Suns vs Warriors Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS NBA Lines & Props (Dec 20)
Updated: 2025-12-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Suns and Warriors meet again in the Bay Area in a highly anticipated rematch after Phoenix’s dramatic 99‑98 victory over Golden State in their previous meeting, featuring clutch late free throws and missed opportunities for the home side. Both teams enter the second leg of this back‑to‑back set with momentum swings and narrative threads — Golden State seeking redemption at home and the Suns looking to prove they can consistently beat a historic rival this season.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 20, 2025
Start Time: 9:30 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center
Warriors Record: (13-15)
Suns Record: (15-12)
OPENING ODDS
PHX Moneyline: +200
GSW Moneyline: -238
PHX Spread: +5.5
GSW Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 226.5
PHX
Betting Trends
- Phoenix has been inconsistent against the spread this season, currently posting a sub‑.500 ATS record with struggles as underdogs and as favorites alike, though they’ve had some recent covers.
GSW
Betting Trends
- Golden State has shown a better ATS profile than the Suns overall, with more covers in recent games and particularly decent ATS performance at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Historically, Warriors vs. Suns matchups have seen a high rate of overs and volatility, and Phoenix has been poor ATS on the road while Golden State has been relatively strong ATS in home games against this opponent.
PHX vs. GSW
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Allen under 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.
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Phoenix vs Golden State Prediction & Odds:
Free NBA Betting Insights for 12/20/25
The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors meet in San Francisco for the second game of a home‑and‑home after Phoenix’s dramatic 99‑98 win in their December 18 matchup. In that game, Phoenix rallied from a double‑digit deficit and secured the win on a Jordan Goodwin free throw with 0.4 seconds remaining, showcasing resiliency and clutch execution, while the Warriors were undone by turnovers and late‑game miscues that cost them dearly at the end. Entering this rematch, both teams sit near the .500 mark in the 2025‑26 NBA season, with the Suns slightly ahead in the standings but both clubs struggling to establish consistency in a competitive Western Conference. Golden State has dropped three straight games and has had difficulty sustaining leads, while Phoenix has shown flashes of defensive grit and scoring balance, but must navigate key injuries that leave their depth thinner and demand significant offensive contributions from stars and role players alike. This season’s head‑to‑head story between these two franchises reflects a competitive but unpredictable dynamic. The Suns’ latest win in Phoenix highlighted their ability to withstand adversity; Devin Booker overcame a recent shooting slump with a strong second half, scoring 23 of his 25 points after halftime, and Dillon Brooks provided significant scoring support throughout the contest. Phoenix’s balanced attack and opportunistic defense allowed them to stifle Stephen Curry, holding him to just 15 points on 3‑of‑14 shooting in that game — a notable deviation from the Warriors’ usual offensive rhythm. Yet, Golden State’s seasoned roster still features star power and offensive firepower, with Curry, Jimmy Butler, and emerging pieces like Brandin Podziemski capable of explosive scoring nights. The Warriors also recently saw the return of Jonathan Kuminga from knee tendinitis, adding youthful athleticism and synergy with the core back into the mix, albeit in limited minutes so far.
Injuries and rotations will be a critical storyline for this second meeting. Phoenix enters the rematch with notable absences, as key perimeter threats such as Jalen Green remain sidelined with a hamstring strain, and Grayson Allen and Isaiah Livers are questionable due to recent soreness, thinning the Suns’ bench and forcing heavier offensive loads on Booker and primary wings. This increases the importance of secondary scorers and defensive stability in every quarter, especially on the road against a Warriors team that will aggressively pursue turnovers and transition buckets, an element that proved decisive in the previous encounter when Phoenix scored 22 fast‑break points compared to Golden State’s six. Golden State also juggles its own availability and lineup continuity, missing interior depth with Al Horford out and bench guard Seth Curry unavailable, but they benefit from a home court edge where recent betting trends show stronger ATS performance and a willingness to cover when favored. Strategically, this rematch could hinge on who controls the tempo and limits mistakes. The Suns must prioritize ball security and defensive rotations to prevent the Warriors from generating easy looks off turnovers, while Golden State must balance its outside shooting with efficient interior play to keep Phoenix’s defense honest. Curry’s ability to create offense under pressure and Podziemski’s bench scoring could be difference‑makers, particularly if Phoenix’s depth struggles manifest late. Conversely, if Booker continues his efficient scoring and Phoenix can maintain its defensive edge as it did in the first game, the Suns could leave San Francisco with another hard‑fought victory. With both teams seeking to reverse recent trends and gain momentum before the holiday stretch, expect a competitive rematch featuring momentum swings, tactical adjustments, and late‑game execution that could decide this Pacific Division rivalry once more.
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Devin Booker. Elite Playmaker.
— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) December 19, 2025
He's generating 43 PPG for the squad, 8th in the NBA in potential assists and 4th in the NBA in secondary assists.
📰 Dive more into Book's All-Star Impact: https://t.co/cPPf9FNr8t
🗳️ Vote Book for All-Star: https://t.co/95ae3qCtq9 pic.twitter.com/6pqHjihMyQ
Phoenix Suns NBA Preview
The Phoenix Suns arrive in San Francisco on the heels of a dramatic and hard‑fought 99‑98 victory over the Warriors just two days prior, a game that showcased both Phoenix’s resilience and the unpredictability that has defined its 2025‑26 campaign. In that Dec. 18 contest, the Suns rallied from a double‑digit deficit to force a thrilling finish, with Jordan Goodwin calmly converting a free throw with just 0.4 seconds left to clinch the win. Devin Booker, after struggling early, erupted in the second half with 23 of his 25 points — a performance that may signal his emergence from a shooting slump and a developing offensive rhythm. Booker’s ability to take over games in spurts has been crucial for Phoenix, especially considering the team’s injury limitations and the way its depth has been tested throughout the season. The Suns’ record sits slightly above .500 overall, reflecting the mixture of inspiring victories and frustrating losses that have kept them in the middle of the Western Conference mix with aspirations of climbing further. One of the defining narratives for the Suns this season has been their health and availability, particularly in the backcourt and wing rotations. As they prepare to face the Warriors again, Phoenix is without Jalen Green, who remains sidelined with a hamstring injury, while Grayson Allen and Isaiah Livers carry day‑to‑day statuses due to minor ailments. These absences have made the Suns lean more heavily on their core scorers and secondary contributors; players like Collin Gillespie, Dillon Brooks, and Mark Williams have stepped up offensively and defensively in key moments. Brooks, for instance, delivered 24 points in that last meeting versus Golden State, giving Phoenix a much‑needed perimeter scoring boost when other shooters struggled. Williams has also been an impactful presence inside, providing rebounding, rim protection, and effective scoring near the basket. The Suns’ ability to maintain offensive balance while compensating for missing pieces will be vital on the road in a hostile environment where turnovers and lapses are punished quickly.
Defensively, Phoenix showed in their last game that they can rise to the occasion, forcing 16 steals and holding Golden State to sub‑39 percent shooting from the floor and below 29 percent from three‑point range. That type of defensive execution — particularly in forcing turnovers and limiting efficient looks — is a blueprint the Suns must replicate to secure another win in Oakland. Golden State remains a dangerous offensive team when its shooters find rhythm, and San Francisco’s tempo tends to pressure defenses into mistakes. If Phoenix can dictate pace, protect the ball, and continue to contest shots effectively, they can neutralize the Warriors’ transition opportunities and force half‑court scoring struggles. Phoenix’s road success will also hinge on shot selection and interior control. Limiting second‑chance points and securing rebounds on both ends will help the Suns control the tempo and avoid allowing Golden State easy opportunities. This is particularly important given the Warriors’ tendency to generate points off turnovers and from quick perimeter releases. The Suns must be patient in their offensive sets, drive to draw help defenders, and kick out to open shooters when defenses collapse. If Booker stays efficient, if role players like Brooks and Gillespie continue to provide timely scoring, and if Phoenix minimizes mistakes in crunch time, the Suns have a genuine opportunity to sweep the season series against Golden State. In summary, Phoenix’s trip to San Francisco is about momentum and refinement. They arrive with confidence after a narrow win but must extend discipline on both ends of the floor against a team that will be motivated to avenge its home loss. The Suns’ ability to balance offense and defense, overcome injuries, and execute under pressure will ultimately determine whether they leave with another hard‑earned victory in this developing Pacific Division rivalry.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Golden State Warriors NBA Preview
The Golden State Warriors enter this December 20 home matchup against the Phoenix Suns looking to rebound after a narrow 99‑98 defeat at Chase Center just two nights earlier. That loss underscored both the Warriors’ ability to compete in tight games and their recurring late‑game vulnerabilities, particularly turnovers and defensive lapses that Phoenix capitalized on to seal the victory. Stephen Curry, who remains the cornerstone of Golden State’s offense, was contained for much of that previous contest, finishing with 15 points on 3‑of‑14 shooting from the field, highlighting how Phoenix’s defensive adjustments can disrupt even the league’s premier scorers. The Warriors’ supporting cast, including Draymond Green, Jonathan Kuminga, and Brandin Podziemski, will be essential in creating additional scoring opportunities and stabilizing the offense in this rematch. Kuminga recently returned from knee tendinitis, adding energy, athleticism, and defensive versatility that the Warriors will look to leverage against a Suns squad that thrives on pace and spacing. Offensively, Golden State relies heavily on Curry’s playmaking and shooting ability, but secondary scoring contributions are crucial to sustained success. Podziemski has shown the ability to provide timely scoring off the bench, while Green’s playmaking, leadership, and ability to orchestrate the offense under pressure remain indispensable despite a high turnover rate that has occasionally undermined the team. With Al Horford unavailable and other rotation pieces limited due to minor injuries, the Warriors must maximize the efficiency of their available talent, ensure consistent floor spacing, and take advantage of every scoring opportunity, particularly early in the game when momentum swings are most impactful. Maintaining composure in the fourth quarter will be essential, as Golden State has struggled in close finishes this season, and the Suns demonstrated their ability to capitalize on late‑game errors in the previous matchup.
Defensively, the Warriors face a Suns team with multiple scoring threats, including Devin Booker and Dillon Brooks, who can exploit lapses in rotation or defensive communication. Limiting Phoenix’s transition points and contested three‑pointers will be a primary focus, as fast‑break opportunities and open perimeter shots were key factors in Golden State’s narrow defeat two nights ago. Effective rebounding, contesting shots, and controlling the paint will be pivotal to prevent the Suns from building leads or creating easy baskets in high‑leverage situations. Defensive execution in the early quarters will also help the Warriors avoid falling behind and being forced to play catch‑up in the second half. Golden State also enjoys a slight advantage with home court support at Chase Center, which can provide energy and momentum during critical stretches. Historically, the Warriors have performed well against Phoenix at home, with a stronger ATS record and a tendency to cover spreads in close contests. Leveraging crowd energy, controlling tempo, and executing strategically in half‑court sets will be essential to reversing the narrow loss from the previous meeting. By improving on turnovers, generating offensive efficiency from secondary scorers, and executing defensive rotations effectively, the Warriors have a legitimate opportunity to claim a pivotal home victory and regain confidence in this developing Pacific Division rivalry. In summary, Golden State’s approach hinges on offensive balance, defensive discipline, and composure in late-game situations. Curry’s ability to create and score, combined with support from Podziemski, Kuminga, and Green, will be critical to counter the Suns’ offensive threats. Controlling pace, minimizing mistakes, and capitalizing on home-court advantage will dictate whether the Warriors can rebound and even the season series, making this December 20 matchup a crucial test of resilience, strategy, and execution.
Look back at The Town Edition debut ⏯️@Carmax || Warriors Snapshots pic.twitter.com/hGNSOpPdJj
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) December 20, 2025
Phoenix vs Golden State Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Suns and Warriors play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Chase Center in Dec seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Phoenix vs Golden State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every angle between the Suns and Warriors and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most fixated on the trending weight emotional bettors tend to put on Phoenix’s strength factors between a Suns team going up against a possibly unhealthy Warriors team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our NBA AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Phoenix vs Golden State picks, computer picks Suns vs Warriors, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| NBA | 3/11 | NY@UTA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 6 |
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| NBA | 3/11 | NY@UTA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 5 |
EXECUTIVE
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| NBA | 3/11 | TOR@NO | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full NBA schedule.
Phoenix Betting Trends
Phoenix has been inconsistent against the spread this season, currently posting a sub‑.500 ATS record with struggles as underdogs and as favorites alike, though they’ve had some recent covers.
Golden State Betting Trends
Golden State has shown a better ATS profile than the Suns overall, with more covers in recent games and particularly decent ATS performance at home.
Suns vs. Warriors Matchup Trends
Historically, Warriors vs. Suns matchups have seen a high rate of overs and volatility, and Phoenix has been poor ATS on the road while Golden State has been relatively strong ATS in home games against this opponent.
Phoenix vs. Golden State Game Info
Phoenix vs Golden State starts on December 20, 2025 at 9:30 PM EST.
Venue: Chase Center.
Spread: Golden State -5.5
Moneyline: Phoenix +200, Golden State -238
Over/Under: 226.5
Phoenix: (15-12) | Golden State: (13-15)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: G. Allen under 21.5 PTS+REB+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Historically, Warriors vs. Suns matchups have seen a high rate of overs and volatility, and Phoenix has been poor ATS on the road while Golden State has been relatively strong ATS in home games against this opponent.
PHX trend: Phoenix has been inconsistent against the spread this season, currently posting a sub‑.500 ATS record with struggles as underdogs and as favorites alike, though they’ve had some recent covers.
GSW trend: Golden State has shown a better ATS profile than the Suns overall, with more covers in recent games and particularly decent ATS performance at home.
See our latest NBA picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Phoenix vs. Golden State Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Phoenix vs Golden State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| PHX Moneyline | +200 |
|---|---|
| GSW Moneyline | -238 |
| PHX Spread | +5.5 |
| GSW Spread | -5.5 |
| Over / Under | 226.5 |
Phoenix vs Golden State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Mar 12, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Philadelphia 76ers
Detroit Pistons
3/12/26 7:10PM
76ers
Pistons
|
–
–
|
+730
-1150
|
+15.5 (-110)
-15.5 (-110)
|
O 222.5 (-106)
U 222.5 (-114)
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|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Phoenix Suns
Indiana Pacers
3/12/26 7:10PM
Suns
Pacers
|
–
–
|
-390
+310
|
-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
|
O 224.5 (-106)
U 224.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:10PM EDT
Washington Wizards
Orlando Magic
3/12/26 7:10PM
Wizards
Magic
|
–
–
|
+700
-1100
|
+14 (-106)
-14 (-114)
|
O 234.5 (-106)
U 234.5 (-114)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:40PM EDT
Brooklyn Nets
Atlanta Hawks
3/12/26 7:40PM
Nets
Hawks
|
–
–
|
+750
-1200
|
+15.5 (-108)
-15.5 (-112)
|
O 226.5 (-108)
U 226.5 (-112)
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|
|
Mar 12, 2026 7:40PM EDT
Milwaukee Bucks
Miami Heat
3/12/26 7:40PM
Bucks
Heat
|
–
–
|
+215
-260
|
+6.5 (-108)
-6.5 (-112)
|
O 234.5 (-114)
U 234.5 (-106)
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|
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Mar 12, 2026 8:10PM EDT
Dallas Mavericks
Memphis Grizzlies
3/12/26 8:10PM
Mavericks
Grizzlies
|
–
–
|
-200
+168
|
-4.5 (-115)
+4.5 (-105)
|
O 239.5 (-110)
U 239.5 (-110)
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Mar 12, 2026 9:10PM EDT
Denver Nuggets
San Antonio Spurs
3/12/26 9:10PM
Nuggets
Spurs
|
–
–
|
+194
-235
|
+5.5 (-105)
-5.5 (-115)
|
O 238.5 (-114)
U 238.5 (-106)
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|
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Mar 12, 2026 9:40PM EDT
Boston Celtics
Oklahoma City Thunder
3/12/26 9:40PM
Celtics
Thunder
|
–
–
|
+210
-255
|
+6.5 (-106)
-6.5 (-114)
|
O 216.5 (-110)
U 216.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Mar 12, 2026 10:40PM EDT
Chicago Bulls
Los Angeles Lakers
3/12/26 10:40PM
Bulls
Lakers
|
–
–
|
+420
-560
|
+11 (-108)
-11 (-112)
|
O 238.5 (-110)
U 238.5 (-110)
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NBA Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors on December 20, 2025 at Chase Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our NBA odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS@UTA | BRANDIN PODZIEMSKI OVER 1.5 STEALS & BLOCKS | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| MEM@BKN | BKN +2 | 53.1% | 3 | WIN |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +6.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| CHI@SAC | SAC +2 | 54.0% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@SA | HOU +5.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| NY@LAL | LAL +2.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| DET@MIA | DUNCAN ROBINSON OVER 14.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| ORL@MIL | RYAN ROLLINS UNDER 10.5 REB + ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| WAS@NO | ALEX SARR OVER 8.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| ORL@MIN | PAOLO BANCHERO UNDER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| UTA@MIL | KYLE KUZMA OVER 2.5 ASST | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| PHI@ATL | PHI +6.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@PHX | NO +4.5 | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@DEN | DEN +1.5 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| MIA@CHA | GRANT WILLIAMS OVER 3.5 REB | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| DAL@BOS | JAYSON TATUM OVER 6.5 REB + ASST | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| TOR@MIN | TOR +4.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| NO@SAC | SAC +6.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| DET@SA | DET +3.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| CHI@PHX | GRAYSON ALLEN OVER 5.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| LAL@DEN | LEBRON JAMES UNDER 5.5 REB | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| CHA@BOS | CHA +6.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| POR@MEM | MEM +10 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| UTA@PHI | ACE BAILEY OVER 22.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| ATL@MIL | MYLES TURNER OVER 4.5 REB | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| OKC@CHI | CHI +9.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NY@TOR | TOR +2.5 | 57.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| PHX@SAC | SAC +9.5 | 54.0% | 3 | LOSS |
| NO@LAL | LEBRON JAMES OVER 7.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| HOU@WAS | ALPEREN SENGUN OVER 5.5 ASST | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| LAC@GS | AL HORFORD OVER 1.5 STEALS + BLOCKS | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BOS@MIL | BOS -7.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@IND | IND +1 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| OKC@DAL | ISAIAH HARTENSTEIN OVER 12.5 REB + ASST | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| PHI@BOS | DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 ASST | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| POR@CHA | POR +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | DEN +7.5 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| MEM@DAL | MAX CHRISTIE OVER 5.5 REB + ASST | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| DEN@OKC | CHET HOLMGREN UNDER 8.5 REB | 55.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| SAC@DAL | SAC +7 | 54.5% | 4 | WIN |
| HOU@ORL | JABARI SMITH JR. OVER 4.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 54.2% | 4 | WIN |
| SA@TOR | TOR +7.5 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| BOS@DEN | BOS +3.5 | 53.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| SAC@HOU | TARI EASON OVER 23.5 PTS + REB + ASST | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| SA@TOR | DEAARON FOX UNDER 19.5 PTS + REB | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| DAL@BKN | BKN +2.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| GS@NO | NO +1.5 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| ORL@LAL | ANTHONY BLACK OVER 3.5 ASST | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| SAC@MEM | SCOTTY PIPPEN JR. OVER 3.5 ASST | 53.5% | 3 | WIN |
| UTA@HOU | AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 FIELD GOALS MADE | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| DEN@GS | DEN -6 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |