickly swing momentum in front of a hostile crowd. By valuing each possession and prioritizing shot quality, the Bucks can limit Memphis’ transition chances and keep the game within a manageable pace. This discipline also allows Milwaukee to set its defense and reduce the physical toll of constant back-and-forth play. Late-game execution may be where Milwaukee’s experience becomes most valuable. Even during an inconsistent season, the Bucks have shown the ability to run organized sets and make composed decisions in tight situations. If the game remains close entering the fourth quarter, Milwaukee will look to slow the pace, manage the clock, and rely on efficient scoring rather than trying to match Memphis’ energy possession for possession. This approach can frustrate opponents and create opportunities to steal a road win. Ultimately, the Bucks’ path to success in Memphis lies in discipline, rebounding, and composure. If they can control tempo, limit turnovers, and stay competitive on the glass, Milwaukee has the tools to withstand Memphis’ physicality and home-court energy. This game represents a chance for the Bucks to redefine their road narrative and show that, even amid an uneven season, they can execute and compete effectively against a tough opponent in a challenging setting.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Memphis Grizzlies NBA Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies enter the December 26, 2025 matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks at FedExForum with the benefit of home court and the opportunity to build momentum in the middle of a challenging season. Memphis has shown flashes of offensive and defensive capability but has struggled with consistency, particularly in closing out games and maintaining intensity across four quarters. Playing at home offers an environment where energy, crowd support, and familiarity with pace and spacing can amplify strengths and mitigate some of the team’s weaknesses. This contest against a disciplined but inconsistent Milwaukee team provides an important chance for the Grizzlies to assert their style of play and reestablish confidence. Offensively, Memphis thrives on pace, spacing, and dynamic scoring options. The Grizzlies are most effective when pushing the ball in transition, taking advantage of defensive rebounds and forced turnovers to generate early scoring opportunities. Jaren Jackson Jr. anchors the offense, providing rim protection, mid-range scoring, and floor spacing that allows perimeter shooters and cutters to operate freely. Complementing Jackson, Santi Aldama has emerged as a potent scoring option, capable of explosive offensive output and stretching defenses with three-point accuracy. This balanced attack gives Memphis multiple ways to generate points and prevents opponents from focusing defensive attention on a single player, making the Grizzlies difficult to contain when firing on all cylinders. Defensively, Memphis has the advantage of home energy to boost focus and intensity. When the team communicates effectively and contests shots without overcommitting, it can disrupt opposing offenses and limit easy scoring opportunities.
Transition defense remains critical, particularly against a Milwaukee team that emphasizes half-court execution and patient shot creation. By controlling rebounds and limiting second-chance points, Memphis can dictate the tempo and force Milwaukee into longer possessions that play into the Grizzlies’ strength in contested defense. Defensive rebounding and active hands on perimeter shooters will be essential to prevent Milwaukee from generating momentum. Rebounding is a cornerstone of Memphis’ game plan at home. Securing defensive boards not only limits Milwaukee’s offensive opportunities but also initiates fast breaks and early scoring chances. Offensive rebounds can extend possessions and wear down opponents physically and mentally, further tilting the game in Memphis’ favor. Controlling the glass allows Memphis to impose its pace and keep Milwaukee from establishing a half-court rhythm, which is vital given the Bucks’ structured offensive approach. Late-game execution will likely determine the outcome. Memphis must balance offensive aggressiveness with smart decision-making, avoiding rushed shots while maintaining tempo to prevent Milwaukee from taking control. The Grizzlies’ ability to execute in critical moments, make timely substitutions, and maintain focus on both ends of the floor will be pivotal. With a combination of home-court advantage, balanced scoring, strong rebounding, and disciplined defense, Memphis is positioned to leverage this matchup into a meaningful victory that reinforces confidence and sets a positive tone for the remainder of the season.
Career nights from Cam 🥽 & Santi 🏹 out in Salt Lake last night 😤
— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) December 24, 2025
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Milwaukee vs Memphis Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Bucks and Grizzlies play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at FedExForum in Dec seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Milwaukee vs Memphis Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every past game between the Bucks and Grizzlies and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending factor human bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Bucks team going up against a possibly rested Grizzlies team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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Below is our current AI Milwaukee vs Memphis picks, computer picks Bucks vs Grizzlies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 3/5 | DET@SA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/5 | LAL@DEN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
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| NBA | 3/5 | NO@SAC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/5 | TOR@MIN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/5 | CHI@PHX | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Milwaukee Betting Trends
Milwaukee enters this game with a 14-16 ATS record overall and has been around .429 ATS on the road, showing mixed results away from home this season. Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games, suggesting they’ve been competitive against expectations even if results have fluctuated.
Memphis Betting Trends
The Grizzlies also have a 14-16 ATS record on the season, and while they’ve covered some games recently, their home ATS performance stands at 6-8, showing they haven’t consistently covered at FedExForum.
Bucks vs. Grizzlies Matchup Trends
Historically in head-to-head matchups, Milwaukee has struggled against Memphis, with the Grizzlies dominating recent meetings — including an extended winning streak — and Milwaukee has been 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against Memphis, highlighting a significant historical edge for the Grizzlies in this series.
Milwaukee vs. Memphis Game Info
Milwaukee vs Memphis starts on December 26, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: FedExForum.
Spread: Memphis -5.5
Moneyline: Milwaukee +185, Memphis -207
Over/Under: 227.5
Milwaukee: (12-18) | Memphis: (14-16)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: K. Kuzma over 22.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Historically in head-to-head matchups, Milwaukee has struggled against Memphis, with the Grizzlies dominating recent meetings — including an extended winning streak — and Milwaukee has been 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against Memphis, highlighting a significant historical edge for the Grizzlies in this series.
MIL trend: Milwaukee enters this game with a 14-16 ATS record overall and has been around .429 ATS on the road, showing mixed results away from home this season. Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games, suggesting they’ve been competitive against expectations even if results have fluctuated.
MEM trend: The Grizzlies also have a 14-16 ATS record on the season, and while they’ve covered some games recently, their home ATS performance stands at 6-8, showing they haven’t consistently covered at FedExForum.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Milwaukee vs. Memphis Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Milwaukee vs Memphis trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| MIL Moneyline | +185 |
|---|---|
| MEM Moneyline | -207 |
| MIL Spread | +5.5 |
| MEM Spread | -5.5 |
| Over / Under | 227.5 |
Milwaukee vs Memphis Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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–
–
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+650
-1000
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+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
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O 225.5 (-110)
U 225.5 (-110)
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–
–
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+260
-325
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+7.5 (-105)
-7.5 (-115)
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O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
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Mar 6, 2026 8:10PM EST
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Houston Rockets
3/6/26 8:10PM
Trail Blazers
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–
–
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+190
-235
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+5.5 (-102)
-5.5 (-118)
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O 220.5 (-110)
U 220.5 (-110)
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Mar 6, 2026 9:10PM EST
New York Knicks
Denver Nuggets
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Knicks
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–
–
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-125
+105
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-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
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O 229.5 (-110)
U 229.5 (-110)
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Mar 6, 2026 9:10PM EST
New Orleans Pelicans
Phoenix Suns
3/6/26 9:10PM
Pelicans
Suns
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–
–
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+185
-225
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+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
|
O 225.5 (-115)
U 225.5 (-105)
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|
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Mar 6, 2026 9:40PM EST
Los Angeles Clippers
San Antonio Spurs
3/6/26 9:40PM
Clippers
Spurs
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–
–
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+220
-275
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+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
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O 222.5 (-110)
U 222.5 (-110)
|
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Mar 6, 2026 10:40PM EST
Indiana Pacers
Los Angeles Lakers
3/6/26 10:40PM
Pacers
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–
–
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+350
-475
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+9.5 (-115)
-9.5 (-105)
|
O 235.5 (-110)
U 235.5 (-110)
|
|
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Mar 7, 2026 3:10PM EST
Orlando Magic
Minnesota Timberwolves
3/7/26 3:10PM
Magic
Timberwolves
|
–
–
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+220
-270
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+7 (-110)
-7 (-110)
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O 225.5 (-112)
U 225.5 (-108)
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|
|
Mar 7, 2026 6:10PM EST
Philadelphia 76ers
Atlanta Hawks
3/7/26 6:10PM
76ers
Hawks
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–
–
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+168
-200
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+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
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O 234.5 (-105)
U 234.5 (-115)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies on December 26, 2025 at FedExForum.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| BOS@LAL | BOS -1 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| PHI@MIN | KELLY OUBRE JR. UNDER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| NYK@CHI | JOSH HART OVER 12.5 REBOUNDS + ASSTS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | CADE CUNNINGHAM OVER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| DET@CHI | AUSAR THOMPSON OVER 2.5 ASSTS | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| DEN@POR | DEN -115 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LAC@LAL | KAWHI LEONARD UNDER 33.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| LAC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 2.5 TURNOVERS | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DET@NY | NY -3.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| TOR@CHI | RJ BARRETT OVER 1.5 THREE POINTERS MADE | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| DEN@LAC | DERRICK JONES JR. UNDER 4.5 REB + ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAC@HOU | LAC +9 | 54.3% | 3 | WIN |
| POR@MIN | JADEN MCDANIELS OVER 21.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| SA@LAL | VICTOR WEMBANYAMA UNDER 2.5 BLOCKS | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | ATL +8.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| CHI@BKN | BKN +4.5 | 54.8% | 2 | WIN |
| OKC@LAL | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 28.5 PTS + REB | 53.7% | 3 | WIN |
| ATL@MIN | RUDY GOBERT OVER 22.5 PTS + REB | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| IND@TOR | IND +9 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| NY@BOS | NY +4.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| CLE@SAC | DONOVAN MITCHELL OVER 34.5 PTS + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |